All Activity

Walkbacks beget further walkbacks. This will be fully out to sea by Thursday.

North Metro has really been winning out lately... 0.19" here since 10/1 after about 1.2" in September.

His posts on X get around 5 likes and most of the time zero replies. To me that says he is irrelevant to most people. If we go back 15 years+, yeah, he was a big deal, but in 2025, I don't think most care anymore. Every poster in this thread knows he is a weenie and irrelevant. There are tons of other X and social media weather posters that get tons of likes and replies, that are imo just as bad as JB. To bring him all the time up seems strange to me I guess over the people that actually get reactions and 100x the views he gets. Maybe it is out age bracket or old thinking that thinks people still care about him. Anyone under 40 probably has no clue who he is.

Isn’t the point of this board to discuss all different ideas? If it’s that much of an issue, just say the word and I won’t post on here anymore

Records: Highs: EWR: 88 (1949) NYC: 88 (1944) LGA: 85 (1944) JFK: 83 (2007) Lows: EWR: 38 (1958) NYC: 39 (1999) LGA: 40 (1954) JFK: 39 (1984) Historical: 1749: A hurricane passed a short distance offshore from Virginia to New Jersey. At Lewes, DE, on the Delaware Bay, the raging ocean cut a passage through the beach near Cape Henlopen into the Bay with a 5 foot clearance so that small boats could sail through. In Philadelphia, Benjamin Franklin was watching this storm. Being reported first in North Carolina then Virginia, he drew confirmation for his hypothesis made with the hurricane of 10/22/1743 that coastal storms moved from the southwest and were preceded by northerly winds. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1946: A hurricane made landfall near Bradenton, FL with 80 mph winds and a 6 foot storm surge. The storm weakened to a tropical storm as it move across Tampa Bay and reached the Florida/Georgia border early the following day. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1959: The Soviet spacecraft, Luna 3, captured the first images of the far side of the Moon. The first image was taken at 3:30 UTC on the 7th of October. 1962: Heavy flooding occurred in New England as Hurricane Daisy moved up the coast. 12.10 inches of rain fell at Reading, MA during a 3-day period. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1963: Boston, Massachusetts had a maximum temperature of 90 °F the highest temperature for October. They also had another 90 °F day on October 12, 1954. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1970 - Widespread flooding took place across Puerto Rico. Rainfall amounts for the day ranged up to seventeen inches at Aibonito. A slow moving tropical depression was responsible for six days of torrential rains across the island. Totals in the Eastern Interior Division averaged thirty inches, with 38.4 inches at Jayuya. Flooding claimed eighteen lives, and resulted in 62 million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1970: On this date through the 9th, a record breaking early season snow storm rocked parts of the upper Plains. Snowfall totals of 5 to 9 inches were common across the southwest and south central part of South Dakota. Late on October 8th and into the 9th, the southeast portion of the state was hit. Vermillion received 6 inches of snow on the 9th and that is the largest amount ever recorded there for so early in the season. The 5 inches that fell in Sioux Falls is the earliest significant snow on record for the area. The heavy snows also affected portions of western Iowa and western Minnesota. Amounts of up to 7 inches were recorded in northwest Iowa. The heavy, wet snow snapped many tree branches and downed power lines. Sioux City recorded their heaviest snow for so early in the season. In Nebraska, the winter storm brought 11.0 inches of snow near Wheatland, and a total of 8.0 inches to Scottsbluff. It also resulted in Scottsbluff setting a high of only 32°, the earliest day in fall with a high temperature at or below freezing there. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1959: The Soviet spacecraft, Luna 3, captured the first images of the far side of the Moon. The first image was taken at 3:30 UTC on the 7th of October. 1981 - Seattle, WA, received four inches of rain in 24 hours, a record for the city. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - It was another hot day in the southwestern U.S. Tucson, AZ, hit 101 degrees for the second day in a row to again equal their record for the month of October. Phoenix AZ reported a record high of 103 degrees, and Blythe CA and Yuma AZ tied for honors as the hot spot in the nation with afternoon highs of 108 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Morning fog in the central U.S. reduced the visibility to near zero at some locations. Morning lows of 28 degrees at Rockford IL and 24 degrees at Waterloo IA were records for the date. Afternoon highs of 92 degrees at Hollywood FL and Miami FL were records for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Morning thunderstorms in central Texas drenched San Antonio with 3.10 inches of rain in six hours causing local flooding in northeastern sections of the city. Temperatures dipped below the freezing mark from the Northern Rockies to the Upper Mississippi Valley. (The National Weather Summary) 1992: An early fall snowstorm dumped from 7 to 10 inches of wet snow across the Belleville and Munden areas in north central Kansas. The combination of the heavy snow and high winds behind the storm caused tremendous amounts of tree and power line damage in this area. Approximately 20 power poles were snapped off and some residents were without power for up to 48 hours. Approximately 75 homes in the Belleville area sustained damage from falling trees and branches. Concordia, KS recorded its earliest snowfall on record as 2.1 inches fell. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1996: Tropical Storm Josephine tracked northeast across the eastern Gulf of Mexico, and crossing the coast in a relatively uninhabited region of north Florida. County officials estimated storm tides, storm surge plus astronomical tide ranged from up to 9 feet in Levy County to 4 to 6 feet in Pinellas and Hillsborough Counties, and 3 feet as far south as Lee County. Josephine produced a record 22 tornadoes (21 F0, 1 F2, plus one waterspout) over central and northern Florida, making it the most prolific tornado producing tropical cyclone in Florida history. These caused mostly minor damage, primarily to trees. One tornado, however, had a 7 mile long, 400 yard wide track across Edgewater in Volusia County. It severely damaged 30 homes, while 200 others had minor damage. Rainfall amount of up to 8.5 inches were reported over northern Florida in association with Josephine. Property damage in Florida was estimated to be over $49 million dollars. There were no deaths reported. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2001: The high temperature in Death Valley National Park was 95°, ending a record streak of 154 consecutive days with the high temperature 100° or hotter. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2007: Chicago, Illinois: With the mercury soaring to a record-breaking 87 °F race organizers cancel the Chicago Marathon 3.5 hours into the race. (Ref. WxDoctor) 2016: Hurricane Matthew was off the northeast coast of Florida. Matthew brought intense rainfall to the Carolinas on the 8th and 9th. 2018: Only 8 hours after becoming a depression, the National Hurricane Center upgraded the system to Tropical Storm Michael. Tropical storm force winds and torrential downpours were affecting portions of the coastal east-central Yucatan Peninsula.

Before this morning, I was at 1.10” MTD. Getting a heavy shower the last few minutes.

Be more of a bust if it actually rains

71 / 63 partly cloudy. Warm with front / clouds approaching it'll be interesting to see if / who can make 80. Front brings some rain / showers 0.25 - 0.50, Clear out Wed morning, cooler dry Wed - Fri. Cutoff low into the southeast with low near the Carolinas later this weekend Sun (10/13). Forecats bring clouds later Sunday/Monday with more rain just touching southern sections before the storm drifts out. Rigde builds back over and a warmer 10/15 and beyond - euro warmer / gfs.

Nice rug pull for the weekend. Looks like rain will stay where it always rains (east of 95) and leaves the highlands dry. Sucks for drought out there but good for my weekend plans.

Mount Holly's forecast for this Friday through Monday has no mention of rain for my area. Yesterday it had a 30 % chance of showers. Seems the probability of significant rainfall is decreasing although the range of outcomes is mentioned in the morning AFD. Guidance still differs in the evolution of the coastal system from Saturday night into early next week, but we are beginning to see a range of potential outcomes for our area. A weaker and/or farther south solution with the surface low would translate to lesser impacts and lower chances of showers for our region. A stronger and/or farther north placement of the surface low pressure would translate to greater and potentially more significant impacts to our area, especially along and near the coast. This may include potential for coastal flooding, beach erosion, and strong winds near the coast and possibly inland across the coastal plain. Again, a lot of uncertainty with this system, but it bears monitoring closely as it could pack a punch if it draws close enough to our area.

I ran ours dry watering my new lawn the other day. I ran the sprinkler all day moving it around, Now I just do a little at a time. It did recover fairly quick.

It’s important to call him out due to the assumed large # of subscribers to WxBell and he being one of the, if not the, most well-known internet based pro-mets since the start of the internet age. I don’t think it’s obsession and thus don’t see it being unhealthy. A large majority of posts ITT aren’t about JB.

Bust likely. There's no way we're getting what the wetter models are showing. I'd say the NAM has the best chances of being correct and it wouldn't be out of the question to say that's even overdone for some.

I hope this isn't a dumb question, but is there a website similar to Tropical Tidbits or Pivotal Weather where I can see graphical representations of Google AI model products?

Under a quarter inch of rain so far here. Michigan doing much better.

Per a well-known Houston tropical pro-met who often downplays, this was said 45 minutes ago:Scatterometer hit (finally) at 0930Z indicated a closed circulation and some 35kt wind. Likely already a TS. Should recurve east of the islands.

Yeah, some are just dooming. Not entirely without reason. I’m concerned about this winter for our sakes. While I don’t think it will be a total shutout like 22-23 (those are still rare) I do think not only we’ll average +3 over the entire season, but also see at least a couple of 2-week -epo/+pna window of opportunities for a decent event or two. Cold air source regions are starting to build and ahead of where they were last year, so not all hope is lost.

If I took mine apart, it would never get put back together properly . Would either rattle or break. My patience level for things like that is below zero. None

62 this morning. Last warm day for a while

Wife got a great job opportunity out of the blue, but since it’s so far away it’s not something you can commute to, especially in winter. I’m still doing my thing in CT, but will be up here from time to time. It’s a pretty wild example of never knowing where life will take you. My wife never wanted to be outside of a city/suburb, and absolutely hates snow.

Congratulation! Sure, we need the rain, but here's hoping for a bright and sunny Sunday

Overnight op GFS tries to tank the NAO towards the 20th - 22nd of October. If this were winter. . . . .

Ya they do.. I usually don't get any though since I clean them very good every year if i do its minimal. I don't know how some people don't clean them.

They do get a lot of black mold inside