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I'll take 0.5"

+2-3 std +NAO on long range GFS ensembles

And it wasn't even that warm. Plus no rain either. Just the power of the sun

Well mid month guidance has shown a return of winter fwiw https://x.com/i/status/2028181023901553072

I think people lose track of when some of us are trolling and when we’re not. On the last page…I was goofing around and trolling. A couple weeks ago, when the worst of the cold lifted out, a few of us mentioned the worst of winter was behind us cold wise…I think Scoot may have thrown out a back broken too. But it was just in reference to the time of the year, the extended temp outlook for the rest Feb, and climo. But I don’t recall anyone saying snow season was broken.

Yes, but April concrete slop sucks. I’ll take the moisture, but its not the same as a deep winter storm.

Hit a high of 54 and got in another bike ride before the cold returns. Its a nice afternoon to sit in the sun w drunk in hand.

Sun angle

Seems like temps for today busted high, was forecasted to be 36F and sitting at 42F

I just don’t want a complete miss south stank on the upcoming rain and warmth.

It seems like its hard to get a handle on what’s gonna happen over the next few days. Pattern change.

Ugh.. yup. My hiking season is coming to an end until the fall. I'll do some local hiking but nothing big. The crowds are back. I enjoyed the glacier. I was the only one out for weeks.

mm.. Brian makes a good point on that. well, firstly...the whole "season's back broke" thing is both stupid, and my fault. I'm the one that first proffered that metaphor back 15 years ago. ... I remember doing so, and have regretted having done so, ever since. Because people don't use it within the restraint of objectivity; they abuse the use and/or there is no consistent definition of what that is. Mostly, whomever doesn't like the season at hand cites the back broke sentiment at least excuse to do so which isn't the purpose of that either. When I first said that years ago, it was in deference to the 'pattern of summer' breaking down. There are certain climo pattern return tendencies for each season. In august, we typically do so the first signs that it is teetering. This is sensibly revealed by not being hot(not being cold) all the time in summer or winter, respectively. What's skewing matters is CC ( also) because we are observing summer looks in Novembers, and winter looks in Mays. It's why I regret ever starting that meme saying. It's like backs are healing for more hefting. In this case of winter 2026 and what Brian's sort of intimating there, a big blocking episode was ending in mid February, and folks had March right there in their foresight by then, so it seemed just as good a time. It just so happens we tucked a historic storm in there. LOL

Nope

57 here un Hawthorne, NY

If you look at satellite, you’ll see the most perfect example of the Catoctin cloud factory. Hardly any other clouds around except along/over the Catoctin’s. Still a fair amount of sun today (cloud factory is waning), though kind of a sneaky chilly compared to yesterday. Not looking forward to tomorrow’s temps, if I’m being brutally honest. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19&sector=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12&dim=undefined

My St Bernard Husky mix today trying to navigate the heavy deep wet snow. From his paws to chest is 18 inches. Bottom is still icy. Always check him but he is a beast not bothered

Hey Mitch, thanks for doing that. You could go ahead and delete this post if you’d like.

WB 18Z HRRR

Don, I may have missed it, but will you please be posting an update to your winter index (the exact term is eluding me) post? Am curious to see where our area lands currently with last week's storm baked in.

It's got to be one of the fastest meltdowns ever. Snow piles are mostly what is left. WX/PT

Got a hair under 3” yesterday. It is melting very quickly today under full sun

C'mon some people were certainly referring to snow when they mentioned the back of winter being broken..winter involves more than just "cold"..

Neither the gfs or euro have an inch of snow? .

No one was talking about snow.