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It looks like about .43 here in my yard. Not bad. It came down heavy around 5.

18z euro Ai

Lets all have fun

It definitely could sling shot west into the city or N NJ. That’s on the table

We shall see

Why no election? Red wave ?

Wow we only got 0.19” up here, though it’s still drizzling.

Stay safe.

I am banging anything and everything

Well those start changing in Augdewst . Swamps are the same every year

18z Euro AI looks slamming

You are going to need one if you live in the Mid Atlantic or the Southeast. Virginia, DMV Region, the Carolinas, Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, Tennessee, Kentucky and possibly Louisiana and Missouri. Texas is safely well west of The Plume and this is an extreme example of an east-based El Nino. Austin will get normal precip thru May 2027. That is to say, occasional drizzles and light rains and cold as shyte come Feb maybe a light icing. But the Southeast and Mid Atlantic - Do NOT be living near creeks and rivers. They will flood, some will be floods the likes of which no one can remember. Get an ark or build an ark. You're gonna need it! This is an historic Nino. It will bring torrential rains, over and over and over and over and over and over again. Soils will hypersaturate then the runoff will flood exuberantly, sweeping away people, cars, trucks, construction equipment, fences, houses big buildings and entire communities. Some places will remain underwater for weeks. This El Nino means BUSINESS.

thankfully elections are still run by states, an the people are as angry as I've ever seen them, it's even worse than 2008 paid 4.37/gal this afternoon. Iran doesn't need an actual nuke, they have figured out they already have one and they are using it: the ability to control the price of oil by shutting down the flow of petroleum from Saudi Arabia down to 58/52

Same here in Methane and SO NH...

February has by far been the worst if you narrow it down to since 2018. For some reason there has been incredible -PNA tendency in Feb and March for the last 9 years. Not to mention 13 straight +NAO Feb's, with 10/13 being >1.00! Take the indexes out and I agree December has been the GW month

I wish lol. You have to wonder why these models are so bad

0.04"

Every couple of weeks will post the latest WB CFSV2 30 day monthly anomaly maps.

TAO/Triton trying to pop +11c in the subsurface. Maybe in the next few days... To the best of my knowledge, we've never had a +11c subsurface reading before. That's nearly +20F, and it's still progressing warmer.