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I received 7" in Syosset on my snowboard (white azek board). I'm sure I could have gotten 8" plus going around my yard with a ruler into the ground.
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I was too young (about a year and a half), but the weather records show that the January 1990 average temperature was 15 degrees warmer than the December 1989 average temperature. That type of temperature jump is something you see from March -> April or April -> May. You don't see that in the dead of winter. It's like spring began in January that season.
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah. I still have this Upper Respiratory Virus. 12 days so far. Dr says it has now led to a Sinus and bronchial Infection. So, yeah would be a nice break with a mild period and more moisture in the air. Be careful out and about folks. Alot of nasty stuff going around. Dr even said the regular cold virus is stronger and harder to shake than usual. -
just have to hope the -NAO doesn't hook up with the SE ridge
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
ChescoWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
With this week's snow event across Chester County PA we are now up to 9.9" of snow so far this season. Through the end of December our typical average snow total is 7.1". So, what could this mean for our snow totals by the time the final flake falls possibly as late as April? Well to date this is the 36th snowiest December with records back to 1893. Below is all 36 years along with where we ended up for seasonal snow that winter. Of note 25 of the 35 years or 71% of the time we ended up with above average seasonal snowfall. Average seasonal snowfall ranges between 32" to 36" across the county. The overall average snowfall across these 35 years was 48.4" of snow. The greatest seasonal snow was the 95.0" that fell in 1898-1899 and the least was the 17.1" in 1912-1913. For Team Snow you should feel fairly good that we end up with above average snowfall this season. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
With this week's snow event across Chester County PA we are now up to 9.9" of snow so far this season. Through the end of December our typical average snow total is 7.1". So, what could this mean for our snow totals by the time the final flake falls possibly as late as April? Well to date this is the 36th snowiest December with records back to 1893. Below is all 36 years along with where we ended up for seasonal snow that winter. Of note 25 of the 35 years or 71% of the time we ended up with above average seasonal snowfall. Average seasonal snowfall ranges between 32" to 36" across the county. The overall average snowfall across these 35 years was 48.4" of snow. The greatest seasonal snow was the 95.0" that fell in 1898-1899 and the least was the 17.1" in 1912-1913. For Team Snow you should feel fairly good that we end up with above average snowfall this season. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I will say one thing. The flu is gaining strength in some areas. The blessing of any warmup would be to get people outside some, and get some air. Flu and cold outbreaks go hand-in-hand. I don't think the flu shot has been working super well this season. I will take a chinook over a house full of kids with the flu!!!!! -
I do really well in early season events when I can push the ruler a few inches further into unfrozen ground. The tall grass is just icing on the cake.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
One can enjoy the deep winter with weather chart drama ... One can embrace the surreal warmth that obliterates winter. There may be no sense for loss in either experience. Either can be fulfilling. I realize we all have our druthers. Most would agree. Yet, it's interesting how those agreeing folk seem to take actual offense at other's. Like it's the stranger's responsibility to be sensitive to one's posting mood, or the flavor of the moment. It's a weird pastime. All these social media are. Fucked Book to Instacrap, OK Stupid to who knows what dating app ... and this, too. There's some sort of an emptiness issue that permeates the souls of modernity. And all this "state of provision" that we take for granted. You know .. it's almost like the law of lessening returns also hits when we look around, and should see how it creates so many choices, yet they are lost in a blizzard of opportunity. Irony how overabundance seems to empty out minds. People would rather then "faux-fill" their gift of brief time for their lives involved in this intractable preoccupation. It's lost because there is no value in gains unearned. If you work for joy, you find it there. Modern experience removes too much of the work. No joy. But the mind still seeks it... so we create the illusion of it in the back and forth of this electronic game.. It all comes down to managing dopa. People can't get it from their lives, why? who knows ... something like boredom from above. But it's easier to seek immediate satisfaction of a dramatic weather-chart cinema. Failing that, they seek it in the group modes of the moment, which are often spontaneously occurring bi-polar flashes of perspectives - how things are so bad, then not so bad this and that. Meanwhile, the more objective viewer sees 0 difference before and after. And then, if some hapless sort wonders into the moment with their particular druthers, and it's not in sync with that mode, they were then irresponsible for other people's delicate sensibilities while were enjoying their dopa .... than they're buzz killed like a swarm murder hornets. This is kind of a toxic relationship. Not the people mind you.. But this pursuit, thinking to fulfill something that cannot ultimately be fulfilled this way, yet keep repeating the same performance -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
A little dated (from the spring), but I chanced upon this today and I think it's quite relevant. This lines up with what I've been seeing - the common adage "the wet get wetter" just doesn't seem to be accurately reflecting the conditions on the ground. We've now had several years in a row east of the Rockies (the last couple extending all the way to the coast) with fairly extensive drought. While annual precipitation numbers might not be too far from historical means, enhanced evapotranspiration seems to be drawing down surface and ground waters. -
Tis true, there's nearly always more in the yard than on on board, especially early in the season. Its even better if the ground isn't frozen yet, you can get the snow ruler to dig into the mud a bit. Winning.
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Blocky gfs run
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Blocky gfs run
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
colonel717 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
All we can do over next few weeks is hope something pops up as models/ens don't have much in the way of snow opportunities. We still have some possible snow showers Friday after the front goes through that maybe can whiten us up briefly after the big melt down on Thursday/Friday. Also Canadian looks to try to pop a little something on the 22nd but fails. So something possibly to watch. Also, something I noticed this week. Looks like Tidbits is way ahead on Pivotal on getting the GFS run out. I always thought Pivotal was ahead of Tidbits on that. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Golf757075 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Carver, no doubt we need a pattern reset. I hope that will be enough. It has been colder than normal this month, which i hope we can continue that to some extent in January. Typically niñas favor my area, but not every time -
The Niña is going to reach its peak soon. This is the coldest reading in region 3.4 we’ve seen for this entire event
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We’ve gone above freezing for the first time in 22 days at MSP.
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Lansing has records back in the 1860's which had some very cold winters. So I looked at how this year compared. Impressive to be sure. 15.63 1868-12-01 1868-12-15 1 1 1 0 16.93 1867-12-01 1867-12-15 2 2 2 0 17.20 1917-12-01 1917-12-15 3 3 3 0 17.20 1876-12-01 1876-12-15 3 3 4 0 17.33 1895-12-01 1895-12-15 5 4 5 0 17.53 1958-12-01 1958-12-15 6 5 6 0 18.47 1976-12-01 1976-12-15 7 6 7 0 18.70 1904-12-01 1904-12-15 8 7 8 0 19.33 1989-12-01 1989-12-15 9 8 9 0 19.43 1864-12-01 1864-12-15 10 9 10 0 19.77 1893-12-01 1893-12-15 11 10 11 0 19.90 2025-12-01 2025-12-15 12 11 12 0 Here's what MRCC has for Detroit 19.57 1958-12-01 1958-12-15 1 1 1 0 20.03 1917-12-01 1917-12-15 2 2 2 0 21.30 1876-12-01 1876-12-15 3 3 3 0 21.37 1976-12-01 1976-12-15 4 4 4 0 22.07 1895-12-01 1895-12-15 5 5 5 0 22.10 2025-12-01 2025-12-15 6 6 6 0 22.30 1989-12-01 1989-12-15 7 7 7 0 22.63 1937-12-01 1937-12-15 8 8 8 0 22.90 2005-12-01 2005-12-15 9 9 9 0 22.97 1893-12-01 1893-12-15 10 10 10 0
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
This is kind of what I am talking about. Two cold fronts are now firmly present right in the middle of the Chinook. Originally, it was torch city. I wouldn't be surprised if some didn't see a snow shower or flurry from this. The 12z GFS won't be as cool as the 6z as it gets bogged down(guess where?) just after 200. -
Don’t remember the torch. Remember the cold though. It was brutal
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I don't think so. Today: 2 weeks from now: Still on our side of the globe and not too far from a widespread cold snap that could extend at least a couple of weeks down this way in January. Yes, it's one ensemble run, but the source/placement of cold air hasn't really changed all that much from run to run.
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They also had a climate where their September was like December is in the Holocene. Back to school in snow gear?
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And @IrishRob17 thought i was joking when i said i keep the lawn higher for the last mow for that reason. Snow sticks to the top of the grass, i bury the ruler all the way to the frozen ground underneath, can easily inflate my totals another 2” sometimes lol. of course on the flip side is the guys who poopoo 1-3” snowfalls saying “it wont stick on the roads we wont get that much the models are wrong”…because we measure on 42nd street apparently.
