All Activity

@MillvilleWx @Bob Chill the thing I like for us is that WAA mega strip really hasn’t wavered for MULTIPLE runs now. Some noise here and there but that paint brush stroke is straight and steady as she goes. Hoping it is still a reality by Thursday night and then I’ll personally get a little more excited.

About to be ICONic?

That is good to hear ... don't care about being in the jackpot, but was thinking a 100-150 mile shift to the north as has been discussed in this thread would put the freezing rain amounts being advertised in NC right in my backyard - genuinely worrying. I like not losing power for a week with single digit temperatures.

you might remember me i used to get banned a lot but now im a good poster i try to just post my thoughts and keep out of serious and mets' way a.k.a feen a.k.a tony loves snow

Carries the low much more south. .

That was going to be awesome

Who was it that said sometimes the really big storms will often have a model consensus from several days out?

Yeah, that's what Webb was alluding to ; it dropping further West. He's basically saying we don't want that to continue.

I just laugh as everyone gets their panties in a wad. It’s still four days out, we’ve seen so many 11th hour changes in the past, they should be expected.

Not much change out to 66h

there he is the old timer yanksfan wheres allsnow and juliancolton

Yeah. I think the mix can make it to your hood, but that signal on the initial WAA thump is absolutely incredible. The FGEN panels are nutty with a deep DGZ layer correlating with the same time frame. You’ll probably see some monster dendrites followed by clumped aggregates that will accumulate hard and fast before any flip. Should be a great storm down there, Bob!!

I’m not a 20 year old kid anymore. I’m a 40 year old man with 3 kids and a full time job. Don’t have the time I once had. I’ll do my best to chip in on this one though since it’s got blockbuster written all over it.

If we dig any further, we'll truly bring Venezuela up here.

Your wisdom makes me feel better about this. Let’s get this done. I’m nervous but cautiously optimistic.

14.5/7 at 10pm

Maybe he meant 7pm? 7 am sounds way to early?

Guys, lets lock in. 0z suite time. We start with the ICON. Come on. You know the drill. Moderator @bncho is here to get you lot in order.

Long range NAM looks good.

Icon through hour 60 has a more tilted N-S for the NS that opens up the SW and leads to it progressing east than its 18z run. 0z on top 18z below

Warmest 10 degrees I’ve ever felt. Balmy out there

is paul kocin still there lol?

I'm obviously no met, so pardon the uneducated question, but when you have warmer air aloft in situations like this coming weekend, doesn't that mean places like us at 3000-5000 feet elevation have MORE chance to get IP/ZR or pure rain since we are already in a "higher" part of the atmosphere vs say somewhere east of us at <500 ft elevation? It would seem that would put us in a more precarious situation than those East of us in cases like this. Am I thinking about this right? Thanks for the help trying to understand.

@yanksfan and @allsnow used to do it and tony. used to be fun what happen to @Juliancolton