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Well, it has now been 10 winters since our last KU-HECS type storm, so there ya go! I don't know what the "average" time is between such events, but I think historically it's been less than that(?).

39 this morning with a high of 73 this afternoon. Doesn't get much better than this.

Yeah, bones are lookin' a bit flabby there after a couple of years of retirement ease! Gotta watch how many souls you consume each winter, ya know!!!

Bob Chill's WDI is the primary element that suggests a big snow winter is incoming for the region. LFG!

After a very long year and a half and just seeing if a full recovery would happen, the recommendation was finally made to go the route of a doggy wheel chair. Ordered last month and got it yesterday!

Highs will reach the middle and upper 50s in much of the region tomorrow. It will then turn slightly milder with highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s through the middle of next week. A weak cold front could cross the region after midweek, perhaps touching off a few scattered showers. Highs will then fall back to the lower and middle 50s. In the long-range, the guidance suggests that an AO+/NAO+ regime could develop during the first week of the month. As has often happened with the loss of strong blocking, a milder regime could develop shortly afterward. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around October 22. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.48°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through mid-winter. The SOI was +5.79 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.149 today. The NAO was -1.008.

Old Forge-5 hour drive away but may as well be 5 light years in terms of snow.

Snow line at 2200’-2300’? That’s what it looked like driving up to Costco.

October 2025

Sadly Walt, my inner city UHI coastal plain location may not even see this until we are comfortably into meteorological winter. Even so we will still rejoice when we do. Stay well, as always ….

Our first time in the 30's this fall. Hit a low of 39. Another beautiful day here. High of 69.

Many years but not always. I really don’t give a shit unless it accumulates anyway.

Man, this place is more of a clique than high school...hilarious. Grown men on a weather forum behaving like 14 year olds.

We take. I think.

Low of 37 this morning at GSO, RDU, and CLT

CanSIPS December

Jan/Feb 90 was the highest AO/NAO ever I think other than Jan/Feb 1989. I still think its the record now though 2018 or 2020 may have surpassed it. In general there's been tendencies near the solar max if you have a persistently -AO/NAO in Nov/Dec it can be a problematic issue in Jan/Feb where it swings wildly to be strongly positive. We saw this a bit in 2000-01 too, the AO remained negative in Jan/Feb but the NAO went significantly positive the remainder of the winter.

60 here and the Yellow Jackets are back out in full force trying to get a taste of this delicious East Rock Brewing Oktoberfest..

Think you meant December.

Credit to Chris and Don for bringing this strong correlation to the board’s attention: Whether Dec snow at NYC is 3”+ has been a good indicator of how Jan+ has done since 1980-1: -a whopping 23 of 28 (82%) Dec’s with <3” had <22” Jan+ -but only 4 of 17 (24%) Dec’s with 3”+ had <22” Jan+ So, watch Dec NYC snow closely! Correlation didn’t work before 1980. Anyone know why? @donsutherland1@bluewave

Last October was the 3rd driest on record. This October was the 10th wettest on record with 4.82" for the month. Top 10 Wettest Octobers: 1. 7.08" - 1919 2. 6.35" - 1941 3. 6.25" - 1986 4. 5.98" - 1990 5. 5.74" - 2013 6. 5.65" - 1995 7. 5.54" - 1983 8. 5.46" - 1926 9. 4.99" - 2001 10. 4.82" - 2025

It was a cool, dry October for the Triad. Highest temp: 80 Lowest temp: 37 Coldest High temp: 49 Warmest Low temp: 63 Rainfall: 1.67”, 1.33 below normal Average temp: 59.3, .9 degrees below normal

EURO also has snow