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Will be watching the PNA the next couple of weeks to see how long our warmup lasts starting later next week. As long as PNA stays near -3 standard deviation then it is very hard for it to be cold enough to snow at our latitude no matter what the other signals show.

Brace yourselves... Let's at least get some Foxboro snow mojo in the air Sunday

Maybe the "boo-birds" will be throwing snow balls, not hot water, on Sunday.

18z NAM was an example... on that run, more energy was able to compensate a little for the worse tilt and southeast squash To echo what CoastalWx and others have said... I remember the occasions, felt like a few times every season, when we were micro-analyzing such details with huge stakes on the eve of classic KUs. Now the stakes are a few inches and it's tiring. 0z Euro continued to tick the trough more positive and outcome more southeast... maybe 1-3" south coast, 3-4" outer Cape. 0z AIFS a hair better.

There seems to be a hard cap of about 35% happiness here.

Isn't the euro out soon?

My point was that they could've issued a 72-hour map (that's as far out as they issue them, which I'm fine with) at 18Z that went through 18Z Sunday, which is past the end of the storm, but they waited until 0Z to do so. Plus, I think issuing a map through only 12Z Sunday, without clearly noting that snow wasn't over yet is more than a little misleading and something they shouldn't do, IMO.

Lets do it!

Looks like I'm gonna finish up at about 1.5 inches. Shocked by this one.

Sticking with the NBM on this one. Expectations should be 1-3 for many east of 15 with perhaps a 4” lolli where things line up just right - looking to likely be NE of Baltimore, my guess is somewhere near elk neck state park along the bay

lol…skynet with the Christmas Eve sizable snowstorm.

Brisk night. 20F with a fresh breeze and some good gusts. I'll probably go test/measure the ice on a local lake on Sunday. Should be several inches of black ice by then.

Im definitely worried about another south trend. 0z euro and 0z nam's still look solid for you. Gfs was the most south. Hrrr/rap decently north as well but they also were night before this current event.

Still looks like a few inches of fluff is possible for the S Coasts and the Cape. Parts of CT/RI too.

Seems like a step toward the GFS though...although precip distribution looks different.

0z Euro shifted SE. Bottom line is that we have no idea what will happen, other than the fact that it will likely snow somewhere along the I-95 corridor

00z are ticking southwest. Looks like another dog turd duster here at best. Bring on the torch.

Ji - take a hike bro.

Right now the best shot at moderate snow accumulations based on a model consensus would be I-95 east in CNJ and maybe into Long Island.

Really heavy burst underway currently. Maybe the heaviest of the evening.

We love you @Jebman, don’t listen to the haters they’re all jealous.

I find it funny all top 3 CIPS analogs (12/5/92, 12/8/06 12/13/86) are sort of close at 500, every one was a nothing event with no snow anywhere from what I can tell, 12/5/92 was an epic bust, we had WSWs out down here and saw nothing, I think they actually dropped them late afternoon on 12/5 after putting them out at 4-5pm on 12/4.

I would let someone else eat a shoe!

Listening to TBlizz everything is gone.

Ground is white in Colonial Heights as snow showers continue.