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On the EPS. Pretty big jump to this dual wave look. There was a hint of it earlier if you look at the height lines closely but as you can see, it really took off at 06z. If there’s still more to go on focusing things to the west then we could definitely score. But remain in a look like this and most likely the two waves just get in each other’s way as the op demonstrated.

From small plow piles to BOOM. Lookin like winter now.

Warmth coming before month end I think.

Right or wrong.. it's been consistent

1. Note that the 2/22-23 snowstorm threat period remains mainly in phase 3, the coldest phase on avg during La Niña Febs. 2. When I calculate avg temperatures associated with each phase, I’m not assuming any lag. So, during La Niña, phase 3 was coldest on avg in Feb and phase 7 was coldest on avg in Mar, each with no lag. But also keep in mind that these are merely averages being the coldest along with spreads that cover MB to MA. For example: 1) For the coldest La Niña phase in Feb on avg, phase 3: Avg -107/73 days = -1.5, which is 4F colder than the La Niña Feb phase average of +2.5 and has easily averaged the coldest phase. Breakdown of the 18 different Feb La Nina phase 3 periods: wide range but more B/MB (7) than A/MA (5) MB: 1 B: 6 N: 6 A: 3 MA: 2 ————— 2) For the coldest La Niña phase in Mar on avg, phase 7: Avg -135/81 days = -1.7, which is 2.4F colder than the La Niña Mar average of +0.7 and has averaged the coldest phase. Breakdown of the 18 different Mar La Nina phase 7 periods: wide range but more B/MB (8) than A/MA (6) MB: 2 B: 6 N: 4 A: 3 MA: 3

Imagine if we actually had QPF for once?

12k NAM still gets mixing into northern CT tomorrow night. Marginal temperatures.

One last shot? Did the GFS also show that?

This stuff is frozen soiled now . Add more ice tomorrow more snow Monday and no warmth thru end of month it’ll be a full Feb of pack

The only thing it’s been consistent about all winter is being wrong.

What a warm up... I know the forecast temps dropped toward late week, but damn, it's 35 and damp as hell this morning. It almost feels worse than the previous frigid cold temps the past few weeks.

WB 12Z 3K NAM: rain incoming

Have you seen how it performed this winter? Has had no systems correctly model outside 48hrs

On the way to work this morning I noticed a guy in the lane next to me looking over and taking pictures of my car. But then I looked closer and he had one of those old wooden paper chip bag clips from the 1980s that we used to use and it was hanging from one of his nostrils. People are really stupid.

By the stats it’s better than the icon, but worse than the GGEM and its AI version.

Sorry Tuesday not working I lose track of days

Pretty amazing how the snow has held on. Big big snowpack year.

If the gefs still looks good, then gfs has some merit, albeit not as strong as depicted.

How much rain yesterday?

From the biggest ARCATT. All record cold all the time

At least it's been the most consistent last couple days

Sun yesterday? Beer?

Down to 8 inches of bullet proof snow that holds the weight of a 115 lb dog. Sun was awesome yesterday. Looking forward to when we get real warmth in May. Heading to outer banks 2 weeks in May

I like sun from Napril thru Septorcher. Otherwise cloudy