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Now, if you want to argue that there won't be any cold, that is a different issue....but you time that track with a polar high, and there would be a major snowfall across much of Mass//CT/RI. Is that capture that far south and tug back to NJ ideal? No, but I'm not claiming it would have been 2/6/1978...it would have been a major winter storm.

Way out there but euro ai has had a number of runs recently that spin up a big storm in the D11-13 range and brings in cold air behind it. Probably would be first freeze chance for IAD and NW burbs if something like that happens.

Records: Highs: EWR: 91 (1959) NYC: 90 (1941) LGA: 92 (1941) JFK: 88 (1997) Lows: EWR: 33 (1965) NYC: 36 (1881) LGA: 40 (1965) JFK: 36 (1965) Historical: 1836 - A second early season snowstorm produced eleven inches at Wilkes Barre PA and 26 inches at Auburn NY. All the mountains in the northeastern U.S. were whitened with snow. (David Ludlum) 1941: The maximum temperature at Richmond International Airport was 99°F today the highest temperature ever recorded in Richmond in October. (Ref. Richmond International Airport - KRIC) A strong tornado hit the east side of Kansas City, MO. 4 people were killed, including 2 people in a house that was blown intact for 700 feet and then destroyed. 130 homes and buildings were destroyed. Damage totaled $250,000 dollars. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1952: Sleet fell at several locations, making it the earliest documented winter precipitation in Arkansas. 1956: Hurricane Flossie causes tide damage along the VA bay area. (Ref. Daily News Record Newspaper - Harrisonburg, Virginia) 1963: An unseasonable heat ridge extended from California to the central Plains, Great Lakes into the Northeast. Record highs for the month of October included: Waterloo, IA: 95°-Tied, Chicago, IL: 94°, Decorah, IA: 94°, Elkader, IA: 94°, Dodge, WI: 93°, La Crosse, WI: 93°-Tied, Fayette, IA: 91 °F. Other daily record included: Kansas City, MO: 95°, Des Moines, IA: 94°, Concordia, KS: 94°, Lincoln, NE: 93°, Omaha, NE: 93°, Moline, IL: 92°, South Bend, IN: 92°, Sioux City, IA: 91°, Columbia, MO: 91°-Tied, Madison, WI: 90°, Peoria, IL: 90°, Rockford, IL: 90°, Springfield, IL: 90 °F. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1981: An airliner flew into a tornado which had just lifted off the ground near Moerdijk, Holland, causing one of the wings to fall off. The resulting crash killed all 17 people on board. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1984: The temperature at Honolulu, Hawaii, reached 94 degrees to establish an all-time record at that location. (The Weather Channel) 1985: A tropical wave, later to become Tropical Storm Isabel, struck Puerto Rico. (This name was retired after the Isabel of 2003 that hit North Carolina & Virginia) As much as 24 inches of rain fell in 24 hours, and the severe flooding and numerous landslides resulting from the rain claimed about 180 lives. (Storm Data) 1967: A Canadian weather record one-day rainfall of 19.3 inches falls at Brynnor Mines at Ucluelet. 1984 - The temperature at Honolulu, Hawaii, reached 94 degrees to establish an all-time record at that location. (The Weather Channel) 1985 - A tropical wave, later to become Tropical Storm Isabel, struck Puerto Rico. As much as 24 inches of rain fell in 24 hours, and the severe flooding and numerous landslides resulting from the rain claimed about 180 lives. (Storm Data) 1987 - The western U.S. continued to sizzle. Afternoon highs of 85 degrees at Astoria OR, 101 degrees at Tucson AZ, and 102 degrees at Sacramento CA, equalled October records. It marked the fourth time in the month that Sacramento tied their record for October. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Cool Canadian air prevailed across the central and eastern U.S. Toledo OH reported a record low of 27 degrees. Limestone ME received an inch of snow. Warm weather continued in the western U.S. Boise ID reported a record high of 87 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Temperatures soared into the 90s across southern Texas. Afternoon highs of 93 degrees at Houston, and 96 degrees at Austin and Corpus Christi, were records for the date. Beeville was the hot spot in the nation with an afternoon high of 101 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1994: Storms quickly became severe as they moved into western Iowa. Monona and Crawford Counties were especially hard hit. There were numerous reports of golf ball size hail and one storm produced baseball size hail over the Ute area of Monona County. Baseball size hail also fell a short time later east of Soldier. As the storms moved east, high winds were the major problem causing some roof damage. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1998: A tornado struck Ferris State University in Big Rapids, injuring seven students. Another tornado moved from northern Isabella County into southern Clare County, damaging several homes. Total damage with the storms was more than a million dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2002: Late evening severe thunderstorm developed and affected the city of West Odessa in west Texas. This storm produced large hail to the size of golf balls. It also resulted in a damaging downburst, which destroyed a couple of mobile homes. Further north, severe thunderstorms produced golf ball size hail and damaging winds across portions of southwest and south central Oklahoma. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2013: US South Dakota Blizzard 100,000 Cattle Killed!! Most Costly in History KEVN TV in Rapid City S.D. headlined on October 7th, "Ranchers suffer serious losses in blizzard," and said that ranchers "found cattle huddled up along fence lines, along creek bottoms, and in road ditches, all dead. Silvia Christen with the South Dakota Stockgrowers Association says she has talked to ranchers who have lost 20% to 50% of their cattle." "'This is absolutely, totally devastating,' said Steve Schell, a 52-year-old rancher from Caputa. 'This is horrendous. I mean the death loss of these cows ... is unbelievable.' Schell said he estimated he had lost half of his herd, but it could be far more. He was still struggling to find snow-buried cattle and those that had been pushed miles by winds that gusted at 70 miles per hour on Friday night. (Early Blizzard in South Dakota) 2010: A significant severe weather event struck northern Arizona with at least eight confirmed tornadoes. This event will go down in history as the most tornadoes to hit Arizona in a single day. An EF2 tornado was on the ground for 34 miles, ranking as the longest-tracked tornado in Arizona history. 2016: Around a half dozen tornadoes struck Kansas, including an EF-2 and EF-3 in Saline County. 2016: The center of Category 4 Hurricane Matthew passed within 100 miles of Miami, Florida.

52 / 38 off a low of 40. Coolest day of the next 7-10 with highs in the low - mid 60s and lows dropping even lower tonight 30s in the coolest inland areas and 40s into the coast/city. Moderates a bit Wed before Thursdy is the warmest of the next 7-10 days mid 70s to perhaps 80 in the warmest inland NJ. 10/6 - 10/7 : Cooler than normal first 40s possible city 10/8 - 10/13 : Overall warmer : rain 10/11-10/12 10/14 - beyond : near - above normal

It’s been pretty breezy here all morning since I first went to let the chooks out. 43° and SCT skies. Not sure we hit 55° here today. We tend to drop 25F on rad nights so I start worrying about freezes imby with highs 55-57°. So the potted plants will have to come in tonight.

overnight low of 40. it took longer than usual this year.

Need shoulder strength to use your thumbs? Lol

Heat kicked on

was 40F around 6:30am

Nope.....much of SNE would have been buried on that track....it got captured and backed into the Jersey shore before drifting up to the cape post-occlusion. Your portrayal is disingenuous and makes it sound as though it barreled over the Jersey shore and straight into CT or RI.

Only took until now for the wind to start gassing again.

Only for Northern New England since it tracked directly into the Jersey shore.

Storm track of the nor'easter last week was nice.

Yesterday had a nice fall feel to it.. in person was so much better.. my phone usually doesnt take great pics!

92L is very clearly organizing this morning with a robust and cohesive flare up of thunderstorms overnight. Organizational trends today will be critical as to whether this system manages to take advantage of the more favorable conditions present before shear increases later in the week. A lot of the weak models keep this thing disorganized for 48 hours whereas the stronger ones really start ramping up by tonight/tomorrow morning

Very impressive Southeast ridge in the means since March. So just a continuation of the ongoing pattern. Very 1997-1998 type storm track forecast with the tropical low lifting north from the Gulf through the East into early next week. Sometimes these October storm tracks are an early indication of what we get during the winter. But this is a much stronger east based event than that one was.

This morning was the coldest morning across the area since last spring. Below are the low temperatures and the date we were last this chilly.

This morning was the coldest morning across the area since last spring. Below are the low temperatures and the date we were last this chilly.

Actually this is funny. The incorrect temp is coming is as -13.9C/-17.8C which is 7F/0F. And the correct temp is apparently 7C/0C. So something is getting screwed up with the ASOS units setting.

92L in the Bay of Campeche is looking better today with deep thunderstorms and appears likely that a Hurricane will develop later this week, possibly early this weekend in the Gulf. Hurricane models suggest landfall along the Central Gulf Coast with Google Deep Mind ensembles clustered further East near the Florida Panhandle. Rain chances do look to increase over the weekend locally.

39 awesome walking weather this morning

They’re augmenting the obs now. Human observers ftw KMHT 061053Z 32008KT 10SM CLR M14/M18 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP173 T11391178 $= KMHT 061053Z COR 32008KT 10SM CLR 07/00 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP173 T11391178 $= KMHT 061153Z 33007G13KT 10SM CLR M14/M18 A3000 RMK AO2 SLP179 T11391178 53014 $= KMHT 061153Z COR 33007G13KT 10SM CLR 07/00 A3000 RMK AO2 SLP179 T11391178 53014 $=

The ridge is transient and in response to the tropical system. Nbd

October zzzzzzzzzzz's