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If the detail about the cold source being minimal is true, especially after the cold streak that just happened, then the winter is just about over. The beginning of March is going to really torch, and by the time we get below average temperatures again (if we even do), it will be too late for snow.

2.9 inches here after a 2 week snow drought, might as well always take the least snowy model and it'll be right 90% of the time! At least leaving for Cancun on Saturday morning out of Quebec City so maybe we'll get lucky and it'll snow while we're away...

Temperature rose overnight, 46 at Dulles. But apparently that's going to be the high as we have a NW wind. The new AFD format is complete ass. It doesn't talk about today's weather at all, just a phantom winter storm and upslope snow. I don't live in the mountains and I don't care about their weather! I want to know about factors affecting MBY!

Interesting little temp spike this morning. It was 30 at 4:00am, then it went up to 36 at 5:00am, and now back down to 33 at 5:45am.

She cometh?

Euro AI ensembles looked ok but the mean is way south. Need to get them onboard for me to entertain this more.

Looks like 2” or a bit more.

3" here. Wasn't expecting that.

Fixed

GFS remains a consistent no go

GFS seems like it remains a no go

CMC supports it fwiw, tho not quite as intense but similar idea. Has actually been very consistent.

I hear ya... for adult activities should be a different standard...

2.5

Wth is going on in El Paso? If this is political, feel free to delete... but uh wtf

Wake me when it cuts the canal.

We just crossed the 25th anniversary of what is my #1 all-time fav snowstorm. @CoastalWx just linked me to a page about the 25th anniversary of the great Apr 1, 97 blizzard and it got me to thinking about this one. It doesn't get mentioned very often and we've certainly had bigger storms, even recently. However, Feb 2001 is no slouch and a lot of areas received 1-2ft+ in a short amount of time. This storm as well as Dec 2000 and Mar 2001 are what got me interested in meteorology at young age. As Scott as mentioned with Apr 1, the nostalgia and way i felt that day can never be duplicated. Totals alone may not seem like that big of a deal but this stands out and holds my #1 spot for several reasons: Over performer to the max - Forecasts just a couple days before were for rain/snow showers with <1" possible . The day before, in the morning a WS Watch went up for 4-7". And even the morning of the event the forecast was only 5-7". Local news snowfall maps were generally 3-5/5-8/8-12 south to north. 12 hours later 14-25" of heavy wet snow blanketed the state. Road crews were caught off guard and secondary roads remained unplowed for over a day. Flake size & Rates - To this day i haven't seen flakes that large, half-dollar sized aggregates stuck together. I read many reports about people noticing this during the beginning of the storm. Snowfall rates of 2-4" per hour late morning into early afternoon. Thundersnow - First time ever i witnessed thundersnow and at the time i had no idea that was even possible during a winter storm. I just happened to be looking outside right during dusk about 5pm or so and watched as a CG strike hit just a couple hundred feet away with heavy snow/sleet following it. Timing - The timing was perfect starting just after 9AM and lasted through the entire day with over a foot of snow by dark. Schools were closed for 2 days with a delay on the third. I just finished replotting this event for the 25th anniversary and included a new lower northeast map as well. There's a full radar loop up on the site and surface animation but i really can't find much on this storm so if anyone has any free use images or radar please post em here. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-5-2001 On February 5, 2001, the Philadelphia area was hit by an unexpected snowstorm that trapped students in schools across the region. What began as a rainy morning quickly descended into chaos. By midday, the storm in~.mp4

I was NOT expecting to wake up to the EURO saying that we are back

5.3”/0.44” final

@The 4 Seasons 1” snow/sleet combo in Brooklyn over night, a balmy 28F

Weathernet

Now I know why I woke up at 2:50 and couldn't get back to sleep...weenie alarm clock.

0z EPS & 0z AI EPS got back on board as well.

0z Canadian is still on board as well & has not wavered much the last couple of days.

@MAG5035 & everyone else! Check out the 0z Euro for the Sunday pm chance. Great run for CTP.