All Activity

And the southern Piedmont of Virginia

After a slight moderation leading into Christmas weeek, the 06Z GFS drops the arctic hammer across the U.S.

Flakes are starting to mix in. Whatever falls as snow is a win for me. If it ends up sticking that’s a bonus!

Should get a break the next couple of hours as the cold front arrives and upslope snow begins. Temperature has risen to 35 now and the fog is only a couple of hundred feet above the Valley floor.

If annoyance is my biggest "sin" and 90% of it happens just in this space here and it's about snow, I think I'm doing alright. Working on handling the disappointment still...but doing alright

My dad used to say the same things to me about the 1940's and 1950's growing up in Philly. Then I showed him the data. We all believe it was snowier and colder when we were kids. This is why we have facts to keep it real...not discounting memories. I have mentioned this before but from 1967 to 1978 Philly had no significant snows over 6" at all! Imagine if that occurred today the kids who grew up in our snowy climate since 2000 would be crying daily....kind of like they are now. LOL!!

I still see some signs of something this afternoon, but idk what it is or what it’s trying to pick up on. It’s not organized banding but the hrrr is still showing some weird little impulse. Granted it’s the GFS, and double granted, it’s the gfs at nowcast time, but I do find it wild that it didn’t back down a single bit and almost shows some lee enhancement late morning.

At least in the years where it’s warm, you know you don’t have a shot. These last few years have been so hard because we’re always so close. It reminds me of the stretch in the mid 2000s (05-08?) where it snowed all around the foothills but we never cashed in until Dec 09. But even then we squeaked out a few small events.

Ski resorts continue to be the big winner the overpowering Northern Stream of the Pacific Jet.

That’d be nice.

Snow levels are indeed falling. The camera on top of Hibriten Mtn in Lenoir is showing light snow beginning to fall. Elev: 2,211’

Your idea of snowfall is different from mine. Snow that doesn't stick to blacktop I do not count. It's unproductive snow. And when it snowed back then streets stayed covered for several days if not a week plus. I would sled down a hill in front of my house on the street for several days after a storm. Now with brine and them salting the shit out of everything streets are pretty much black by the next day. In addition tons of private contractors plowing everything. Also back then I was 4 ft so everything seemed deep. Now 6 ft+ not so much. You can pull up all the graphs you like but winters were better in the past.

Hopefully things start to pop on the 12z runs today.

And we convinced you’re not a met…so we even.

It was 70 plus that day here in interior CT…parakeets were flying by Xmas eve mass.

Radar showing that march northward of the precip shield being pushed back when it touched DC is brutal. NSFW. (Not Safe For Watching).

First Week Dep EWR: -7.3 12/1: 45 / 29 (-5) 12/2: 41 / 29 (-7) 12/3: 44 / 31 (-3) 12/4: 44 / 24 (-7) 12/5: 31 / 20 (-15) 12/6: 44 / 31 (-3) 12/7: 44 / 28 (-4) NYC: -7.5 12/1: 43 / 34 (-4) 12/2: 40 / 34 (-6) 12/3: 41 / 31 (-7) 12/4: 41 / 24 (-9) 12/5: 32 / 20 (-16) 12/6: 42 / 30 (-6) 12/7: 43 / 34 (-2) A touch colder than last year 2024: EWR: - 6.1 Dec 1: 39 / 24 (-10) Dec 2: 42 / 25 (-8) Dec 3: 44 / 32 (-3) Dec 4: 42 / 24 (-8) Dec 5: 41 / 31 (-5) Dec 6: 37 / 30 (-7) Dec 7: 44 / 31 (-2) NYC: - 7.3 DEC 1: 38 / 27 (-10) DEC 2: 39 / 29 (-9) DEC: 3 42 / 32 (-6) Dec 4: 42 / 30 (-6) Dec 5: 40 / 31 (-6) Dec 6: 34 / 30 (-10) Dec 7: 41 / 31 (-5)

That’s the problem right there…that was a horrific time for snow lovers. It’s back unfortunately.

This thing is bringing warm air in. Will be Berks on north. Maybe NW CT starts as snow

My early guess for January is that it will be warmer on average across the entire CONUS than last January was which finished as the 33rd coldest. All our multi year La Nina’s last 30 years have had one January which was on the colder side like last January while the others have been milder. But don’t have feel yet what the general 500mb pattern will be and where the warm and cold anomalies will set up or how much warmer specifically this January will be.

Lay of the drugs man, we all know the weather all around, it’s been stated dozens of times the last 24 hours , yet it’s breaking news to you.

1979-1980 incoming?

This. And others saying what a horrid winter it’s been….wtf? Winter hasn’t even begun. And yes, it will suck to waste all this good cold, but everybody aground us is gonna be balls deep in the white stuff…so maybe take a ride and see it. And Something should pop..let’s see what happens over the next week or so. All you can do is keep swinging, eventually we’ll make some solid contact.

Congrats to y'all getting some snow! Sitting at 34/34 here. Radar showing blue but... not happening.

Finally getting some consistent flakes. Light, but it’s going.