All Activity

These are also the types of wins we’d get in the 2010s constantly. Trends that helped us so often in the medium range instead of trending to crap. But when you’re going cold like we’ve been, very few of these work out.

Though not without the occasional meltdown like the great folks fail of last February!

well boys n girls how happy will the next hour(ish) be? we'll start off by adding the ICON to the thursday party. Mostly northers....but its now popped a SLP and norther 1/2 gets snow. Pops around somerset and traverses pa to Mt. Pocono. as we are almost approaching mid term w/ models it'd be nice to get them all to show something for thursday....or not. Headed out shortly w/ the mrs for some grub. Will check in later.

Miss south

I'm referring to the winter season in general. It'd have been more tolerable to date if it was seasonable cold during our dryness.

Alright GFS HAPPY HOUR

1.32" on the day; 1.33" total between yesterday and today. I'm counting every drop, dammit.

Maybe we'll have it go our way this time. Just haven't been that lucky the last few years.

I'm just getting started. lol

Why on Earth would ANYONE jump ship on winter on Jan. 10th???

If AN seasons are working their back to us (like I think they are) then these are the types of “wins” in the mid range we need in order to get there.

Find yourself someone who loves and hugs you the way DT does the Euro. On the flip side, it's by far the superior model so....

FWIW from. Wxrisk's Facebook page..... WILL DO A NEW SHORT VIDEO THIS EVENING ABOUT JAN 15-16. The last few runs on the operational GFS continued develop a huge snowstorm for the middle I thank New England coast. the model not me but the model is showing something like the January 2016 blizzard or Something like the 1909 or 1922 blizzards on the Mid-Atlantic coast. it's a very extreme solution. it's not out of the question but most of the data is against that kind of massive system. on the other hand the upper level energy on the 12z Saturday midday European model has taken a big step towards the GFS idea of a big Mid-Atlantic winter storm on January 15

I think a lot of what goes wrong on the ICON stems from where the PV is, and the increased interaction it is having with the north stream energy we want to dive in and phase.

Icon is a garbage model so it could show a 100” storm at 24 hours and I’d toss

114 I edited it. Typo on my part

He lives out towards Ashburn, so kind of in the same microclimate as me. He was a legit aviation met, so I picked his brain a bit when I saw him in the office, but I don't think he tracks these types of storms like we do lol (though does root for snow).

The AI Euro hasn't been terrible this winter, especially w/ surface features.

There should be snow in the air as early as tomorrow for areas north of I40 and Nashville eastward.

Currently 37F here with a light rain falling. Alot of winter left, I'm not going to jump ship yet.

A bit, but I do like the higher heights behind the storm. If the energy interactions were a bit cleaner it probably would turn out quite nice. Nothing that won't change run to run at this range.

ICON step back?

Good thing it’s the ICON.

Would definitely be a northern crew favoring event considering that. In the city I know I'm gonna be nervous about how much we would lose to the fight to changeover in the event a storm actually occurs.

.80"