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Looks good, we pretty much all thought that though on Tuesday. My point was we still have some lighter threats to track so not dry, and cutters although likely are not guaranteed not sold on warmth 100% yet. Over this past weekend into Monday, the -NAO block idea on EPS tricked me, that idea is not happening. We can all agree that we have to wait to post Jan 12ish for anything significant.

Can't really complain about winter at all. Way above our average this time of year. Now lets get a bigger storm and get above our average for a change.

I think what you mean to say is that places to the south(and east) Have been at or above climo for those locations while places NW have largely been below for those areas. There is a significant difference in what is 'normal' snowfall for southern DE compared to places NW of Baltimore. Pretty sure PSU has had more snow than Lewes every winter since 2017(except maybe one).

This is pope’s lost from 2 days ago.

Ya for the interior for sure.. At this point, only need one good coastal to hit climo along the south coast..

We could use them so we actually don’t finish another year BN in snowfall. Getting weakening overrunning systems and clippers won’t be sustainable for anyone who averages over about 40” per year.

Well isn’t that even more reason to want snow whether it’s an inch or 9?

The op EURO/EPS was absolutely awful with its big west-based -NAO block it kept insisting on for days, run after run for early-mid January, which is totally gone now. A really bad performance with that

Little low too, the last event was a 10 spot here alone

See this is where the forum divides. The snow climo for south of Baltimore to NOVA has been better for almost 10 years. The person who made that joke thread for the northern half of the forum wasn't completely wrong!

Actually after the initial heavy snow burst it continued to snow until 6 a.m. It was a solid squall but not as impressive as the one that came through in January 2020 the following morning of the only snowfall we had that year. That squall was the highlight of what was just an awful year. We got about 5 inches the day before then squall put down 2 inches in 40 minutes the following morning. It was a total whiteout. Attached is a picture of that morning during the height of the squall.

Less subtle hint...the 12z GEFS ensemble runs looks good as does the EPS. That energy getting held back in the Southwest w/ a trough over the east. Yeppers!

Bring it on! See this is why at first I wasn't even gonna give this winter the time of day and just track the PDO ahead of what looks like a possible niño next year (but then the cold and slightly snowy start reeled me in, lol) I really want us to have a better swing at than the hostile -PDO of the 23-24 niño that couldn't do jack diddly. I feel more confident in next year breaking our above average drought than this year.

We could use the coastals so we can all be friends again lmao

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I get it, He's in that zone that's been skunked, and it's worse since last night.. Most areas are between 10-20" in SNE while he's like 7"

Euro shows a dusting for DC and GFS keeps shifting north every model run. Might be a surprise event and things are trending in that direction. h5 starting to look more conducive for a small event. Let's reel this in.

EPS evolution D11-15 is pretty good actually. It’s not the most frigid but it’s good if you want to set up a pattern for more coastals

^might as well since we are apparently heading into a total shit the blinds pattern with nothing to track for ages.

Dad is that you?

Ray doesn’t want it . He’d prefer not to get more snow

What an embarrassment of riches the 2000-2018 period was. If this storm happened anytime in the 80s or 90s it would be referred to knowingly as the Blizzard of '18 like we talk about the Blizzard of '83 or '96. But because of when it happened it was just another ho hum foot+ storm lost in the mix.

Good thing I didn’t uncancel my winter cancel. Pattern coming up looks like warm garbage