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The error is again the pedestal/ transmitter... but yes if not replace, a major re-hab non the less.

Considering the high amount of down time, perhaps there should be discussion about whether to replace rather than repair the radar. Downtime has been a recurrent theme since at least last summer.

Here is the 12z EPS 24 hour precip & snow for the 23rd chance.

AI gfs agrees on miller b feb 23-24, just a tad north. Something to watch for any favorable trends (if any) in the coming week.

Euro was always kinda light with precip up here and that seems to be the case so far. 0.5” is gonna be a real stretch, but still a welcome soaker.

The window on the 23rd on the 12z EPS has a favorable Miller B look this run that could lead to a potential winter storm chance.

Yeah it would have turned out better if it was a straight continental railroad

And KDIX radar is offline again as of yesterday, surprise, surprise. FTMDIX Message Date: Feb 14 2026 08:42:09 The KDIX radar is down at this time. Technicians will be contacted later this mo rning to work to resolve the issue. We apologize for any inconvenience. ================== NOUS61 KPHI 141455 FTMDIX Message Date: Feb 14 2026 14:55:18 KDIX remains inoperable. ETs were contacted and will be in this afternoon to fur ther evaluate. Thank you for your patience. ================== NOUS61 KPHI 142224 FTMDIX MESSAGE DATE: FEB 14 2026 22:24 KDIX REMAINS INOPERABLE. ETS WERE UNABLE TO TROUBLESHOOT SUCCESSFULLY. RTS UNKNOWN

It’s really been rough.

Thanks, Don 1. I felt that at a minimum that the wording wasn’t the best, possibly due to haste. I may follow up with him on that to get better clarification. 2. He did mention the effect on crop sizes from the variable of climate/wx being hard to separate out. Doesn’t that include the variable of temperature?

Hoping to break 0.1” in another hour or two!!

2 potential windows in a less than ideal pattern-hard to ask for more. The 20th is the longer shot for now. The window centered on the 23rd looks better, but unfortunately as we get closer the looks have become less favorable lately. We just cant know yet.

The weather just hasn't been the same since the completion of the Trans Continental Railroad.

NAM is ok here mid week but likes Ray’s hood on north.

Light rain here for about the last hour. 42F currently. No cold air around unless you're on a chaise lounge outside. Snow pack still holding on.

What else we got? Nothing so chips in

I've noticed that HRRR often does that on an off run after a major run. Looks good on the 18z run and then much different on the 19z run. It'll prob go back north on the next run.

Radar looks better then my forecast of .50. I'd estimate I've already gotten .20 and radar is stacked.

1-3 inches is my call 1.5 for central park

there's a lag time with the mjo. we're currently feeling the effect of the passage through phases 6-7 to end january.

lol i did the same thing, and then i put it too far south by accident i gotta fix that. Looks like Mohonk Lake COOP is a bit too far south, its NW of New Paltz i couldnt figure out what the light blue was supposed to be, 0.1-4? Apr 1987 is def one i could do eventually, not that familiar with the 80s, vortex95 was a big help

Looks like after this week the weather may turn to winter again. Most of the Euro products show this. Here is the AI. Wouldn't mind one more period before spring. Obviously we are starting to enter the time of the year where sun angle makes a difference but its still only February.

The Miller B signal has been there on the mean for a few days now, but it has trended south on the EPS on recent runs. Discussed this in the other thread. Still a bit of a longshot, but still some time for adjustments. The window around the 23rd is also intriguing(maybe more so) with a Miller B look, but further south. The look up top is nice with HP to the N/NW and the 50-50 low.

**Trigger Warning** Sun angle season is here. Pretty solid melting up here on pavement in SLK under full sun.

Joe Biden is ecstatic.