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You described insanity

The biggest bust was the Feburary 4-6, 2011...

Pretty heavy squall coming through here now. Maybe 1/2 mile visibility.

You could argue it never bought into the deep ULL traveling south of us for 1/15 when the other guidance was trying to show it. It turned out more correct. But that wasn’t nearly as high stakes imho than this one. This one is definitely more of a fundamental difference. I’m skeptical AI will score the coup but this is a good test.

For now I’d toss op gfs.

Gfs op all alone on an island . Buyers will lose

There is a 1% chance euro is not OTS. Thread done.

As long as we still have the RGEM, I'm not giving up! Who knows more aboot snow than those hockey-playing, beer-swilling, donut-eating, tuque-wearing Canucks??

It was a decent 20ish hours of digital viewing. Back to regular schedule BS.

look at the timing difference between the CMC and the GFS....it seems it is a totally different system with the CMC

A little east and weaker but serviceable

What's everyone so upset about it wasn't supposed to snow here on Sunday/Monday anyway right?

And regarding AI coups-have there been any systems where there was such a difference between op and ai?

I swear and i actually am getting to the point of believing this but until we have anything with southern stream interaction i just don’t think the foothills can score with any of this NS crap

Well unless something changes it looks like im driving to Wears Valley from Charlotte for the weekend (not snow related) just to miss the snow at home lol. I am also rooting for the NW trend with you guys.

GFS officially has nothing for Sunday. It joins almost all other model guidance aside from RGEM and AI-GFS in having snow offshore, but nothing for our area. If Euro follows suit at 12z, that's the nail in the coffin

I'd kill for that...been several years. Let me know when one shows up.

So far gfs op is the only one that misses. AIs. CMC are hits. Reel it in folks. And fear of AI in this arena is illogical.

Yeppers. So is the life of a Snow lover in the Tn Valley, lol.

Ai gfs is still nice. Cmc still showing a few inches

There's still a good chance this hits coastal NJ to LI pretty solidly. The GFS-AI still has half an inch of liquid in those areas. The GFS will probably bounce back west a bit at some point. There is synoptically a lot of room for this to come west. Jan 11/12 2006 always comes to mind with these types of setups. But I expect this will stay a scraper/coastal threat since guidance is converging on a suppressive height field from the Lakes Region to NYS.

Cmc is similiar to 0z

I was going to ask if you wanted to join me in Florida next week, but the expected temp when I arrive is to be around 28 degrees...

Happy birthday friend! What a great start to your special day. Not sure if you had to go renew a driver's license or something similar...when I have to do that, I go to Brimmer's across from Long's Park. I don't think I've ever waited more than 10 minutes. Usually I'm the 1st of 2nd in line. I haven't been to the DMV in at least 20-25 years.

Ova and there is no next at the moment. Cold tho