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I hate to.say it but the valley might get shadowed a bit

That depiction says it all: any of the variance is in E/W placement. No northern opportunity depicted.

Thank goodness! I never ever thought I would be rooting for that model.

I doubt I'll muster a snow day. Even if if I somehow manage several inches here, my office in Waterville will max at 1-2.

Are you not way out in NW Mass anymore?

West of 0z

I think mt holly is spot on, 10 to 16” in SE PA seems right. 16-24” in Jersey with largest totals towards the coast.

GEFS look even slightly better

Hopefully another 6-12er after this. Just looking for one big one in March to give this winter an A and at least 55 60".. assuming this one works out OK

Nam kutchera is just stupid insane totals. But again has the edge of Ccb in a similar spot to gfs. Western Berks 9" and eastern 26". Kutchera of course.

I'll be better off tracking that one.

GFS also has another big one Friday

The GFS machine is nearly identical, mostly noise if anything. GFS is a tick west and more robust. 15-30 region wide except N/NW MA berks cuts off sharply

Ralph, I too, woke up to go pee BUT, did more than I bargained for, IN MY BED, after reading your initial NAM “poo” post… THANKS‼️

Last night's 6" brings me to 65" for the season. I'll probably finish around average (80-isih) while this storm will make many in SNE score the winter as an A+.

I'll be hitting the grocery store here in Harrington before the peeps wake up and realize what's coming.

Maaan it feels like we are gonna get unlucky with this thing and watch it slip off to the NE while we caught in between with rates not quite enough with the marginal temps. I'd love to be wrong, but looking at 6z so far and the 0z Euro and AI? Starting not to feel it...

I mean you're the glass half full king you stay pessimistic but we love it. We do, uh, have rather big storm on our hands..

The nam was still snowing here lmao

I'd really like to see some more purple across west central and Western Mass and parts of eastern New York. This qpf cut off is vomit worthy.... We're going to have to have some deform magic or its ar tic sand and pictures from the south and east to look at I don't know if I have ever seen the models hammar home valley deficits so intensely before....every model has it so its got to be right.

6z gfs is noise level change im terms of track. However it did cut back totals a smidge. How far west that CCB gets is going to cause chaos. Verbatim with kutchera, western Berks get 7" and eastern gets 2 ft lol. Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk

remote learning school..

Congrats up there. This reminds me of something from the '07-'08 playbook.