Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. chubbs
    What you are illustrating is that you are not well informed about climate science. Science says we should expect an increase in a variety of natural disasters. What we have seen so far is consistent with that expectation. That's why the insurance industry is more concerned about climate science than you are.
  3. CoastalWx
    He’s still learning from me.
  4. GaWx
    Thank you. Keep in mind though that it hasn’t come anywhere close to completely giving ground yet as the latest 12 run mean shows. That’s why I posted it to show its persistence for whatever that’s worth. Also, climo supports that Feb has a decent chance to be cold, especially in the S 1/2 of the US.
  5. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
    online pharma: IndiGetRx - indian pharmacy online lowest price
  6. csnavywx
    The issue with using the CFSv2 at this time is that it is clearly having issues maintaining the initialized thermocline slope. That's definitely going to have an effect on its forcing placement and one of the reasons we see it giving ground. Feb will likely end up warmer.
  7. dendrite
    F Florida
  8. WxUSAF
    Yeah it’s actually doing the thing
  9. SnoSki14
    It increases volatility. When you combine deconstructive indices together there's no one size fits all analog. I think it would ballsy and delusional to forecast a cold winter. That doesn't mean 1-2 major snow events are off the table either.
  10. WinterWolf
    Last winter was plenty cold…how quick we forget.
  11. WinterWolf
    Well, last October and November, and December too…you were in a bad place, and you were as negative as could be(granted…you had a string of misfortune, so we all can understand the feeling). So that’s why he lumped you in. I think Vortex95 would agree.
  12. GaWx
    Further to my post above, here fwiw (maybe not much but it has been rather persistent on the general idea) is the latest 3 day/12 run averaged CFS for Feb: Feb precip:
  13. EastCoast NPZ
    Another July morning.
  14. SnowenOutThere
    Sun is out in Charlottesville!
  15. SnoSki14
    That is the most likely scenario as warming continues in this region. Notice it's a lot of the over the top warming with tons of onshore flow underneath.
  16. snowman19
    A -PDO isn’t going to trump the strongest El Niño in history. And I have real doubts as to whether the PDO even stays negative this winter. I think it flips positive
  17. mayjawintastawm
    First freeze of the season this morning along the Front Range. Most locations bottomed out in the 30-32 range, 27 at my house (typical cold spot). Mountains look pretty and seasonal for a change. What does El Niño have up his sleeve? Some indications of a cold storm in about 10 days, but we all know where that's gotten us the last 15 months.
  18. Kmlwx
    It's definitely trying - can see significant thinning on visible sat.
  19. GaWx
    The warmth in the E US Dec is likely based on strong ENSO/+QBO analogs and models strongly supporting that warmth. However, once you get further into the winter, the jury is still way out on E US warmth, especially MidAtlantic, Mid-South, S Plains and the SE.
  20. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Not exactly going out on a limb here. Every winter is mild and AN now, I’m sure wolfie will have the fangs out and say Feb 15 was very cold, but you get the idea. It’s a couple months BN buried in a sea of warmth. As we’ve seen though, all it takes is one mega winter event and you’re close to normal snow. I think in balance, this winter will suck, but you obviously can’t rule out a rogue storm or two that brings people close to average
  21. Brian D
    0.43" of rain yesterday. Chilly N wind today. 1st half of Oct round up at DLH & TH. DLH TH
  22. SnoSki14
    -PDO this year as well
  23. mayjawintastawm
    0.20" total at my house, same as smokeybandit. 27 F this morning, first sub-40 and first sub-32 of the season too! I'll start a cold season thread.
  24. Modfan2
    You have a much better shot than we do east of the river; let’s see how quick you clear and then see If we can clear out.
  25. roardog
    Do you think we’ll progress the same as 1997 or are you just talking about the warmth being the same for the east coast when winter is over?
  26. cyclone77
    0.35" yesterday. Rest of the month looks pretty quiet.
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...