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  2. Growth really improved after about 830-9pm. Those 3 hours or so between 9-midnight we really stacked it up. Prob had at least 2/3rds of our accumulation during that stretch. I don’t think it ever snowed truly heavy for more than about 15 min at a time. But just very consistent efficient moderate snow with those heavier bursts mixed in which was stacking at 1-1.5” per hour.
  3. There’s almost a 10 degree difference in my temps than there’s. That’s scary. Lol .
  4. Weather don't care about making a storm thread lol
  5. the weekend has one of my eyebrows in raised position First 'potential' big one worth tracking for the OV in a long time. This type of scenario is what makes tracking fun. Being on the edge 5 days out and hoping for a shift. We've seen too many of these monsters bully north, sometimes to our benefit, (PD2003 and Feb2010), and often to our demise, (Feb 13, 2007).
  6. Still an uneasy feeling for our sub forum with neither ens means budging whatsoever. Maybe an ass hair, but nothing that would make me think the AI/CMC/Ukie solutions hold water. The means are lock-step with each other right now. Very steady. Haven't seen that level of agreement in a long time.
  7. thanks - that was the one i was trying to find unsuccessfully.
  8. Been out splitting wood for the upcoming vodka cold, so catching up on 12z. Both the GEFS and EPS look completely fine for this range. GEPS ofc looks awesome. Can't bother caring much about the AI models at this point.
  9. Looks like early nighttime will be the best window for viewing in terms of cloud cover, then we could get blocked at the mid level between ~10 and midnight or so. The CME is impacting now so I’m hoping to be able to catch stuff after sundown if it isn’t oriented badly for big effects. Right now it appears we could get that coveted south Bz but not sure if that will stick in the end or there’s a big parcel of northiness to come that could dampen things.
  10. Reckon Nashville is gaining confidence
  11. Well, that tells you what they are thinking. Of course subject to change if necessary but for now they are thinking max totals south of this forum. They door leave the door open for some northward adjustments. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/pmdepd.html
  12. Most are over the Tn Valley with some South with it. Maybe come up with a more likely solution between the GEFS , EPS and GEPS.
  13. I tell myself every time models look solid this far out I won’t check again until at least three days out but I guarantee I’ll be looking again this evening lol
  14. Its more for almanac and historical purposes
  15. significantly pass. his time has come and gone.
  16. raheem was a terrible hire in the first place. he was mediocre in tampa as hc and was mediocre as interim hc for the falcons. i had high hopes for zac robinson, but he was a complete flop.
  17. I'm setting an expectation of rain with minor snow accumulation and considering anything else a bonus so I don't get my hopes up. Mentally shifting everything 100-200 miles north when I see snowfall maps haha
  18. Looks like most NWS offices are up to near 40% chance of moderate impact - in line with the WPC charts above. Impressive that MRX talks like that Day 6. I have to comment on BAMWX. I've heard they are also into natural gas. If one is eager to buy, gotta jawbone the other way to get sellers. See my signature - cynical as hell. One thing I'm not cynical about - this system is very likely going to stay South. Too much cold. Too much HP. Too much trough aloft.
  19. Nice to look at. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  20. Charlottesville has 26-32” on the app between SAT & SUN. Let the hysteria begin.
  21. I generally like those guys so I watched the latest video for his thoughts. He definitely believes it'll be well north. Heaviest snow north of the Ohio River and ice in Kentucky. Thinks the high is weakening and getting the banana look that will encourage the storm to cut. Used the late January 2009 storm as an example. Just said it was gut feeling and what climatological normally happens. Also, admitted he could be wrong and that he really want the snow.
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