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Yeah it is. Noticeably colder than the 12k
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
cold air aloft replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Met and Steve, when is the last time y’all remember Haywood County having a major ice event, especially up through the Balsams? In my recollection it’s been maybe 20 years or more. A very rare occurrence around these parts if that verified. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
paweather replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
CTP 10-16” For my area. -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
SACRUS replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
1/22 18x RGEM -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
wthrmn654 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
Brian5671 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
1AM monday I don't really see a dry slot. The coastal hopefully takes over and flings some moisture back -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
canderson replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The nam is really pumping warmth into the 700mb layer. I call its bluff. -
3-5 isn’t a bad outcome with a low that goes to Pittsburgh.
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“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
Go Kart Mozart replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
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Anyone want to try to guess what these fingers of freezing temps are on the GRAF? just random model physics?
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NAM doesn’t look all that different from the Euro. We puke fatties until Sunday evening, then taint with lighter stuff.
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Seemingly aligning with the rest of guidance WRT the track
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
allgame830 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
way drier is an exaggeration... it shows 1.1QPF for the city and mostly the whole forum is at 1" QPF or higher and its colder and a bit further south which would guarantee more snow. So its a better run in my opinion! -
brewman22001 started following January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage Thread 2
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We are losing here because of synoptic-scale stuff, not hidden warm layers though. The 850 low is even stronger and further NW than prior runs of almost all models, which just kills us.
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
Bubbler86 replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
I had to come over here to get out of the anti-Nam banter. -
More a thumping than a crushing 8-10" brief sleet then dry slot almost same timing as the ECM SECS
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The Nam can’t even get precip right 24hrs out and is scheduled to be retired not sure why we care what it says lol.
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“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
SouthCoastMA replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
NAM would be pretty great here and for SNE in general. someone in Eastern Plymouth/Norfolk county going to score big -
Still at the rough edge of “Go home NAM, you’re drunk” at this stage. .
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1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, MI and OH
A-L-E-K replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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3k NAM is COLD
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Curious could not the LP not create its own colder air kinda like a cut off low does sometimes in springs? So whoever is under that LP would have better chances of having snow instead of FZ.
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1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, MI and OH
ILSNOW replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
going down swinging Alek with almost 9 inches enjoy!!! -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
SACRUS replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah im not a fan of kuchera but its probably better than 10:1 for a portion and worse for a portion with sleet so i went 10:1 as a whole (model foreast-wise) -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, MI and OH
Malacka11 replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
But is it just BSing or does it show what it does because it handles the features you were previously mentioning differently in a fashion that still remains remotely possible?
