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0.92". Not the frcst 2"+ but I'll take it. Fert went down last night

This is our rainy day? Are we just going to stein our way to November?

Low of 48 with .37” of rain.

I'm really sorry to hear this. That cold February followed by March warmth followed by April 8th freeze then hyper Summer before the 2.6-3std deviation freeze on 21st was the perfect trap. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Looks meh there.

Agreed, there were some competing forces. I have also mentioned that last season still had a notable dearth of true coastals, February blizzard not withstanding. However, we were still able to produce above average snowfall because it was consistently so anomalously cold. I think it was a combination of factors....I agree CC is playing a hand, but it's also important not to get carried away with over attribution. There are other reasons last season was not a 1995 redux....most notably, the solar cycle was somewhat more hostile and there wasn't as much high latitude blocking. There was indeed a far amount last season given the high solar/strong -QBO combo, but 1995 featured one of the more impressive seasonal blocking displays on record given the ascending solar phase shortly after min. That being said, I do agree 1995 was a decent analog in some respects...it was one of my main ENSO analogs.

Another nice weekend incoming here.

This was the 8th warmest March 1st to April 29th for NYC at 50.8°. Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Warmest March 1 April 29 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1945-04-29 53.2 0 2 2012-04-29 52.8 0 3 2010-04-29 52.7 0 4 1921-04-29 52.1 0 5 2024-04-29 51.7 0 6 2016-04-29 51.0 0 7 2023-04-29 50.9 0 8 2026-04-29 50.8 0 9 2025-04-29 50.7 0 10 1985-04-29 50.2 0 11 1946-04-29 50.1 0 12 2021-04-29 50.0 0 - 2002-04-29 50.0 0 - 1977-04-29 50.0 0 13 1991-04-29 49.9 0 - 1903-04-29 49.9 0 14 1973-04-29 49.7 0 15 1979-04-29 49.5 0 16 1998-04-29 49.4 0 - 1986-04-29 49.4 0 - 1976-04-29 49.4 0 17 1910-04-29 49.2 0 18 2020-04-29 49.1 0 - 2006-04-29 49.1 0 - 1990-04-29 49.1 0 - 1987-04-29 49.1 0 19 1968-04-29 49.0 0 20 2000-04-29 48.9 0 - 1981-04-29 48.9 0 21 2022-04-29 48.8 0 22 2008-04-29 48.7 0 - 1938-04-29 48.7 0 - 1878-04-29 48.7 0 23 1963-04-29 48.5 0 24 2019-04-29 48.4 0 - 1913-04-29 48.4 0 25 2009-04-29 48.3 0 - 1995-04-29 48.3 0

0.05", 2.22" for month, a number of stream gauges with extremely low conditions https://waterdata.usgs.gov/state/maryland/

Getting to the point where we can pull BN days and we’ll still say it was a nice day. Like 65/35 with full sun.

Some stations in NNE really aren’t AN. It’s also typically a cool place in April. AN there still is cooler than SNE. Meh.

Temps in April above March levels? Wine?

Fair enough, but all else being equal, I would still bet on +PDO developing during a stronger El Nino....especially given the past few events have been accompanied by -PDO.

complete dog shit take you had. That’s not a pattern change; it’s a blip in the persistence. Signal vs noise. Can’t wait for the April re-analysis for NNE. + AN at or above March levels. As MOST of us thought.

This past winter was really interesting in that we got the warm pool east of Japan interacting with the warm pool off of California and the Baja. So it prevented us from getting a strong +PDO like we had in 1995-1996 with that weak La Niña. So while this was the best winter of the 2020s so far from NYC to Boston, the overpowering Northern Stream was only able to relax from late January to late February. This prevented the wall to wall historic snowy outcome from November 1995 to April 1996. Notice how much stronger the Northern Stream was this past winter compared to 1995-1996. My guess is that the warm pool east of Japan in concert with the much warmer climate may have increased the Northern Stream just enough to take the 1995-1996 historic snows off the table. But we still were able to get the outstanding February KU before the Northern Stream returned for March.

0.50” here

Let's brown up some lawns.

Still running near record low precip since October

.4” last night. Currently 46 and raw. .

Kind of analogous to ENSO in that the PDO cycle itself is still operating as it always has, however, the baseline warming is limiting it's ability to drive the weather pattern around the hemisphere. Interesting.

Unless we get a freak monsoon today, gonna finish with 0.97” of rain IMBY for the month. To go along with 1.95” in March. Yeesh

Steindrite

.53 rain for the event.