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  2. Ravens94
    Gfs is changing in the NE every run. This run may cut off faster also.
  3. Damage In Tolland
    Solid trends so far kicking off 18 Zed
  4. KChuck
    Mine also
  5. WiseWeather
    NWS still seems pretty bullish here .
  6. wncsnow
    118 members strong! Glad to see the site popping!
  7. UnionCountyNCWX
    Imma read the rest when I have time, but this is the first thundersnow ive heard mentioned.
  8. Chicago Storm
    ready for spc outlooks to be the most confusing thing ever? https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/conditional-intensity-information/
  9. Torch Tiger
    even the ICON isn't budging from it's solution last night. very very consistent with a cape scraper enroute
  10. UnionCountyNCWX
    Someone mentioned it a minute ago, but the OBX are about to get smoked. Not sure if thermals are good for snow (I haven't looked) but man gonna be a good storm down there.
  11. NorthHillsWx
    Ended up falling to 21.2 this morning and topped out at 34.6 this afternoon
  12. JB Fins
    ENJOY! If I were single, I would be booking a rental in OBX and hang out at Lucky 12 or maybe Goombay's (more windows) until the kicked me out or lost power, whichever came first. Oh shoot, Black Pelican, wall of windows and a fireplace at the bar.
  13. Grayman
    He is awful. Bring back the fish. They prefect their job is take model output and turn it into a forecast. Like you said he just reads the Euro output
  14. Snowncanes
    WPC put out a great discussion. A little long to quote so here’s the link. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=qpfhsd
  15. ldub23
    They are rather bullish for SEVA
  16. Winterweatherlover
    The crazy thing is this still isn't that far off yet seems so far given how steady the models have been.
  17. chris624wx
    I've never seen thundersnow. I would die if that were to happen with this storm!
  18. Met1985
    Yup, same here which I'm looking for some higher amounts honestly. Saturday and Sunday the highs are going to be in the teens. Sunday mornings low looks to be negative 2 degrees and Monday morning looks to be about 3 degrees.
  19. SouthCoastMA
    Yes, overall it was an increase in precip for se areas. Will need all guidance to start moving towards Euro by 0z, if the 18z run doesn't fold.
  20. Ravens94
  21. snowman19
  22. John1122
    Whatever model wvlt used showed 4 inches for my area, 5 for Knoxville, and 6-8 east of there.
  23. btownheel
    He seems to add extremely little value. We can all read the Euro outputs as well. .
  24. Amped
    Its essentially just an ocean effect snow event now.
  25. Stormpc
    "These bands of heavy snow in eastern NC andsoutheast VA depict 700-500mb lapse rates >6.5C/km Saturdayafternoon and evening. It is here where not only are 2"/hr snowfallrates achievable, but so is the likelihood for thundersnow. Theintense vertical velocities in eastern NC and southeast VA may...."
  26. John1122
    Yes.
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