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Some clown maps from the short range Hi Res models

Close enough got time for the shift to euro like solution.

maybe others did as well but I mentioned I think on Monday that the models were looking rather squally associated with that arctic front. May even be WINDEX sounding but I didn't particularly look.

Today’s MJO forecasts: 1. EPS is once again very steady and has a 15+ day long phase 8, the longest winter phase 8 in 50 years: one couldn’t place it in a better position for the entire 2 weeks for E US cold lovers GEFS has been more jumpy than the EPS from day to day: today it still has a 9 day long phase 8, which itself would still be the longest in winter since Feb of 2019’s 9 days:

@usedtoberejoices

Well, the Euro shows the max possibilites, NAM in the middel, coming north a bit and GFS...whiff to the south. Sigh

It kept it at 06z but appears to be on an island by itself. NWS doesn’t even mention the possibility in their latest discussion.

These more often that not have some sort of wintry precip ahead of them. Sometimes even more widespread than guidance will indicate too.

buy a small snow maker for your yard. Plenty of cold coming.

Hi Res NAM is too slow and weak with the precip and its mostly rain for NC folks. It was slightly better than 6Z though.

S MD into C VA win for NAM Twins on 12z suite

Don't read Tip's post for your own sanity. Unfortunately, makes too much sense.

yeah, was going to ask the same thing. Can't edit my own tab for same reason.

Yes that's a powerful Arctic front

3k similar and south.

Did you get anything last night?

grok_video_2025-12-03-09-27-15.mp4

I’d be happy with just an inch or two to help this weather frustration/ depression . If we can’t do that over the next two weeks in this pattern , something is very wrong

Last year we were able to get 1-2” small events right before Christmas, which was better than zilch but looks more likely we’re going to waste this cold for anything more substantial. Our best shot given the lightning fast pattern is likely something along those lines. An offshore redeveloper would probably form too late for us, and we can’t get the pattern to slow enough for a more meaningful s/w to turn the corner. I’m not optimistic for this cold snap to produce snowwise but we’ll see.

Cold over the weekend. Single digit lows

Gets some -SN into DC metro by 54... but most of the good stuff is in C VA.

Regular NAM still keeps it a Nc/VA line north event mostly

Did someone mention about snow showers tomorrow? Wouldn't be surprised to see some heavier snow showers move through, probably mainly up to about 91 though and far NW CT, as well as SNH into NE MA