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  2. Other than 2023. March has been dead locally. It’s the new slump month.
  3. It seems like November is the better winter month than March lately.
  4. You are definitely snowman19 or related. Another troll.
  5. And yet JACKASS i was more right with my calls than a few on here. Move along
  6. March in the lower Great Lakes is a painful place to live. Inbetween the goods. Warm beautiful weather south. Wicked snowstorms north. In the middle….is just trash!
  7. Idk, just took a quick glance and the system itself seems ever so slightly north.
  8. Looks like there'll be a death band somewhere in MN that gets 20"+. Outside maybe a foot. Tough call for MSP.
  9. Bounded weak echo region is another thing that came to mind, but I would think it would have a lot more lightning.
  10. Yeah I know that's what I been using for years to find all the products for the archive, probably the most active bookmark I have. BTW I credited all you guys for your help at the bottom of the archive main page
  11. not really north. you get that illusion due to the changes in the precip field, which is caused by different interactions aloft.
  12. ICON almost looks like a nonevent lol. Parts of Wisconsin still get slammed, but it's without a doubt weaker and north.
  13. you said "definitely a cool start to spring". really hope you're trolling, otherwise you just appear to be mentally challenged in some capacity.
  14. 5.5" today. May be bigger than this big dog. Waiting for GRR's overnight updates but from the APX latest for Gladwin east of me, another wet 3-5" seems reasonable unless things really shift south.
  15. Today
  16. Love your Flickr photos. You sure get some interesting weather up there!
  17. To my relatively novice eyes the 0z NAM run looks primed. Lapse rates, decent enough cape, and ofc insane shear.
  18. You can search them by date here https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml
  19. I can’t handle the stress anymore. My nerves are shot. I’d go if others are in charge of driving and navigation / radar monitoring. I just want to be able to take footage.
  20. Huge difference in E IA between NAM and 3K.
  21. NW trend took me out of the ice and put me in the severe risk. Most likely elevated storms over a cold surface layer yet again. Don’t need any more heavy rain at the moment. Pre-greenup season really amplifies the effects of precip anomalies. Too dry you get fires, too wet you get floods.
  22. That is insane for synoptic wind! After long stretch of mostly uneventful weather, this March has been anything but boring.
  23. I'm fairly well convinced that the recent SPC changes have fundamentally altered the way higher percentages are given out. So much so that most of the SPC climatology is going to have to be tossed / step-changed. Arguably for the better though! SPC Forecasters have repeatedly said that the % were under-done due to the way the rubric was constructed. That's why things like NadoCast and PPF's were always markedly higher. New 30%D3 is the old 15%. And that's good! I think it better conveys the actual risk. It's just going to get some getting used to.
  24. Crazy to see the hatched area include most of the marginal risk areas as well.
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