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Snow recorded to the hundredth? Wonder if that Ai thing is right.
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TAO/TRITON has reached +10c in the subsurface! First time I think this has ever happened (someone correct me if I'm wrong). That's +18f. Wonder if we'll reach +20F.
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One is atmospheric angular momentum and someone posted that recently in the ENSO thread I think. It was very high for this time of year, which suggest the Nino is already well coupled.
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And it shows solid destabilization despite lots of clouds. You can do a lot more for CAPE by adding to the dew point than temp per deg. GFS has DCA 69 dew point at 15z up to 74 by 00z. Also it backs the sfc winds to SSE. This is w/ WNW winds at 500 so that's over 90 deg veering sfc-500. That should mean robust supercells. Speed shear is common here but good directional shear is not so this may be a best tor risk of the year so far Sunday.
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Not sure if this is better off in the ENSO threat or here, but what are the telltale signs that an El Nino or La Nina are coupling with the atmosphere?
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The Canadian tries to paint a 2" - 3.5" stripe of rainfall right along Mason-Dixon tomorrow afternoon. South of I-70 is less than an inch.- 1,909 replies
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Man.. going to be a ton of dirty hippys in the Pioneer Valley this week with river levels low. Haha. My hippy aunt in Ashfield said the same thing about river levels.
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Western Parker and Aurora getting the heavy rains today.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
That's a recipe for someone to get soaked.- 1,909 replies
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
powderfreak replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
First day that felt a bit more like fall. 67F off a high of 70F… Partly sunny, dews 48-52F. -
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
jaxjagman replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
NFL Sunday ticket is strange on YOUTUBE.I got my daughter to sign up so i can watch Jacksonville because shes a student.It dont ask you nothing but your age,so i got it half price..lol. -
Thanks for all the bad news lol. I appreciate everyone here. Snow camp is open to visitors. The positive note is I'm on top of the Tug. I'll have elevation on my side.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
As of this morning's output, they seem to be holding onto the 5-10% TOR for our area tomorrow...- 1,909 replies
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Historically, be patient until September/October.
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18z RRFS is the same. Both models show more than one wave of storms after the AM convection. I like the significant sfc dew point advection tomorrow aftn over the region
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gonna head up there soon bc i've got nothing better to do, but concern atm is that the best LL shear is displaced north of the best thermos
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Everything just evaporates when it gets past greensboro. Uggg
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
18z HRRR lights up NOVA with 3" - 5" of rain tomorrow- 1,909 replies
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Looks like the answer is yes. Another big storm about to hit your area.
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