All Activity

This is a young tree in my neighborhood. I am wondering if it is an elm of some type, but I don't think it is. The leaves are small

The last few runs of the GFS show a hurricane threat to Western Florida mid November.

Close it down. Next!

Get that to go neutral/negative and kaboom

Oh man. Looks like it was a UPS flight. https://www.wdrb.com/news/plane-crash-reported-near-louisvilles-airport-as-huge-plume-of-smoke-rises/article_9fe53459-c8a1-441a-b576-7954f1bfedcd.html https://www.wlky.com/article/plane-crash-explosion-louisville-airport/69255042

Plane crash at Louisville international airport. Live feed is nuts.

Sheesh, and I thought TODAY was windy...

Looks good to me dude, although it is Happy Hour lol. I know you have the CAPE right. But seriously, looks good. I am sure you found the resources on YouTube that do a great job explaining Skew T plots. That's how I solidified all that stuff in my head.

He’s never check anything but snowiest outcome

I had that problem a few years ago. Sleeping pills wouldn't even help. Found out I had an overactive thyroid. I couldn't tolerate the meds, so I had to have it removed. Now, I'm out in like 10 minutes.

The 18z GEFS 500 sigma has it yet again, and is now stronger. Something to watch. I have prob posted too much about it, but these types of systems can be potentially fun to track. Need to get inside of four days to really get a good feel for this. Sometimes northern stream energy will trend northward over time, and the phase is missed. Right now, we want the trend on the GFS operational to be slower and a bit deeper. The GFS being too fast is a bias just as much as the Euro being too slow.

I’m not saying there won’t be strong winds, but the higher end stuff at least at 18Z definitely backed off. by the way, I know you talked about the possible tornadoes in Southeast mass, but there was big-time wind damage in certain spots. I saw a picture at Bourne and there was also tons of trees flattened.

I saw JB referenced @GaWx on one of his blogs and called him by name. Maybe JB reads all of the hate about himself on here too

Another perfect day here. Low of 44, high of 68. Dew point around 40 all day with just a slight breeze.

If we can get this pattern to last into winter, it can funnel cold air on the backside of these storms which would allow cold air to be in place for the following storm (similar to the winter storm parade of Jan-Feb 2015 and Feb 2017.) one storm moves in after the other and it creates some blocking in Atlantic Canada and North Atlantic, funnels cold air down from Canada just in time for the next storm behind that. Been a while since we’ve seen that happen.

I have my third atmosphere and weather test tomorrow and its all on thermodynamics, saturation vapor pressure, lapse rates, and scew-Ts (I am cooked). So would any met or anyone else who knows what theyre doing check my work on this? @CAPE @psuhoffman @WxUSAF @MN Transplant @high risk

Solid sunset.

LOL at ineedsnow's answers. Anything that would suggest he gets snow gets checked.

I’m shocked Ineedsnow voted for most snowiest on all

I’m expecting it to be bitter cold this winter. I live in Vermont. I’m expecting stretches of below zero. I have no logical reason to think this. It just a feeling.

I think he is a decent prospect but literally has no playing time as a pro. Why not get Zietler back via trade?

CoastalWx would be surprised what the event here yesterday turned into over Atlantic Canada. Sting jet and all! This next storm does something similar, expect New England catches the RI phase, and the low ends up 968 mb almost in the same exact position S of Newfoundland Thu aftn. This shows how good a pattern it is -- it reloads on the fly!

It seems to me they're relying on Emory Jones to at least replace one of the two. Not sure how strong of a prospect that is.