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Roger that Suzook!!!!

FWIW the CMC has a history of being on the north side of the guidance at this stage.

May have to save that kuchie map on the GFS lol

12z UKIE puts the hammer down

Im over this weekend storm. Let's look to the feb 1 big dog!

Ill predict that euro will also go north and mix

Yep, it seems to have "found" the cad a little better now

GFS goes nuts on West Virginia. Bullseye of over 50". No way that happens.

12z UKIE close up snow maps 10:1 KUCHERA

finally a storm truly worth tracking

It pretty much is on the gfs and icon. That definitely puts a ceiling on this. Not that it won’t be good

Just an absolute mess anyway you slice it really going to be an inconvenience for most of next week

1040 HP vs 1005 LP... and the 1005 LP destroys it?? nuh uh

Not to bog down the rush ... it's fun!! But this period of time between really the 25 and Ground Hog Day has been in the indices for 10 days at this point. The greatest "non-linear" support has been 29/30/31 ... Feb 1 is still part of this total window, and could also be tapping into the background constructive interference. I want to start a thread for this, because I don't have a problem with well above normal/climo confidence for this particularly system. It would actually help it if the 26/27 event evacuates out of the synoptic scope sooner rather than later.

The wall of high pressure is still there. The difference is the trend has been towards more energy ejecting and a more phased amplified system which will attack that thermal boundary with WAA and press it north more...how far is the question. Before guidance was showing a less energetic phased system which wasn't going to really move the thermal boundary much and just slide along it. This has more upside but more fail potential also.

Oh damn.

I had mentioned a few days back i liked the 02/01 period.

Roof collapse thread time

UK is more like 8-16 before a flip for our forum.

Seems like solutions are converging on at least several inches to start, so the first step in this competitive sport seems to be nearing completion. Next step is where the primary low ends up.

Ukie is a much different evolution as compared to 0Z. It does mix with a little sleet but is still a big hit.

Some of y'all on I-40 could get bailed out by sleet vs several hours of freezing rain. We'll see. Problem farther south is that the warm nose is strong and thick; so, that's freezing rain.