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- Past hour
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Should be big.
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I see that big-ass 1050mb HP, where would we LIKE that to set up so that suppression is lessened and yet is close enough to keep the cold air around?
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So, i'm at 129...Euro started moving things along...GFS still kinda loligagging back there and surface still has the suppressive look..maybe a hair better, but not much
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
winterwarlock replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
On snowy Saturday mornings on a little kid in the late 70s early 80s i would either do an open face grilled cheese, Swanson chicken pot pie or Campbells Tomato soup with rice -
At 117, is that a 1050 hp in southern Canada?!
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Supposedly the official AI version will not include ice in snowfall output. Ice will be included in the total qpf due to (according to the Euro office) it is global, and the grid resolution is too large to correctly show micro climates that determine ice. If a site does it, then it's using a program to determine the graphic.
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Huge FWIW but it's slightly less supressed
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Stroud is lucky on that 3rd down play that it wasn’t another INT. As badly as he’s played, they’re still somewhat in the game.
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Let's goooo. Give me a little south shift action and another Jan 21-22 2025
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
sussexcountyobs replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Temp down to 27.9° Snow starting to pick up a bit. -
I gotta think the 18z GFS is gonna be more north on this run just based on where it is w/ Weds's look.
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Sw is def further west than 12z GFS...precip breaking out in the middle of the country like last time, but still has that smooshed suppressed look so far
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January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
RedSky replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
It never ends light to moderate snow 27F The better rates arrive at dark -
Light snow and 30 in Cloverly MD
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
wasnow215 replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Snow covering grass and car tops here in Moseley/Magnolia Green. According to radar should end fairly soon. -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
BoulderWX replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
A lack of any conviction lol -
Just for January...How has Euro verification faired in comparison to the Euro AIFS? I feel like the Euro did well w/ the system along the coast today. It locked on a more coastal solution and didn't budge despite the more amped GFS. Also, where can I find verification scores? I can never find it...even with Google! The Euro is almost always tougher mid-winter.
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January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
CoolHandMike replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
My salted areas are now caving. This is awesome. Bonus round! (Didn't think it'd make it this far inland) -
Gotcha. What changed in an hour? I’m legit curious
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Yeah, I think this is about the ceiling for this storm, at least in Easton, you and points east could luck into something a bit heavier
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Finally made it to 32, radar also looks much improved in the last 30 minutes. I'm at 2.1" between today and yesterday so far.
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2.8" on the day (snow board cleared after morning brief lull). Moderate snow now. Temp 30.9
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AI gfs is another hit for next sunday with very cold temps
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That Euro AI run had me in the 20s with something like 1.5 inches of qpf, mostly ice I assume since 850s were screaming.
