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Let’s hoist em up regionwide

This one…has legs?

I never really root for another March 2012 because it did result in an agricultural disaster as we got some cold shots the following April. From a pure meteorology standpoint, however, it was awesome.

-NAO trends for 3/23-29 have lead to BN signal NE: 4 days ago: Now:

First ice cream truck sighting of the season.

HWW issued up here with gusts up to 60mph possible Monday.

Mood flaking. Big dog or bust. Going to be an awesome storm for MSP

Agree. When you talk march 2012 you aren't talking mild, when you talk feb 2015 you aren't talking cold. Youre talking historic on a local level. And theres no sign of that here. For the SW its even worse because they are getting their march 2012 now,.but they already average way warmer.

The problem is that it won't be cold enough to snow. Average highs are in the mid 50s and average lows are in the mid 30s. We are probably aren't going to stray too far from these averages the next few weeks.

Unbelievable. And here we (I anyway) freeze. I really hate that we've been "locked in" to this pattern all winter.

There was a study done on the March 2012 heatwave and I believe they concluded that it was a 1 in 4,000 year event at the time. I still think it ruined some people’s perceptions of how a normal spring is supposed to look, even to this day. Then on the flip side you have Feb 2015 which was one of the coldest months in modern history. Not quite as anomalous as March 2012, but still a very impressive month.

Hey, some of us are too busy over analyzing the fantasy snowstorm on the long range gfs. Right where we want it:

...Mid-Atlantic and Southeast... Primary changes this outlook are to add a 45 total severe probability along with minor northeast and southeast expansion to the categorical risk areas. Portions of the region, centered on SC to MD, may warrant an upgrade to a level 4/Moderate Risk in later outlooks. A large and deepening upper trough will eject east/northeastward out of the MS/OH/TN Valleys and across the Appalachians and into the Mid Atlantic/Northeast on Monday, with an expansive area of strong to intense wind fields aloft. A deep cyclone will move from Lower MI into QC, with an occluding cold front arcing southeast across the northern Appalachians, then south-southwest into the northern Gulf. This front will clear all but the FL Peninsula by Monday evening. Ahead of the front, seasonably rich low-level moisture characterized by 60s surface dew points will spread northward from the eastern Gulf/western Atlantic. Convection will likely be ongoing at 12Z Monday, low-topped along the Upper OH Valley to central Appalachian portion of the front to deep convection in the lee of the southern Appalachians to eastern FL Panhandle. A diurnal uptick in storm intensity, including potential for semi-discrete supercells ahead of the front, should occur from north FL to the Carolina Piedmont. Further intensification is anticipated midday into the afternoon as a confined corridor of moderate buoyancy likely develops just ahead of morning storms. Enlarged low-level hodograph curvature, in conjunction with favorable elongation of the mid/upper hodograph, should foster a mix of broken supercells south with line-embedded supercells in the reinvigorated QLCS north. With such intense 700-mb flow aptly timed with the diurnal heating cycle overlying rich low-level moisture, setup could yield an expansive severe weather day, including strong tornadoes and significant damaging winds. The degree of boundary-layer heating, as well as timing of convection that may outpace the front late D2 into early D3, will play key roles in how intense severe magnitudes may become. At present, the most likely corridor for significant/widespread severe appears centered on the eastern Piedmont to coastal plain from SC to MD around midday into the afternoon.

Slight and enhanced adjusted north and east

You mean in the discussion or did you hear something more specific? I didn't read it that way - it sounded more like they will continue to watch guidance and see what instability looks like.

It’s gonna suck if last week’s temperatures are the highest we see until mid May. Even though it’s not that cold, today feels brutal with the wind and temperatures.

The woods are empty here. My back yard is usually the last to melt. 4 to 6" on the ground. Sump pump never came on. Pretty sure that is because of the dry fall. Windy and 40F.

Chicago There continues to be some differences amongst guidance in terms as to how much additional moisture will fall as snow in the deformation band of the cyclone into Monday morning. However, given the expected track of the system, forecast thinking continues to favor the heaviest snow axis from northwestern IL into WI, with much lighter amounts with east-southeastward extent across our area. This results in general forecast snow amounts in the 2 to 5 inch range in my far northwest (near the Rockford area), dropping to only an inch or two across the Chicago area and points southeast. conditions should become more hazardous with time Sunday night, with the potential for periods of near blizzard conditions at times, particularly across the more open areas of northern/northwestern IL. These poor conditions are expected to continue into Monday morning before the snow gradually tapers off from south to north through the day on Monday.

A couple webcams to monitor the MN-WI-MI blizzard- https://it.nmu.edu/webcam

Big time

Wind is really whipping up the trash and debris. Especially lowell, just ripping litter with reduced vis

Best in the game

SPC basically said C MD on south to the piedmonts will be upgraded a level 4 risk.

The ridge should flex itself eastward at times allowing for brief periods of very mild weather around here, but obviously not as sustained as the west.

Not much out this way. An inch with the March sun doing its work on daytime accumulation. Congrats.