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Was not a total miss. It had a very modest amount of snow about 24 hours earlier than the map you showed, with some sort of lead wave.

Yeah that's kind of what I anticipate is a lull until around 2-3 when snow fills back in and then hangs around. Hangs around longer the further east you are. For most all of this is really bonus snow.

KAT CAMPBELL tweeted: These are new Euro ensembles - still showing a good bet that you'll see snow but the odds of 3" decreased a bit in the western part of our viewing area. Our saving grace? The high resolution models aren't seeing the snow band in our northern counties that's been around for hours

I feel like the timing of this storm was really lucky... with such light/moderate rates over a long period, I feel like the sun angle could've eaten a good chunk of our totals had this hit during the day even with the cold temps. But with the bulk of the remaining snow arriving for Knox County between 2 AM and noon, we should've have to worry about that (just have to worry about that sharp gradient wherever it ends up setting up shop). I think I'm going to set an alarm for 4 am or so and check back in then to see how things are progressing, the light snow has tapered to flurries in my backyard at the moment with 0.3" on the ground so far

I've been out xc skiing 3 days this week chasing daylight. It kinda sucks here with the crust, but it's better than not skiing. Temp is 11⁰ here now, but we still have the wind.

Well. They didn’t a small one at 1:54am, another in the 8am window, then and afternoon. They did one around 8pm too. I don’t know when they do the big discos though.

Yes I think their last update was at 8:22pm. Seems they would’ve had reason enough to change their forecast at that time and didn’t. We’ll see. .

Things are starting to pop

At this rate the Bojangles crew will be at work at 5am and I can still get my biskies in the morning. Thats the best forecast I could ask for. We are going to get smoked on the 5-8 WSW in the triad. We'll be lucky to see 2-3" as Gianna goes to visit the fish.

Yes I’m being sarcastic. Hoping NWS is right. .

The NWS only updates every 8hrs or so right? They are not going to nowcast like the TV broadcast mets do on model run cycles. Let's see where they are on the next update cycle.

Has 6-12 inches of snow too .

It is funny how 20 degrees does not feel cold anymore.

WFMY’s in-house model

00Z suite look tepid. Max QPF across any one model is looking like 0.3, and thats the 12k NAM (whereas the 3k is only showing 0.15). NWS may have to discontinue that WSWatch, 4-7 looking a tad ambitious.

My first post! I am glad to apart of the New England Weather Community who, as whole, knows whether or not, the weather will improve.

HRRR is handling this pretty well. Should really start cranking between midnight and sunrise.

You’re joking right? They blew it last week.

Don’t have access to precip rate/type but surface temps looked warm? But qpf was close to an inch.

I'd say Stuart VA is approaching at least a 1/2" already. It hasnt stopped snowing at the farm for hours now. Getting a little heavier now.

Tell them to check in with WRAL for what’s going to actually happen. .

It is a nice spot, it even more beautiful blanketed in snow!

There’s still hope for something decent. Too much can happen and we have to get something out of it even if it is an inch or 2. .

Still visible moon here. Dry air.

Thanks same to you. Just checked outside again and still no flurries and a faint moon. Probably 1 or 2 am before we get precip.