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Most winters have a January thaw. This mild pattern will be 10 to 15 days. Colder than average starting the 18th.

They stopped the chemtrails.

Watch the magic act continue to unfold...the incredible disappearing RNA...vanishing right before our eyes faster than a medium range SNE snow-threat.

Everything looks awesome in the 10-15 day range. No trouble there. It's getting that look inside day 5 that's the issue. Give it till the end of the month then it's punting time.

It appears to be more than a NE region issue interesting

@qg_omegaHave you been keeping track of this? Flip back to RNA started out at 1/15 as of the 1/2run, now it's 1/20 and sliding....

Looks mild and dry as far as the I can see. The threat for the 16th is over, and with that, the threat for the 18th is over. So now we will look beyond the third week of the month for any semblance of wintry weather across the US (aside from the Great Lakes in northern New England, which continues to clean up very nicely). Looks quite cold in the long range with the cold air, returning in a few days across much of the eastern, central, south US. Normally that would accompany increased chances for wintry weather, but we’ve seen how that doesn’t always play out. This has been one of the most mild starts to a January across the US that I can remember. Even in the 2023 winter and the 2024 winter, while they were in good for the vast majority of us, there was an active train of storms across the west and central US. Similar to January 2020 which was also quite mild and not snowy for the vast majority of us still had an active train of storms across the northern tier. This January has none of the above and looking into the foreseeable future, remains as dry as it has been. Remarkable

Kidding aside…that ULL moves right overhead now Thu night. There will probably be some accumulating light snows up here. You still can’t rule out this thing blowing up for E ME if we start getting some pressure falls in the GOM. But yeah, it’s only 1/12. The elephant in the room is that continues up here.

Cant be too discouraged with this mornings gfs run. Plenty of chances are coming over the next couple of weeks.

"Skynet begins to learn at a geometric rate. It becomes self-aware at 2:14 a.m. Eastern time, January 9th. In a panic, the weenies try to pull the plug."

Nothing gives me goosebumps quite like ensembles 10+ days away.

Chargers blew that game, should have been 14-3 early. I thought the Patriots looked beatable…Houston (if they win) will be a tough matchup. I still think the winner of the DEN/BUF game are favorites to reach the SB for the AFC.

Bout as bad as me wearing a different shirt than I normally do for the Panthers game on Saturday... We should both know better.

Looks like a continuation of the milder and dry pattern through the next week. EPS January 12 to 19 forecast

I buy it...I know someone like @qg_omegawill beat me over the head for that, but this season is going to eventually produce....I don't think I'm going to challenge my futility record.

Gonna take the blame for totals being slashed in the mountains since I said I’d book a cabin there this weekend haha

Steady....looks pretty close to the last wave that hit 8.

Not much of a winter so far across the CONUS

20 this morning

A sunny couple of days with seasonably chilly temperatures to start the week with an increasing chance of some combination of rain and then snow by the middle to late week. Temperatures trending to below normal by next weekend.

a advisory event could still happen, but not sure much more down here. I'll still be glad to see it snow.

I will say that the EPS continues to get snowier and snowier in the LR. They never got too bullish about the 1/15-1/20 period but they been really liking the period after that. So for us masochists who like tracking these things, that would be your beacon of hope.

A sunny couple of days with seasonably chilly temperatures to start the week with an increasing chance of some combination of rain and then snow by the middle to late week. Temperatures trending to below normal by next weekend.

Winter have ALWAYS sucked here. This is absolutely nothing new. I've been here my entire life. Last winter was a great winter. I had 3 weeks of winter last year. The year before I had 11 days of winter (below freezing with snowpack). It only happens every few years on average. This year probably won't have any period of winter since the past 2 did. I suggest people travel. I know.. it's not the same. I suggest renting a house and staying for a week or more. I did that and it was almost like snow at home.

So far you nailed everything