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The blocking is a bit too far south for NYC and north

It's the GFS 4 days away, are you really parsing the fine details?.

2004-05

Was obvious from start there be 3 feet in Maryland lmao wild run

But they’re so pretty to post

I cant get on board until I see support from the Euro-sorry

Undeniable trend

Why is everyone being a downer. This is happening.

18z GFS is truly a happy hour special!

More like Bethany Beach

Would be a little happy about this if the AI version didn’t just boot even further east then 12z with the storm lol

No doubt its snow, but the crazy accums are wayyy overdone.

Just as crazy as saying to move on from the storm at this timeframe lol

If this works out I'm taking credit for insisting on a thread in just time for HH. If it fucks up its @Maestrobjwa's fault

Where is the gfs not a huge hit verbatim?

2/18 18z GFS qpf

The 18z GFS is not a huge hit LOL, but it is a tick further North than the 12z run was. It would be enough for a low end warning level storm for most.

Its still being pushed east southeast. Thats where it wants go Read the tealeaves

Would like to have the euro on board. 18z gfs paints me with 21” I can tell you right now I don’t buy it but that just my opinion hopefully I am proven wrong

18z GFS annihilates the Delmarva. I have friends in OCMD. If I thought it had a chance to be correct, I’d chase.

When I say the orientation of the wave, this is exactly what I mean. The s/w rounding the trough is much faster to round the axis turning it negative earlier the big risk you run with the GFS-type solution is it cutting off and meandering too far south which, seeing the frames later, is exactly what it does get that to occur 75-100 miles north and then you’re talking massive hit

Man, this is so close to being something special per the 18z GFS .