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I think Tblizz is your Dad. Need to discuss with wife.

Models today be like

That was Feb 2013

Stop cheering him up. He has to whine and kvetch to entice this closer.

Peak wind gusts today... 48MPH - ORD 40MPH - MDW 46MPH - RFD

Isn't it school vacation week?

0 z euro always crushes my spirits anyways

There may not be any mechanism other then a cape scraper period.

Usually see the gfs but not euro

This is all we can hope for. As was mentioned earlier, there are a lot of vorts flying around in there which complicates the setup. It's pretty obvious what we ideally want is for something to phase and create a deep/intense enough low that can tuck toward the coast more and also draw in some colder air. The 18Z GFS and 12Z CMC showed how that can occur. We don't want some broad, dull trough that scoots a weak wave out to sea.

Apparently there was some storm recon plane data fed into the 18z cycle. More coming for 0z.

Definitely some left leaning members in there.

I'm really not seeing any mechanism to get this north enough to do anything up here. Mattapoisett might be fun though.

And Skynet went southeast so…

Yeah, was just gonna mention that threat as well.

The GHG tree devastation CoastalWx always talks about???

The back pedaling for the mets is going to be something to behold if this trend has legs...

Perspective; affects of this storm won't start to show up in the far reaches of the short range models until tomorrow...and many like to say how worthless they are at that range. So having canceled and/or uncanceled this storm multiple times in the past 24 hours is head-scratching stuff.

CMC Juno CMC today

maybe your dad will let you stay up late tonight

what the hell are you talking about.. that was a big shift

I said it came west and improved at 500 mb? Sorry I should have said grazer and posted a snow map.

3-5" is a good spot here for this one.

Trend to a closer miss.

I'll say for myself that yes, I have gone back and forth debating with myself on this kind of thing. In my case, it's photography gear (photography is a major hobby of mine!). I tend to look into upgrades for newer camera body versions every now and then, and scrutinize details, seeing if it's really worth it and if I'd need it for my purposes, etc. In general, it's not excessive in terms of cost...an investment for sure, but nothing like having to get a loan out, LOL!! Plus, I would factor in how much I could sell my current equipment for to partially defray some of the cost. In general, it is clearly worth it and overall not too bad in terms of cost. Especially since when I get something like that, it gets a LOT of good use. It's a bit difficult, being a bit of a technophile, when I see all these neat new features, and I have to really think hard how much I truly need it for what I do. But when I've taken the plunge, it's definitely worth it and I've saved up some for that. So I'd say that if the cost is not excessive and not overly "painful" in your case, and it's something you most definitely would get a lot of use from and make your work easier...go for it! And if you can somehow sell your current setup, even for just a relatively small amount, that can help too. Especially if your family is saying sure, go on ahead and do that for yourself if the equipment will enhance your artwork. For instance, a couple of years ago I upgraded my camera body to a Canon R5. It's not cheap, but not their highest end either. My camera at the time was fine. But the R5 had a fair bit more that I seriously would use, so I went for it and haven't regretted that. The damned thing is a workhorse and takes amazing shots, and I can probably keep it for a couple of years more barring something like it having serious issues or damaging it somehow. And I sold/traded in my previous camera which actually cut the net cost nearly in half which helped.