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Yes. This has both glory and heartbreak written all over it.

Dr. NO living up to its name today

Haha. Jinx. True. I posted about the same time as you. The BIG difference is the moisture feed is missing, but what a coup that would be as it has zero support from any other deterministic run. Let's see if any of the ensemble members of other models have that feed connected into the front.

Storm thread gonna be a scene with a GFS/euro type outcome lol

Yeah. GFS and Euro both have it. GFS has it in more of IL. Euro is more Indiana. Looks like it’ll stay too far to my west but someone is going to cash in if it doesn’t wobble too much.

Just based on the H5 vort and relative humidity maps it might be trying for something 200 hrs or so.

Watch that 500 evolution its getting better and better

Looks like end of week to early next week might be interesting.

Cash out!

It’s really disjointed and never consolidates. Euro with a dual low look

GFS and Euro are still close to something big, but starting to run out of time .

Bout the same as it has been really. Interestingly, the 500 vort map for the 17th.....has a healthy little vortex in the eastern Pac just like the GFS. It didn't grab the moisture feed, but I found that interesting.

We take to the bank and deposit now

Possible squall later with high winds

But let's also be fair to the GFS, the Euro (on left) also has some weird tropical critter in Pac, but the shortwave mess just ins't oriented in a way to draw from it.

I'd take that. 2 to 4

Just shows the PV getting dispaced into the Baffin Sea and Northwesten Passages,its still just fantasy,not sure why i even posted it here,but that could get quite cold into parts of NA depending on what ever teleconnection connect with

Snowing here now. Storm started early!

It always stays completely locked in for a week, i wouldn’t worry at all.

Sold

We better keep that 500mb low at the latitude it passes. Can’t afford any further shift north.

Nice little snow squall hit us out the valley. Nothing really to show from it though, ground too warm and wet from yesterday. Pretty though.