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Looks like tomorrow will be the first 24-hour period in which the low temperature is above freezing since late November. Hit 44.5° today after a low of 29°.

Lets get tricky. Let them shit up the Med/LR thread and we'll have some real discussion here. Or start a new thread- by invite only. All whiny thread shitter uppers excluded.

I wasn't sure either but it has been confirmed big melt / flooding about 10 days after 1996 Blizzard.

funny you both bring it up... last weekend while it was mild, i saw a few mosquitos outside as well.

I had a mosquito in my house last night. wtf?

I am probably mixing it up then with a different winter.

Busy lately, but thought I would do my daily check in. I'll be checking out now. Enjoy!

Bam's Michael Clark looking a bit exasperated it would seem. https://youtube.com/shorts/hr8jn5FdW9w?si=2uUi4VUJhE5GN8w-

Reading that made me imagine it was Tim Conway saying it and Harvey Korman trying to keep a straight face - which was futile. Thanks for the laugh.

Miraculously, the GYX beam doesn't go over my head.

La Nina's tend to have their best cold/snow in the front end-so what we're seeing is not surprising.

Spotted on the ground today, seems odd?

We have to wait to get the cold air back. I know people had pointed to Monday the 12th for the return of cold air, but it doesn't look impressive. Now it looks like 40s next week which is above normal. I think we probably have to wait until closer to the 20th for the return of significant cold air. As others have pointed out, we usually have a good part 2 to winter after a cold/snowy December. I'm optimistic that we'll get a good amount of snow in late January or February after this break from the cold air that we're going to see for a couple weeks. Of course you never know, so we'll keep an eye on next week. We certainly can get lucky in a borderline situation in mid January.

Spectacular

Awesome thanks for the explanation!

This is useless CRAP on January 6.

You are close. Too much NW - SE flow is a dry flow and discourages the pattern that we need with an active STJ.

Week of Jan 20th. If we don't have something plausible within 5 days of that, then it's probably game over for even hitting climo snowfall. It's going to be feast or famine during the upcoming favorable window.

I love this board! it's a roller coaster of emotion though. When I check in later tonight everyone will be cliff diving again!

With last weekend's rain here on the CA Central Coast, most major climo sites have surpassed their FY norms for the "water year." Anything we get from this point will be gravy, from that perspective. Looks a dry period upcoming - we need it here.

Looks like I'll need to wait for another time to get to 30". I'm at 27" and tonight ain't gonna do it.

Kidding aside…like I said, the lowest BOX beam is around 5000ft over your head. ENX is 10000ft. GYX is even higher. So if ENX is showing precip and BOX isn’t, that means it’s evaporating (sublimating in this case) before it reaches the ground…which is pretty typical when you have cirrus thickening and lowering in advance of a system with dry air in the low to mid levels.

how boring the weather is we got comments talking about snowstorms of yesteryear..

You come back Jan 15. Ji come back never.

Milder weather has moved into the region. The remainder of the week will see generally above normal temperatures. Some rain is possible starting late Friday or Friday night. Periods of rain could extend into Sunday. The week will conclude with highs finishing in the 50s across much of the region on Friday and Saturday. Cooler air will likely return Sunday or Monday. No significant Arctic blasts or significant snowfalls are likely through at least mid-January. Afterward, conditions might become more favorable for both cold and snowfall, especially if the PNA goes positive. PNA-related developments would have larger implications for snowfall. It will likely be a few more days before the guidance reaches the high-skill timeframe for teleconnection forecasts. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around December 31. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.37°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.63°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was +8.15 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.850 today.