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  2. More of an east to west trajectory and longer duration as a result
  3. So does wind start tonight and go through Friday? Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
  4. Some high-res models showing potential for some snow flurries for Thanksgiving over parts of NW AR and SW MO. We shall see what happens. Classic winter NW flow pattern.
  5. HRR runs have a near ideal band out this way.
  6. I said slam dunk pattern not slam dunk storm. We usually need pattern recognition first. Its trending away from a SE Ridge for now but there are other complications like the MJO and the Pacific is still not playing nice. Yet.
  7. Well surprise surprise. Just got a downpour all be it short. Had 1/4” hail with it. 0.16”.
  8. Has it ever looked like a slam dunk for southern snow at this range? C'mon man.... Look at how the pattern has changed in just the last 3 days. Who knows what December will bring. We are definitely heading in the right direction... You have to agree with that.
  9. Good to see the 12z GFS, Canadian & Euro each showing a winter storm chance for Tuesday at this point. Plenty of time to sort out the details, but it would be great to get on the board so early even if it ends up as a light event: It should be just the beginning of our chances in December.
  10. You watch your mouth. Don't speak it into existence. Lol Low ratios and snow falling during day in marginal temps will definitely lead to a lot of compaction. Going to be heavy wet snow
  11. Temp is dropping and wind starting to pick up a bit. Down to 44
  12. Love how the one hole in lower totals in literally over my county. Lol. Can't make that $hit up
  13. We are back to bashing all models that don’t show our preferred solutions and praising the models that do, no matter what model it is. gotta love this place.
  14. Well to be fair Brett…this is 6-7 days away…I’d rather have it look tepid at this stage, than have it show a full blown blizzard bullseye for the area right now. And it’s gonna oscillate on guidance over the next 3 plus days. But it’s ok to say the Pattern looking more promising, but we keep expectations in check as you said earlier.
  15. I like the cold look. Whether that produces anything precip-wise tbd
  16. Just got a feeling from past events that modeling is underplaying Fridays windex squall potential. That's some low 500 temps. Add some lift and some streamers and some quick inch or 2 s . Something to watch.
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