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Still lots of options on the table this far out

We got to 60°! Very cool. Almost more impressive that it was in a driving rain storm. .

At least the GFS lost its “congrats OBX” BS for the 16th. It’s now rightly back in line with all other major guidance. So how this will evolve is a lot clearer than earlier today…

Here's a study from a few years back with a similar goal. How far will my climate shift in the future. https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2019/02/190212120044.htm https://www.umces.edu/futureurbanclimates

As god intended.

yeah...now the GFS is throwing the 22nd at us ... get the f out here with that. i think we've covered just about every date between the 14th and 25th at this point... none of this shit can be trusted - not even standard amount for this range, either. Particularly bad with continuity.

I can school you just let you blow your own horn every thread you possibly can.

You might want to reread the date on that map.

Meanwhile in weather, it's raining out washing the crap off everything...

Those wave spaces are competing with one another. Remove either, boom. Not sure one or the other won't become dominant over the days to come - which one? no idea. But should that not happen, it won't be impossible the we either miss both, or end up with an event that's hardly worth a thread. By the way bro, ignore it

Yep i think bluewave posted that in the main enso thread. Usually it was biased the other way, and this year has been different

I sure hope not.

I posted a map of verification scores a few pages ago, but there's a clear consensus of the Euro flexing the southeast ridge too often in the extended this winter.

I said your red tag confers a cloak of expertise that is not deserved. I.E., Bachelor's degree ≠ knowledge & competence. I stand by that. People should be judged based on the quality of their contributions, not a presumption of expertise.

Right, and then watch it be a monster-east based event.

Hey, I never thought I'd be on the verge of 8 consecutive shitty seasons, but here we are....and for the record, I have utterly pantsed Webb so far this season.

Sorry I misjudged you. Free country and I'm not a mod, but I still think for the sake of the conversation being interesting and focused for everyone just think before you hit "post." Everyone knows the range of outcomes without you stating the far fetched obvious. ✌️

this is literally full of condescension and yet, you are going to say that i was being insulting after you said that my degree was undeserved and unearned. I am going to stop responding to you, as I do not want to clutter this thread, but you should look at what you're doing here. it's really not cool

Oh yeah. They phase in the wrong place at the wrong time for sure. A Miller A is a blind dart throw. Inland runner, cosstal runner, benchmark…my bust memories are miller As.

If one is a CT to Scooter special and the other one pounds MHT points north, I am absolutely going to be sectioned.

You mean when DCA almost reached 80 degrees in Jan? I seriously doubt it happens this time. Feburary, maybe.

We will rebuild. .

my understanding is the storm can phase too far east or north....seen that more than a few times.....jan 2015, march 2001....they were still good storms, just not for us....i did get 7 inches in jan 2015 though, and 6 in feb 2013, which felt like a win after that winter....if those were miller b's....

Could we see a 2024 style warmup if it verifies? Or will it get muted once again?