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74.5/41.5 with wall to wall sunshine (like everyone else). Trees are probably 80-90% leafed out now and with 7.14" of rain this month, everything is a brilliant green.

51 this morning, 88 this afternoon. Wish we could keep these low 50 degree dews.

The Burlington to Wilson Sahara: https://x.com/nwsraleigh/status/2060427868295885014?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g

Hrrr says attn @ineedsnow

Violent winds.

Birch bender for some?

Can’t beat cool crisp 50s at night followed by a nice dry 80ish during the day. locally we hit 48 earlier and then got up to 84 today. Lovely range.

Been the same here the past couple of days. Lots of lightning yesterday evening, storms all around...and .01".

June 1922 is the driest June in the books for Chicago with .12 “ I hope we don’t break that record.

HRRR is waking up tomorrow and choosing violence.

Congrats on the new house my friend!

Just curious- what do the 30 commas represent? Wouldn't a simple full stop suffice?

Looks on target to me

Looks like it’s somewhat east of guidance

More rainfall on the way.

This is a fascinating little critter.

Line of carnage heading into VT. Will hang here tonight and await Phil here tomorrow morning. Hopefully head north with trees toppling on 93.

Ending a beautiful day strong with some hazzzzzzyyyyyyy NEIPA at crooked crab.

We are not going to really feel the coming El Nino until Oct. - Jan This period will almost certainly be wetter than normal. Other stuff is a crapshoot,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

Last year March - October was all +AO monthly, 8/8 months. It looks like this March - June will be starting off +AO, 4/4 months. Edit: It looks like a east-based Nino/-PDO Winter composite, when rolled forward. I always like 2nd points to the same probability.

Tomorrow will be unseasonably cool with highs only in the middle and perhaps upper 60s. Temperatures will return to the middle 70s on Sunday. The first week of June could also see temperatures average somewhat below normal to near noraml. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around May 20. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.72°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.83°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -33.46 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.130 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 52% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.3° (0.1° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

New York Post posted an article about Mt. Rainier possibly erupting: https://nypost.com/2026/05/29/science/most-dangerous-us-volcano-mt-rainier-could-devastate-60000-residents/ This is probably the only thing that can prevent another temperature jump from this upcoming el nino. Remember that Pinatubo erupted in mid-June 1991, ahead of a robust el nino.

I'm wondering if TAO/Triton will pop a +8c in the subsurface in the next few days, as it continues to warm. It's really taking on a Strong east-based dominance.

@LakePaste25 This is what you were talking about the other day with true, classic low frequency El Niño forcing (standing wave) setting up and sinking/subsidence over the IO and Indonesia for a change….