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Once again, JB’s bombastic prediction of a huge return to deep winter, “delayed spring”, arctic cold and snowstorms in the east, from 3/15 through Easter Sunday looks to be a monumental, epic fail. I’m sure he will never acknowledge it and simply move on like it never even happened just like he does every year…..
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I was completely wrong in my March prediction. My saying that KNYC would not only average at least 5 degrees below normal with no temperatures higher then 56 degrees, looks laughable now!
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Yeah if we lawn, we rain. Keep it coming.
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2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm pretty sure we aren't getting a super El Nino. -
2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, this past season already seemed to have behaved more like a +PDO, if anything, despite the continued negative readings. -
we need the rain, esp. those who use wells for water supply
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Happy one year anniversary of the classic spring in the Northeast pattern.
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Yeah. 4.13 inches here this month but what a green up underway. People already mowing and lawns services are out droping fertilizer. Hoping for some sun today for the first mow of the year.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It definitely has been wet here this month. -
It's time to grade Winter 2025-26(now that it's actually over)
CAPE replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
It snowed in D,J,F,M. Brutal cold period after the glacier. 3 weeks with snow/ice cover- that period ending up bone dry was the one nitpick. The Feb storm topped it off with 10". Over climo with 22.7"- and my measurements are usually low because I typically measure what's otg as I am often not home during the whole storm. (There was a report from an EM in Greensboro of 14" in the Feb storm). Anyway.. A- Had there been even a modest 2-4" snow event on top the Glacier I probably would have gone with a perfect score. -
How many times within a short period of time is Eric Webb going to Tweet essentially the same thing regarding his feeling about a near certain super Nino being jump-started by a very strong WWB? Does anyone recall when he kept Tweeting over and over about a near record strong WWB occurring in Feb. that never occurred? He loves to be bombastic as this is just one example. His being repeatedly bombastic doesn’t make it the near certainty he wants us to think it is. Snowman, Don, and myself commented about this being a big bust in the 25-26 thread:
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How many times within a short period of time is Eric Webb going to Tweet essentially the same thing regarding his feeling about a near certain super Nino being jump started by a very strong WWB? Does anyone recall when he kept Tweeting over and over about a near record strong WWB occurring in Feb. that never occurred?
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Not much rain here either like .10
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Picked up .67” off the storms. 45 degrees this morning and windy. Not really sure I’m in agreement with the drought map. -
Nice to Stein. Do not need or want any more rain for a month
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It's time to grade Winter 2025-26(now that it's actually over)
Terpeast replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
Solid B. It was a frustrating tracking season for the most part, but the last two snows in March really lifted us. The snowcrete storm and month long snowcover was what made the winter, and we stat-padded our way to median climo. Also, mby got at least 2” for each of the 4 winter months. -
2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The Atlantic is very interesting now too….have we finally, at long last flipped to a -AMO cycle? The last time we were in a -AMO cycle was the tail end of the 1970’s through 1995….. @Stormchaserchuck1 -
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Yup, .11" last 24 hrs here, temp now down to 42/chill@38 breezy.... shop heat back on
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Very little rain here, just enough to wet the ground
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Well, he lives near you, doesn’t he?
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Rain had some crazy high rates, but thankfully nothing crazy as far as wind here during the storm. It was a nice warm, windy afternoon yesterday.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
If we ever merged with NY I’d delete my account the next day. Way too many weenies and blowhards up there. Imagine dealing with multiple mickeytims every year? No thanks. Some, I assume, are good people. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
0.50 in Day 0.69 in Event 1.55 in Week 6.48 in Month 8.33 in Year Well I'm over the 6 inch mark for rainfall for March,. -
2026-2027 El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
23-24 was similar in strength for total Nino 1+2 to Nino 4 SST warmth and would have registered a peak ONI around +2.4 C had they not changed the baseline making the departure artificially smaller. This is one of the challenges of measuring the El Niño in a warming world. The winter temperatures in North America and 500 ridge was of super El Niño intensity. But the stronger subtropical ridging didn’t allow for the typical Aleutian Trough strength and the Nino trough we typically see in the Southern and Eastern U.S. This could be a function of the continuing mid-latitude marine heatwaves overlapping wit the ENSO influence like we have frequently seen over the last decade. This effectively means that a super El Niño using the weaker RONI started somewhere near +1.4C with the SST configuration we had in 23-24.
