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Not for the mountains .
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wow--euro loves the SE Ridge in long range. Hopefully a blip
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
zenmsav6810 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
radiational cooling kicked in strong last night. Had a beautiful view of the constellation Orion the Hunter last night at Bear Creek Mountain Resort. -
Euro a no go for Sunday, too.
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Regular Euro has a storm offshore on the 18th, nothing on the 20th, and then two cutters during the 3rd-4th week of january. Euro dumps a trough out west allowing the storms to cut
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Fair point. Moderate, west based El Nino.
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If anyone on this board scores other than my foothills crew, I’d want it to be @GaWx
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You might be able to say the same for 23-24 too.
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I’m wondering how much weaker the Gulf Stream has actually gotten and what effect that might be having on moisture not drawing up from the south and along the east coast. Matt used to comment (where in the world did he go and why ??) 15 years ago how models did so much better in ninos. He was correct and that correctness has un fortunately increased. Models are virtually helpless in Miller B dominated low pressure placements, movements and developments in Nina,no stj winters for mid Atlantic
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
jbenedet replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Since the 7th— feels and looks like a shift back to 2025 persistence Temps back to over-performing. It’s a subtle but very important change. -
Jesus another two weeks away . We are now living in silly land entirely I beg you all that pay for this crap to stop and address the issues with the vendors
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Ha! I didn't wanna bring it up. You're far more courageous than I throwin such verbal stones around in this murder hornet's nest -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
My futility season wasn't warm, either...1979-1980, which kicked off that stellar decade. -
lol the pac got too warm and now we can't get KU events anymore
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February 2027 should be rockin! I should probably stock up on beer now.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
A lot of this forum is balls deep and brown -
Maybe February will deliver.
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Euro is bone dry for Thursday.
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One of these days we’re going to get a juiced up low running just inland of the coast with a 1035 high over the top and I’m going to get banned from this forum when I see the first I-85 north snarky remark.
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If a Nino happens next year it would be more likely to couple with the atmosphere, especially with it being at least moderate
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
mmm Kinda fits my homage last autumn ... and last summer, and last spring, the previous winter and the years and seasons spanning some 10 years or more ... that these mid winter wind scarped shearing neg head shit show winters have been happening regardless of all traditional indicators. ( I'd put a wink emoji here but I find them to be abhorretly annoying if not a soupcon of condescension and that's not my intent - ) -
I'm pretty sure the PDO was the culprit there.
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Euro AI coming in with light snow on the 18th, and then cold and dry through the remainder of the month. The bulk of the storms and precip stays to the south with a few southern sliders. Very cold and dry (akin to late Jan 2025) look for the rest of CONUS.
