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Would not surprise me. Cold springs have become the norm here. Sigh Cold rains. Yuck.

AniIntense downpour of graupel just passed through Damascus. The ground is coated with “styrofoam” pellets…very cool

This just in from skynet to SNE...

So a typical snow. Cool.

Thankfully it's not the other way around lol

12z EPS is actually a slight increase from 6z on Thursday's potential.

There is a lot of spread on the EPS for the 15-16th.

The end of the gfs was about to send it to. Had a 1060 parent HP in Canada and a 1055 in SE Montana.

Thats exactly my point. Scooter be damned

Ukmet finally ran and I wish it didn’t. Shows nothing pretty much like cmc. So it’s the cmc and ukemt vs gfs and euro

Speculation post: If patterns run in cycles, it's been almost exactly 60 days since we had an anomalous shortwave dropdown over the southern Apps and drop some early season snowfall. 11/11/25: Jan 15 2026 Overall NA pattern isn't quite the same, but thus the: #speculative Would be interesting if we got another rerun of this in early March.

Snowing in DC!

The EPS supports this.

Totally agree. Just need to avoid too much backsliding in the meantime.

MJO forecasts aren’t conductive for entrenched warmth.

This is one of these systems that's going to be off and on until your inside 4 days or so to know where its going, Lot going on aloft.

The OP Euro is trying to show a Norlun trough which seldom works out for our area. The EPS means don’t show it. But it’s always possible a narrowly focused Norlun develops somewhere between ACY and Boston with the UL. It would probably be a nowcasters special for the short term higher res models since they are never well forecast much in advance.

It was evident a week ago it would basically be one or two mild days with no big warmth

EPS has a decent number of members that are warning snow for a chunk of SNE. Lot of spread of course.

Full sun here with dandruff falling! .

Several more incoming after a brief mild down.

Way too early, just going to make people have to switch back and forth between threads since there is so much uncertainty all next week.

You’ll get snow. Trust.

Had a decent snow shower just now at the house and must have missed one while we were at church bc there is a small dusting in spots in the grass up next to the walkway here at the house.