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I hope we can get the storm to go up the coast a bit more or even tuck in instead of kicking more out to sea when its gets up close to nj it just exits right

GFS looking more amped early on

yeah, starting to feel ike there is going to be a period of slop.

Feel like the soundings drops definitely influenced things last evening and the extremes have leveled out. It feels like 6-8in+ and slop for most of SEPA

ICON with another great run at 6z.. gets sleet to.the south coast though

FZRA potential is likely going to be limited over the coastal region (as is typically the case). But that C/ETX ice storm potential (even some thunder ice/sleet) is looking real. Seeing all the parameters tonight on both Euro & GFS. Which is gonna make this extremely interesting to watch this weekend. 'Pretty deep incoming SS trough in the state with lots of mid-level energy overspreading the northern half, at least. H7 temps mostly => 0 C is the prime factor that's likely going to keep this from being an all-snow event over the eastern half of state. And even H5 temps aren't looking cold enough either ahead of the trough.

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If the current evolution holds, there will definitely be a dry slot that quickly shuts off precip. Euro has it coming in almost immediately behind the initial thump.

All the caveats apply to the long range NAM, but it's got the sleet line up to the M/D line by 18z Sunday at hour 84 and quickly moving north. Much more significant CAD at 850 keeping things colder in that layer, but 700s above freezing. Still though, all of SE PA already has 0.7-0.9" QPF before any flip to sleet. Places further north would thump for much longer, the coastal transfer was occurring

Just got to leominster.. probably 3 or 4 here.. looks.like we just missed a good band at my house

Models are looking good for the Eastern Valley. Manageable ice. And what does fall is heavy rain into near freezing temps so most would runoff. We need the rain. And even though I'm pretty much burnt out of tracking storms this winter there is still time.

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Area wide watches are up.

Not very often that you see winter storm headlines cover that much real estate. In NNE, those are actually extreme cold watches. Impressive.

I say wait until it’s snowing in northern Mississippi next Friday first

Icon trending back our way ever so slightly. .

Hearing on the other forums, euro with a huge dry slot? thoughts?

Almost every OP model has the same general look for the 31st-1st as our block retrogrades south. .

F*** yeah,! It's go time, men. She's coming to papa.

1.6"

Measured 2". Nice little event.

For the following weekend?

Feb 2014 on steroids?

Warm nose apparent on the ICON at 06z - ugly depiction and a big step back from OOZ

Toggle navigation Watches, Warnings & Advisories 2 products issued by NWS for: Goldsboro PA Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 206 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 PAZ026>028-034>037-041-042-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-222145- /O.NEW.KCTP.WS.A.0002.260125T0300Z-260126T1800Z/ Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon- Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Laporte, Mifflintown, Berwick, McConnellsburg, Lewistown, Mansfield, Mount Union, Huntingdon, Lebanon, Shamokin, Chambersburg, Pottsville, Hershey, Trout Run, York, Lewisburg, Lancaster, Harrisburg, Selinsgrove, Wellsboro, Carlisle, Bedford, Williamsport, Danville, Gettysburg, Newport, Bloomsburg, and Sunbury 206 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow with significant accumulations possible. Snow may mix with or transition to sleet in southern PA on Sunday and Sunday night. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From Saturday evening through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be difficult late Saturday night through Monday morning.+ PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1 or visiting 511PA.com. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit weather.gov/StateCollege Banghoff/Bauco Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 211 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 PAZ026>028-034>037-041-042-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-230715- Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga- Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland- Adams-York-Lancaster- 211 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Brief rain or snow showers are possible overnight and could lead to reduced visibility. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. An extended period of frigid weather is expected Friday into next week with sub-zero to potentially dangerous wind chills. Saturday morning and Tuesday morning will be the coldest. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. $$ US Dept of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service 1325 East West Highway Silver Spring, MD 20910 Comments? Questions? Please Contact Us. Disclaimer Information Quality Help Glossary Privacy Policy Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) About Us Career Opportunities View in Desktop Mode