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Try 850mb level for excitement in Vermont from this.

Seems like ensembles ticked a little east at 18z.

I'm right at 600, thoughts for me? Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk

Hurricane Polo near the Baja is a super hurricane at 180 mph winds gusting well over 200mph. It's gonna get pulled west big time, but if only Texas could get all that moisture! Man that would be a Flood of a Lifetime! I would be beside myself with utter JOY at all the destructive floodwaters! I'd be enjoying ebullient jebwalks near the flooded regions while blasting tropical tracks that get played on Royal Caribbean cruise ships! Damn. So close to me, but it might as well be in South America for all the good it will ever do me. In the meantime, drought and desertification reign supreme in south central Texas.

2.28” of beneficial rain in Marysville since Sunday am.

The NAM is gone too early. It still has some gas in the tank. I can already foresee this winter having a CAD situation where we are wishing to see what the NAM is showing.

Ha kind of a weird run. Gets occluded quick. Goes over Cape after stalling.

18z euro stalls south of LI at hr 120.

I don’t care if they win. I want to watch them play in a windswept deluge.

They will do better in 85 degree weather than what's in store for Gillette. Dews look to be around 60. It could be worse there.

I love my Ambient station (ws-2000) Moved on from a Davis and never looked back. Also no subscription is required.

Tidal Flooding of a weird set up. Weak storm out to sea and a strong High Pressure in Canada.

Of course they had to be on the road this weekend

It absolutely will....but I think it could also be snowier, and in fact it likely will be.

Don't forget the fact that the solar cycle and QBO are also more hostile. In the interest of being truly exhaustive, I think you also need to consider the ramifications of that 30 years of warming on the Pacific basin, as it's been biasing convective forcing westward relative to expectations derived from traditional diagnosis, such as max ENSO SST anomaly.

Expectation this morning: Flood Advisory Reality: 0.09"

Here is to another guilt free weekend of watching foot ball..

Well, at least acorn season will be over after this weekend.

So nice to see blue on model runs again up in Canada area! Winter is coming!

Thats crazy about 1997-98. Here its more frequent snow so its basically in the end getting less than normal. Even on the coast where a big storm or lack thereof is often the defining moment of the season, i suspect a completely snowless winter is very difficult to achieve. Even an identical pattern to 1997-98 would yield different sensible weather and likely some snow in nyc if it happened again.

18z euro ai a tick NE from 12z. Not a lot different.

Bye bye sand that's been mostly spared the past few winters for some areas!

18z Euro AI close to 12z.