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EPS likes Friday more than Sunday.
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It'll have to be SHARKnadoes...so that @stormtracker can break out JAWS for us!
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Well looks like I might be mowing starting in January this coming year. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Great Snow 1717 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Play your cards right and I may be able to get the Methuen DPW to sign the postcard! -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I don’t see severe happening either. I see it staying near average temp wise & rain to chilly rains at times. Which I will gladly take over severe wx any day. They can have the tornadoes out over the open plains where people don’t lose their homes or lives. -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
WestMichigan replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The end of the Euro and GFS couldn't be much more different. The Euro has Western Ohio is in the upper 20's on 12/24 and the GFS is saying low 60's. Definitely la la land for both, but a large difference nonetheless. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Yea, validation of a seasonal is a great post card, and a very appreciated gift. -
2025-2026 ENSO
donsutherland1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Alabama. After Georgia routed Alabama, he’s feeling the pain. -
Last one for many round here.
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The Pacific hates us. It seems to always find a way to screw up everything for us. -
2025-2026 ENSO
TheClimateChanger replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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So I can expect tornadoes or snownadoes still?
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What happened to @LibertyBell? Has he posted recently?
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Ya think? Lol
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14 for my low and wonder if any records got set. i think ive had some winters where i never got to 14 for the entire winter
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Even the Euro aloft might argue for more QPF being wrung out a bit further inland...not an uncommon model bias for all guidance in keeping thew QPF too close to the low-level thermal gradient. It's why I think that run was pretty good for SE MA despite most QPF being centered over Cape/Islands. But yeah, that could get juicy pretty quickly if you displaced the PV lobe even 75-100 miles west.
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psssst.....360 hours is not at range
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12 Euro gives us light snow with light accumulations Sunday morning. Still several days away, so who the heck knows at this point.
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Kentucky replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
We desperately need the ridge and blocking to link up. And while I haven't totally given up on winter, I'm becoming less optimistic each day. -
After a big drop yesterday of 7%, natural gas prices are again sharply lower today (down 5% for a 2 day total of 12%) on warmer E US prospects for at least late this month. It’s very rare for NG to drop that much in early winter with cold looking to dominate for the foreseeable future, which as we know is not at all the case after about a week of intense E US cold per model consensus. Week one’s intense cold is already built into the price. It’s usually changes in prospects for week 2 into early week 3 that drive daily changes in NG prices. That’s because week one is normally already priced in and typically doesn’t jump around too much. And beyond early week 3 is usually too far out in fantasyland/too little forecasting skill that far out to have too much impact.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Duca892 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
12Z GFS could not possibly look any worse lmfao -
Huge swing between 0Z EURO and 12Z EURO at range. Christmas weather still TBD.
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Guys wait we can't sulk up the northern sub gangs thread. This is your moment enjoy it guys
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Yep, trying to ignore that for now and enjoy the next 5-7 days. Hopefully WI/MI can cash in on the event later today and tomorrow.
