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  2. metagraphica
    LOL. Ticks will survive the coming nuclear/AI holocaust. Mosquitos fortunately haven't hatched yet, but the black flies are definitely out already. I always notice if we have a mid-April freeze down here that the black fly population is significantly less the rest of the year.
  3. dendrite
    32.3° SKC Black ice GW
  4. powderfreak
    Almost 70F at the mountain yesterday, now this. Some good squalls topping it off this evening.
  5. 512high
    Yes, there are a few breweries in the area fyi
  6. calculus1
    0.02 inch today! Is that a win? .
  7. Yesterday
  8. STORMANLI
    Waiting for the rain today was like waiting for paint to dry. When it did finally get here it felt like I missed a spot as only .07" fell here.
  9. Stormlover74
    We won't
  10. CAPE
    Wouldn't mind bypassing the next 5 months lol
  11. Albedoman
    sorry to burst your bubble or fail to melt the butter on your pocorn. I am still waiting for the major pattern change after May 15th where the sticky comes back and the gulf fetch kicks in. Until then, yes it wil be dry with moisture starved cold fronts passing though every 3 days. The eastern maritime flow is absolultey killing our chances of any significant t storm formation. Western PA has been hammered with nice rainfall the last few weeks with the absence of this flow reaching them.
  12. Stormchaserchuck1
    I don't agree that you don't want the El Nino Strong, as long as it stays west-based. Number of examples is too low, and Stronger La Nina's (opposite) correlate with big SE ridge in the Winter
  13. jm1220
    It would be great if we can finally get some help from the PDO and get the warm bath water out of the western Pacific. That should tamp down the ridiculous Pacific jet but a super Nino will just flood the continent with mild air and overwhelm any other positive trend. We’d have to hope for one huge STJ driven event like Jan 2016 or Feb 1983.
  14. dendrite
    A nuclear bomb wouldn’t kill them, mosquitoes, or ticks.
  15. GaWx
    Today’s Euro Weeklies run is the wettest yet for the SE as a whole for Apr 27-May 3rd with ~1.25-1.75” over much of the area! And as an added bonus, the subsequent week (May 4-10) has a bit of a wetter signal than prior runs had:
  16. michsnowfreak
    I dont really keep track of severe (other than my own daily weather obs), but what I do know is we've had a lot of pretty dull severe seasons, so we were overdue.
  17. snowman19
    Yep good point we are warmer today. And AGW is increasing the frequency of super El Ninos
  18. CoastalWx
    Probably worse here because they’ll be north of a lot of moisture I think.
  19. jaxjagman
    You guys have had a good severe season.Last year we was off to a great start until the strong blocking happened into the Aluetians and Bearing Sea,this typically pulls the jet max further north sorta speaking and our severe went dormant which the OV got quite active.Gensini has a good paper written about tropical forcing with Nino compared to NINA,Im starting to think thatall this tropical forcing into the WP earlier mainly from Rossby Waves is playing a part,but this at least seems to changing in which seemingly a CCKW and a Rossby Wave into the East Pac upcomign for a change
  20. WeatherGeek2025
    i don't how next year we could beat this past winter!
  21. GaWx
    Thanks, snowman. Keep in mind that Paul is comparing to 1997, when global temps were significantly cooler.
  22. Stormchaserchuck1
    ^The subsurface orientation this year is further west than most previous Strong Nino's
  23. Damage In Tolland
    If this is BTV.. SNE should have a solid next 10. Once past Tuesday https://x.com/tylerjankoski/status/2046001622073971018?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  24. BrianW
    I do 2 bags of this every year. Amazing stuff. Bag says its made from waste distillery grains from Portsmouth NH. So most likely from some brewery up there? Its not cheap but I'll spend the extra money so my dogs aren't rolling around in chemicals...
  25. snowman19
    “Interestingly, the 28 Degree Isotherm today is close to where it was around the same time in 1997. The maximum temperature in the basin is higher this year. The west Pacific downwelling wave is stronger this year back to the west, in response to the bigger westerly wind event this year next to New Guinea. The 28 degree isotherm is starting to fold down across the east Pacific.”
  26. BrianW
    Jonathan Green? Thats some high end clover seed. You should try throwing down some of their Black Beauty grass seed. I hear the chickens go wild for it..
  27. CoastalWx
    Man EPS is ugly.
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