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  2. 4-8" depth mostly area wide for 2 straight weeks is fairly rare around here. That alone probably puts this one in B range.
  3. I expect a continuation of our November pattern after a brief interlude.
  4. I agree and it smells like snow outside and of course the sky has the snow look as well. Of course frustration defines this winter in this area.
  5. I think Grey hat wants rain as much as he says it's going to rain lol
  6. Generally miller B's either get too amped and become a SWFE which favor new england, or they get too flat and suppressed and start favoring delmarva. Our region is almost never favored by them!
  7. Really good look next weekend....there is a low in the lakes which is messing w/ thermals....but there is time for that to adjust. NE TN needs to watch this one, and especially SW VA.
  8. I'm hoping we do get something Monday the 16th. I'm taking my daughter and her friend snow tubing at powder ridge Tuesday the 17th while they're on their winter break ( and yes I'm going to ). Would be nice to have a nice fresh dumping of snow before we snow tube, (but let's hope I don't break a hip LOL).
  9. I would like to know how you came to that conclusion...
  10. EPS and AI ensembles have a fairly good signal too. But this is almost 8 days out.
  11. Cross posting one of the few things I feel qualified to write about. MSLP positions. 12z EPS; you can see how the mean is well SE of where the operational euro was. At hour 186, the operational was where the 1008mb contour crosses the Chesapeake.
  12. Yup..it wants to be cold this year. Glad you got off the early spring train you were riding early on.
  13. NGL, pretty frustrating looking at composite radar and wishing the air wasn’t this dry
  14. I think next week's storm is either and interior event, or suppressed too far south.
  15. The end is our friend in CTP … Long way to go, but good to see the Ops at 12z all showing a storm in our region this run. Details TBD…
  16. Euro has a great track for us this afternoon for V-Day,just no cold to work with and the CF dont even look very impressive with cold behind it,,looks like another swing and a miss for us here this winter,still 7 days out so it could very well change.
  17. Low positions on the EPS aren't bad. You can see how the operational euro was well NW of this mean. Temps marginal, better for NW, like the rest of the 12z of all models. Well, I've been reeled in by the trends of the last 4 runs; time to pay attention for the next day or two
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