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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
This is your brain on beer… -
1.58 for the day and 2.60 for August already. Ready for the drought to come back!
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e44 it is.
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.23 today after the latest round. Truly the dog day's of summer.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Some Euro January temp maps off WxBell courtesy MA forum. Top map is from the July forecast and bottom is August's. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
MGorse replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
All the best to you out in Denver! -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Getting round 3 with >1"/hr and am at the 1.00" mark for the day so far. Temp 77/dp 76. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
So we are going to base this Winter on the 91-20 average? I can tell you right now that will be warm. I would rather do the most recent 30-years. -
The storm in west Baltimore county is raking someone with rain.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
There is a huge statistical misperception. The odds of getting warm 5/5 times is not that low. Record breaking Nino's should probably be warm realistically 65-70% of the time. -
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I'm like 500 feet from hunterdon co, lol. Stuff weakened a bit but should get a decent little drink.
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This is incoherent
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Is that stuff going to make it up to the city in the next few hours?
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54” winter CONFIRMED
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Yes, no one wants your garbage here. Not a soul gives a damn. This isn't a request either to stop, move on from this thread.
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This morning's lows were a bit chilly across NE MN. Upper 30's/40's. My heater even kicked on once. It works still
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What a swamp out there. Yuck ! .40 of rain today, not bad. Soil moisture back up again today. Middletown, DE (19709) Current Soil Moisture : 26.78% 24-Hour Average : 25.8% 5 Day Average : 26.0% Soil Moisture for the 0-10 cm layer Humidity 87% Wind Speed SW 7 mph Barometer 30.11 in (1019.5 mb) Dewpoint 76°F (24°C) Visibility 3.00 mi Heat Index 85°F (29°C) Last update 5 Aug 2:51 pm EDT
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I am not that surprised since these seasonal forecast models can’t do much better than general climatology or correlations. Never saw a seasonal model forecast an extreme pattern before it actually happened except for 2013-2014. So I don’t expect the actual details to begin to emerge much before the model runs near the beginning of December. All we know for sure at this point is that this will be the strongest El Niño on record. All previous super events shared the one common aspect of warm winters. But there is always room for variability with each new event in some regard to past ones such as ridge and trough locations. -
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None of us care here in this subforum, do your business in a DM.
