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MOntego Bay could get the eyewall based on satellite.

Slight wobble west on approach. As if the eye can sense land.

Helene deleted parts of NC when it hit the area, and I mean truly deleted. It's like civilization was never there in some areas. This is similar in flooding and much worse in wind. Now imagine Jamaica which has nowhere the infrastructure the United States has.

Dorian gives some hope, because a lot of the structures are similar: solid cinder block construction. The concern is the roofs blowing off.

Likely just outside the eyewall but those winds still look maybe 70-90mph

My hypothetical chase location would've been dead on.

looks like it's doing that thing where it feels the friction of the land so it's trying to stay over water a bit longer.

Tied for third strongest in Atlantic history. Will be one of the strongest landfalls since Labor Day.

What are the building codes like and what can they withstand? I mean if you're in the eyewall path for landfall and getting sustained category 5 hurricane winds with gusts approaching or exceeding 200 mph, with debris being tossed around...how much can structures take and withstand?

Treasure Beach may take the brunt of the surge

Full on stadium effect at landfall. Just amazing. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_MESO1/loop90.html

Official "landfall" is when *center* of the eye hits right? Seems like this eye wall - the strongest winds - is already making landfall right now, right? (based on the satellite loops)

Intense based on this webcam from Treasure beach.

Yeah. He's literally the best at this. As long as you can avoid surge and flash flooding, you can get through it in a sturdy building. I'm worried about all the people not in good shelter.

i think that's a really good way to communicate these - basically a super-massive F5 tornado is headed your way!

200 mph... SUSTAINED That is the classification for an EF5 tornado. 200+. That's a 15+ mile wide EF5 Tornado.

it really doesn’t look that bad on the feed from Reuters

One of us

I think I am less worried this go around given the elevation. he can likely avoid the surge pretty easily down there. As long as he's in a reinforced concrete building he should be fine.

yep - same. I was pretty worried about him with Dorian but he was able to get better shelter during the eye. Not so sure this time.

Nam is still delaying the onset of the rain until mid afternoon Thursday

I am sure he will take video, pictures while in the eye, might be a bit before he can upload any photos/pictures. He keeps repositioning as the storm gets closer as long as he can before he hunkers down.

Little leftward jog right at landfall.

if you're Toronto, it's basically malpractice to pitch to him unless you have like a 10 run lead.

Not going to lie. In all these years I've never been worried about Josh. A few when he has relocated to at the last minute to some spots that weren't previously scouted. This one I'm on edge. Little nervous about the elevation....