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Keeping an eye on Tuesday night up here in Maine for bangers. Hopefully the timing can speed up to take advantage of max instability because other parameters are impressive.

Should have a nice long break from mowing in about a week or so as the lawns will start to fry up. Already been over a week without a drop of rain, and a long string of 90s on the way.

July 12 1863: Unseasonably cool temperatures are felt across the state. Frost is reported in the Twin Cities area. For Sunday, July 12, 2026 1951 - The Kaw River flood occurred. The month of June that year was the wettest of record for the state of Kansas, and during the four days preceding the flood much of eastern Kansas and western Missouri received more than ten inches of rain. Flooding in the Midwest claimed 41 lives, left 200 thousand persons homeless, and caused a billion dollars property damage. Kansas City was hardest hit. The central industrial district sustained 870 million dollars property damage. (The Kansas City Weather Alamnac) 1980 - Lightning struck a large broiler house in Branford, FL, and the ensuing fire broiled 11,000 nearly ready broilers. Firemen were able to save a few thousand chickens, however. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Cool air invaded the High Plains Region. Eight cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Sheridan, WY, with a reading of 37 degrees. Thunderstorms developing along the cold front in the central U.S. produced 6.5 inches of rain at Fort Dodge, IA, and 2.5 inches in one hour at St. Joseph MO. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Dakotas, including baseball size hail at Aberdeen, SD, and softball size hail near Fullerton, ND. Thunderstorms produced heavy rain in Arkansas and northeastern Texas, with 6.59 inches reported at Mesquite, TX, in just an hour and fifteen minutes. Garland, TX, reported water up to the tops of cars following a torrential downpour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Early morning thunderstorms over eastern Kansas deluged McFarland with more than six inches of rain. Afternoon thunderstorms in Wyoming produced up to eighteen inches of dime size hail near Rock Springs, along with torrential rains, and a three foot high wall of mud and water swept into the town causing more than 1.5 million dollars damage. Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Oklahoma and Arkansas, deluging Dardanelle, AR, with 3.50 inches of rain in less than twenty minutes. About seventy cows were killed when lightning struck a tree in Jones County, TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) Observances: 12 Sun National Simplicity Day 12 Sun Malala Day 12 Sun Orangemen's Day (The Twelfth) 12 Sun Etch A Sketch Day 12 Sun National Different Colored Eyes Day 12 Sun National Eat Your Jello Day 12 Sun National Hair Creator’s Day 12 Sun National Pecan Pie Day 12 Sun National Tile Repair Day 12 Sun New Conversations Day 12 Sun Night of Nights 12 Sun Paper Bag Day

97, 98, 95 today, tomorrow, and Tues. 75 in the house atm. Looks like WSW light wind the coming days, so that should keep the shoreline pretty warm, too.

Chilly??????????

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/# ... Friday/Day 6 -- Mid-Atlantic Region ... This evening's deterministic guidance suite (20260712 00 UTC), along with yesterday morning's deterministic guidance suite (20260711 12 UTC), is faster moving the surface boundary south than last night's guidance suite (20260711 00 UTC). However, the overall ensemble guidance continues to suggest severe potential across the region, owing to differences in the position of the surface boundary and the timing of mid-level vorticity maxima. Severe probabilities (15%) have been retained with this forecast in a nod to the ensemble guidance suite, but if the current trend of pushing the surface boundary farther south on Thursday (Day 5) continues, severe weather probabilities may need to be removed as the surface boundary will push south of the better deep-layer shear. ..Marsh.. 07/12/2026

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&issuedby=PHI&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off KEY MESSAGE 4...Friday could be active and unsettled with a chance for showers and thunderstorms, some of which could be severe. We are still several days out but we are monitoring the severe weather setup on Friday. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has highlighted most of the area in a Slight Risk (15% chance of severe thunderstorms 25 miles from any point). Storms look to be driven by a strong cold front swinging in from the northwest and with ample daytime heating and instability, the ingredients are certainly there for strong to severe thunderstorms and damaging wind gusts. In their long term outlook, SPC did mention some small MCS potential during the day 7 to 10 period as some shortwaves are likely to ripple through the northwest flow. Again, still several days out, but we will have to monitor the severe weather potential for the end of the week and possibly next weekend.

Rare severe storm over the Keweenaw coming in from the nw has held severe intensity since Isle Royal. Usually the cold water is a death nail to storms. Hopefully it holds together as it approaches the n shore of Marquette County. A storm would be nice to kick off the heatwave.

Newark came closest in July 1966 but only made it to 100°. So the number to watch will be 101°+. All the other years stayed under 100° within 15 days of 104°+. July 1949 made it back to 101° on the 28th. 1966-07-03 105 75 90.0 12.6 0 25 0.00 0.0 0 1966-07-04 100 78 89.0 11.5 0 24 0.00 0.0 0 1966-07-05 87 74 80.5 2.8 0 16 0.00 0.0 0 1966-07-06 87 73 80.0 2.2 0 15 T 0.0 0 1966-07-07 93 76 84.5 6.6 0 20 T 0.0 0 1966-07-08 91 70 80.5 2.4 0 16 0.00 0.0 0 1966-07-09 89 67 78.0 -0.2 0 13 0.00 0.0 0 1966-07-10 93 70 81.5 3.3 0 17 0.00 0.0 0 1966-07-11 96 72 84.0 5.7 0 19 0.00 0.0 0 1966-07-12 98 72 85.0 6.6 0 20 0.00 0.0 0 1966-07-13 100 77 88.5 10.1 0 24 0.00 0.0 1949-07-04 105 74 89.5 12.0 0 25 0.08 0.0 0 1949-07-05 95 73 84.0 6.3 0 19 0.00 0.0 0 1949-07-06 83 68 75.5 -2.3 0 11 0.47 0.0 0 1949-07-07 81 64 72.5 -5.4 0 8 0.06 0.0 0 1949-07-08 81 65 73.0 -5.1 0 8 0.00 0.0 0 1949-07-09 81 61 71.0 -7.2 0 6 0.00 0.0 0 1949-07-10 76 64 70.0 -8.2 0 5 0.13 0.0 0 1949-07-11 86 67 76.5 -1.8 0 12 0.00 0.0 0 1949-07-12 81 69 75.0 -3.4 0 10 0.17 0.0 0 1949-07-13 85 69 77.0 -1.4 0 12 0.56 0.0 0 1949-07-14 91 67 79.0 0.5 0 14 0.00 0.0 0 1949-07-15 80 71 75.5 -3.0 0 11 0.22 0.0 0 1949-07-16 81 71 76.0 -2.5 0 11 0.00 0.0 0 1949-07-17 75 70 72.5 -6.0 0 8 1.17 0.0 0 1949-07-18 93 70 81.5 3.0 0 17 T 0.0 0 1949-07-19 94 72 83.0 4.5 0 18 T 0.0 0 1949-07-20 94 74 84.0 5.5 0 19 0.00 0.0 0 1949-07-21 94 77 85.5 7.0 0 21 T 0.0 0 1949-07-22 97 75 86.0 7.5 0 21 0.01 0.0 0 1949-07-23 90 71 80.5 2.1 0 16 0.00 0.0 0 1949-07-24 90 63 76.5 -1.9 0 12 0.00 0.0 0 1949-07-25 94 69 81.5 3.2 0 17 0.03 0.0 0 1949-07-26 88 71 79.5 1.2 0 15 0.00 0.0 0 1949-07-27 97 71 84.0 5.8 0 19 T 0.0 0 1949-07-28 101 75 88.0 9.8 0 23 T 0.0 0 1949-07-29 100 75 87.5 9.4 0 23 0.00 0.0 0 1949-07-30 101 75 88.0 9.9 0 23 0.05 0.0

Its probably a good idea to invest in a window air conditioner. They aren't that expensive and even on days when it just hits 80 you can turn it on for a bit. I rarely ran my AC the last 3 weeks of June. I had it set to 80 when I was in Alaska and then when I got home I turned it off the next 2 weeks. Turned it back on ahead of the June 30-July 3 heatwave and havent had it off since.

Man those are really toasty 850 temps Tuesday night. Too bad we couldn’t time that earlier or on Wednesday.

Yeah 1993 , 2011 came the closest for that criteria but not quite in the 15 day range. Will be interesting and will the next heat spike east in the 7/23 - 7/30 timeframe .

Hopefully brings some storms. This dry stretch that started Wednesday last at least into next weekend will be the final nail for lawns

This will be the first 101°+ potential less than 15 days after 104°+ during July and August.

Bermuda high setup after next weekend. Dewlicious.

Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (2011) NYC: 99 (1966) LGA: 98 (1966) JFK: 98 (2011) Lows: EWR: 52 (1945) NYC: 57 (1926) LGA: 59 (1940) JFK: 58 (1973) Historical: 1842: One of the most severe hurricanes in the history of the coastal Carolinas struck the Outer Banks of North Carolina on the evening of the 12th into the 13th. The entire village of Portsmouth was destroyed except for one building. The storm apparently passed inland near Norfolk, VA and caused massive flooding from Virginia into Pennsylvania. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1936: The hottest three-day periods up to this time in United States history occurred beginning on this date as the average temperature was 88.5°; the second warmest such period occurred three days earlier. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1951 - The Kaw River flood occurred. The month of June that year was the wettest of record for the state of Kansas, and during the four days preceding the flood much of eastern Kansas and western Missouri received more than ten inches of rain. Flooding in the Midwest claimed 41 lives, left 200 thousand persons homeless, and caused a billion dollars property damage. Kansas City was hardest hit. The central industrial district sustained 870 million dollars property damage. (The Kansas City Weather Alamnac) 1974: Philmont Scout Ranch, Colfax County, N. Mex.-- Lightning struck a group of scouts and leaders who had gathered beneath a nylon dining canopy to avoid heavy rain; killed one, injured six. (Ref. Lightning-The Underrated Killer.pdf) 1975: A nearly stationary front north to south over Pennsylvania caused rain and thunderstorms over the region for 3 days beginning on this date. Amounts of two inches plus in 24 hours and 4 inches plus for the 3 days were common. In Pennsylvania, Perkasie reported 7 inches, Lansdale: 5.11 inches, West Chester: 6.94 inches through the 13th; and Schwenksville reported 6 inches in 30 hours. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1979: First 90° day of year was very late in the year. This was the latest 90°F day ever recorded in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1980 - Lightning struck a large broiler house in Branford, FL, and the ensuing fire broiled 11,000 nearly ready broilers. Firemen were able to save a few thousand chickens, however. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Cool air invaded the High Plains Region. Eight cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Sheridan, WY, with a reading of 37 degrees. Thunderstorms developing along the cold front in the central U.S. produced 6.5 inches of rain at Fort Dodge, IA, and 2.5 inches in one hour at St. Joseph MO. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Dakotas, including baseball size hail at Aberdeen, SD, and softball size hail near Fullerton, ND. Thunderstorms produced heavy rain in Arkansas and northeastern Texas, with 6.59 inches reported at Mesquite, TX, in just an hour and fifteen minutes. Garland, TX, reported water up to the tops of cars following a torrential downpour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Early morning thunderstorms over eastern Kansas deluged McFarland with more than six inches of rain. Afternoon thunderstorms in Wyoming produced up to eighteen inches of dime size hail near Rock Springs, along with torrential rains, and a three foot high wall of mud and water swept into the town causing more than 1.5 million dollars damage. Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Oklahoma and Arkansas, deluging Dardanelle, AR, with 3.50 inches of rain in less than twenty minutes. About seventy cows were killed when lightning struck a tree in Jones County, TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1993: Thunderstorms dumped up to 4 inches of rain in 30 minutes in the Pierre and Ft. Pierre areas in South Dakota. As golf ball size hail also pounded the area the runoff from the heavy rains piled the hail into drifts five feet high. On the same day a severe thunderstorm dumped large hail and heavy rains in the Lantry area in Dewey County. The water which could not be absorbed by already saturated ground ran four to five feet deep through some buildings in town. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1995: An intense heat wave affected much of the Midwest for a 4-day period beginning on this day. The worst effects of the heat were noted in the Chicago metropolitan area, where 583 people died from the heat. Temperatures across the region reached as high as 104 degrees, overnight lows on falling to the upper 70s to low 80s. Dew point temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s created heat indexes peaking at 125 degrees. Electricity and water usage reached record levels, causing periodic outages. 1996: Hurricane Bertha makes landfall near Wrightsville Beach, NC with maximum winds of 105 mph, but the storm surge dealt the most devastation. The U.S. Virgin Islands, along with North Carolina, were declared federal disaster areas. Surveys indicate that Bertha damaged almost 2,500 homes on St. Thomas and St. John. For many, it was the second hit in the ten months since Hurricane Marilyn devastated the same area. The primary effects in North Carolina were to the coastal counties and included storm surge flooding and beach erosion, roof damage, piers washed away, fallen trees and damage to crops. Over 5,000 homes were damaged, mostly from storm surge. Storm total rainfall amounts ranged from 5 to 8 inches along a coastal strip from South Carolina to Maine. Overall, as many as 12 deaths resulted with 8 in the U.S. and territories. 1997: Lightning can hit the ground 15+ miles from the thunderstorm. Two golfers at a Tampa Florida course were hit by the first observed lightning bolt of a distant thunderstorm; it came from the storms cirrus anvil. The sun was shining at their location and one of the two men was killed. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2007 Accord Publishing, USA) 1998: The temperature at the Dallas/Ft. Worth Airport in Texas rose to 100°. Dallas saw the temperature go to 100° or hotter on 56 days during the summer of 1998. There were 39 nights that the mercury never dropped below 80°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2004: Hail up to the size of softballs fell in and around Onaka, SD damaging vehicles, farm equipment, and homes. High winds along with hail up to the size of baseballs caused some structural, vehicle, crop, and tree damage in and around Astoria, SD and Toronto, SD. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2005: July 12th to July 20th Reno, Nevada: A record string of days with temperatures above 101°F: nine straight days. (Ref. WxDoctor) 2011: High humidity levels and dew points were higher during the summer 2011 compared with 2010, resulting in unusually warm nighttime temperatures. A low temperature of 81 at Richmond on July 12th was the first ever daily low of 80 and above. A steady southwest wind overnight also contributed to this event. (Ref.NWS, Wakefield, Virginia - A New Record High Minimum Temperature) 2022: On the evening of July 12 between 8PM and 10 PM around 4.50 inches of rain fell in the Buchanan County, Virginia area. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

Gonna spend a lot of time floating in the lake after work this week

EWR hit 100 twice in July several times / separated by more than a week. Maybe you mean 103+ heat or more widespread?

79 / 62 clear - great day ahead. Warming Monday and hot Tue - fri peaking 48 hours Tue/Wed with mid 90s - upper 90s. Overall warm to hot at times pattern as western heat builds comes east focused south of the area. Next shot at storms Fri - Sat-Sun

A great couple of days ahead with temperatures running slightly cooler than average for the dates before a warmup gets underway on Tuesday. Some of our cooler valley spots may see low temperatures in the 50's by tomorrow morning. Our hottest day and best chance for widespread 90's across the County will be Wednesday. We cool a couple of degrees from there to close out the work week. Not much chance of any showers through at least Friday.

A great couple of days ahead with temperatures running slightly cooler than average for the dates before a warmup gets underway on Tuesday. Some of our cooler valley spots may see low temperatures in the 50's by tomorrow morning. Our hottest day and best chance for widespread 90's across the County will be Wednesday. We cool a couple of degrees from there to close out the work week. Not much chance of any showers through at least Friday.

90 yesterday. 4th of the year for MSP. Spent the day floating the Cannon River.

Low of 66 and .46” of rain.

70 or bust

Point up to 98 tomorrow, 92 today and 94 Tuesday. Three days of 90's with 70's at night is gonna be hard. House is 66 degrees this morning with all the windows/blinds closed. Thankfully it's well insulated, and I have plenty of shade later in the day. More concerned for my chickens and rabbits than I am myself. Gave the garden a good soaking this morning and put a shade tarp over it to mitigate some of the heat stress.