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  2. Posted this snake I saw today in the other thread
  3. 18Z AI EPS - thanks to @Weather Will in the Mid Atlantic thread. For CTP, about half of the ensemble members bring at least light snow & several heavy hitters remain as possible outcomes.
  4. Last 2 winters colder than normal (even tho per cromartieepo last winter torched lmao). Must not be good for MKE palms. Been a pure beavis winter in Detroit. The coming pattern change is a reminder of how wild the next 2 months can be (torches, arctic blasts, snowstorms, tornados, etc).
  5. Yeah im just looking for at least 1 warning event in Feb and 1 in March to start considering it for the A/A- range. Really sucks when we leave an entire calendar month open with bl normal snowfall and no storms like Jan 2021. Snowpack was really good around here this winter. For low elevations in southern Connecticut, continuous snowpack for longer than a week is usually the exception and not the rule. A typical winter, even a really good one like 16-17 or 17-18 it snows, melts, rains..rains some more then repeat. It's only those few instances like 2011, 2015, 2021 where we had prolonged deep snowpack right down to the shore for several straight weeks
  6. You're right...of course it does whatever the heck it wants. And this isn't scientific in the slightest. It's no different than the baseball player refusing to wash a sock during a 30-game hitting streak...some are a little more like that than others, lol So err... See ya on the weekend during our next HECS (or whenever it happens...hopefully, lol)
  7. It’s ripping here tonight. Might get to a foot if it keeps this way
  8. North Shore sometimes gets hot and it just snows there. Happened a lot in the 2013-14 winter. They had it coming after the recent brutal stretch there.
  9. Of course it does whatever it wants. But I'll see ya on the weekend of our next HECS (whenever it happens...Hopefully, lol)
  10. North shore winter. They deserved it. Even tonight.
  11. Today’s Euro Weeklies are significantly warmer than the last few for the 3 wks 2/23-3/15
  12. Low of 52.5 and high of 64.7 after a high of 69.2 yesterday
  13. Could absolutely be another head fake. Need some cross model consensus
  14. The mountain west hasn't had deep winter, we have. And if you think we've seen the last snow.... In fact, the average last snowfall is still 2+ months away.
  15. Yeah, the mountains could desperately use the pattern change.
  16. This storm is now up as the 10th 3"+ snow event of the season with snowfall maps/radar/sfc/upper air maps in the archive https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-6-7-2026
  17. It’s just another model… it’s just another model…
  18. If we somehow reel this system back in to be a warning event in SNE, this winter will really start moving up the charts. It’s already been a damned good winter but we have a lot of snow climo left and you don’t want to waste those periods.
  19. i feel like we been baited nearly every day since last Wednesday we've been tracking/talking about this system.
  20. This still feels like classic bait…but Euro skynet suite showing some enthusiasm makes this a little more interesting. Still need other guidance to jump on board.
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