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  2. I didn't notice that...Thanks. I assumed the time stamps was still 12z when I switched from the other 12z models.
  3. That dumb RRFS came south too although it almost had too.
  4. Alright I'm gonna hold ya to that--if I don't you owe me a...well, I don't drink, but a non-alcoholic something
  5. My Ra has been horrible due to this storm, could’t use either hand yesterday due to to pain and swelling. Looks like the size of the storm has a lot to do with how bad I get. my sympathies to you, I know what you’re going through. I hope you feel better soon.
  6. Roughly what time would MDT flip to sleet according to that NAM (which I think is pretty dialed in)? Was realy wanting 12” snow but don’t think it’s happening. Oh well.
  7. We're at nowcasting time (vs wishcasting) and will soon be doing obs. If this were a classic "Miller A" or a clipper, it would be easier to model. It's be more of a PITA because it starts at night.
  8. The GEM had 3 clippers in about 36 hours to end the week at 12z. It seems it didn't run at 12z today.
  9. Will this greatly improve the verification scores of the American models? Will the GFS be an actual model to consider once this new core is implemented?
  10. Just took the dog for a last walk before this and it started pinging pretty good in Durham over by Southpoint about about 348.
  11. Seems logical. Start and end times? *Going w/11"-13" for my area. The thump better THUMP though...
  12. That's incorrect. Mt.Holly is only 5" south of 276/195; 6" north or there and contiguous with Upton...
  13. Yes. Maybe not quite as wild as 12k but same general idea.
  14. Feel like we’re in store for a huge sleet fest
  15. Anyone else with nervous energy based on: - remarkable alignment / continuity over last 4 to 5 days - positive trends as we get closer
  16. Flake size staying around nickel at best but lots of them now. Very high ratio powder. About the best contrast I have is taking a photo towards a vehicle. Curious if the big flakes come right before sleet or not.
  17. And almost always sooner is better than later for DC. Don’t know why but it’s observationally correct
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