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it's a tick, nothing too exciting so far

We are so back

Any movement west is still something. Bit by bit.

Need another model on board.

Very minor tick west.

I live near the state line and looking at that map. It don’t have a warm noise effect this time on the mtns. It looks like a cold column for snow.

18z comparison?

So what I'm reading this could be 17:1 ratios meaning .50 = 8.5'' .60 = 10.2'' .70 = 11.9'' .80 = 13.6''

Early on, it is a hair west of it's 18z position, small but something

Nope

It is midnight lol

WB 0Z EURO AI is a whiff; comparison to 18Z

It’s quiet… euro running. AI out to 36 looks the same

Euro AI tick east

Currently colder at WXW1 than WXW2.

Yeah it’s odd. I’ve been consistently around 5 degrees warmer than any model has shown. Just for example tonight, the 0z NAM, GFS, and 18z Euro all had my area at 14 degrees at 1 AM tonight. It’s currently 20 and hasn’t dropped in at least an hour. I just find it odd that it seems like all the models across the board are in agreement on temps and are all wrong.

It shall determine if we truly have a storm or not

It has begun

Just checked 700 and 850 temps on the most aggresive runs and we're nowhere near the danger zone thank god I would have ended it

If I'm not mistaken, airport observers clear the board every 6 hours. Is that your understanding?

glad you fully explained your reasoning

On that note, it is bedtime.

This thing is going south. This has southern mid Atlantic and Boston/Cape special written all over it. Not one model is being “stubborn” showing us in the heavier snows. This is not our storm. Will the precip shield expand as we get closer? Sure, but we are not seeing more than 2-4” from this set up. It’s too cold. I can see the Carolina’s doing well even .