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Euro still saying the opposite, let’s hope it’s right.

12"? No. Maybe like 4-8"....

It doesn't look that impressive on the H5. Ongoing +NAO looks just as impressive. +NAO/-WPO if we get a frozen storm, it's more likely to be ice than snow.

Rough Commute On Tap Friday AM Delays & Cancellations Likely What was expected to be an inch or so of snowfall on Tuesday afternoon ended up being several inches in some cases, which made for an absolutely dreadful afternoon commute. Hopefully better insight with respect to a potentially similar evolution overnight Thursday into Friday morning will afford commuters the luxury of planning ahead so that a similar fate will not be endured on Friday morning. Cancellations are advised, and at the very least delays on Friday AM for districts north and west of Boston. Synoptic Evolution The region enjoyed a pleasant day in the 50s today as a byproduct of the polar jet finally having retreated to the north. However, in its' wake is a fairy zonal flow from the west-southwest that is sending the next wave of low pressure rapidly careening across the country and towards the region. A most interesting trait of winter 2025-2026 has been for it to manufacture cold at least excuse imaginable, as if part of a concerted effort on the part of mother nature to atone for sins in the eyes of local winter enthusiasts over the past several years, when the opposite was the case. Early Friday is poised to be no different. While the general pattern is one of moderation given the aforementioned retreat of the polar jet, an appendage of polar high pressure if forecast to knife into the region at the most inopportune time late Thursday night and early Friday morning, as precipitation traverses the area during the build up to the Friday morning commute. The most laymen of weather followers can write the rest of the script at this point of the season. Expected Forecast Evolution Light rain is forecast to overspread the southwestern third of Connecticut on Thursday morning. The showers may begin to mix with sleet over the Berkshires and Worcester hills as they extend north of the Mass pike during Thursday afternoon. Thursday evening precipitation moving northeast begins to interact with the cold backing southwest from Maine in earnest, producing an area snowfall to the north of the Mass pike. Precipitation may briefly mix with, or even change to sleet and snow down to the I 84 corridor of Connecticut towards midnight late Thursday evening, but precipitation should remain primarily rain and freezing rain in these areas with some significant icing possible, especially across higher terrain. Snowfall will continue moderate to even briefly heavy at times points north and east. Precipitation will begin gradually tapering off to the east during the morning commute and end later in the morning, but not before significant delays and cancellations are necessitated on Friday morning, especially to the north of Boston. First & Final Call: Beyond the spring preview next week, the forecast split of the vortex is finally taking place and may have important ramifications for the second half of the month. Better late than never-

You don't think someone sees 6-12?

Kind of 12/23-24/2017 look.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/03/rough-commute-on-tap-friday-am.html First & Final Call:

Been in a bit of a lull up at WXW2. Looks like the pack has taken quite a hit since I was last up there.

Gotta replace my shovel dammit. Just hoping ice stays away or doesn’t otherwise impact life. NAM was a crazy run!

Yeah we're hoping for all ice with plenty of accretion

Rgem is still on the warmer side, but heck of juicy run

Yeah, I've always thought it was a red herring. The Lake Erie at Buffalo average annual temperature is rising at pretty much the exact same rate as the air temperature at Buffalo. So unless UHI is pouring into Lake Erie, it would seem the temperature represents a real trend. Lake is slightly warmer because it doesn't drop below 32F in the winter due to ice.

6z Friday on NAM: Station: KBOS Latitude: 42.37 Longitude: -71.02 Elevation: 37.36 Press Height Temp Dewpt Dir Spd SFC 1024.1 37 0.1 -0.4 51 13 M 1000.0 227 -1.0 -1.4 57 27 S 950.0 636 -2.9 -3.4 83 33 S 900.0 1066 -1.2 -1.6 96 25 M 850.0 1523 -0.0 -0.3 119 20 S 800.0 2008 -0.7 -1.0 139 20 S 750.0 2524 -1.1 -1.4 181 16 M 700.0 3073 -2.6 -3.1 219 22 S 650.0 3658 -5.1 -5.9 234 28 S 600.0 4284 -8.2 -9.2 243 35 S 550.0 4955 -11.7 -13.1 248 45 M 500.0 5679 -16.0 -17.8 251 54

I remember talking to Scott 4 or 5 days ago, this thing had a minimum/floor of moderate impact back then and it was kind of believable just synoptically because the feature’s playing into it were stable/predictable.

Let’s ice it up.

Gotcha thank you nrg Jeff .

Next winter is going to suck.

I mean this is a very classic ice storm look for SNE, south of pike.

Let’s get a March 24, 1993 mini blue bomb at Logan (over 8” of pure spackle on a weak but juicy system running into a Quebec high with marginal antecedent airmass)

Definitely starting to notice the slow uptick in temps.

0z NAM continues to strengthen the push of the BDCF. If it’s right, cold sector hangs on from Thursday evening thorough Saturday evening from NoVA north and east. Front looks like gets as far SW as Lynchburg.

Lol I’ve seen others post similar, but I wanted to make sure each direction was covered. I might have to add that my elevation is too low to escape a warm nose haha.

Isothermal sounding on this NAM over Logan. NE wind 30mph pushing S/S+ rates is nasty cake at 32

This looks like a signiicant icing event south of pike with potential all the way down to 95. Needless to say, glad I’m largely missing this one to the north…

For Boston... 00z 12k NAM coming in with 6-8" 00z 3k NAM says, what snow? 00z HRRR says 4-6" 18z GFS says 4-6" 18z EURO says 4-6"