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  2. We were looking at Puerto Rico or the USVI. But then the reality of us wanting to do new flooring made us put the hold on.
  3. And the pattern regression once the warm-up comes around the 10th or 11th is quite remarkable. Last week it was looking like wall to wall cold during the month of February with some chances here and there for snow but now it’s going to be bone dry until the middle of the month. And at that point, the temperatures aren’t as cold as they have been and we might run into some temperature issues. And even if we stay relatively near average, the rest of the US will be torching similar to the late December through early January pattern. Overall, very bad trends this week.
  4. The late Dec event ended up on the low end of expectations here despite no sleet and of course 1/25 there was plenty of sleet here too. Suppression sucks and the lack of real opportunity for snow going forward sucks too but we've at least capitalized on a good window during cold enough air and got the snow to stick around. The last three good for shit winters couldn't make that happen. Probably the best we can ask for until the perma-Nina, warm western tropical Pacific regime changes. Honestly today felt great outside for a change and I'll welcome a warm period if it won't snow. Maybe end of Feb or March will bring more snow chances. We know how March 2018 turned out-not expecting that again of course but maybe one or two decent snow events before the end.
  5. Wild that we are under average for the year. In terms of impact, this winter has been way above average. The snow not has not melted for 2+ weeks so it feels like a heavy snow winter even though its statistically not (Especially so if you live in a city and have to park on the street) Are there historical records for total snow depth added up daily over a winter? I wonder where this winter stands.
  6. HRRR only goes out to 7PM Wednesday night but has a little snow. Both the NAM3K and HRRR did well with the last system. Nam3k is a little wintry mix but mostly north of wake
  7. Even a few 1" refreshers would have gone a long way during this period. This winter has clearly been better than the last several, but the two sleet events have tainted the vibe in NJ relative to areas east (NYC/LI) and north (LHV).
  8. Toledo was 30.25 degrees from Jan 1-16, and 11.3 degrees for Jan 17-31. The average temperature was 21.1 degrees which was 6.4 degrees below normal. Fort Wayne was just 4.2 degrees below normal. (That's kind of because Toledo's climatology is oddly too warm...) The large Greenland blocking toward the beginning of the month was correlated with some warmer temperatures here (as discussed.) Then, the really cold air came in when the ridge developed in/near Alaska. Of course, we ended with a large block west of Greenland that helped the polar air stay over us. (my loop of 500mb anomalies) https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Jan_2026_500mb_loop.html
  9. That was an epic cold spell. I lived in Virginia Beach and we dropped to -4. It was the coldest ever recorded there. Record still holds I believe.
  10. I refuse to get invested til Euro shows something real. Doesn't have to be the right placement just something real which all of the other models had for this past weekend.
  11. Newark had a high of -1 on January 10, 1859.
  12. The major indices on 1/31/26, the day of the majority of the storm, were near ideal overall: - strong +PNA: +1.4 - strong -AO: -2.9 - weak -NAO: -0.5 - moderate -EPO: -1,0 - moderate -WPO: -0.7 - MJO: moderate phase 7 (I had thought it would be phase 8)
  13. Sublimation of snow is the process where snow changes directly from a solid to a gas without first melting into water. This can occur under certain conditions, such as when the air is dry and sunny, allowing snow to disappear without turning into liquid water.
  14. Maybe we get a decent snow after the weekend rug pull
  15. This little warmer reprieve will make the weekend cold sting that much harder. Have to see if models moderate it but could be the coldest weather of the season.
  16. 0z Nam just dropped 6 inches this thing has legs... Lol
  17. Nam is outside its range but really good run. We shall see
  18. 12 in Tamaqua, but 7 at work when I was handing the truck over to my night shift partner.
  19. If we could get a few legit cold days before and after this event, it would make this winter a solid B if not A-.
  20. I could have got some killer shots from the bridges this morning, but old Yardstick is absolutely terrified of bridges and heights beyond a neurotypical's understanding.. I tried my best but fear and the resulting low blood pressure wouldn't let me walk out on the bridges more than a couple feet before my Visovasal sinscope would attempt to knock me out cold.
  21. NAM super amped, pretty legit storm NE NC and SE VA
  22. Gotta love the new weeklies after the couple days of moderation right back into BN but this time with AN precip. Looks like the gulf opens up with some SWFE.
  23. Alright kid if you're gonna share Beethoven then you HAVE to listen to Beethoven too--it is a requirement
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