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Seems like Summer was just given the bum's rush recently

I’m not going to say anything but a certain thread I created will be bumped again if my hunch is correct.

Pretty cloudy day. Was up in Hopkinton at State Park doing some light hiking. Not a bad day overall but not as nice as the last 2.

Im seeing double

A couple fun 12z EPS members but the most likely is OTS like usual

Agree. Summers unbearable humidity was basically condensed into a 2 month stretch from approximately June 20 - August 20 or so. With a break in early August. It was way more muggy nights than hot days. There were 14 days of 90+ at DTW, which is 1 more than normal, and a max of 95.

Increased +NAO chances this JF on CANSIPS per this:

August started cool and obviously ended very cool with just “heat” in the middle of the month which was more like very warm with obnoxious dewpoints. July was certainly hot overall but June was fairly cool until the last week to 10 days of the month. For all the talk of record setting ridges and all that stuff, it wasn’t even anything special for heat.

We all know if we have a deep trough and great pattern in October, everyone would be losing their shit that we are “wasting it” too early. We, as members of this forum, can talk ourselves into worrying about anything when it comes to winter. Warm autumn, cold autumn… we can get to the worrying part in multiple different ways.

Ah C’mon Candy, live a little! We go in the river all the time. Got to build up that immune system. It’s like George Carlin used to say, they never got sick as kids because they swam in the Brooklyn River haha. “We swam in sewage!”

how strong do you think it'll get

Started the month with a low of 62 with northeast winds that made it feel like the 50's. Love it.

Who cares. Off the top of my head, fall of 2007, 2010, 2016, 2017, and 2022 were torches up here and great winters.

Thanks, Don. Although the study ended by 2016 (date of article), I was curious about how the theory worked after 2016 for DJF NAO >+1: These are those 4 winters: 2017-8, 2019-20, 2021-2, 2023-4 2017: -2 H hits (AN): works -ACE: ~119 (way AN): works 2019: -2 H hits (AN): works -ACE: 60 (NN): no signal 2021: -1 H hit (NN): no signal -ACE: 75.3 (AN): works 2023: -1 H hit (NN): no signal -ACE: 76.1 (AN): works ———— Summary for these 4 2016+ >1 NAO -# of US H hits through 9/10: worked twice, no signal twice, and didn’t work zero times -ACE through 9/10: worked 3 times, no signal once, and didn’t work zero times -So, for NAO >1: despite not doing well pre-2016 and despite 2020 not working for H hits as the only 2016+ -NAO winter, 2016+ for NAO >1 did much better for both measures with none not working.

My monthly stats: Highest temp: 95 Lowest temp: 59 Highest dew point: 84 Lowest dew point: 58 Rainfall: 8.83"

All they did was show the NAO. Nowhere in that tweet did they say +NAO = warm in the east nor did they even mention temps. I’m not sure what the gripe is, it is in fact showing a +NAO and no it’s not showing big warmth either, which was my point, separate from their tweet. If the NAO is really going to be that positive, then you would need -EPO assistance on the PAC side to avoid warmth in the east, which it evidently has

Aren't we supposed to get 80 degree days? That's summer weather in my book.

August high 94.3, low 45.6. Rainfall total a whopping 0.82".

farther BN, quite possible. Lowest temps, maybe 5% chance. Avg for Aug 31 here 72/50. For Oct 16 it's 56/35. Temps are very unlikely to overcome the 10-15° (1st and 16th) drop in averages and verify the boldface.

Probably not. We could have an Octnodecufebrarch thread as well.

Ok I’m on board. This one should develop.

A few more weeks and the pond gets covered until early December so it doesnt fill up with leaves. Perpetual leaf fall and constant blowing/raking is almost upon us.

We didnt see extreme high temps here, but the warm muggy nights were placing the summer higher into the hottest summers list, but the last week of August was the 7th coldest on record for Detroit, plummeting the summer out of the top 20 hottest.

40.7 this morning....................... One 39 low not far away.