All Activity
- Past hour
-
we left that open in case it's 2027 or beyond
-
What year is this thread for?
-
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm not sure why he is confused, but it's probably the same reason he was confused when I foresaw the BS that was the protracted interval of phase 8 in December. I'm just always leery of guidance being too liberal with time in phase 8 during this stretch we've been in dating back to 2018. -
NOHRSC I chose snow depth (24hrs) from latest obs. https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/html/map.html
-
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, not sure what DT was taking about...it's pretty clear. -
Can you link that site? Thanks.
-
What's up peeps? It's about all you can ask for these days is to have one operational model giving a paste job and all the ensembles showing at least some snow falling board wide. Has potential for a nice little event!
-
I also recorded a high of 41. Great day to calibrate those weather stations.
-
My mom actually fell today outside on her walk...faceplant. Thankfully seems like just some bad scrapes and bruises.
-
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Go Kart Mozart replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Is it just my amateur eye, or did 18z euro improve significantly for the 15th? I don't know where to post now, Torch Tiger has effed up the forum with his bullshit. -
I have already told my wife that I am gonna start chasing the atmospheric river in the Sierra Nevada or big storms in the East.
-
Fwiw, 18z Eps gives us an inch and operational just shy of it.
-
@Holston_River_Rambler and Co...I have a hard time believing this doesn't produce 1-2" of snow for anyone under that.
-
2025-2026 ENSO
donsutherland1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, the PNA is far more important to Atlanta's January snowstorms than the NAO. Since 1950, the PNA was positive for 84.2% of Atlanta's 1" or greater snowstorms. The NAO was negative for 63.2% of such storms. -
The 2020s in a nutshell
-
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
RitualOfTheTrout replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It looks active wednesday-sunday with various short waves rotating through. It will all be short range / nowcast type stuff but could be fun and we've done well this season thus far with that. -
Yeah none of the ensemble suites had much of anything for the 16th so the fact that there's at least a modest signal for the following period is at least somewhat intriguing. I think it's also worth mentioning the CMC/GEM has a system in the area by that time as well, when it was never interested in the 16th iirc
-
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yea not at all. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yeah not at all -
-
Travis Kelce is available! Thank you I'll see myself out now.
-
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
weatherwiz replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
As long as the extended range looks active with hits that's all we can ask for right now. The extended shows plenty of cold around and looks active...can't ask for anything else really. Obviously we're going to want to see this continuing as we get closer but the look is hopeful. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I'm frustrated but remain optimistic...this isn't last year IMHO. -
Im optimistic… but its just because all the let downs have led me to be positive even though i know deep down we cant score in the foothills circle of doom. .
-
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Should be some good SWFEs in short order.
