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12z euro even cuts a clipper to our south during the mental break badly needed week three mini mild up

I was just thinking about that stupid left shark thing the other day, haha

He’ll probably run in dual mode. Flood and ice jam guy…. 25f

yea i noticed that too who you kiddin' you be watchin regardless. we all will

the part that got me most was when in the wedding part, he went to the little kid who was "sleeping" on the chairs and made him wake up and dance - lol, felt seen there.

I'm quite happy for this snow to stick around, personally. It's been a very long time since we've had a proper deep winter. I'm all aboard the spring train come March, but this is a really nice run of snow on the ground/feeling like deep winter. Better than 40s and no snow imo.

the halftime show was incredible - just brilliant from start to finish.

where?

Are you referring to 2"+ liquid events in DJF? What airport are you looking for, just DCA< or BWI, DCA, and IAD?

Cold ass Euro run.

its already out?

Flood guy is here for just that contingency we good I want to see 8" ice slabs everywhere like the worlds biggest jenga that happened in 96

There’s enough spread to watch I suppose. Not bad this far out for all those who only want positivity.

Pivotal. EPS AI ensemble well south.

what vendor? weenievista? wxbell isnt out yet

EPS did trend colder, but need significantly colder air to get meaningful frozen precip. Would target mid-20s dewpoints in place at least leading up to the event. CAD over performing often means temps held in the upper 30s instead of torching to the 50s around here, without a strong high and decently cold source air. Both are kinda meh on consensus right now

9 Years Ago - Feb 9th, 2017 Blizzard Amazing storm. Extremely high confidence forecast. One of the few storms i can remember where there was extremely good run-run consistency on models and every model was on board for days. Had thundersnow with this event with 2-4"/hr rates during the day. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-9-2017

Ensembles in this range over any OP. However, ensembles argue more for a Euro AI solution imo. I don't see this one cutting if that ridging on the 500 MB is legit over NE canada. Now with that you risk a sheared out mess or squash. Cold air is also marginal. I don't know, there's a lot going against it. Seems like blocking either eases up north and we rain or it doesn't and it's squashed south again. I'd rather it cut than be squashed tbh, there would definitely be flooding issues next weekend if something like the euro OP plays out.

EPS has a signal. Waiting on AI EPS.

big

The warming during March has prevented several stations like EWR, NYC, and LGA from having another 10”+ snowstorm since 1993. March Maximum 3-Day Total Snowfall for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Last value also occurred in one or more previous years. Period of record: 1843-05-01 to 2026-02-08 19.0 1888-03-12 through 1888-03-14 0 18.3 1956-03-17 through 1956-03-19 0 18.2 1956-03-18 through 1956-03-20 0 14.8 1958-03-20 through 1958-03-22 0 14.8 1958-03-19 through 1958-03-21 0 13.9 1960-03-03 through 1960-03-05 0 13.9 1960-03-02 through 1960-03-04 0 12.7 1993-03-13 through 1993-03-15 0 12.7 1993-03-12 through 1993-03-14 0 12.7 1956-03-19 through 1956-03-21 0 12.5 1960-03-01 through 1960-03-03 0 12.1 1941-03-08 through 1941-03-10 0 12.1 1941-03-07 through 1941-03-09 0 12.0 1941-03-06 through 1941-03-08 0 12.0 1917-03-02 through 1917-03-04 0 12.0 1852-03-17 through 1852-03-19 0 12.0 1852-03-16 through 1852-03-18 0 12.0 1852-03-15 through 1852-03-17 0 11.9 1993-03-11 through 1993-03-13 0 11.5 1896-03-15 through 1896-03-17 0 11.5 1896-03-14 through 1896-03-16 0 11.2 1956-03-16 through 1956-03-18 0 11.0 1867-03-17 through 1867-03-19 0 11.0 1867-03-16 through 1867-03-18 0 11.0 1867-03-15 through 1867-03-17 0 10.5 1861-03-19 through 1861-03-21 0 10.5 1851-03-07 through 1851-03-09 0 10.5 1851-03-06 through 1851-03-08 0 10.1 1917-03-03 through 1917-03-05 0 9.5 1958-03-18 through 1958-03-20 0

Euro has a snow event during our torch. Sorry @aldie 22

Eps favors Canadian

It would come into CT mid afternoon . Ends near midnight

Youve never had an outdoor job i presume