All Activity

Allentown area significant power outage increase last hr in Northampton County.

Was nice now windy, temp dropping and it looks like it’s about to shower soon

November to Remember

Imo UPTON is conservative most of the time. Forecaster decision making and local office policy. Not sure how they verify. All I know. Writing it in an AFD doesn’t verify. Public product does. Warning Advisory verification does! That’s what I and others rely upon. If the 10A reports are the only ones for our area today then they verified with those reports outliers. maintain safety vigilance in strong gusty areas next 12 hours

33/32°F, On the board for this season, 0.8" of snow overnight.

BWI: 25.8” DCA: 20.4” IAD: 32.3” RIC: 15.1” SBY: 23.4”

In what’s become an annual tradition , the forsythias are in bloom https://imgur.com/a/dmuATMH

Its interesting both Mt holly and Upton mention potential for gusts to 50 mph. But Upton decided an advisory wasn't warranted

Mid 50s out. Not bad.

Today’s 2 week GEFS and EPS showed slight improvement vs yesterday regarding progression when comparing the same days into phase 7: 1. GEFS: Yesterday’s GEFS: Today’s GEFS: 2. EPS: Yesterday’s EPS: Today’s EPS:

Thats wonderful

Those are transformers popping

Things our region actually does well: Humid in the summer Warm/wet, cold/dry in the winter

Until Will comes back there’s nothing . Find other things to do

You’ve been below normal too, as I said, we just haven’t had cold lows.

Was a great storm but that was it for the winter

Maybe up north? There still hasn't been a killing frost here. Just took the dog for a walk and could smell my neighbor's roses that are in full bloom..

That storm and the afternoon snowstorm just before St. Patrick’s Day back in March, 2018 were the hardest I ever saw it snow in my life. Both were literal whiteouts for hours

KTEB and KLGA 40-41 KT past hour and many reports DCA/Philly and far S NJ 40-43 kt. Post 1015 am

The wind sounds like mini explosions going off Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

2000 through 2018 seemed like every single snow event at least clipped central park, mimicking 1955 through 1969. 1970 through 1999 it was the complete opposite where it felt like snow was impossible to come by for central park. Mimicking 2019 through today. In fact the 30 year central park snowfall average for 1970 through 1999 is not far off from 2019 through last winter. Not saying this period will last 30 years as well, however, there were 5 good winters in that 30 year period, so we should see a few until the next good period arrives (we already had 2020/2021, so just 4 more above average snowfall winters and we match 1970 through 1999).

They already had snow and this seems not that uncommon for them to have snow before the first freeze. Heat Island.

If that trough buries out west then we're screwed. I suspect we'll get some cold intrusions given the -EPO but looks very meh overall.

Bayesian stats ftw

The 2011-12 winter had a +PNA for both December and January…that’s a surprise. I thought that was a predominant -PNA winter