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  2. Here's what I found upon looking. It seems there was a bit more to his reasoning than was perhaps implied. Having said that, I believe that there is still enough uncertainty associated with the lead time for a more phased/northward solution.
  3. 18z AIFs vs 18z AiGFS...850 lp placement over northern KY. But notice strength and wind direction...that's our cone of uncertainty so to speak.
  4. One thing we do have going for us…. Every time Bam changes mods, the next run trends south. .
  5. I have no idea if it’ll happen in this case but many times, you’ll see models shift one direction in the mid-range then attempt to correct in the other direction as the event nears. Really wouldn’t surprise me either way.
  6. Same. If you mix some will still get high snow totals cause your in higher qpf. Some of our biggest storms have mixed for a few hours.
  7. DC to BALT is going to get absolutely clobbered from this storm. RIC likely will as well, but are at risk for mixing. NYC to BOS has seen better trends, and though they might not get clobbered like we will, there's still the possibility they get 12".
  8. I wouldn’t get excited until it’s 12z Thursday and there’s zero or very minute changes.
  9. lol take the fight about hypothetical mixing on future runs to banter if it’s not actual analysis. Euro is perfect.
  10. Small children and dogs could disappear in this one. Potential for two feet of snow.
  11. I knew Met would reveal his hatred for us eventually!
  12. I think it was Feb 2013 you did one and @Typhoon Tip called in?
  13. Roland Emmerich says it's possible.
  14. Ok to be fully transparent, I suspended the wrong person I'm so sorry @Franklin0529
  15. Just trying to decide if I should capture some of this rain for the crops this summer.
  16. you know who's been thinking it over all these years...wishing...hoping..
  17. Wes Junker would come on too. I think RaleighWx came on once or twice too.
  18. Need to see how the high pressure works down south out of the north land. It is strong which ='s better press. Or not. Either way, crazy system to track.
  19. after seeing all the improvements....would 6 inches be a disaster for you?
  20. The lp track is 90 miles north and 2mb stronger at 18 vs 12z and that wrecks thermals. Ops are prone to large movements still at this range. The AI usually us extremely steady inside D5 and it barely changed at all. Just a small wobble.
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