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43 right now. Frost seems like a guarantee by morning, the bigger question is will we make it to 32.

Congrats on being retired.

Looking at Oct 1-5 for 2015, 2018, 2019, 2023, the blend actually does resemble 2026 in the East. Its different for the West - but much colder nationally in the composite anyway in both warm and cold areas.

Thanks. Yea, this admin. has killed funding for data......it's why we lost N/CAR1 and the monthly QBO tabular data is no longer updated.

Yea, I found that, but not the super ensemble plot...his data seems to be in flux as he is in the process of moving to that site.

Tomer's newest tropics site https://polarwx.com/tropical/

A bit lower than that but there was some melting over the course of the day. Chilly evening, already down to 31

39°…probably a mistake to not bring the seedlings in… Swiss mins for tomorrow morning here

Gotcha yeah Daniel Boone we definitely will be getting beneficial rain from it that’s for sure but yeah will have to keep a eye on downslope winds from this .

Hopefully we get beneficial abundant Rain from it but there is a very real possibility of formidable downsloping Winds in the great Valley (particularly the central and northern Valley) unfortunately, if the NHC Current Track and 500 MB Structure then is realized.

Seeing a bunch of 44-45’s in my neighborhood. We’ll see how much lower it goes.

So sorry for your loss Buddy. I lost mine when I was 24 but sometimes it seems not so long ago and the pain comes back. Praying for comfort.

Carver, so sorry for your loss. Prayers for you and your family.

I haven't been very active here in the last month or two, focusing all my energy on following the White Sox playoff push. It's looking like picture-perfect weather for the Sox to clinch their first ALCS appearance in 21 years tomorrow. I'll be there today (and tomorrow, if necessary).

Down from 60 to 41.

https://isotherm.rsmas.miami.edu/heat/weba/atlantic.php for updated TCHP maps. Sadly, many of the old NCEP and CPC sites are MIA these days for oceanic and atmospheric data.

Got chilly pretty quickly! 29.5° at Canaan NWR

wishing away? let's ramp that baby up and get a severe LA/MS hit, up and into the OV/NE

I think my Syosset station runs higher with its DP and my Muttontown station has a more accurate DP compared to ASOS stations. If winds are calm I can see upper 30s happening and potential for mid 30s in pine barrens, etc. Syosset has a DP of 41 compared to Muttontown with a DP of 33 currently.

Let’s take her out well south. Watch for east trends next few days.

Anyone have latest links for Tomer Burg super ensemble and TCHP maps? Been away during the CONUS tropical respite over the past couple of years and some of my links seem to no longer be valid....Tomer seems like he is moving his stuff around. Found this one for TCHP, but don't love it. https://cwcgom.aoml.noaa.gov/cgom/OceanViewer/index_phod.html# This was my go-to, hasn't been updated for a couple of years. https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/goos/gliders/images/tchp_conditions_latest.png