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The big cutoff low which has become a familiar late May repeating pattern over the last 10 to 15 years.

Confirmed tornado moving through a very populated area near Jackson TN, though luckily it doesn't look particularly strong on radar.

Look like the event is trending drier for Wednesday into Thursday east of I-81?

We can’t blame the WPO for last winter since there was a decent -WPO interval during the Feb 1 to Feb 21 with a solid block in the Bering Sea.This also coincided with a -5 daily -AO which reliably produced KU snowstorms in the past. Very difficult to pull off with such a powerful Northern Stream of the Pacific Jet which gave us a potent Great Lakes cutter at the some time the -AO was down near -5. So another Southeast Ridge link up with Greenland to Iceland blocking. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/synoptic/202502

We've really lost May as a summer month. Been replaced by April.

This sucks. https://www.wpri.com/news/local-news/south-county/fire-breaks-out-at-matunuck-oyster-bar/

Beautiful day in the Annapolis area to watch the Blue Angels!

Confirmed Tor headed towards maybe Duck River

Confirmed Tor headed towards maybe Duck River

Nothing stops lawn domination not even footwear!

If we could’ve gotten any of the colder periods this winter to match with decent moisture it would’ve been a 40-50” snow winter in NYC. Instead we had the roaring Pacific destructively interfere potential setups to death over and over, favor more garbage SWFEs and keep other storms suppressed that could form. I’m not as concerned about the rising average temps (although that’s of course hampering our making any marginal temp setup work) as getting the Pacific to slow down and allow amplified setups in a good location for B/M tracks. We can get absolutely blitzed by a storm or two and end up well above average like in 15-16 despite near record warmth overall. Feb 2016 was also an underrated snowy month around NYC and east.

counterpoint: send 'em up

Gray skies, sweater weather and fall feels in late may. No complaints here!

All good points. There is way, WAY too much focusing by some on how much a temp has risen at any given location than there is to the overall pattern. The snow season spans a minimum of half the year for most northern locations, same as it always has. The key is the pattern, the indices, the storm tracks, the available moisture. Its actually gotten comical how some have tried to push the record snow from a decade ago as being in the far distant past or in a different era.

Stay downstate.

60/45 Summeh.

Found out today my coworkers family cabin burned down due the fires up north. They can’t even clean up until the insurance adjuster comes out which isn’t for another week. Ironically he showed me a picture of unscathed plastic chairs surrounded the fire pit. Nearing 2” storm total precipitation in Minneapolis. Perfect long duration event. Wish it would spread further north.

I was hot last night. Mowed the lawn this morning in shorts and flip flops, lol

I think the more realistic scenario is by the time the decadal NAO shifts to negative (could be 20 years), the global temperature would have caught up with the impacts of the index, neutralizing it a little bit. However, this 7-10 year snow drought is so extreme, that we will probably see a bump when more -NAO conditions prevail.

Don’t thinker hit the fords at high of 71. It’s 62 at 3:30.

Probably less than 9 months the way its been

Storming heavily here with warnings to my south and north.

Tornado warning, Anderson, Knox, Morgan near @Holston_River_Rambler

also less than 10 months away from the end of next winter, though. Creeping up