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  2. there was widespread 8-15 so who really cares....looking at massachusetts today and they are posting some big numbers in some areas, though most are not much higher than ours. in laws in maine getting ready. but they have tractors up there.....
  3. euro AI has had every storm right this winter. it's like 5 for 5
  4. The 2020-2021 analog had that....plus, while I didn't include 2014-2015 and 2012-2013 due to ENSO, they were decent analogs. 2014-2015 was an exceptionally strong QBO/solar combo analog...best out there.
  5. please stop - definition of wishcasting. its 5-6 days out; todays runs mean very little - were only at pattern recognition stage right now.
  6. Let me be the voice of reason a bit folks, this is still a northern stream dominant phase/close off solution. It did kind of pop back in "medium range", but its a long way off for this type of variable-complex driven solution. The models struggle with N/S waves often times, especially in these cases.
  7. This is inch and our stuff and I have one weenie in the making 79113926165__2B90A2F0-2EB8-46BC-8044-5F8042DF07FE.MOV
  8. not sure if it helps, but CoCoRaHs is a good place to see the liquid equivalent with the snow measurements matched up. Sometimes you need to look at the reports closely because they don't always report at the same time, but it may give some insight into the ratios we had yesterday. All in all, I just dont think we had a deep enough DGZ to maximize snow growth. Its why our ratios were so low. It also explain why areas to the north did better with the ratios. That and the really nice frontogenesis that set up around butler co yesterday
  9. Just glad we didn't get freezing rain. Would have turned this hard situation into an impossible one.
  10. Ukie has no storm whatsoever, which is not surprising. It can sometimes whiff on these setups until you get within 100 hours.
  11. Yep my wife just showed me one. I said you can’t believe anything the early. She said “you said this weekend would be all snow and nope so I am now getting it some where else”. I hope she means her weather info.
  12. I've seen weaker hurricanes than this before. 963 is at least Cat 2.
  13. 5 days out. You don’t want to be ground zero of the clowns right now. Carry on.
  14. There were 17 seasons where the official Harrisburg station recorded 14" plus in a 2-day or less event since 1890. Here are the stats Statistics for these 17 Seasons: Count: 17 Mean: 49.91" Std Dev: 18.54" Median (50%): 47.20" Min: 23.90" Max: 81.30" 25th Percentile: 38.00" 75th Percentile: 57.70" For 12" plus Statistics for these 31 Seasons: Count: 31 Mean: 45.82" Std Dev: 16.39" Median (50%): 39.50" Min: 23.90" Max: 81.30" 25th Percentile: 34.95" 75th Percentile: 54.45 For 10" plus Statistics for these 48 Seasons: Count: 48 Mean: 42.90" Std Dev: 15.12" Median (50%): 39.30" Min: 18.40" Max: 81.30" 25th Percentile: 33.50" 75th Percentile: 50.85" Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  15. Hard shoveling and ice chopping! Been out all morning.
  16. Should of seen the jack wagon who posts on fb as eastern panhandle weather. And Apple weather is just a janky app. It said it was 22 degrees in hagerstown when it was avg around 13-14 at the time. Very poor app.
  17. ggem with another 8-9 inches of lake dust, goes nuclear into the 950s on the east coast
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