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meh not quite...we have had some previous days that were not as cool or breezy...i mean for those at the beaches it was a little chilly when a cloud passed over.

77/45 for my splits

Moved the younger Ms. J back up to school in PA today. At 9 am it was 57 up there. So nice to lug all of her dorm bags in.

Naples Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

You clouded over at noon. -2

Yore.

Down to 45 this morning. Chilly.

I think that’s true in general, but I think there are times where the thermal environment is more supportive of high end activity, especially when combined with ENSO driven reduction in shear. Caribbean SSTs are warmer than normal but not outrageous while Gulf temps are near record. The OHC anomalies are focused in the western Gulf with the exception of the loop current.

JB has been griping about how the euro (non AI) can't see cold coming in the mid range for forever it seems. It does seem to have a problem, I mostly look at the GFS for the mid range now. If there ever was an application for AI it would seem to be weather forecasting so I hope that continues to improve.

Some of us were here before 1949

Another day, another thunderstorm passing within arm's reach of me, yet I stay dry.

10/10

beautiful day i even went downtown wearing my hoodie

I noticed over in the MA Medium Range thread that the Euro weeklies have been getting progressively cooler as the forecast periods approach. Interestingly, while searching for any tidbits for early winter thoughts on YouTube, I found a September forecast from Bam Weather. It looks like I'm not the only one who noticed the changes on the weeklies. According to Bam, both the regular Eps products and Gefs have been too warm lately. Otoh, the EPS AI has been much better. I put the link to the video below and it's got some decent info in addition to the comments on the EPS AI. Take a look if you get a chance. More importantly, the performance of the EPS AI should probably be followed through the Fall to see if it holds any edge come winter.

As you may have noticed over in the Medium Range thread, the Euro weeklies have been getting progressively cooler as the forecast periods approach. Interestingly, while searching for any tidbits for early winter thoughts on YouTube, I found a September forecast from Bam Weather. It looks like I'm not the only one who noticed the changes on the weeklies. According to Bam, both the regular Eps products and Gefs have been too warm lately. Otoh, the EPS AI has been much better. I put the link to the video below and it's got some decent info in addition to the comments on the EPS AI. Take a look if you get a chance. More importantly, the performance of the EPS AI should probably be followed through the Fall to see if it holds any edge come winter.

Anyone confused about 66/50 is probably confused about a great many things.

i think it is safe to say i wore my tennessee vols shirt for a good reason i heard that they won today "TN beats Syracuse 45-26" "

Another great day 76/55 temp split.... August turned out to be the total opposite of July.

Received 1.80" of rainfall here for August. Meteorological Summer (J-J-A) totaled 7.88". Could have been worse for sure but still quite dry as most of the rainfall events were followed by 10-14 day stretches with little to no rain. Sure hope we can cash in on something decent this coming week. Hurricane season has been pretty lame. Slightly above normal ACE to date with 39 ACE units vs. normal 34. Erin is responsible for 32 of the 39. We will go below normal ACE wise by Tuesday. Nothing looks remotely interesting at the moment.

72.6° here +1

GFS has Northern WI getting first flakes late this week lol Incredibly unlikely

Pretty chilly lake day when the sun not out. Got caught in shower. Hanging out on bow of boat watching float plane guy Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Can't argue about today's weather. Sunny, blue skies with a little breeze at times...got a nice road "on a mountain bike" ride in earlier.

They are pretty loud up here. Actually, a few years ago (17 year) they basically stayed about 4 miles to our west. This year is actually worse. Their time is short as I'm seeing more and more on the sidewalks.

It has been stunning how dry August has been in the Northeast. I cannot ever remember DC area this refreshingly comfortable in August either!