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You know this just as much a chance as going to be snow ( if not a bit more ) then it being rain.

Consistent cold but nothing crazy around here. Low of 9 with wind.

For Newark, NJ this was the coldest 16 day period for average temperatures since 2017-2018. This was the coldest 16 day period at Islip since the late 1970s but nearly 6° warmer. At White Plains,NY this was the coldest 16 day period since 2017-2018. At Sussex NJ it was also the coldest 16 day run since 2015. This coldest on record there was 1967-1968 and 1979. Minimum 16-Day Mean Avg Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Since 1951 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 15.0 1979-02-05 through 1979-02-20 0 2 15.4 1979-02-04 through 1979-02-19 0 3 15.6 1979-02-06 through 1979-02-21 0 4 15.8 1961-01-19 through 1961-02-03 0 5 15.9 1979-02-03 through 1979-02-18 0 6 16.4 1982-01-08 through 1982-01-23 0 7 16.5 1961-01-20 through 1961-02-04 0 8 16.5 1982-01-10 through 1982-01-25 0 9 16.7 1982-01-09 through 1982-01-24 0 10 16.8 1961-01-18 through 1961-02-02 0 11 16.9 1981-01-03 through 1981-01-18 0 - 16.9 1979-02-07 through 1979-02-22 0 12 17.0 1982-01-07 through 1982-01-22 0 13 17.1 1979-02-02 through 1979-02-17 0 14 17.3 1980-12-31 through 1981-01-15 0 15 17.3 1981-01-02 through 1981-01-17 0 - 17.3 1961-01-21 through 1961-02-05 0 16 17.5 1982-01-11 through 1982-01-26 0 17 17.6 1980-12-30 through 1981-01-14 0 18 17.7 1981-01-01 through 1981-01-16 0 19 17.9 1979-02-08 through 1979-02-23 0 20 18.1 1979-02-01 through 1979-02-16 0 21 18.2 1981-01-04 through 1981-01-19 0 - 18.2 1977-01-16 through 1977-01-31 0 22 18.4 1977-01-08 through 1977-01-23 0 - 18.4 1961-01-22 through 1961-02-06 0 23 18.4 1982-01-12 through 1982-01-27 0 - 18.4 1961-01-17 through 1961-02-01 0 24 18.4 1982-01-06 through 1982-01-21 0 - 18.4 1977-01-09 through 1977-01-24 0 25 18.6 1977-01-17 through 1977-02-01 0 26 18.6 1980-12-29 through 1981-01-13 0 - 18.6 1977-01-11 through 1977-01-26 0 27 18.8 1977-01-07 through 1977-01-22 0 28 18.8 1977-01-15 through 1977-01-30 0 29 18.9 1979-02-09 through 1979-02-24 0 - 18.9 1977-01-10 through 1977-01-25 0 30 19.0 1977-01-12 through 1977-01-27 0 31 19.2 1979-01-31 through 1979-02-15 0 32 19.3 1977-01-14 through 1977-01-29 0 - 19.3 1977-01-06 through 1977-01-21 0 33 19.4 1967-12-29 through 1968-01-13 0 34 19.4 1982-01-05 through 1982-01-20 0 35 19.5 1961-01-16 through 1961-01-31 0 36 19.5 1961-01-23 through 1961-02-07 0 37 19.6 1977-01-05 through 1977-01-20 0 38 19.6 1968-01-01 through 1968-01-16 0 39 19.6 1982-01-13 through 1982-01-28 0 40 19.7 2017-12-26 through 2018-01-10 0 41 19.7 2017-12-25 through 2018-01-09 0 - 19.7 1985-01-08 through 1985-01-23 0 42 19.8 2015-02-13 through 2015-02-28 0 - 19.8 1967-12-30 through 1968-01-14 0 43 19.8 2004-01-14 through 2004-01-29 0 44 19.8 1977-01-13 through 1977-01-28 0 45 19.8 2004-01-10 through 2004-01-25 0 - 19.8 1968-01-02 through 1968-01-17 0 46 19.9 2005-01-17 through 2005-02-01 0 - 19.9 2005-01-16 through 2005-01-31 0 47 19.9 1985-01-09 through 1985-01-24 0 48 20.0 2005-01-15 through 2005-01-30 0 - 20.0 1980-12-28 through 1981-01-12 0 - 20.0 1970-01-08 through 1970-01-23 0 49 20.0 1977-01-18 through 1977-02-02 0 - 20.0 1977-01-04 through 1977-01-19 0 50 20.0 1981-01-05 through 1981-01-20 0 51 20.1 2026-01-24 through 2026-02-08 0 - 20.1 2017-12-24 through 2018-01-08 0 - 20.1 1967-12-31 through 1968-01-15 0 52 20.1 2015-02-12 through 2015-02-27 0 - 20.1 1967-12-28 through 1968-01-12 0 Minimum 16-Day Mean Avg Temperature for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 12.7 1979-02-05 through 1979-02-20 0 2 13.2 1979-02-04 through 1979-02-19 0 3 13.3 1979-02-06 through 1979-02-21 0 4 13.8 1979-02-03 through 1979-02-18 0 5 14.6 1979-02-07 through 1979-02-22 0 6 15.0 1979-02-02 through 1979-02-17 0 7 15.8 1979-02-08 through 1979-02-23 0 8 16.0 1967-12-29 through 1968-01-13 0 9 16.2 1979-02-01 through 1979-02-16 0 10 16.4 1967-12-30 through 1968-01-14 0 11 16.6 1968-01-01 through 1968-01-16 0 12 16.7 1968-01-02 through 1968-01-17 0 13 16.8 1967-12-31 through 1968-01-15 0 14 16.9 1967-12-28 through 1968-01-12 0 15 16.9 1979-02-09 through 1979-02-24 0 16 17.4 1979-01-31 through 1979-02-15 0 17 17.5 1967-12-27 through 1968-01-11 0 18 17.7 1968-01-03 through 1968-01-18 0 19 18.0 2026-01-24 through 2026-02-08 0 20 18.2 1981-01-03 through 1981-01-18 0 Minimum 16-Day Mean Avg Temperature for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 9.3 1979-02-05 through 1979-02-20 0 2 9.7 1979-02-04 through 1979-02-19 0 3 10.3 1979-02-06 through 1979-02-21 0 - 10.3 1979-02-03 through 1979-02-18 0 4 10.7 1961-01-19 through 1961-02-03 0 5 11.3 1961-01-20 through 1961-02-04 0 6 11.4 1979-02-02 through 1979-02-17 0 7 11.8 1961-01-18 through 1961-02-02 0 8 11.9 1979-02-07 through 1979-02-22 0 9 11.9 1961-01-21 through 1961-02-05 0 10 12.5 1979-02-01 through 1979-02-16 0 11 12.7 1982-01-08 through 1982-01-23 0 12 12.8 1982-01-10 through 1982-01-25 0 13 12.8 1982-01-09 through 1982-01-24 0 14 12.9 1961-01-22 through 1961-02-06 0 15 13.2 1979-02-08 through 1979-02-23 0 16 13.3 1982-01-07 through 1982-01-22 0 17 13.5 1961-01-17 through 1961-02-01 0 18 13.6 1982-01-11 through 1982-01-26 0 19 13.6 1979-01-31 through 1979-02-15 0 20 13.9 1961-01-23 through 1961-02-07 0 21 14.3 1982-01-12 through 1982-01-27 0 22 14.4 1979-02-09 through 1979-02-24 0 23 14.6 1982-01-06 through 1982-01-21 0 24 14.7 1961-01-24 through 1961-02-08 0 25 14.8 1961-01-16 through 1961-01-31 0 26 14.9 1979-01-30 through 1979-02-14 0 27 15.2 1982-01-13 through 1982-01-28 0 - 15.2 1977-01-16 through 1977-01-31 0 28 15.4 1977-01-08 through 1977-01-23 0 29 15.5 1977-01-09 through 1977-01-24 0 30 15.6 1977-01-15 through 1977-01-30 0 31 15.6 1977-01-17 through 1977-02-01 0 32 15.7 2015-02-13 through 2015-02-28 0 33 15.8 1977-01-11 through 1977-01-26 0 34 15.8 1961-01-15 through 1961-01-30 0 35 16.0 1977-01-10 through 1977-01-25 0 36 16.1 2015-02-14 through 2015-03-01 0 - 16.1 1977-01-07 through 1977-01-22 0 - 16.1 1961-01-25 through 1961-02-09 0 37 16.2 1977-01-12 through 1977-01-27 0 38 16.2 1977-01-14 through 1977-01-29 0 39 16.3 2005-01-17 through 2005-02-01 0 40 16.3 2015-02-12 through 2015-02-27 0 41 16.3 2005-01-16 through 2005-01-31 0 - 16.3 2005-01-15 through 2005-01-30 0 42 16.4 1982-01-14 through 1982-01-29 0 - 16.4 1968-01-02 through 1968-01-17 0 - 16.4 1967-12-30 through 1968-01-14 0 43 16.4 1979-02-10 through 1979-02-25 0 44 16.4 1977-01-06 through 1977-01-21 0 45 16.5 1977-01-05 through 1977-01-20 0 46 16.6 2015-02-11 through 2015-02-26 0 47 16.7 1977-01-04 through 1977-01-19 0 48 16.8 2017-12-26 through 2018-01-10 0 - 16.8 2004-01-10 through 2004-01-25 0 - 16.8 1994-01-06 through 1994-01-21 0 49 16.8 2005-01-18 through 2005-02-02 0 50 16.8 1977-01-13 through 1977-01-28 0 51 16.9 2015-02-15 through 2015-03-02 0 - 16.9 2004-01-14 through 2004-01-29 0 - 16.9 1982-01-15 through 1982-01-30 0 - 16.9 1977-01-18 through 1977-02-02 0 52 16.9 2004-01-09 through 2004-01-24 0 - 16.9 1979-01-29 through 1979-02-13 0 53 16.9 2017-12-25 through 2018-01-09 0 54 17.0 1968-01-01 through 1968-01-16 0 - 17.0 1967-12-31 through 1968-01-15 0 55 17.0 1967-12-29 through 1968-01-13 0 56 17.0 1994-01-07 through 1994-01-22 0 - 17.0 1968-01-03 through 1968-01-18 0 57 17.1 1977-01-03 through 1977-01-18 0 58 17.1 2017-12-24 through 2018-01-08 0 59 17.1 1994-01-08 through 1994-01-23 0 60 17.2 2026-01-24 through 2026-02-08 0 61 17.2 2015-02-10 through 2015-02-25 0 - 17.2 2005-01-14 through 2005-01-29 0 Minimum 16-Day Mean Avg Temperature for SUSSEX AIRPORT, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 12.5 2015-02-13 through 2015-02-28 0 2 12.6 2005-01-18 through 2005-02-02 0 3 12.6 2005-01-17 through 2005-02-01 0 4 12.8 2015-02-14 through 2015-03-01 0 5 12.9 2005-01-16 through 2005-01-31 0 6 13.1 2015-02-12 through 2015-02-27 0 7 13.1 2005-01-15 through 2005-01-30 0 8 13.5 2005-01-19 through 2005-02-03 0 9 13.6 2015-02-11 through 2015-02-26 0 10 14.1 2026-01-24 through 2026-02-08 0 Minimum 16-Day Mean Avg Temperature for SUSSEX 1 NW, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 6.2 1967-12-30 through 1968-01-14 0 2 6.5 1961-01-20 through 1961-02-04 0 3 6.7 1979-02-06 through 1979-02-21 0 4 6.8 1961-01-21 through 1961-02-05 0 5 6.9 1968-01-02 through 1968-01-17 0 - 6.9 1967-12-31 through 1968-01-15 0 6 7.1 1979-02-05 through 1979-02-20 0

One word comes to mind looking at overnight modeling: spring

Low was 0.9°…up to 4.8° MWN is -3…HIE -26.

Right. We can't even watch football without the government and media creating divisions. Turning point vs bad bunny. WHAT TEAM ARE YOU ON!? I'm on team freedom to do whatever you want.

Yeah 1-3 here seems doable.

Down to 3F here in E CT, hopefully last cold morning for a while.

Ensembles definitely favor up and in for Sunday Monday.. AIFS ensembles are snowy, but I'm pretty sure I read they aren't good with p-type

I'm not sure what models Weather Sentry uses for their forecasting, but FWIW they are putting up 6"-10" for next Sunday.

You ought to come visit Texas and kick back with some fine Lone Star State brisket! That stuff's to DIE FOR!

Same. I thought it was tremendous and the music was phenomenal. And if I didn’t like it, I would’ve just changed the channel.

No. fwiw; I don’t speak more than a few words of Spanish and that halftime show was absolutely joyous and one of the best shows of its kind I’ve seen in five decades of watching .

Meh, low of 5.5F, it’s already jumped up to 10F

I read the LR thread every morning. I couldn't even get through it this morning. You'd think were in the middle of winter 2011-12, not the coldest winter since 1977. I've had 2 solid weeks of outdoor winter fun like it's NY out there. I honestly felt sad for a few people while reading through that dumpster fire.

Ya, still holding out hope for it, could thread the needle and get a big one before the warm up..

Still feel E MA may do pretty well with WAA ahead of system pushing through.

I actually dropped down to -7° since I posted.

8 this morning (like the 5th or 6th time this winter). Hopefully the last single digit morning.

This might go down as one of the funniest maps ever. I cannot believe they published this almost a week out

Always was a C/NNE focused event but still 1-3” in SNE, better N and E of PVD/BDL line with trajectory of system.

AI euro still whiffs but ensembles have it too. Problem is the high retreats and it warms up rapidly aloft. Just not a good setup except for NNE.

I think I had 28”, it’s the biggest for me too but that snow though…a heavy wet mass with destroying power. Speaking of power, I was down for almost 4 days with that storm, bought a generators after that fiasco.