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I’ve been bullish on this since last night. I went to bed happy last night though not for the reason I’d have felt happy 40 years ago…. Also, I’ve been harping about the AI models and how imho they should be weighed highest. They self upgrade continuously and they’ve been around now long intro be taken quite seriously. Once I saw all the AIs on board o bought in.

I feel like it looks like the gfs did last night/this morning. Definitely a more forgiving swath on the 0z rgem but damn. It makes me anxious af counting on precip forming over our heads.

When we say amped…are we just meaning it’s further N and W. Or do we also mean it’s more intense as well?

Icon suddenly blows this thing up, but to Far offshore. I’d definitely consider it a step towards the more impactful models though

Brave. Some might say the bravest statement. Too bad Alex isn’t here to witness your bravery.

that is an amped solution no doubt

For the sake of most in this forum, if Fredericksburg gets half a foot of snow, blood will be shed.

Icon pops a low off the Delmarva. It had nothing earlier. Rgem was trying

Syracuse

I thought it took a positive step over all--actually better than 12z...another step maybe more are happy? My yard is on the edge but firmly so there.

No rgem love? Northern crew looks decent there.

Yes. For VA and Eastern shore

So the ICON isn’t terrible. Nice step

Still seemed like an improvement from 18z though, didn't it?

Icon says go f your self to anyone north of DC Sound familiar?

Clipper Games. Pick your dart and toss it. These coming are true classic Alberta Clippers. The slightest top down ripple can swing these things 50 miles. Gonna be mostly nowcasting, watching where Critical Thickness sets up. It's been awhile thats for sure. In the olden days in Jan and Feb we'd get 4 or 5 across 10 days that would lay 4-6 across the entire Sub lol

The new RRFS handled the temps well with this. Be interesting to see how that model performs this season in places that see frequent marginal setups

Dusting to an inch with tomorrow night's wave for this area. Saturday wave looking like a whiff to 2".

what would you say is "greatness"? 3-5?

Top of Beech Mountain. Snow has stopped. Hope it will pick back up

3.25” wrapping up now but still light snow, stayed snow the whole event.

12k NAM is not gonna cut it. The low pops over Baltimore. Would be great for New England.

Where is this?

Yeah, big snows for northern areas.

Congrats, that's awesome. First time I've had an underperformer here. Still learning the climo here.