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3 of pure fluff here in Pembroke.

Euro says enjoy your flurries

What a perfect day. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

Anything is possible..we just don’t know yet…

Earth is .65c above normal .Hold me

Let's not get carried away, but it would be nice to whiten things up a bit

Light event on the euro ai

That's why they have lots of carwash's

I wish we could ban all ai snow maps. They have not been correct once.

We need a refresher….only fell once. 20f

This was more of a miller A. A miller B has a surface low in the Appalachian region that transfers usually around the Virginia coastline. You had the ULL that gave most of western NC a good snow, and you then had the coastal that hit eastern NC. Storms/rain/snow are created with lift, and when you have two areas of strong lift, the area in between has the air particles sinking. This is called subsidence. This is what the “dry slot” was. It wasn’t actually dry air really, it was more of a lack of lift and thus not creating the precip needed. If the coastal had formed closer to the coast and the ULL had tilted negatively sooner and interacted more with the surface low, the precip shield from the coastal and ULL would have merged better and filled in (like it did later in the evening). Unfortunately these two did not interact as much as needed for central NC and the transfer of energy basically skipped over central NC and did not provide any lift, or vertical velocity. Feel free to ask if you have any questions or if I didn’t explain it well enough.

Of which year?

12z euro AI looked decent for the winter crew.

Ridge flex as cold breaks down. Definitely possible.

Grats to Faust area for the most.

Seems like we're done with snow til March

Gulf-effect rain showers at Key West with surface temps in the low 50s. Water temps around 70 (20/21c) and 850s there are slightly below 0. That's about as close to snowing as EYW is ever going to get. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=BYX-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad

In the long range i'd stick with what the JMA is showing with the MJO.The CFS has some bias with the tropical convection into the WP/MC from Rossby and Kelvin Waves,you can clearly see this once again,this causes contructive/destructive interference with the MJO signal

There was no recent data. I will check when I get home in about an hour.

A lot of weather seems to follow that fall line.

We went from blizzard to sleetfest to blizzard to nada to 1-2" and are so Back

This is an arctic siege due to duration length. It’s not a frigid one or two day blast which often sets our records but rather a protracted highs 18-25 and lows 0 to 10.

GFS looks good for cyclone at 384 hours!!!!

Low of 11 with minimum hourly wind chill of -4 Any south to southwest breeze influenced warm up is going to travel hundreds of miles over snowpack before reaching our snowpack . It will be interesting to see how that influences milder air attempts starting with tomorrows predicted high temps of 30-33 and 32-35 Tuesday for DC