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2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Salt Lake City, UT has 0.1" snow for the year. #2 lowest for them on record is in the 20's. That's going to hold through at least the 3rd week of March. -
Great news! It appears that BWI will be going with 1” for that day. I do think the airport may have gotten a few tenths more but this is good enough IMO. I don’t know if any LWX mets who are in charge of these records read this board (MillvilleWx maybe?), but I do appreciate them following through what I recommended and so I have to give them credit where it’s due. The reason why I cared so much is because this was an extraordinary event and I want the official record to reflect how it unfolded - from a midnight high of 76 to accumulating snow in the same day.
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Alot of records will be broken in the west.
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1.6" and winding down.
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.25” 30°
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Blizzard in ORD come on guys lmao Enjoy your rainstorm. I will do the same. Unfortunate bust for pretty much all of us.
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Maybe next October
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
CPC increased El Nino chances by 15% Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion -
2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
What a ridge in the West and Midwest! -
S tier, really. Hope we don’t pay too high of a price for it later.
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Snowing
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Nelson started following 3/15-3/16 Winter Storm
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1.2" of snow in the last hour here. Definitely was not expecting this tonight.
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Coastal signal past 300 but thats it for me.
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Long range gfs but blocking continues. Lets see what happens here. Good to see blocking developing not only on gfs
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You clearly don't understand how strong cold air advection works especially behind a very powerful sfc low. Will there be massive snow totals down here? No. But there will be snow and it won't take much to get blizzard conditions. A strong cf is going to surge east and as the upper dynamics swing overhead you will get a deformation band stretching far south behind the low.
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I have no idea what this means brother.
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i'm hoping for something?
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Enjoy your wishcasting brother. I respect the hope you’re holding onto.
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God if this verifies…with the insane winds. I’m still recovering from that at work.
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doc, did you switch accounts?
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Literally not a single model expect the recent NAM moving it SE. I’m being realistic. If you’re south of mid Wisconsin or Mid - Michigan you can enjoy a rain storm. .
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
SOI remains very positive for a developing Stronger El Nino 13 Mar 2026 1013.78 1004.20 26.18 15.03 10.39 12 Mar 2026 1012.94 1003.80 24.08 14.12 10.15 11 Mar 2026 1012.23 1003.95 19.96 13.50 9.83 10 Mar 2026 1012.41 1004.15 19.86 12.99 9.54 9 Mar 2026 1013.31 1004.00 24.89 12.33 9.38 8 Mar 2026 1013.00 1003.05 27.95 11.43 9.31 7 Mar 2026 1012.90 1002.50 30.11 10.84 9.13 6 Mar 2026 1012.74 1003.30 25.51 10.77 8.71 5 Mar 2026 1010.85 1003.90 13.59 10.96 8.17 4 Mar 2026 1011.34 1003.15 19.53 11.31 7.65 3 Mar 2026 1010.85 1002.70 19.34 11.46 6.95 2 Mar 2026 1010.44 1002.95 16.18 11.70 6.42 1 Mar 2026 1011.79 1003.40 20.49 11.80 6.11 28 Feb 2026 1011.80 1003.50 17.10 11.49 5.74 Lots of month to go, but March is currently on pace to be the Most +SOI month since before the 23-24 Strong Nino. Later-in-the-year Strong Nino March's: 2023: -1.78 2015: -10.7 1997: -7 1991: -10.1 1982: +0.7 1972: +1.2 1965: +2.1 ^since 1950 -
Anyone not believing this is going further and further NE - yall are cray crazy. No hope left here.
