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That's not true. The 06Z para GFS did have a low, but it was notably offshore and quickly trucked out to sea. The same is true for the 12Z cycle - it looks nothing like the ops GFS. And apologies for not being able to share graphics.

take a shot of NyQuil anytime "rug pull" is mentioned

Euro did show a big storm

NAM doesn’t appear as flat as the euro at least. Trough appears a bit sharper as well.

Once we created this thread, it saw and decided to act acoordingly.

It has support from the Ensembles that there will be a storm. Not the crazy totals but it's not bone dry like the Euro is.

They were all showing a major blizzard 5 days out.

Anyone know if we allow the extra sampling to be fed to the European modwla as well is American? I guess we do.. Just wondering.. Did the gfs get something the Euro did not or the other way ar9

I’d be surprised if ratios were 12:1… it’s pretty mild tomorrow initially when it moves in. Most spots could get to 34-38F depending on elevation before wet-bulbing… I’m leaning more pasty than 12:1.

Couldn't tell what color was which because they all blurred together with Atari-style graphics. But you just knew somewhere in that rainbow vomit were some 3-foot lollies.

The Euro has been running to dry for us this whole season.

But hey we still have the inverted trough that may/may not happen and if it does probably hits west of us. Yaaaay

It's always the shortwave in Canada. Always. Can't we just tell the shortwave to behave? Will simple instructions work? Do we need to scream up into the clouds? Send up a balloon? Write it a haiku?

My wife doesn't approve of me having this app. I'm gonna lay down some cash after 18z

NAM seems to only disagree more with the GFS over the Alberta low placement this run. It’s a bit north from 12z and a bit less interactive I think. But idk. This feature is too complex for me honestly.

True i guess it is more so what you consider plowable lol. Today has kind of settled in for places like the Lehigh Valley for a 1-2in event with a few outliers

Exactly lol. Run after run of crippling totals. It was routine to expect another dumping in the next run.

Yeah, just saw it. HRRR much closer to the GFS by far. But you know we're desperate when we're looking at the HRRR rn

Have not been following just hearing here and there like discord that it's over the euro didn't cave 12z Euro is 3-4" what is going on lol

So yeah, as others have pointed out the key is those s/w up in south central Canada. GFS just merges them, Euro keeps them separate. So I guess we look for that on future runs of the models

If you’re not first, you’re last…

That rounding of the shortwave is what I noticed the gfs doing at 6z pretty much every other model doesn’t have that, hrrr on board though!

Not the best model for our area but the 12z JMA looks good

I'm sitting here with a horrible cold waiting to be rugpulled by the GFS in approximately 2 hours. Vibes could not be lower right now.