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  2. WeatherGeek2025
    hey guys hope all is well and everyone's enjoying their summer. I was just wondering when do you think this smoke problem will go away?
  3. WestMichigan
    Pretty nasty out there this morning
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe it eventually becomes more east-based given how far east the warm pool is relative to other events, but right now at the surface this is clearly basin-wide and not as east-based as 1997. I have posted the weekly figures. It's similar to 2015. Do I think that this really matters? No, there is so much warm water throughout the ENSO basin. This all screams "variable pattern that is warm in the seasonal mean" to me.
  5. cyclone77
    Vis 10 miles here with deep blue skies. Best climo.
  6. OrdIowPitMsp
    530 was the peak AQI in Minneapolis overnight. Eyes and throat burn working outside in this crap. Good times
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Clearly my early hunch was wrong, as is often the case.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    They are touting the pattern in the composite of Super El Nino events as being comparable to the precursor pattern in SSW events, which when combined with W QBO favors a warming in January or February. While I agree that any warming will be during the second half, I can't help but question why we haven't actually seen any SSW during super El Nino events, despite the similarity to the precursor pattern....then don't address that. They are also focusing on the low arctic sea ice as a big factor to predisposing the PV to disruption.
  9. eyewall
    IF we get enough smoke it may stop us from getting to 100F LOL.
  10. SUNYGRAD
    Crazy high concentrations...
  11. SnoSki14
    Wow really, how pathetic
  12. A-L-E-K
    700! lol
  13. IrishRob17
    Here's the reason
  14. EastonSN+
    I have been thinking the same thing. 1983 and 2016 shows the potential that super ninos bring. 97/98 is the feared example, however, the west PAC water temps are different this year which can help offset the E PAC warmth in terms of MJO. I am actually looking forward to the potential.
  15. Go Kart Mozart
    It's been yellow-orange here since first daylight. No visible sun.
  16. Brewbeer
    that will get fixed too, eventually
  17. Kmlwx
    I'll be out of town on Saturday (still in the slight, but still) - so I expect a massive severe line to wipe out the DC area.
  18. RickinBaltimore
    I swear you could smell the smoke this morning. And my eyes were stinging coming into work. Going to be such a fun day
  19. SolidIcewx
    Seeing aqi of 700 around Detroit. Insane to see whats going on back home in the lakes region.
  20. SolidIcewx
    Thats where im from before coming out this way. It is really bad up there. Got family and friends messaging me on how breathing is making their throats scratchy even after 5 mins outside. Really insane and worse than 2023.
  21. TriPol
    Don't weenie tag me but, boy if we can get a phase between the the polar jet stream and what's sure to be an extremely active subtropical jet stream this winter, it could really get a historic snowstorm.
  22. arlwx12
    Haze showing up at DCA. Current DC air quality listed as 62 (moderate). NWS forecasts air quality to worsen today... ...AIR QUALITY ALERT IS IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY JULY 16 2026... The Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments and District Department of Environment has issued a Code ORANGE Air Quality Alert Thursday for the District of Columbia. A Code Orange Air Quality Alert means that air pollution concentrations within the region may become unhealthy for sensitive groups. (snip)
  23. bluewave
    Looks like the heat shifts to Western CONUS heading into late July with more comfortable temperatures here.
  24. tunafish
    The local mets here were saying that when the front passed by the Ontario fires it caused them to flare up a ton - and modeling hadn't considered that. About 4 minutes in https://youtu.be/K5Y3sW9b4Gs?is=6dEwOaDH-42u7ttl
  25. mappy
    93 yesterday. hazy sun this morning
  26. tunafish
    I wondered about a potential spin-up, especially after looking at CC. Admittedly I am not a pro, though Families location is the dot above Deering.
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