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Here are the 06z and 12z runs of the EPS-AI.

I would be REALLY interested to see what you would rate the winter here in Detroit. It SCREAMS Beavis winter. Outside of those 2 gross weeks (Christmas week and 2nd week of Jan) it has literally been Beavis winter to a TEE since late November. Not only has the cold and snowcover been consistent, but the snowcover was always looking fresh and clean (just now got a bit dirty after Tuesday). It was also colder in Detroit than Chicago. Not saying this in a bragging way, just because its really rare to get such a beavis winter. Ever since you explained SDDs Ive followed them closely. Chicagos annual avg since 1949 for SDDs is 176. So far this season they are at 117. Detroits annual avg for SDDs since 1949 is 183, and so far they are already at 289. So, Detroit has seen 36.3" of snow to Chicagos 32.1", yet Detroit has had 172 (and counting) more SDDs than Chicago.

Can we get the seasonal trend here? Or do waves only trend south when we need them them to trend north??? Asking for a friend.

Some of you spent so much time complaining that our Jan storm was ruined by sleet that mother nature was just like.....F you ungrateful aholes....no more snow.

Welcome to ene

does anyone have the euro ai ensembles clowmap

And if it does happen, it's good that it would be happening at night when it's cold enough to get a little accumulating snow.

We had 43" depth on Feb 29, 2008 with 10-14" forecast ("Manitoba Mauler") for March 1; I figured 50+ was in the bag. Got only 6" which pushed the pack to 48", tops for that season, and there was still 35" on 3/31. Somewhere (not in the spreadsheet) I have a core measurement from March 2008, probably 13-14" as we totaled 142.3" and most of the snow had meat. DJFM precip totaled 22" and we had no extended thaws, just the one-day torch on Jan 8. Took a core earlier this afternoon, 20" pack held 3.86". We probably had about 2" SWE in year end's 8" pack and we've had 2.59" since then (includes 0.54" from 2 modest Jan RA). Factor in some sublimation and almost 4" seems appropriate.

We say this every time then expect next time models will be better.

We knew

What do you recommend at starlight diner?

Can’t believe the Euro baited and trolled us this entire time. Lol

Great, now the shield thingy that's been there for years will suddenly be visible to everyone. No more of this............

yeah ...there's a tendency for the models to act like there's a -NAO block when the actuals don't really show a block. It's really interesting. But pinning the p-boundary roughly DTX to BOS is part of that behavior

Yeah, I'm near the boat basin. I think it was April, 2000, woke up to a winter wonderland on a Sunday morning. About three inches, stuck everywhere. The sun came out and by noon it was like it never happened.

This week coming up definitely looks cooler here vs how it looked a week ago, but literally 200 miles SW of us may be tanning. It’s real close.

they've been heaving down here for a few weeks now. some side roads are brutal

Any OP solution that far out is for the glue factory. Ensembles do show some weak signal for a warm spell around that time, but ensembles this winter have been almost perpetually showing warm spells in clown range that haven't really verified....so we wait.

even if light i always prefer being in the blue

Pretty sweet day today. 37° and bright blue skies. Wish I was on the slopes.

He’s starting to get a little wild

Thankfully it’s on its way to the glue factory so we disregard until it gets put back together.

Got to keep ACATT straight.

models playing with us like they did for a few runs after the 1/25 MECS