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January 24-February 8, 2026 is on track to record a 16-day mean temperature below 20°. The last time that happened was outside the life span of many AmWx members: January 11-26, 1982.

East River Mtn. Roof of the Tennessee Valley, sheltered hollows below it neared -20F last week. Lake Witten (Tazewell): Clinch River (New Garden): Clinch (Blackford Bridge) Upper Clinch (Near Swords Creek) Heck of a cold spell, been quite a show. The freezing has been impressive with even a snowpack on Witten! I'm not quite ready to let go of winter but I figure we could all use a break. Hoping for some upper 50s for a nice winter hike. Now on the other hand If we do score some marginal mid Feb winter wx in the window Carver is watching it will be the most impressive month long span of true winter in my memory. Flurries in Honaker, 27F.

Those southern and eastern outliers have the mean further SE than would otherwise be the case.

Snowman19 waiting for a Metfan post to weenie.

ICON got worse

Billerica proved that lol

Wish we could see this into March,us severe nerds would be getting excited..lol

Plenty of spread but def a lot more potent than yesterday

He doesn’t even like the euro anymore

And WV

That's true. Don't get me wrong, forecasts have improved enormously over the years but still far from perfect. You would think they would keep improving but it seems like performance plateaued a while ago. We haven't improved much at all in the past ten years. I've heard that they predicted the 1993 storm of the century like a week out but obviously that was an exception in those days.

For those like me who also enjoy cold for its own sake, this winter is producing. Not truly wall-to-wall because we did have some legit warm periods around Christmas and in early January, but the cold period starting at Thanksgiving that lasted until 12/15 or so was legit. The little cold snap around New Years was nice, and of course the current cold period has been more than legit. I also loved the little appetizer around Veteran's Day. 34.0/2.7.

It's OP regular cousin gives people an inch or so in areas... 2" for some lucky few. Dry for others

Actually, I appreciate your honest response, but it just ruined my birthday, and yes, I might need some mental help soon. I could have stayed in Arizona after my mom passed, in a beautiful ranch duplex, in a suburb of Phoenix, but I've been told over and over by the wife that if I did that, our marriage would be over. So I sold, and back to PA I came. And now look at me. A borderline ranting lunatic because of the excessive cold, which I hate with an unbridled passion. Like I said, I can handle normal eastern PA winters, with cold periods interrupted by moderations and thaws. This I can't.

Seeing the EPS mean is reassuring. The op runs can be expected to windshield wiper around the ensemble means, as they trend closer to the final solution, which we will have a better idea by Wednesday

12z suite has gotten Top hat off his game

Snowman19 loves pumping out those weenies

Shorter wavelengths defintely help

The EURO loves freezing rain as usual. The GEM is nutty as a fruit cake with UL Thermals. The GFS looks reasonable with track, thermals surface and aloft. My 7 model blend has increased from 2.2" at 7 am to 5.5" at 2 pm.

This makes no sense. Like I can't post in certain states? Still can't believe sports betting isn't legal down here. No rules during covid but can't gamble.

What? Im fruity and I'm straight. Def no hate behind it. Man why is everyone so sensitive these days. Some need to toughen up or they ain't gonna survive in this world.

We can’t even measure them accurately

Things change during the second half of February as wave lengths shorten. Since 1950, 75% of NYC's February 15 or later 10" or above snowstorms had a PNA-.

WB EPS snow prob. Greatly increased between 6Z and 12Z. Blip or new trend TBD. To illustrate, see 6 inch prob. at 12Z compared to 6Z.

It was incredible, 13” in 4 hours (16.5” total) with a stiff 15-20 mph wind - gusts to 30. 9 to 1 type density. Very high impact. Lots of schools were in session that day with kids basically trapped. Wide spread 20-30+ a bit further inland.