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Good thing we aren't in the MA dude, but perhaps you should just stay there.

FWIW https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=jma&region=eus&pkg=mslpaNorm&runtime=2026022012&fh=72

I am not so sure I would classify this as a tick southeast. Obviously, looking at this face value that's the take, HOWEVER, that is also tied into where the GFS believes the brunt of the CCB will traverse and impact. So in this regard, the QPF isn't necessarily reflective of trends in storm track but trends in CCB (which we know models don't do great with until ~24hr or just inside). BUT...this does provide a very good proxy of what you can probably expect for max QPF

The gfs has been rock steady. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Just minor differences between the clown map and snow depth maps on the 12z gfs...

That is a great look - I don't need to look at precip or snowmaps.

I'll be in Brigantine, NJ. for this one. It should be quite the show!!!

Oh it will come nw no doubt but even 70/30 gfs/euro compromise still leaves alot of potential on the table.

If it’s snowing it’s cause of heavy precipitation and it will accumulate. Except for roads

My guess is GEFS will either be similar or a bit better than 6z

That assumes the Euro is locked in place. Not convinced of that. Not saying the shuffle won't happen, which is why we need as hard a NW trend as possible to give us room.

America vs Euro's(and Canada) at the moment...I know who I'm rooting for. USA! USA! USA! CMC is still a grazing...

For the record, January 7-8, 1996 started late on Sunday morning. Carry on.

80mb pressure gradient. This will be unforgettable for many of us.

This is much better looking than 00z was on the Canadian.

I liked 06z (right) better.

Feels like we’re maxing west trends currently. I’d fully expect a jog east. i think the Jan 22 references are legit. This obviously isn’t as potent of a system. However, that slowly faded SE over the last couple days. It was obviously an all time event here because we got in the deformation band, but that was originally modeled way west.

I don’t believe for a second the Euro is done coming NW

we just need euro now.

I see it, I agree. Makes sense and could actually get better. I think thats why some things looked worse but others looked better and had the boom potential...still ended up a good run.

You're what's commonly referred to as a jinx.

Don’t worry there will be 2 or 3 20 burgers for you on the charts.

GFS with the CTRV qpf shadow. Hopefully it's getting a bit too cute with the topography. I know it's too early to fret about such things, it's just always in the back of my mind.

From calendar silliness side...when was the last time BWI exceeded 5" this late in February? I still only have 3/4ths of an eyebrow raised...we carry this another 36 hours the it'll be

You gotta love that run for YBY