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So strange I barely remember that storm, probably because it was on a Saturday. And the winter of '95/'96 was so long. It was in the high 30s/low 40s until mid April and felt like it would never end. My GF, now wife, and I went to Florida in March and we basked in the 80 degrees for 10 days. We come back and it was freezing rain and 38. Awful

0Z ICON nothing like its 12Z hit. Weak low well off the SE coast. At least it is not a cutter. Struggling with the multiple vortices at 500MB with no phase.

@brooklynwx99 posted this in another thread earlier this evening. “this speaks for itself... AIFS-ENS is very similar to Feb 21. not advertising impacts like that, obviously, but it's becoming clear that this setup holds high end potential. we'll see how things trend in the coming days, but man that is uncanny”

38 ORH 48 HFD Big difference. Love the mesoscale variations.

Just looks mild down here P+C calls for mostly sunny 46.. we’ve gone higher than forecast several days in a row..

Bingo

Ha over on discord I said the H5 sort of reminded me of Jan 31-Feb 1 2021. Idk what it was, some of the model runs had the same look to them as that one. Someone on Philly discord posted the H5 and it’s almost a perfect match

What the qpf takes away from here hopefully the cold gives back. 2-4” or 3-5” still seems likely.

I’ll be in Houston eating well Saturday and you’ll be smoking high cirrus probably. But I’ll still do pbp just for you to see you go into a calamity and call it disastrous when it shows 17” instead of 20

We've been hitting 40-41 recently so I noticed on Saturday that we have a 1" or so crust on top from the melt and re-freeze each day, but under that there's still a good 7-8" of powder in most places around the yard. A very different year for snow retention all around.

They are probably gonna get it. Winter is NOT done with the DMV yet either.

NYC forum already has a thread for the Feb 23 thing lol

NAM is pretty cold too. It’s not particularly juicy though.

All I can say folks, is that this is one hell of a snowy, windy as hell BEAST of a BAAAAAAAAAAD blizzard. This thing is straight outta Compton. High winds, heavy snow, hell you can't even see anything half the time from that milkshake froth! THIS, IS NO TIME FOR A JEBWALK. https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam

You don’t even need 60+ dews this time of year.

45 maybe, especially SW areas. Not sure about 50.

The snowpack has stayed fresh, in all areas, for weeks on end. The lack of rain has been noteworthy, even up here.

Did he delete stuff? I see a respectful back and forth.

My P&C is 35...must be missing something.

Nam is a tick South.

I wouldn't weenie this post but I don't find it compelling. Dave is a proud, loud, card carrying Democrat and I feel his weather opinions are biased by his political opinions. If I am reading his graphic correctly there are 18 fewer balloons going up over the USA every day than before the budget cuts, and 5 of them are downstream from us. How many more private balloons are going up today compared to 5 or 10 years ago with data available to the globals? Have sattelite density and observational quality improved at all? Are the number and quality of plane sensors unchanged? What percentage of reduction does this represent when accounting for balloon soundings globally? "Fewer balloons is bad and ruining modeling" is a pretty simple take on the matter. As another poster said we've seen some abysmal model performance over the last five years, particularly the GFS since its latest "upgrade." These failures predate NOAA budget cuts.

Looked AN through mid March. Wouldn’t be surprised by a chilly spring. .

I did get a statistically significant values for my 6-12 day band, which for one location isn't bad Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

its tragic