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Coldest for many since Christmas 2022

12 degrees south of ATL this morning. Brrrr. At least there is no wind. Doesn't feel too bad

CFS is a horrid model

12 degrees this morning

CFS

It's very unlikely to play out like that.

Can anyone on here intelligently explain why this may or may not come the up the coast or go OTS? What are the main players on the field here

Can't get over how much fell in part 2 Warning level snows here

I’m not expecting a final solution. Just would like to see a correction away from the out to sea option. A big factor is the storm as modeled is occluding south of us. That’s something else to look for on future modeling.

5.9 degrees this morning. Coldest in many years.

TERRAIN! TERRAIN! PULL UP! PULL UP!

Didn’t even notice another 0.2” on the board this morning. 0.2”/T 15.7”/1.01” final

Low of 10. These next few nights will be the peak of pipe-bursting season, keep warm everyone! Looking forward to seeing if this coastal can't get wrangled in a bit more. Probably not "our" storm but also think the possibility is there for improvements. I would have no issues with getting a few inches of fluff on the western flank if that's what it came do. Keen eyes will be monitoring.

If so, then we just need to continue to see a footprint of a ULL or meso low development. Details can be ironed out. But hoping not for a feast or fathom choice. Speaking for My area in the foothills.

We truly do not want this vort to go digging for oil or it will never get up here.

A+ fantastic call and write up Ray.

hits the cold brick wall. I think it reasonable that it could sit n spin as it does. thatd be a way to get meaninful qpf back this way. If we remember the trends of the last event, anyone sayin its over, should be stripped to undies n thrown into a snow drift.

apologies looks like this has already been addressed.

Should be higher ratios if we can get the moisture.

Im not liking the trends y'all, especially with the Euro and WeatherNext. But its still early. If 12z continues to kick this thing out, then that may be the nail in the coffin especially with how close we are to the event. If we dont get it here, im rooting for yall in Raleigh and down east. Could be a big one for yall

we'll probably get more this weekend? these type of storms usually trend more amplified and stronger! This is what i'm thinking will end up being

All ENS means are kind of a graze with major impacts confined to se MA, except for the GEFS.

so given the nature of the air mass (cold) would the snow ratio being above 10:1 need to be increased for the values shown for the western carolinas or is that already baked into these AI runs?