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  2. mitchnick
    Don't worry, they still look the same.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    You managed to inadvertently elicit one last sneak preview of my favorable window this winter before I go radio-silent to work.....WATCH THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE KUROSHIO CURRENT AND KONA LOW OUT IN THE PACIFIC CONTINUE TO GROW
  4. mitchnick
    Wow! 12" in 1969. We had 5" that ended in zr just south of BWI. But it was great nonetheless. I remember it well. (at my age, remembering 57 years ago is easy....it's 57 minutes ago that's the problem )
  5. LakePaste25
    Can see where the MJO is heading (solid black loop). By mid month it’ll enter 6-7-8 and constructively interfere. This mid month period is when we should really watch whether we start to see a full blown N Pacific wintertime nino pattern show up on the ensembles. On a side note, i highly recommend this site (https://ncics.org/portfolio/monitor/mjo/) for MJO tracking this season because the RMM plots won’t be much help due to the sheer magnitude of the Nino signal overwhelming the RMM mean.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    More like Greg Oden up here.
  7. GaWx
    Absolutely that can happen with how E based it is progged to be! This is especially the case for Feb as the CFS has been showing. I’m expecting a very mild Dec and a mild to NN first half of Jan. Then the fun times could really get going starting late in Jan and especially in Feb and possibly continuing through early March.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    This.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://www.easternmassweather.net/2026/10/el-nino-grows-historically-powerful.html
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://www.easternmassweather.net/2026/10/el-nino-grows-historically-powerful.html
  11. dryslot
    Tom, That first pin has a bit more color then the last several years, The one to the left is still mostly green, Genearlly they end up pretty dull reddish/brown and go to brown and hang on to most of the leaves until spring.
  12. LakePaste25
    Hence my post about it being “somewhere between the Upper Midwest and Northeast.” A wet coastal pattern doesn’t preclude this happening elsewhere especially the upper midwest, and that region is so cold that they don’t need 60s and 70s to do that.
  13. stormy
    The 1960'S was a "wild and woolly" decade !!! 3 Christmas Day snowstorms. 1962 6 inches, 1966 6", 1969 12" It hasn't happened since.
  14. weatherwiz
    Two trees we have in the front yard had some amazing vibrant colors...mostly yellows. Both the trees though have pretty much dropped all their leaves. One I think has fully dropped and the other like 90% dropped. I don't really know tree species but its interesting because these are legit the only two trees in the neighborhood which have not only fully changed but dropped leaves.
  15. Paleocene
    I did not see a thread for this, so, here we go. As of 10/21 along the fall line in lower Montgomery County near DC, we are still mostly green. Maples are changing color but not yet peaking. Poplars really got roasted by the mini-drought and lost a lot of leaves or are brown/crispy (they're yellow in good years). Oaks are still mostly green. Here's a sweet gum tree in a local park that is usually vibrantly red and orange but this year is more muted. The white pines are entering full needle drop around the area, too. Photo taken quickly and carelessly on my smartphone. Post your foliage pics and reports here!
  16. BlizzardWx
    What could be interesting is if el nino forcing indeed is summarily shoved eastward could the typical warm anomaly that sits over the Great Lakes be pushed far enough east that we get more cold air into the US like the CFS is showing? We could also get the moisture from having an active storm track into the south like you would expect in strong el nino. So I am not saying I am buying it, but just wondering out loud on what it will actually mean. Does shifting the forcing east linearly shift the pattern? That isn't always the case either.
  17. Keith Central PA
    If you look at December 2015..it was a dry month, which I doubt it will be this year..There was just a few days below normal...several days in the 60's and 70's. That's really extreme if you ask me.
  18. WinterWolf
    Weather and step down has been superb…picture perfect autumn so far. Last year was good also.
  19. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  20. Interstate
    Yeah I used beta only for off runs of the Euro... they gave it to us for free.
  21. LakePaste25
    I disagree. There’s a decent chance that someone between the upper Midwest and Northeast is going to get a +10 December. Sure, not everyone, and it all depends on where the MJO is at in a month.
  22. kdxken
    Yep, and now back to our regularly scheduled best October ever.
  23. mappy
    It’s been in beta for a while, was using it last winter in beta. You get use to it
  24. Gordo74
    This stretch of weather is the longest I've remembered where there hasn't been a cloud in the sky and it's been severe clear for such a prolonged period with a locked in pattern.
  25. Today
  26. Keith Central PA
    A near normal December is not happening, but neither is a +10..Acutally anybody would take normal snowfall at this point.
  27. frd
    Seems we might have a + NAO October, I believe thats a good thing.
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