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That’s the good ‘ol GFS for ya‼️

I can’t take this all winter. It’s too stressful lol

So I’ve done some digging into the models here recently and I don’t think im entirely buying the dry air thing. Our DGZ is saturated, the 600-850mb layer is saturated, we really are only dry from the 925mb layer down. And that is sitting at about 50-60%RH. I don’t think that will be too hard to overcome and we can wetbulb down to saturated at the ground. Could it eat into our totals for an hour? Sure. Is it going to be as bad as the models think? I don’t think so. We are already seeing snow falling that the models Didnt pick up on. Yes we are between the two areas of greatest forcing but i think the surface low will overpreform and push that out of the way. I just can’t imagine a 970mb low having that small of a precip shield with a negatively tilted 500mb upper low. Im not a met, but I have tracked storms my whole life, so if I’ve missed something please correct me. But thats my two cents.

This has to be one of the longest cold snaps in the last 20 years. while it may not be the coldest we ever had its pretty long lived. I havent seen snow stick around and hardly melt for a week like this last storm in a long time.

Flakes here too. Off to get some sleep

That's after two storms lol crazy

Brought the midweek threat back north a bit. Certainly looks to be a very active period

Looks like it's trying to form a line that will move across several counties.

It is pretty cool to think the whole synoptic of the storm will show itself in the next 2 hrs, or at least from our perspective. Kind of wild!

Still snowing. Has continued to be light. Picking up in intensity a little bit now

Can I send the women I live with your way?

GFS on crack. .

Tried to go to sleep but just couldn't. I have been right in this huge hole in the radar that runs right down the middle of Knox County. I am slap in the middle of the valley. I keep thinking those bans are going to rotate around, but they seem to just pulse on and off. Hoping one will just pulse up over me.

My tempest is only -1 right now but predicting -11 by 6am

Flakes!

Which means HE also will bust

Seems like most east of 75 should be good for another inch or more tonight (of course high amounts in the mnts) .

Evil dry slot on euro

Thanks! Hopefully this one delivers, but if not, hopefully the next one will for all of us!

Should change soon. I’ve got a moderate shower going on right now. .

Too far south!! Lol!

Euro Ai gives us 0.25" of precip in the next 16 days. Arctic desert.

Man, I really hope yall get a decent snow at least. I've given up hope of any accumulation in Chesterfield

Right at a 1/2” here in northern Macon county. Took a while to get going but should be good for the next 12 hrs or so now. Moderate snow falling at the moment.

At this point, check please! i'm at the bargaining phase lol