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NBM ticking down a bit with CAMS

I think it's usefulness runs out at like -5F or so, but becomes less effective around 15F. This is for sodium chloride. Calcium chloride is much more effective.

Certainly not climo Steve!

Exactly my point. It's a very solid storm on the weekend w/the NFC/AFC championship games being played. I couldn't have a more lazy day planned...

I think the blizzard criteria is for sustained 35 mph or greater. Traction! It was also the days of chains and spiked tires.

Wagons south? .

Here is BTV's latest

Hope the Euro comes around too a long event into Monday morning.

Just looked up a forecast in one of the cities in MS under the ice storm warning. Holy crap! Saturday Freezing rain and sleet before 4pm, then rain, possibly mixed with sleet between 4pm and 5pm, then freezing rain after 5pm. High near 34. North northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of 0.1 to 0.3 of an inch possible. New sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday Night Freezing rain. Some thunder is also possible. Steady temperature around 30. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of 0.5 to 0.7 of an inch possible. Sunday Freezing rain before 3pm, then a chance of sleet. The freezing rain could be heavy at times. Temperature falling to around 23 by 5pm. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of 0.4 to 0.6 of an inch possible. New sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Here are the top 15 snowiest days (i.e. 1-day period) in recorded history at KABE dating back to 1944. This storm could very easily break into the top 15, or even top 10. Most if not all snow falls between 2am to 10pm Sunday.

There's video going around from that lake effect mega snow band in New York showing what 7" per hour rates are like. Basically like being inside a cloud. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

I’m working here dude. There goes your free case of beer.

(friendly reminder to clear old attachments before the storm)

Capital Weather Gang just did the exact opposite. https://bsky.app/profile/capitalweather.bsky.social/post/3md4fnulpvc24

Gonna have hard pack all week.... this will be one of the worst cleanups in my memory. salt is virtually ineffective under 23F

Unfortunately I’m not. One man beer selling show. Doing it for 10 years now after 25 in the high tech sales world.

Remember this...literally, what the hell did that achieve?

The Canadian is a beast too, but of course most of the forum area is missed. so we sit in a light snow/snow hole while there's 12+ inch totals to our north, south, east and west.

Im not sure if its all timer but its probably the best widespread MECS we've had in the last decade and a half. Notable with the potential follow-up threats

You are right about that - it’s actually 10 PM Sunday. Same idea though - would be nice to get that kind of icing on the cake late in the storm.

damn week 1 loss to the Raiders

I don't think "transfer" is in terms of "energy" but in terms of movement. I sometimes say "jumped to the coast" and restrengthened (mainly because when that process is happening, there is that "dry slot" that forms" and what ends up off the coast may be like a remnant of some kind and not a brand new low).

NAM & GFS still showing blizzard warning criteria Sunday late afternoon and evening for the Lehigh Valley. "Criteria for Winter Storm Watches and Warnings Blizzard: 1. Sustained wind or frequent gusts to 35 mph or greater; and 2. Considerable falling and/or blowing snow reducing visibility frequently to less than 1/4 mile for 3 or more hours."

Looks that way to me. Looks like we can't go wrong with any of them.

One of those guys has no business being there.