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Looks like some supercells are already trying to get going as they move towards DC. A lot already have a bit of a rotation going on them.

Preseason games start later since they went from 4 to 3 preseason games. Birds 1st preseason 8/15/Ravens...

Rain and in many places a LOT of it is incoming....radar is awesome, bring it!!

Agree, but its a season long thing. What's his record now, 4-10? Could be 10-4 lol

I've been thinking / under the impression that the flooding threat from this system has been underplayed by WPC / LWX since about Wednesday. We don't often get 2.25" PWAT's coupled with a cut-off low to our southwest with a 200mb right entrance overhead. At least LWX on Saturday AM started to pick up the rainfall risk and has been amplifying the message since.

Pouring rain here right now

The big difference in this versus the previous setups is this rain isn't spread out over a long duration. This will be the type of stuff that produces 2-4" in 1-2 hours versus several-plus hours.

A bit off here. HP will slide E with a front moving in with scattered shwrs/stms.

He went up against arguably the best pither in the NL. The Orioles had their changes twice and just could cash in. That 15 pitch at bat in the 7th did him in.

The lines are drawn

Dews today and yesterday have been oppressive, low to mid 70s.

Not seeing that. Everyone will rain but only a very narrow area will get anything of bigger significance. There will be a small zone that trains .. but it’s nothing widespread

Yea I haven’t noticed any real browning of grass here. Very green summer overall, especially when compared to the tumbleweed summers we’ve had recently.

Rainfall rates will be quite impressive tomorrow and the initial round of rain is going to be on the widespread side and then we see what we can develop during the day in terms of convection. You have a stout southerly LLJ into the region with 8850 dewpoints +16 to +17C and PWAT values between 2.20" and 2.40". There is no capping and you have the LFC right about the same height as the LCL. The radar is going to be lit up with rain and continuous development of downpours and embedded thunder throughout the day and this will train across a large area.

Already at a 74 dewpoint at my station now.

thinking about going to the hamptons for a day trip for the beach and pool but that rain looks like it could approach quite fast!

2009 was a pure Modoki season and was much weaker in magnitude. 1957 was basin-wide, but it was focused pretty far west and was barely a super-event. Forget 2009, but I guess 1957 is about as cold as one could expect, which was around normal.

Partly sunny and 83/75 here. Got a surprise 0.2 yesterday afternoon and hoping for more today.

Only .01” here. It was like 150% humid this am.

I'd say favored, but not a guarantee. There have been cold/snowy winters in robust el ninos. 2009-10 finishing as the coldest winter CONUS so far in the 21st century is one example. Also, 1957-58 was a historically cold and snowy winter in many places in the Eastern US.

. 75 here in Elimsport and raining hard.

People always focus on a total anamoly too much as well, warm or cold. Do you know how long a winter season is and how many fronts, systems, etc will be occurring during the season? Even if someone nailed a forecast seasonal anamoly, theres no way to tell whats going to happen with the actual weather.

My favorite month of Summer! Going to try to take advantage and enjoy this month! Monday/Tuesday look top shelf and sunny this week before a little bit more rain!

August 2 1831: Unseasonably cool air moves into Minnesota with light frost reported at Ft. Snelling. For Sunday, August 2, 2026 1954 - Severe thunderstorms produced golf ball size hail for thirty minutes in north central Kansas. One drift measured 200 feet long, seventy feet wide and three feet deep. (The Weather Channel) 1975 - Record heat gripped New England. Highs of 104 degrees at Providence, RI, and 107 degrees at Chester and New Bedford, MA, established state records. The heat along the coast of Maine was unprecedented, with afternoon highs of 101 degrees at Bar Harbor and 104 degrees at Jonesboro. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Hot weather continued in the central U.S. Fifteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including Concordia KS with a reading of 106 degrees, and Downtown Kansas City, MO, with a high of 105 degrees. Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Ohio Valley and the north central U.S. Thunder- storms in South Dakota produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Philip, and hail two inches in diameter at Faulkton. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Searing heat continued from the Middle and Upper Mississippi Valley to the Middle and Northern Atlantic Coast States. Twenty- six cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Chicago IL reported a record seven days of 100 degree heat for the year. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Low pressure representing the remains of Hurricane Chantal deluged north central Texas with heavy rain. Up to 6.50 inches drenched Stephens County, and Wichita Falls reported 2.22 inches of rain in just one hour. Bismarck, ND, reported a record warm morning low of 75 degrees, and record hot afternoon high of 101 degrees, and evening thunderstorms in North Dakota produced wind gusts to 78 mph at Lakota. Early evening thunderstorms in Florida produced high winds which downed trees at Christmas. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) Observances: 2 Sun American Family Day 2 Sun National Ex-Girlfriend Day (Note: Really? Guess there's a day for most everything) 2 Sun National Friendship Day 2 Sun Sisters' Day 2 Sun National Coloring Book Day 2 Sun National Ice Cream Sandwich Day (Note: have 2 big boxes in the freezer right now. Good stuff ) 2 Sun National CAD Day

I think he means "stable" within the context of the modern GW trend.