All Activity

Western side continues to tighten and tighten. Feel really good about my 4-8in for the Lehigh Valley and 6-12 from bucks to Philly

Me. Currently 56/27 after a high of 63. But in all seriousness I hope this works out well for you all. I love heavy, wet snow that sticks to everything. Reminds me of the January 2022 storm, during which I was in Fredericksburg, VA.

I feel that hype Im this forum has definitely died down with these 12z and 18z trends despite everybody being concerned about global and not close range models because “it’s too far out”-dad but I think meso models should definitely carry more weight than globals although nice that the euro ticked north and increased qpf. Nice gfs run at 0z and Nam and Reggie and hrrr do are good everybody will say we’re back!

Move to Towson or Owings Mills and you'll have infinitely better snow climo. Miles matter down here.

Okay. Then stop posting for a couple hours if you can’t handle the model to model changes and nuances in your front yard. Enjoy the full experience and wait it out before jumping ship.

Gfs is so deceiving. Look at the snow map. It's just if not MORE robust than previous runs. NYC is at 17 and 10 miles south is at 27. The northern and western extents of heavy snow are the same. That run really is just like before and in the NAM camp. .

Man I gotta take a break. This is putting me in a bad mood, lol

Rap da da Rap they call me the Rapper

Why is there so much whining in the main thread? Literally nothing has happened yet!

For reference…

Weenie flakes here. Won’t pick up additional accumulation but it’s been off and on all day.

How am I getting carried away?

Now, that's NJ....

EPS ensembles keeping a slightly further west cluster compared to 12z based off MSLP. Looks to reduce far eastern outliers as well. Don’t have precip output

Yeah I know. Imby sport of course...

Who is ready to wake up to heavy rain tomorrow?

BITCHIN’ nachos, man.

We need to take advantage of the clear skies for temps and avoid LWX suddenly upgrading us to a warning before the event as that’s usually the kiss of death.

Yes Euro Gfs Canadian and UK type models at this lead will smooth things out. What is happening upstairs at 500 is all that matters. Now we move towards to dynamic models to track banding, temps crashing from aloft, and thundersnow. Quite frankly we are about done looking at Gfs Euro Icon Uk Candian models. The tracking is about to come to an end time to watch the water vapor map radar.

it’s a huge improvement for me and a bunch of other people though.

This was a 2010 Boxing Day type victory for the GFS

Nam will calm down tonight or show 4 feet. Either is on the table

My all time greatest melt

This seemed like mostly noise to me. The precip field in general shifted northwest albeit slightly but the slug of moisture wasn’t as apparent towards PHI