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  2. GaWx
    I don’t know whether or not it is clueless, but the new (8/1) Euro Atlantic seasonal forecast for Sept and beyond isn’t as inactive as what the Apr-June versions showed, which were below normal. This new one, similar to the July run, is actually pretty close to the 1993-2025 climate mean for Sept+ with 8.9 TS and 3.3 MH: https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/seaso ... 2608010000
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    That one may have 2009-2010 like potential as we near solar min and potentially continue to relax the Pacific.
  4. LakePaste25
    While I may not agree with the Euro verbatim, it’s a perfect example of how a stronger Nino doesn’t always mean warmer. The August update increased the strength but went cooler.
  5. WxUSAF
    0.5”
  6. kdxken
    Answer honestly. Did someone cut a 350 ft slice in the reflecting pool?
  7. Frankpc
    Half an inch MTD for August, mostly later yesterday. Not that things are drying out ... the dew points are back in the low 70's. Would you like a slice of air? :-)
  8. PhiEaglesfan712
    I wouldn't be surprised if we had a carry over el nino, like 87-88, in 27-28. But it's going to end early, and we're going to get a head start to a strong la nina like in 88-89, in 28-29. It will probably be a one-year la nina, but a very strong one. We'll get the 3rd el nino in the early 2030's, like 91-92 (but probably not with a major volcano).
  9. annunciated
  10. A-L-E-K
    sick, gotta visit athens
  11. mitchnick
    Gotta' love the Aleutian Low at 5H.
  12. GaWx
    OHC is still rising and is now at insanely high levels (>+3), especially for early August! @snowman19
  13. aldie 22
    Yeah that is tasty looking, that makes me wonder what potential that may have for us back here in the Shenandoah Valley
  14. mitchnick
    That range is .5-1C.
  15. mitchnick
    Some WB maps at this post.
  16. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  17. GaWx
    Even the Euro’s 3.4 RONI peaks at ~+3.4 in Nov, which would obliterate the current record of +2.5 set Jan 1982! Note that in switching from ERSST version 5 to 6, the record warmest has dropped at it had been +2.7 based on ERSST version 5. This prog is slightly warmer than the peaks of +3.3 on the prior run (July) and +3.2 on the June run: 8/2/26 3.4 RONI peak ~+3.4 in Nov:
  18. aldie 22
    1.05 lovely!!
  19. mitchnick
    Here's the August DJF temp forecast.
  20. mitchnick
    5H is better this run too. DJF is looking a lot like Cfs2.
  21. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  22. mitchnick
    Euro seasonal a little cooler in the MA and SE. This is for the NDJ period. Can't compare DJF because July's forecast ends at NDJ.
  23. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  24. weatherwiz
    Monday could be a decent severe setup too. Going to be an active several days in the convective department. Certainly going to start seeing some increased flood concerns too. Time to toss those drought maps
  25. FPizz
    Probably. They might hear it on the news or see a headline, but overall I think us here are the only ones that care. The other 99% want to know why their App says 50% chance of rain today and it is sunny, lol. If I had a dime for every time someone brings up their hour by hour weather app...:D
  26. WxUSAF
    If we are that wet and DJF is only +1C, I’d do cartwheels. Especially if it follows Nino climo and most of that positive anomaly is December.
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