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The 12z Euro is bringing it. Good 12z suite again. Winter storm on the Euro and upslope on the CMC.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
You’re out of the loop and have no feel for the weather and pattern. Put the phone away for a few days and open it back up at the airport. Get your head right -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Maybe the 13th it gets better? -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Hoping to bring the SE ridge with me -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Enjoy your vacation…Wtf are you doing posting here, when you’re in a tropical paradise? -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
There’s no torch . Deal With It - Cosgrove -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
45 or 55 who cares. Crap pattern until mid month. -
He is right. Whats so confusing?
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Jebman - looking good out west. Wish they'd ship some of that white stuff to the MA. If you have never skied the Alps before, you gotta give it a try. In Zermatt you can ski 2x the max vertical available in N. America in one run! Nearly 18K of vertical in two runs from the top to bottom. Yea, the snow is generally better out west (wrt to quality of the powder). The amount of vertical and steepness of terrain in the Alps is worth the trip.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Man you are confused -
The 12z Euro is pretty close to something for Jan 13-14. Too warm though for most places other than NYC and points NW, but it does flip over to snow on the back side for NW suburbs.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Every warmup mode is showed has failed since autumn. This no different. A few days of 40’s then right back -
Wow. 11-15 day model forecasts have been terrible this fall/winter. Terrible.
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I don't think it needs to...7 at halfway decent amplitude will do just fine to constructively interfere with the development of +TNH. -
It only takes 1 big coastal to get to around normal in many places. Euro has a big west based NAO forming.
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think March will be good. -
Euro shows an opportunity mid month .
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Ensembles really appeared to have overdone the warmth over the east US around the mid month period. The sings of an east coast trough are appearing around 1/11, which is a solid few days earlier than expected a few days ago. That will likely shorten our torch from 1/5-1/10, before a more favorable pattern reloads. I just don't like seeing such dry and mild conditions across south, central, and west US. They have a lot of ground to make up. Midwest and northeast are the only parts of the US that have had any meaningful cold or snow whatsoever this season. Even with the east coast trough, unless the pacific slows down enough to give us a big coastal, everything will be dominated by the northern stream. That means it'll take a lot of little events to boost us up towards seasonal average. I'm a bit skeptical
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
AWT.. there is no torch Back to snow threats by late next weekend https://x.com/bostonwxconsult/status/2007504924343779764?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg -
Euro and AI show this. Alot of potential .
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
That is bullshit....watch. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
That is the pearly white dong to the promised land. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yup.
