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12z gefs has a nice signal Jan 7/8.

Man that is some major league cold spilling into the U.S. at the end of the GFS. Canada is in the freezer.

Euro AI has a very nice storm similar to CMC

Wish I could have lived thru that. Hope to see one in my lifetime

Ec-ai too and a few days later

GEM has a history of detecting some potent northern stream events. It did well with Valentine's Day 2007, the second Feb 2010 event, 1/26/11, and the Valentines' Day 2014 storm.

We can try again few days later.

I get your drift. I don't put the GEM down like some do. Honestly, it sometimes outperforms both the EURO and GFS, especially with thermals.

Ec-ai too!

FYI: Models are waiting for @stormtrackerto get back if you are looking for dark blues on the ops.

If I didnt have to be home on Wed I'd definitely do it.

If we can get some decent blocking the pattern is ripe for a big Miller B.

It's a very generous offer that I'd take you up on in another life where I was allowed to work remotely still... please send pictures! 5ft of snow is out of this world!

I'm personally very confident that the primary determining factor is in what the PNA does post the -WPO breakdown - spanning the 2-5th. If that emerges into a western N/A ridge we're probably going to set something up that's at minimum climo - which means higher ceiling event. If it doesn't ... we don't

Just had a sustained 10-15 second gust that was easy 40+ mph. Yeesh

I was just getting ready to post this. This is close to where the EURO was 24 hours ago.

its a nina but the upcoming pattern isnt really nina esque. We actually got snow in January 2024 during a bit nino in a nina type temporary pattern

I’m personally not expecting it, however it has also been 30 years since the last time a Niña delivered to that level so law of averages may be at play.

i think after the 7th is a bigger storm possibility. All northern stream stuff until then. CMC has had this look last two runs.

May 1st, “severe” weather season.

GEM has been better than the GFS of late. JB has posted this on Twitter, but I don't feel comfortable sharing the tweet or a screenshot because his post is somewhat unhinged.

Winch chills here in Bristol are in the teens. Flurries are in the air. What a reversal in temps.

Eye candy .

That didn’t take long. 52 mph winds.

Yeah. I get it. Really do. But this is a la nina. Adjust expectations accordingly.