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Winds are impressive out here. Nor’easter or not, the winds are howling.

Not having fun delivering the mail today. Wind is insane. Over .8 inches in the rain gauge so far with a lot more to come

NWS PHI recently upgraded the advisory to a Coastal Flood Warning for Ocean County-moderate flooding.

Can anyone guesstimate what the sustained winds and gusts are in this video ?

Peak gust of 52 mph so far. Beaches taking another pounding

KFRG: Farmingdale, Republic Airport, NY, United States [44kt, 23m/s] KJFK: JFK Intl Arpt, NY, United States [46kt, 24m/s] KNEL: Lakehurst, NJ, 44 kt

1,000%

Apparent storm damage on TV in the Bronx. 1200 meters out on Staten Island. now is the time for 45 MPH+ wind gusts n our area...next 5 hours; except later e Li.

.17 with the occasional gust around 20. It's finally raining harder and the wind is up. It's a nice afternoon to go for a Jebwalk but the flying branches are sketchy.

1.65" total

1.7” here. Steadiest sometime heavy rain most since May

Ps..... From what I'm seeing for our area next week, our temperatures look to be in the upper 50s early in the week... Then it looks like mid-50s to lower 50s Wednesday to Friday, and maybe back to around 57 ish next Saturday. Our average high temperature for November 3rd in our area is 53°. So I'm not seeing anything related to a torch at all next week. Maybe you saw something different when you looked but this is what I'm seeing now.

1.7” here. Steadiest rain heavy often since May

2.41" of rain has fallen here. Solid.

I agree to a point...but there have been several winters where my best snowstorm happened before December 15 and so I will take what I can get...but you're right when we time up great patterns outside mid winter...that's not good for maximizing potential...but since we don't have any control over that I'll just take whatever comes. If my memory serves, and if you are talking about that same early April storm I am... it was a problem with the energy trade off and cold air press related to the wave in front. From 5 days out that lead wave was weaker and supposed to be a small snow threat for Maryland. At one point I was even on the northern edge of a 2-4" snowfall projection from that little west to east boundary wave. But as that lead wave trended more amplified it pushed it north...but also had the corresponding effect of suppressing the wave behind it. Less energy left over, but more importantly an even greater cold air press, which crazy to say for April, was not what we needed. In the end the lead wave amplified too much and squashed the wave behind it south of us. I remember having this discussion with people that week...they were confused how a wave could be suppressed when temperatures weren't actually THAT cold and it was April. But suppression is more about the flow than the temperatures. And having high temps in the upper 40s when its sunny in April actually is VERY COLD...and indicates how dry and suppressive the flow is. Plus...had it been precipitating it would have been plenty cold enough to snow.

42F. raw, cloudy. very fallish

Models looking pretty good in general. They had at least one bullseye over northeastern PA, and that looks to be panning out...

New from Webb I have pretty high confidence December is gonna try to make things real interesting this year. I can’t quite figure out what’s going to happen in the heart of the winter this year. Do we get a mid winter thaw as we get an Indian Ocean to Maritime Continent orbit with another favorable S2S look later in January or do we keep the good times rolling throughout most of this period? If the tropospheric circulation anomalies can get anchored into the stratosphere (a stratospheric warming event for ex), that’s probably how we can keep the good times rolling well into January. The stratosphere likely won’t matter much for this first round of mjo forcing in December, but it probably will be an important factor in January and February I.e. could help keep the -NAO/-AO going beyond the timescale of the initial mjo forcing (as mentioned previously) or enhancing wave reflection Feb (+TNH) if its strong by then.

I was getting on here to share this feed…good thinking Tip: take blood pressure meds first before watching jeff live…hahaha

Have to believe there will be some Melissa enhanced rainfall for eastern New England up into down east Maine. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_US/loop60w.html

surprised no wind advisories

JFK now 50 MPH gusts.

You're just full of good news this week. Sitting at the breakfast table on snowy mornings listening to KYW was like playing the Powerball for kids!

Thanks for your update and that matches the radar estimates. Brielle on the North shore of Ocean County NJ now G 52 Mph. winds increasing northward in NJ.

This guy is always a good watch. He’s doing a lot with red fleshed apple breeding.