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  2. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  4. pawatch
    26 for the low this morning. Bumped the heat on…65 in the house.
  5. ForestHillWx
    32/26… looking around other stations, not as uniformed in terms of lows. Local inversions happening with the cold sinks?
  6. dailylurker
    We won't see a frost in our region until December lol. Not even cold here. 42
  7. kdxken
    Cold start at 26°. It'll be nice to get back in the 50s today.
  8. Modfan2
    Down to 27F here with frost.
  9. WxUSAF
    Meh
  10. snowman19
    The 30C warm pool is actually at 140W. I disagree about the MC. I think the MC is going to be a complete non factor this winter. As @GaWx showed, the MC/IO has been non-existent since this event started in the spring, totally unlike 23-24 and 15-16. I think it stays that way. We also have classic +IOD forcing showing up now
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  12. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  13. WxWatcher007
    Narrowly escaped a big time hit.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right....about 150W....that is what was in the MC previously. I have a question for you guys..name me all of the El Niño events with a very warm Kuroshio current east of Japan like we have now....then, once you do that, do me a solid and eliminate the ones with ample MC contribution and let me know the ultimate list. I think the folks whacking it to subsurface erotica need to remember that absolutely nothing operates in a vacuum...not even the most intense El Niño in history.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    We don't know how it's going to work out....maybe it won't end up mattering and the eastern convection will dominate for a 1997 replica, but I think ignoring alternative outcomes is silly. You can't just pretend the dual forcing isn't there on modeling.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    2015 and especially 2023 had the warmth enhance by the MC convection and 1997 had one clean convective node the east. I don't feel like you are being entirely consistent in that you obsessed over the MC activity in previous seasons, but now you ignore that warm pool since it's in the central Pacific.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Literally no one said that......arguing for competing forces to emerge mid season and claiming something is "more important" are two different statements. It's not a matter of something else "trumping" the El Niño, but rather how other factors interact with it and the rest of the hemispheric landscape.
  18. Chinook
    Crazy day for temperature
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's because the El Niño forcing is the only game in town right now .....as the season goes along, it's going to get some competition from the west that 1998 didn't have once some of these gradients steepen. I never debated intervals of record warmth...but it's not going to be wall-to-wall. The first half will be very mild and that will not be negated...no way.
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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  26. dmillz25
    43 here
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