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Unfortunately that's a red flag to me. Still, we're at 72hrs out. Patience!

Just one damn time...

1/22 12z GEFS Total QPF mean - storm Total Snow / sleet (10:1) : LP Mean lean

pretty impressive this is still so high.. Isn't the NBM a blend of the GFS, GFS ensembles, NAM nest, and Euro/euro ensembles?

Watches are up!

You called it, I am already hyping this up to close friends. All snow this time !

Very very rare do we see everyone from the HV/Catskills down to SNJ receive a uniform amount of snow from a biggie. It’s almost certain they are gonna get skunked with taint

Thanks! I wanted to put on my meteorologist hat for that one. Now back to my regularly scheduled snow weenieing

A southern weaker low will be a huge factor too. If it drives into WV the majority of us will flip soon after sunrise on Sunday. If the transfer happenes down in TN/KY We should get less mixy

I agree. We are going to flip last. Concerned about the glacier that is coming after the snow though. It's going to be a mess.

NWS point and click is showing about 11”, for whatever that’s worth.

Yeah, next weekend has big potential.

He is right. The Euro is doing a piss poor job of handling the sleet aspect of this. The sleet bomb idea is real.

I long for the days of a storm like this...uncomplicated Miller A

This... I mentioned this after Mitch posted the 6z UK ensembles...the UKMET 10-1 snow maps counts sleet as snow so they are inflated on the southern end. Can't compare them to other models that don't do that...it gives the false impression the UK is further south than it is...if you just look at those maps...which you shouldn't anyways

I think you are thinking of 2/13/14….the 2/5/14 storm was much more of a SWFE with a latitude gradient south of SNE.

Ralph (or anyone) can you pull up the 12z GFS snow numbers after this run? I'm getting Quagmire vibes again.

You are going to be about 19 miles due north of me...I'm counting on you picking the right spot!! ENJOY!

I knew this thing would correct back to the SE…oh crap. That’s next weekend.

since we are in storm mode and this is pretty much the banter thread til next week.. Both storms here

There appears to be another threat next weekend. Something to track

Hey that's my storm, so I should get it lol. Been saying big potential in that window for coastal storm.

Remember what Carver said yesterday. Be nice...

Risk here is primary handoff to coastal and slotting. I think coastal areas, especially Jersey and ELI have a period of sleet, but the slotting on Monday with primary handoff is a tricky feature. Should still be a very solid event, just a mater of top end

Guess NWS-Boston has seen enough, Watches are up.