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Then stop tracking

The precip in the middle of the country certainly looks more robust than any model I have seen at initialization. Tons of juice out there.

Late PM Check in: WTF knows what’s gonna happen later but if NC matches DFW, you guys are gonna have at least 6 or 7 hours of COLD RAIN as an appetizer. Since I last reported the temp has only dropped about 4* to lower 40s now. I know the cold air is coming but what a dreay day so far. We’ll see what happens next.

Here it is:

No I agree just shocked to see it. Euro has th storm signal too. Would love a miller A

This has trended to every SWFE we have had the past 5 years

if the Pacific jet does not overwhelm things and push the trough axis too far east, then no, not really

GFS goes full HECS for round 2 next Sunday night and Monday:

That's pretty darn good. What's the high end?

Read about it here for a national view: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=qpfhsd

Been preoccupied watching the weekend storm, but man... Have a look at the whole 12z EPS... LFG

GFS not backing down...just a bit more tucked.

Just noticed I forgot to add the decimal point. .10 age is a bitch.

In which direction?

Channel 9 WUSA tried to label this storm "Sleetzilla".

Stackin'

I wouldn't have gone, anyway.

What do you think of the pattern? For Sunday you said that it was a good pattern for a MECS but implied there was a cap. Is there no limit to this pattern?

The thing is, it's not alone so.....

Even at the low-end NWS forecast, one sees a decent snowfall.

Hammer Hammers

Will prolong the deep arctic mass across a large area of the US and allow for less moderation. Almost a cold feedback cycle.

I live on a cul de sac. A dead end street. But they brined my street!!! THEY BRINED MY STREET!! MY WHOLE FUCKING STREET!!! now say that like Belushi did in Animal House. And someone throw me a bottle of Jack Daniels

It fits the pattern -NAO -AO +PNA Mjo 8