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It's virtually inevitable at this point that theres going to be a sig amount of max. temp records (both in highs & lows) broken in the state this ongoinv Christmas week. Not just over NTX or DFW area, but also NWTX, ETX, and probably SETX. Houston area included as even they've already broken a few already this week.

Yes, the speed of flow is a common theme...I thought you meant the overall patterns.

Someone correct me if I'm wrong but the last time the inner burbs/DC really did well in a sleet bomb was like... March 2018? Or was that 2017? I recall playing with my kid in a thick crust of pellets. Anyway, I'll believe the ice accums when I see what temps are around my neck of the woods on Friday during the day. Trying to head out of town Sat AM... will be a slushy passable mess by then on our always busy roads, I'm sure.

Brrrrrrrr. Find Beeks for the report on the orange crop yields from the cold, and we can make a fortune

You're in a primo spot for this one.

Uhhh...errrr...given the RR context, that may not have been the best choice of words!!! Or maybe my mind is...oh, nevermind! Now, back to our regularly scheduled sleet and ice bomb!

Yeah man tighten up!! Lol

A Mainer.

NAM won’t be in range until Sunday

hahahaha.... damn! thought I got one past you. That part of it's a chode tug just cause I was being a dick, but I do see similarities among these years whether we/you/I want to see it or admit or not - and... I don't claim that it is CC outright. I am open to that being the case but more seriously, there was a speed/velocity saturation in the flow every one of these years that is/was/still is near the top of the geophysical ceiling during winter core. There's a reason all these air-land airline speed records have been set in the last 10 to 15 years, for those intercontinental flights over the N Pac and Atlantic. It's because they're traveling in the slip stream of mega jets, where they have to open the throttle and fly very fast to maintain lift ... which requires near sonic speeds relative to the stationary E... It's 200 kt 300 mb wind flow ... you gotta move the 60 ton vehicle at 600 mph to maintain the air-relative 500 whatever mph it is they need to stay fuel efficient ...etc. So regardless of the reason ( CC or the CD ) ... It's probably going to be observable in January ...again. It's based upon persistence for now.

Sure, we all want an all snow event. But mix, taint, dippin’ dots beat 33F and rain everytime!

We snow! some graupel mixed in

GFS likely continues to miss the warm nose at 700mb

Fun with maps...the 18z GFS. We should see these types of runs given the potential for HL blocking. There are gonna be WILD swings as exemplified by the r-2-r map below.

Looks like LOTS of people in the country are going to be *majorly dreaming of a White Christmas this year with this basically off-the-chart atmospheric warmth in store..

Gfs has temps in the 20s for the ball drop in times square and then teens on NYD night in NYC and colder in the burbs Complete cave by the gfs to the euro . Very cold air to begin January with a big PNA ridge. Massive NAO block.

ultimate final boss nut punch is the followup cutter after the whiff to Bermuda

While results haven’t been where we expect them to be…it’s felt like a winter month. MR-LR is starting to look better too, honestly. I think Jan delivers.

Snowing harder than it did all day .

ooh ooh I can help. Image a rope, and your snapping one end ... you'll see a wave move along the rope? that is the linear function/wave propagation. Now imagine that there are multiple wave functions propagating at once. You might have seen this experience in science... but what happens is the waves organize into a patterns that so long as the input force is proximal to steady, will then enter what is called 'resonance' - that resonance is a predictable standing wave event. What we are seeing in the Pacific northern arc out there is a remarkable case of resonance occurring at very large synoptic scale... the NAO that downs stream of that as a secondary resonance node on the "rope".

Shiver me timbers. Trough drops into the East and holds. Slider present. NW flow present.

Hook, line and sinker. Lol

Nice run of the 18z GFS.....