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Yeah so much for suppression fears

That includes sleet. The WB maps show a disastrous outcome with sleet getting well north of I-80 and just 6” for the city.

Entire region except half of LI, far northern NH, and northern Maine 12+ Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Not familiar with the HWR WRF. Has it been generally reliable?

I'm so excited for the next week, hopefully more. I need a solid winter stretch to fully appreciate spring, and it's been too long.

Cold isn’t the main question, it’s whether there’s enough precip to cause big issues

Sadly the 0z rapid refresh wasnt much better .

Rats

Was planning on a weekend at the beach this weekend, but couldn’t stand being down there , not knowing how my house is faring here in Greenville..

That’s colder

23/2 now - dropping like a rock

Mondays a bonus but who cares if this pans out

Meh he had it not coming north 2 days ago

Why not just do it Sunday at 2pm? I do think that nowcast does bode well for us, less ML warm tongues out there.

Fascinating watching the human condition in full display in the threat thread. It's a little sad honestly watching people get so down over modeled snow

No they all lost it 3 days out

Yeah. I just went off on my own tangent. Sorry. LOLZ. But we are on the same page for sure! You are super level headed. Always have been. Long day of DIPA’s is my current issue.

The soon to replace NAM (q2?) RRFS - Rapid Refresh Forecast System 1/24 00z

I can practically hear snowman19's giddiness after seeing the Nam.

Booooo, lol Hey I commented in the technical help thread but didn't hear anything (do you run that?): The "yes" emoji gid has been broken for awhile and I was wondering if there was any fixing to it. And I've always been curious: What character is your profile pic showing?

Definitely a little trend so far tonight to improve that. Let’s grab another 2-4 instead of C-1

This hurts my soul

But didn't the euro keep it? One model kept it.. they were still better back then..

Almost all of the guidance, including the NAM have the 875 mb layer down to the surface well below freezing. That would produce sleet. Some freezing drizzle can't be ruled out at some point, but the steady precipitation following the changeover from snow should be sleet.

RRFS gets the sleet line to Scranton. Meanwhile none of the other mesos (minus the NAM) get it past the Lehigh Valley. Quite the battle we have here.