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  2. Looks like I missed out on the rain again. .12 total from this morning and this afternoon. We'll there's tomorrow to maybe get some rain.
  3. I can smell the pine in the the air. Derecho alert confirmed. Ah geez nvm it was just the wood floor cleaner. Had a TOR warn up at the cabin. Game cam showed some very heavy rain and wind but no damage as far as I can tell.
  4. Traced back to everything I missed early Wednesday on his account Oh, man....looks like he went out in a blaze of infamy.
  5. Upper 70s dews yesterday, and today dews range from 79-81 over a large portion of the DVN and into LOT cwa.
  6. All things considered, the C3S isn’t terrible. It also tends to be one of the more correct seasonal blends that doesn’t overestimate the cold too much.
  7. I don't know if you have a chance to view my polar post a couple of weeks ago, but this is a valid progression during the second half...it's just overdoing it, like Chuck said.
  8. Interestingly, 5 years to the day of the strongest storm in decades (including the Derecho) in my neighborhood. August can deliver.
  9. Its bad out here. I'm in Madison WI for the week and the sky is a sickly blue/grey. Its all in the upper air, but its effect on the sun is extremely noticeable. Does suck as I was planning to try and head up to the upper peninsula of Michigan for star/meteor gazing Thursday into Friday, but if the smoke stays around I'm cooked. Hoping that the upper winds coming from the North can save me but I don't know which altitude the smoke is coming in from.
  10. Missing to the north but plenty of lightning in the area. Ears popping.
  11. M64mph wind gust Broadway in Rockingham County, VA
  12. Well it beats 50’s and drizzle for sure. We’re only a few months from our six months of that
  13. Leesburg Airport gusted to 51 mph.
  14. Hell yeah CCB all the way back to Charlottesville. Map makes me want to try to make a composite of my own dream setup.
  15. Think models are seeing just how hostile upper level environment actually is ahead of whatever forms but still a very strong signal for development. Will it be strong or long track? Probably, almost definitely, no
  16. Maybe this time we can get it to really go nuts before it gets to the bay high dew point area just E of i-95? I can't tell you how many times Silver Spring misses out b/c of this!
  17. Over the last 30 minutes of radar frames the line has coalesced nicely. looks ready to slam everywhere in this forum, pretty much (east of 81)
  18. You all look like you're in for a good MCS today. I'm out in Madison WI for the week so I'll miss it but hoping everyone can cash in on some widespread rain.
  19. The only difference from an MCS and MCS is the extent, duration, and eccentricity of the very cold cloud top canopy. As for sensible wx, the both can produce high-end svr wx and unreal LTG displays!
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