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House is decorated inside and out. Snowboard in the yard. Just need snow.

Welcome!

European ensemble snow greater than 1 inch probability has increased a bit at 12z with the 50% line down to Philly

The way to a cold rain

European ensemble snow greater than 1 inch probability has increased a bit at 12z with the 50% line down to Philly

Averaging 5.75" here just north of ORD... if the HRRR is to be trusted there's another ~7" or so left to come from now onwards

Tough to fight EPS AI GEFS AI EPS but you can always go higher as solutions appear.

These seem to be the 2 potential windows to watch via recent guidance- I still like the 10-11th, but the 6th is starting to look intriguing, with some potential for significant southern energy to eject northeastward from the SW, and a nice NA look. A lot of NS energy associated with the TPV lobe though as advertised, and we know how that goes with timing(phasing vs crushing).

METAR KORD 291951Z 13011KT 1/4SM R10L/2600V3000FT +SN FZFG VV007 M02/M03 A3011 RMK AO2 SLP205 SNINCR 1/5 P0005 T10221033 $

This is the way

Will the new AI influence those low snow casts?

No doubt about last year underperforming we ended up getting like 5-10” in 2 week from the 18-24” mean that we had. But this does mean that the threats are there. Im leaning white rain to rain up to I-84 / coating to 2” 84 corridor / 2-5” highest hills NW for now.

In Mequon and it's mod-heavy snow with decent sized dendrites. Definitely getting heavier and windier.

90-100%. EPS smoking that good stuff today

Lake enhancement showing up all along the WI shoreline. It might work in a negative way though, with surface temps running a bit higher and snowfall ratios likely a bit lower as well.

u know it's getting serious when bluewave lets out a hint of optimism.

5 days ago there was barely the hint of a ripple of a shortwave across the central US... And a big trof along the west coast.

He definitely copied yours

IMHO out in the Pac there is alot of stuff going on with Rossby and Kelvin waves,this is why all the models seem to be struggling with the RMM,even the JMA which has been more tightly bunched is now showing more spread today.You'll more than likely in the next few days see some swings in modeling

Snow looks like it's going to end early here at least. This definitely was an underperformer for me. Was supposed to get 8-12in. Idk if I will even hit that range. Snow quality was a killer early on then all this good banding really hammered I72 south of me. Looking at radar the system seems to be moving very fast.

Very fine pixie dust coming down, just enough for black ice on many rural roads. Started around 11:30, have a compacted half inch or so. Should be picking up here soon.

For early December this is great, but I recall some epic means last season that produced nothing. Not sure if I’ll do a map today but I’m currently thinking C-2 coast including most of New London County and 2-5 elsewhere.

Say what? .

Gfs has ANOTHER storm next weekend lol