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Would be pretty cool for MLI to blow past last year's whole season total (8.2") with this storm. Would also be the 1st measurable snow of this new season as well lol.

After last winters lack of snow in my part of Chicago (Far NW burbs), I'm not getting hopes up. Our last seasons best shot of snow went from 6-8 inches to a dusting within 9-12 hours between "jackpot model run" and "reality". Are patterns really changing that much or do we just have more "data points" (that don't need to be real data points they could be model hallucinations or just model gunk) that it *seems* like things are changing?

I needed therapy after that one. Now I think people learned to suffer in silence. However, 7 days out is better than 10.

you will get rain. no need to track anything

In name only. And nobody knows where he comes up with his thoughts..?

I come back to the forum every winter to track winter storms that go north with every run. We've never been so fucking back

Looking better, and hopefully other data in the next week will point to the MJO getting into phase 8 at a lower amplitude, and then enter phase 1.

Honesty is fine…it’s what we want. BS needs to be eliminated.

Euro has a second light event next weekend and then JB’s vodka rolls into town

It must be admitted that next week's torch seems to be becoming muted as it enters the medium range. Here's hoping it continues.

Interestingly, the 12z EPS mean is coming in a bit higher for Chicago than the 6z run.

Didn't even check the thread before work as I usually catch up at lunch. I saw this pop up on my phone while microwaving my lunch and thought if Webb is complaining about a vanishing trough it can't be too bad for us. We're going through a it's over/we're back cycle every day now

We’ll be in Chicago tonight for the next 8 days-leaving 12/3. Increasing guidance for a potential 2-4/3-6 Saturday. After that very deep winter until we leave. I’ll be posting on their thread once we get settled tonight.

That Op Euro run was pretty cold after 12/01.

As is always the case in good patterns, there two routes that are always of a concern… Too suppressed or well phased. This one is currently trending towards the latter recently.

Early Dec climo is a big hurdle for the lowlands. Not impossible because it does happen from time to time. Nice to have something to track however it goes.

I'm sitting pretty good this morning, but this is still four days away, which is a long time in the model world.

Gulf low in this pattern? One to watch.

Need the north trend to stop for sure. Half of what falls on the euro imby is lake effect and it’s overdoing that big time.

Hi guys, hope all is well... hoping for some snow next week.

Happy to have the cloud deck back. It didn't feel right having one day without them, well no there was a little bit of cirrus but 90% cloud free yesterday

Already got people chirping about the "foot of snow" incoming this weekend... Dont hate where I sit as of now, but not a fan of the SLP tracking overhead or NW.

Euro looking a bit like GFS for 12/2-3

We know how that story goes. It'll be all over the place over the next week, I'm sure.