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2 years ago, some creature (either a rabbit or groundhog) got under my privacy fence and snipped off every stem of both my asiatic lilies and tiger lilies. Then they proceeded to eat my hosta like salad. Last year, my hosta struggled a bit but returned, but almost nothing of my lilies came back. I also had dwindling crocuses and snowdrops out front. So this year I bought a pile of bulbs (including 3 different types of lilies) and perennials for fall planting, and have been prepping the patio for winter. So have been busy! This morning's 40F just after 7 am, was my coldest low since April 18. I did make it up to 57 yesterday after a 43 low and it's currently 46 with dp 40. Am watching TS Melissa's wild, yank-to-the-north track and waiting to see if a faux Miller B type thing actually happens to interact with it. Right now, it looks like Melissa would absolutely devastate Jamaica if it rapidly intensifies before landfall as is progged. As it is, it's growing in size.

38.2. Consistent nights below freezing don't look too far off. Seems like the big solutions for next week are disappearing but at least it's active.

Cat 3, 4, 5... Whatever the landfalling intensity is, I'm sure much of Jamaica does not have infrastructure built to withstand major hurricane winds. Really hoping a worst case scenario (i.e. right eye wall traverses through Kingston) doesn't happen.

I have a thing about not turning on the heat before Halloween. I caved these last two mornings.

https://www.pennlive.com/gardening/2025/10/why-it-makes-sense-to-cut-the-grass-short-at-the-end-of-the-season.html?utm_campaign=pennlive_sf&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook&fbclid=IwY2xjawNprDNleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHmGejfIGQOngEoNShNZ9m6W8IdhaAds9AAvuy2O7JeIXGJNaaUilvz1j-8Bn_aem_Nl6m-TjHPnzKBPd3ZK6-Nw

Chilly, but fresh…basically a majestic start to the day under partly cloudy skies.

First frost on the cars imby. Looks like Tipton got down to 32 again.

There was a freeze warning here in Westmoreland a week or two before this one, hence my confusion. I believe it hit it too. Maybe not enough to be considered "killing"?

If a thread creates, it wont be until at least 6PM.. family considerations. I might post a one liner that one is coming, prior to 6P. Lot's of solution spread and that's why the ensembles are so timid. I am pretty sure the ensembles are too weak.

8:27 AM EDT: 986 mb very near H status 943 URNT12 KWBC 251227VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL132025A. 25/12:03:08ZB. 16.41 deg N 074.88 deg WC. NAD. 986 mbE. 195 deg 16 ktF. OPEN SWG. C18H. NAI. NAJ. 167 deg 65 ktK. 067 deg 10 nm 12:00:31ZL. NAM. NAN. 325 deg 46 ktO. 242 deg 13 nm 12:06:34ZP. 14 C / 2460 mQ. 21 C / 2443 mR. 15 C / NAS. 12345 / NAT. 0.01 / 1 nmU. NOAA2 1113A MELISSA OB 14MAX FL WIND 68 KT 299 / 16 NM 10:47:30Z

33 here. Close to the first freeze!

Hard to believe no place in the country is forecasted to have below normal temps

You broke! I broke down and turned on the upstairs zone. Most of my outdoor stuff is put away and gardens cut down, I have some chairs and two outdoor speakers left. I keep those two out there as long as possible and will sometimes hook them up for a day in nicer weekend weather during the winter. Leaves are at least 90% done here, just one more clean up for those.

39.1 my low

24.0 this morning. 12 months ago this morning I had a low of 34. 10 years ago this morning I had a low of 55 with sprinkles.

It’s looking like this MJO wave completely dies in phase 6/7 then re-emerges back in the IO with another big drop in the AAM. SPV also looks to strengthen

I think last nights 0Z Euro run was reasonable - and I think a storm thread should be created if todays 12Z Euro run still shows something similar - at least a moderate impact event and possibly more along the coast which still hasn't fully recovered from the previous storm

McLean got down to 35. I had to head west down I-66, though, and some places reached 30. Beautiful fall foliage as well!

The Google model continues to not budge. Many of its tracks are south of west for the next couple days.

Oct dep with a week to go Through the 24th ISP: +3.0 (2.42) EWR: +2.5 (1.82) JFK: +1.7 (2.02) NYC: +1.2 (2.23) TTN: +0.9 (0.77) LGA: +0.6 (2.13)

34 IMBY, Mesonet got to 31

Recon would indicate a hurricane

Outflow finally expanding to the west. Seems like it’s getting there

Looks to be a 39° low imby

31.3 for the low!! We did it in Western Loudoun. Based on Dulles readings, Eastern Loudoun too. I guess that will end the growing season.