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Is there land under the bottom-left tip there? Interesting that that area remains stationary while the rest of the shelf continues moving. Based on the movement there it does look like it could break free at any time; the connection with that non-moving section looks very weak now.

Good, maybe we can make something happen here snow wise in Dec for the first time since 2020.

It's crazy dark and windy here in Hickory. Feels and looks like snow. Raging virga storm on radar.

A lot of these snow showers are not falling apart in the slightest as they cross into the foothills. We may be in a rare scenario where there’s just enough instability and lift to overcome downsloping.

I think that batch coming out of e tn will deliver the goods

Game cam reports more snow at DCL with a high of 33F now 29F, at least at 3k ft.

Cataloochee Ski Area will officially open for the season this Wednesday! Tube World has the snow guns blowing and the hill is covered now!

Back to back bands without sun dropped 3/4ths of an inch. After the second band the sun returned. Cloudy again now with another band minutes away.

My early winter take for Chester County is a cold start to December. Slightly below normal December and near to below temperature January with near to above normal February. Well above normal March temperatures. Snowfall not too far from average seasonal snowfall. 1 storm over 12" and 2 over 6" Chester County - higher elevations 40" of snow. Valley locations 35" of snow.

Spruce Pine has a couple inches per family. Asheville has been sunny almost all day, I expected a bit more action here.

Per GSP (see last bit): Perhaps the main concern going forward will be to what extent snow showers will escape the containment of the current Warning/Advisory areas...as increasing coverage and intensity of showers means at least scattered snow showers will spill south and east toward the Blue Ridge escarpment. 1-3" of accumulation may become common across portions of northern Buncombe as well as the high elevations of Jackson, Macon, and Rabun Counties, with spotty/scattered instances of 1-3" south and east of there...depending upon where snow showers track. These accumulations aren`t enough to warrant an expansion of any Advisories, but Advisory-level snowfall can be expected on localized basis in the mountains counties outside of the WSW. Flurries and light snow showers are also expected to develop outside the mtns this evening, with some spotty dustings possible across the northern foothills and northeast Piedmont of NC.

Had a heavy burst come through Franklin. Lasted 10-15 minutes. Coated everything other than the rd in a 1/4-1/2”.

Euro Weeklies: coldest run yet for 1st 3 weeks in Dec for US overall. The maps don’t even have a speck of warmer than normal in the entire Conus except for S TX and S/C FL. Dec 1-7: Dec 8-14: Dec 15-21:

Maybe some pareidolia on my part, but it almostlooks liek there is a little boundary running from central KY to near Greene county, TN:

Sorry for the bad grammar. A fierce band is moving into Knox. .

The band that is approaching west Knox moved through my area was fierce. .

BWI: 14.8 DCA: 11.0 IAD: 23.5 RIC: 7.0 Tie Breaker SBY: 11.5

Band dropped another 1.2” on its march back east. Three day total now at 8.3”. Most significant November event, locally, in my lifetime. Top tier lake event, too, but I don’t immediately know where it lands. Crazy that we’re already like 60-70% of the total seasonal snowfall for each 23-24 and 24-25. Hope the curse is lifted and there’s more fun to be had this winter.

That winter, particularly February, was notable because of a huge noreaster from NJ north, and Mt Washington got 49" in 24 hours, or a total of 91" over 3 days. See 100 hour snowstorm: The 100-Hour Snowstorm of February 1969 | NOAA Climate.gov Another one just before that hit western NC and northern SC with up to 2 feet. There was a thread about it on this very forum: February 1969 Foothills/Piedmont Deep Snowstorm - Southeastern States - American Weather There was almost no noteworthy events for Dec and Jan. With strong greenland blocking and a strong aleutian ridge, it was probably cold and dry along the SE and east, much like a modern La Nina pattern we've been seeing over the last several years - only colder. In a modern climate, probably little or no snow, just a few degrees warmer. Then in Feb, a ridge began to build over the rockies while the greenland block continued, and then those two big storms happened.

23 with light to moderate snow at times. It's starting to lay on the grass and roads now.

IMO, we'll know for sure by Christmas. If all the hopes, prognostications, and predictions of December coming in cold, and potentially snowy, end as a mirage or just a "kicking the can pattern" then we know we're in for a miserable winter.

Interesting obs: radar filling in over the Lee with virga, it’s now completely overcast here. What id give to see a little Lee side trough form.

My brother and extended family have lived in Leland, just west from Wilmington, for almost 15 years and they love it. (Except when Florence barged in. They "vacationed" in Charlotte for that event. He said their house was engineered to withstand 130 mph, though heavy objects at half that speed might be damaging.)

You don't expect to have to sweep your satellite out in November.

I wonder how often someplace in the deep south beats SNE to first flakes?