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Good to see winter tracking for 26/27 has begun - i.e. whether or not the rain and wind misses us or goes OTS at Day 4.

Here she comes re

Euro backing in a little later. Definitely a precarious setup.

IDK...Euro has that look of backing in. Maybe it ends up east of previous runs but that H5 look through 120-126 seems to scream getting tugged in

Sable Island has trees?

Getting some pea size hail this afternoon.

I'm thinking your area does well with tonight/tomorrow's system with winds out of the ENE. Usually, you're in a rain shadow but that setup with moist air pushing against the mountains might be nice for you.

Yep. Fun while it lasted! On a serious note this is the range when models lose the storm.

Yup and at this point strength is not necessarily important. In fact, if one is looking for prolonged impacts you'd probably not want this getting as deep as it can get because that would probably result in a quicker occlusion. But because of the potential anomalous track of this system, the angle in which this may bank in is going to be more of a player versus strength.

Euro is going to be east

Absolutely. A stronger low with a graze track does nothing for most of us. The hook west is key to expanding and extending impacts.

Care more about track vs strength though. AI a nice hit.

Easy money C5

Interesting state by state interactive snowfall prediction map. I’ll take the one for NC and cash out now. Still a bit leery of Super Ninos and lack of cold source but only takes 1 to make that map verify. https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/winter-2026-2027-snowfall-explorer-september-forecast-update-state-region-breakdown-united-states-canada-europe-fa/

Euro ai has a 992 low and 6z had 988 low

Euro ai a little west and less wind and rain

a bit weaker compared to 6z though

All he does is win, same with Sirianni. I don’t care what it looks like, anyone you replace them with is just not going to replicate that success. It’s the golden era of eagles football. That was one of Hurts best passing games imo, first pick was bad but I see the intent, he was trying to put into a tight space and got burned… second pick wasn’t his fault at all, that’s a TD if the o line can block. He made some big time throws yesterday though and that should only improve as he gets more comfortable in the system.

Euro AI has heading west into LI .

1.3” yesterday. 5.1” on the month. Pleasant day today and should remain so the rest of the week. I turned off the AC a day too early on Saturday and needed it for the humidity yesterday but back off for the foreseeable future, hopefully until 2027!

Wow. This weekend’s Nor'easter is non-existent on the GFS.

Polo looks about ripe for IR

Looks like we’re getting a reverse rug pull. About time.