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  2. mitchnick
    Gotta' love the Aleutian Low at 5H.
  3. GaWx
    OHC is still rising and is now at insanely high levels (>+3), especially for early August! @snowman19
  4. aldie 22
    Yeah that is tasty looking, that makes me wonder what potential that may have for us back here in the Shenandoah Valley
  5. mitchnick
    That range is .5-1C.
  6. mitchnick
    Some WB maps at this post.
  7. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  8. GaWx
    Even the Euro’s 3.4 RONI peaks at ~+3.4 in Nov, which would obliterate the current record of +2.5 set Jan 1982! Note that in switching from ERSST version 5 to 6, the record warmest has dropped at it had been +2.7 based on ERSST version 5. This prog is slightly warmer than the peaks of +3.3 on the prior run (July) and +3.2 on the June run: 8/2/26 3.4 RONI peak ~+3.4 in Nov:
  9. aldie 22
    1.05 lovely!!
  10. mitchnick
    Here's the August DJF temp forecast.
  11. mitchnick
    5H is better this run too. DJF is looking a lot like Cfs2.
  12. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  13. mitchnick
    Euro seasonal a little cooler in the MA and SE. This is for the NDJ period. Can't compare DJF because July's forecast ends at NDJ.
  14. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  15. weatherwiz
    Monday could be a decent severe setup too. Going to be an active several days in the convective department. Certainly going to start seeing some increased flood concerns too. Time to toss those drought maps
  16. FPizz
    Probably. They might hear it on the news or see a headline, but overall I think us here are the only ones that care. The other 99% want to know why their App says 50% chance of rain today and it is sunny, lol. If I had a dime for every time someone brings up their hour by hour weather app...:D
  17. WxUSAF
    If we are that wet and DJF is only +1C, I’d do cartwheels. Especially if it follows Nino climo and most of that positive anomaly is December.
  18. LakePaste25
    I wouldn’t dare predict a snowless winter. There’s no data to back that up. But I would place heavy bets on +3 or higher in terms of temp departures in the mean, locally.
  19. weatherwiz
    I am surprised we don't have at least a marginal risk for Friday
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think it's much more for the east coast than your area, but def. get the point.
  21. TriPol
    I think some people know how hot its been and that there's an El Nino and correlate with global warming. That's about as far as it goes.
  22. LakePaste25
    I will place a heavy bet that Nino 1+2 will once again, not cool off as we head into next spring. This is why I don’t yet think we swing back to a major La Niña. Cold neutral is once again on the table next year.
  23. dendrite
    Beer?
  24. kgottwald
    Raining again at GMU, but the radar isn't even showing it!
  25. FPizz
    Yes, living humans haven't seen this (I'm sure dead ones have though at some point) and I'm sure 99.99% wouldn't even know it is happening since pretty much nothing in their life is going to change over the next 10 months because of it. Many alive today will have lived through the stongest La Nina and El Nino ever, and not even know. Pretty funny really when you think about it.
  26. Hurricane Agnes
    Have managed to get under a rain blob that moved up from the SW, briefly giving me >1"/hr rates. Currently 73 with dp 72 and moderate rain that dumped 0.44" in the bucket so far.
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