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I don’t know if this setup will produce that, but heavy rains sure.

The only similarities between this storm and Sandy are they're both occurring at high tide and to an extent retrograding westward. Sandy is going to be 40-50 mb stronger and several times larger in diameter and wind field. This isn't even in the same league. Having said that, I do think the coastal flooding in some areas may end up getting close to those levels, particularly on Long Island, Raritan Bay, and parts of the Jersey Shore.

Except it comes in Exceptionally wet banding. You could pick up 4 inches in 90 minutes

GFS gives us a pretty good soaking tomorrow too before the main event. I wonder if that's right because some of the mesoscale models say we're not gonna see much rain during the day tomorrow.

Fixed yes API. Missing data was dragging it down

Remember it’s meteorology and not modelogy, that low pressure is already lapping up the cold air as it sits over warm-ish water. It’s gonna force the high to weaken and split, funneling the same low pressure at the same time.

Bookmarked, site is beautiful Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk

So refreshing outside. Sucks we will be back near 85+ the mid to end next week. Ugh. Got down to 50* here last night. Wish we can bottle this up for the next month or so.

12z GFS is a soaker for most of the area . 2-3 inches of rain as the storm drives right into NJ

I’m getting the feeling New Jersey through Southern Connecticut takes the brunt of this.

yeah, probably be able to pull super cooled columns of air out of the stratosphere and flip some over to snow.

The fact, if correct, initialization is lower than expected, it’s punching through that high.

Whomp whomp

GFS doesn't seem as inverted either, especially inland. In fact, even developing a couple hundred J of MUCAPE

Better LLJ too.

Yep, there’s gonna be periods where it might be dry and not much going on, and then absolute downpours at other times.

I can tell you no one is calling this Sandy in the respected media. I don't know what the clickbate Facebook-ologists are saying but this idea of the media hyping this as a Sandy is simply not true. (You're not doing that but I'm seeing many angry posts from people telling us stop hyping)

I think the only caveat there is if we get real banding. I can see periods where it pours under those and people see localized issues.

By hr42 actually bumps north

GFS north of 6z and close to 0z

Scooters “banana high” is literally getting broken, evenly.

Yeah, Sandy Hook could reach the 9ft level or a bit higher which would only require a 3.5 foot surge on top of the 5.5 astronomical level with the full moon tomorrow morning. A 4 foot surge coinciding with the morning height tide would get to the 9.5 foot level. The back bays of Long Island could see an even higher surge relative to their locations. The models have a tide level in Freeport forecast close to 8 foot mark. That would approach the Hurricane Irene tide level.

Brewings and Eats didn’t have it yesterday, so I’m assuming Ches and Maine doesn’t either. They don’t open until evening, so it may be off to Milton!

The is going to be bad, the fact the broad and oddly cold high pressure is splitting into a two engine system as the tropical low pressure comes north and hits a wall it spilts evenly, not allowing it to leave in either direction so it’s lost and there is a Full Moon this weekend.

You developed it? Nice! I like your visuals/displays. Did you get all forecast data from an API? For wind speed, I see: The mean wind speed in the screen cap == 17.8 mph, but shouldn't it be mean(23.4+20.2+23.5+27.4+20.4+21.7+23.5) = 22.9 mph? Nothing is below 20.2 mph for wind speed.