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In 32 Moderate+ Nino's we've never had a Winter temp pattern with a warm SE and cold NE. 0/32. Credit to gawx for doing the research. The Cansips is not showing something reasonable.

I'm not too sure we go cold ENSO after this El Nino. We had 5/6 recent Nina years. History says 4/6+ reverses +1-4 years 2:1 (El Nino favored 2x over La Nina) We also had a Strong Nino in 23-24, history says +3-5 years after that, El Nino is also favored 2:1. +ENSO tendency for 27-28 and 28-29 may temper the Nina snap back.

Imo, cansips is prob a best case scenario. -EPO door to door and no deep GOA trough. I don't think the classic nino height pattern will be friendly like it has in the past. Oceans are warm and the pac jet is more problematic. We've needed amplified flow and the majority of our snows over the last 10+ years happened with a -EPO. "Regular" cold has been delivering near misses way too often and ninos aren't known for anomalous cold in the east. Waaaay too early to worry about details of course but personally I'm not that excited about a nino. The only thing that will make me optimistic over the summer (assuming a nino actually happens lol) is a legit +PDO forming. If a nino locks in and the npac sstas are all jacked up, I'll be pretty pessimistic

He sang after the blizzard. We just didn’t have tickets to the show.

I wouldn't be too sure. After the 1997-98 event, a double-year strong la nina followed.

For April- DCA: +2.3 NYC: +1.9 BOS: +1.2 ORD: +0.8 ATL: +2.2 IAH: +1.4 DEN: +2.4 PHX: +2.3 SEA + 0.6 SEA: +0.4

77 was the max here. Flowers popping, trees budding. Grass growing. it’s coming

Deluge here today.

Global SSTA are about as classic as it gets right now for later in the year Nino 3.4 El Nino ^Even the Atlantic matches lol

I plotted from Don's warmest DJFM Phoenix years.. it's surprising that the DJFM that occurred a year later is cold in the SW. It has historically snapped back the following year.

That was impressive

International Falls getting 2 snowstorms back to back Lucky

Go Artemis!

Dime-sized hail pouring down here. Beginning to accumulate.

Huh. I haven't seen a single forecast of sustained warm weather. Everything I've seen indicates we have at least a couple more weeks on the rollercoaster.

Nice little sub-severe thunderstorm right now

48 here tomorrow and 40s next week per my forecast. Where's all this sustained April warmth I've been hearing about lately?

Nothing like watching a robust cell dissolve in 2 frames, just 1 mile from your house after it survived a 2 county trek .

Breezy and no hail in Baker Park, but man that was a torrential midsummer downpour.

Getting rocked here in Baker Park. A lot of ppl got caught in it. I’m chillin’ in my car until it simmers down from the current torrents.

Hope the Michigan sloppy seconds pans out better than last time for me. Got screwed with the north and south split.

Getting some of that line pushing through here. Sideways blowing rain. ETA getting some small hail.

I don't know how anyone is surprised about the lack of data/products.

Thats how we pronounce it here in NY.