All Activity

Well maybe. We just don’t know?

Just bumped up to a warning.

I think NYC finally gets 4, whether its 4.1 or 7.2 I don't know but I'd lean closer to the 4 for sure right now though.

Think the AVERAGE will be 10 to 11:1. Will start higher and end perhaps a little lower than 10:1.

26F Dp7 that’s some dry air. Judging by the movement of thing on radar it’s looking less and less impactful, I guess itt expand a bit as it nears the Coast but that stuff out in front is cruising off to the NE

CMC. Same track and temperature just more QPF.

Not their forecast .

The nam is

Pretty broad ranges but I think most places will fall into those ranges.

WWA hoisted for Bristol and Plymouth counties in MA. Small area in far Northeast Norfolk as well.

OK we'll.... id bet you $100 someone or multiple places get 10" within 50 miles of the city. That shouldnt be to hard with 2-4 hours of heavy snow!

2 to 7 is a large range for CPK.

BAMwx video update from Michael Clark this morning:

I could be wrong but I disagree. Don't see that much QPF to generate 10".

Ends up as a 2-5” that doesn’t bomb til NYC but pattern looks pretty sweet. Couple more boring days til we track something, hopefully

I guess maybe if your south of the city..... like another poster said. The subforum is NOT just the city and south. People do live north of the city as WELL!!!!!!!

SPC has much of the Ohio and Mid-Mississippi River valley under a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms on Sunday.

I realize that but I still don't see 10" for this sub forum. We'll know for sure in about 18 hours.

Dim sun. 22/1 2-4” here.

The Euro has been low on QPF in most significant storms so far to impact the Midwest/Lakes/NE this last 2 months so I am not surprised to see it doing the same again.

That's like the early 1900s whole outside of a house painted in yucky yellow kinda color so yes!

enough with these 10:1 maps..... this is a MUCH colder storm and DGZ looks prime for ratios higher than the norm.

Euro has a monster i think lol

Ah I see. The ranges were right for the 'Expected' amounts, which seem to be equal to the top of the 'experimental, probabilistic amount ranges'. Confusing way to present things, but at least kind of makes sense.

Currently 7.1/0.3 at WXW2 in Saranac Lake It's 21.9/4.0 at WXW1 in East Hartford, CT Thinking WXW1 grabs 6" while I land somewhere within 1-2" here.