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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, he's pretty concerned. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
ChescoWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
A return to chillier weather today with highs in the mid-40's. We stay below normal through Monday with maybe some wet snow arriving toward Tuesday morning. This should turn to rain pretty quickly from SW To NE across the area. Temperatures look to be near normal for Christmas Eve Day before we rise to about 4 degrees above normal for Christmas Day. Boxing Day looks to be the warmest day of the week before we cool down as we move toward the New Year's holiday. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
A return to chillier weather today with highs in the mid-40's. We stay below normal through Monday with maybe some wet snow arriving toward Tuesday morning. This should turn to rain pretty quickly from SW To NE across the area. Temperatures look to be near normal for Christmas Eve Day before we rise to about 4 degrees above normal for Christmas Day. Boxing Day looks to be the warmest day of the week before we cool down as we move toward the New Year's holiday. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yes sir…you’ve been on this. And let’s juice it up to a solid advisory event for SNE. If we could do that…I’d be close to average December snow. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Good post man ! -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Subtle difference with the handling of the vortmax by the gfs xmas eve morning. It drives the dPVA a lot more south while the other models curl it up into the GOM. This is more about the inverted trough possibility and not the initial overrunning in SNE. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
2250? That seems rather optimistic. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Lock it in but I know we cannot be that lucky... 32F -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
WxWatcher007 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I’ve liked this signal for like a week now. Trends overall continue to be good for many. Let’s bring it home. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yeah both CMC models are pretty far north with the surface relection. I’d probably toss the gfs for now on a possible part deux unless the euro comes in south of ART. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Canadian way north but did come south. -
Gfs showing a cold rain for Christmas Day. Bleh.
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Possible Light Snowfall (1" - 4") on Tuesday Dec 23
NEG NAO replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
IMO it is still too early to say if this is accurate or not - the last storm over performed in many areas - this will end up being a nowcasting event just like the last one....... -
Still no power. Almost 24 hours.
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White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yeah tough run up there. ICON and euro still want that more north. Goofus took that surface low from like BUF to way south of ACK so the trough set up way south. Most of the models have been taking it from ART to off the coast of BVY which would be better for you and me. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
We take OP GFS -
The big winds were in with the rains . In CT anyway. All those 60-75mph gusts were where it was raining
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We toss
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White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Op and AI gfs crank that inverted trough for E NH/M -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
We take gfs -
Possible Light Snowfall (1" - 4") on Tuesday Dec 23
MJO812 replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
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