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I assume they just left the ceilings and augmented in the 1/8sm. But yeah, with 70mph gusts and heavy snow and blowing snow I’d guess the ceilings should be obscured. lol

There’s maybe 2” left here . Grass showing under a few trees

I am hoping the warm bump makes its way east. Right now the Temple mountain ranges says no, but I think it will see 35 or 36 for an hour or two. Still 32.7.

Fortunately since it's the holiday season, there was an extra heavy load of empties to weigh things down. 44F, windy

Ha, just coming to post. Models suck

Today’s Euro Weeklies came in colder in mid to late Jan: 1/12-18 a week ago: 1/12-18 today 1/19-25 today:

Absolutely. If nothing comes of it…just bad ju ju. Nothing you can do. But we are solidly in the game. And that’s all anybody can ask for. We take.

Sick

GFS has 4 chances for snow and a fifth being a fantasy coastal at the end of the run. Just an OP(ens look good as well)but we are gonna have plenty of opportunity. I like the look

Ditto. Some piles from shoveling. Otherwise gone...

It's about that timeframe where you start to see some ensemble members show fantasy storms for great patterns. And they are starting to show that. There are lots of big hits. The ensembles have been lighting up.

Think the banter in here yesterday and this morning has been a bit restless and ridiculous to be honest. While there have been a number of rug pulls and pattern reversals over the years, seeing a window of opportunity line up in the mid-range with practically every index close to/in the correct quadrant is exceedingly rare. The beginnings of the NAO retrograde westward and Western US ridging are within the next 3-4 days, it is not a distant pattern change still in lala land. Getting the pieces to align and timing perfect so southern stream energy doesn't get squashed/sheared or that a phase doesn't only occur well offshore will ALWAYS be a struggle. We're hunting for a big dog coastal, it's a fragile balance. The stigma that we need a DGEX type solution every suite to overamplify every shortwave that comes through for us to feel confident...is irresponsible. We had plenty of rug-pull back then too, we just don't remember it as well because we hit more frequently than we have in the last decade. Look at the Euro AI if you want to feel something...three coastals in a row for the rough timeframes we have had pinned down for the last few days: 8th/9th, 10th/11th, 14th/15th. I expect the ensembles to start lighting up over the next few days at the least with some potential positive solutions.

Greenfield never got above 34° so it should be full and frozen snow cover tomorrow.

Kinda odd to have 3 layers with vis at 1/8 SM. Would typically be a VV situation.

Fluff no match for 47 and rain here. We start over.

We are still wall to wall, with some hollowed out footprints. Looks a little beat but intact.

At the 30,000 foot level, the EPS, GEPS and GEFS ensemble means are far more similar (for 95, inland and even through interior PA, NY, New England) out to 360 hrs than they are different, indicating pretty good agreement on the general idea of a snowy period with most of this falling after 1/5 (all have <1" for most of the 95 corridor from DC thru NYC and even inland a bit through then and).

Today’s Euro Weeklies’ SPV at 10 mb is even weaker based on mean zonal 60N winds: One week ago: Today: note Jan 12th dip to only 22 vs it being way up at 47 a week ago:

I miss southern sliders. I feel like we’ve just been stuck in this pattern of storms trying to get organized and round the corner at the last second like the Canadian and Euro are showing to different degrees at 12z. Gulf coast got a good one last year, but here north of I-85 just feels like it’s been forever since we’ve seen a good gulf storm get going early and track it in for a couple days.

This rain and supposed warmth hasn't done s*** to melt the snow. Still snow on top of my spare car.

68 mph gust reported in Thurmont.

Heavy icing… chairlifts don’t enjoy it.

Nope, same here in LEW, Pack absorbed it very good, Going to make for a great base now.

The Christmas season is obviously the best time to get a banger pattern with multiple shots at snow, but the next-best option is to have that same meetup during our coldest part of the year. Gives us a little wiggle room with temps and sun angle/length of day are still much more favorable than when we get into mid-February. Loving the general positive vibes right now. We say this a lot, but just being able to track potentially realistic outcomes beats the hell out of wishing a an established crap pattern will somehow flip and turn into a snowy one in our neck of the woods!

Wife said we topped out at 2 inches new snow at the house and from her pics a few mins ago the rain hasn't even melted that yet in the driveway, so hoping this ends up a net gain. Another good band of rain to roll through it looks like then hopefully a Dryslot. Not sure we've lost much snow at all here at the office in Auburn since I got here at 8am.