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What the heck is AI doing to the CT/NY border?

AIFS is on board. And I mean most things show it. But yeah, broke the don’t look at the GFS vow after about 3 hours. Oops

Shocking I tell ya....

what are the chances these two systems merge together? Would they look something like this?

Exactly

Problem with e GFS solution is the 500 pass is in the Great Lakes. We have a cold air mass. But we did last week as well. Just being honest that looks like a glorified frontal pass to me. Still a ways out there though.

I'm looking forward to those 4 hours above freezing on Tuesday!

I mean, I'd take. But fuck the GFS

Well, damn, it's come off the spin cycle. I think we've got the trifecta.

Improved too

Thank God I don't do that anymore It actually may have fit the definition of a blizzard or come close; it seems the winds may have qualified for 3+ hours but we need to evaluate the visibilities. Snow implies 1/2 mile visibility or less and heavy snow implies 1/4 mile or less. There's probably a way to check the visibilities, although might have to shift over to LGA for that. Pitty the young weenie didn't log 8 am.

I know its the Ukmet but here it is

what are the chances these 2 merge? If these two systems merge, the final outcome come next week could be like this

I lived in Danville almost 4 years before moving back to NC.

Moving forward—I only believe AI models named Euro.

I got excited for a second seeing the first frame T_T

If they want to weight it like that, then have at it lol...but why use old data is beyond me. Always knew the thing was goofy acting, but seems to me they tried to automate being a Met instead of doing the hard work.

Thanks for dropping in!

That was the first snow my kids got to see. We moved to Danville in 2016 and this was my oldest bday weekend. .

Fayetteville to Greenville looks like a good spot. There will likely be some areas in eastern NC off the coastline that will score huge in this setup as well. The main coastal band has shifted around about as much as I can ever remember on the models this close in. Part of that is the struggle to resolve when this vort rotates negative and just how far W or SW it actually digs. The more it tilts negative, the more Atlantic moisture is drawn in, the better chance for the SLP to consolidate quicker and come closer to the coast. This also moves the 850 low further west and stronger, which increases banding and dendrite growth over the piedmont. My guess is it will be very close to gametime before we know for sure where it will setup. All RDU jokes aside, the Triangle could very well still end up in a banding situation where you get 10 inches plus. Or it could trend south again tomorrow and get 2 or 3. So we'll see. These snow maps this far out are pretty worthless IMO in this situation. It's almost better to just throw out a max/min for the larger cities. I will prob do that tommorow.

I am with you brother. Worst decade of my life as far as snow goes. No joke.

2 behind for the play-in tourney