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Crazy things can happen, but Greene Co is in a pretty good spot right now.

You talk to Bloo Q Kazoo. I’ll make you an appointment.

anyone have the 18z euro

AIEuro the new king has the storm Wed also.

How old are they? Mine stopped laying and molted. The 2 year olds just started laying again the past couple of weeks, but a few have stopped again. So yeah, I think it’s cold related. Their hormones are probably telling them to worry about surviving over reproducing. My older girls have not been enjoying this stretch.

Granted the nina busy NS doesn't screw it up again somehow...it messed with whst we're did get and pushed this weekend south! Hard to trust it, lol

Ahh- I see....Theta e advection along an isentropic surface can throw off some serious/insane lift- it is weird bc water pressure along the isentropic surface appears constant like in a normal event. until it encounters the advection, then it isnt lol How you get 2-3" in an hour with thundersnow in theta-e associated banding, even with temps in the teens The physics on it are pretty f'in cool when you drill it down

Check please

Agree. I'm in Winston-Salem and the main roads will be fine - backroads, not so much. My neighborhood still a solid sheet of ice.

Well, I am okay with tracking a shut down Outer Banks snowstorm with 60-70 mph winds (or are the models backing off on that now too) then onto tracking something in the next 3-5 days game on!!

It's frustrating, for sure. I think to be 100% satisfied with their documentation, they need to provide an example for one case study. ie... Provide a table of snowfall accumulations (and exactly what field/how they processed snowfall) for all ensemble members + diagnostic models, take the weighted sum of all ensembles/models, then show the final result superimposed onto their NBM map. When I ran the calculations as you did, my value was far off from what the map showed too. I do trust that their documentation is correct (consisting models and weights wrt time), but something else does seem missing. I may ask the developers when I have time, but I think Don already did this.

Forum is a little slower than I thought. Everyone still locking in I hope?

Who do we talk to about getting that one rogue member on the sref plumes showing 40"

With two more nights flirting with the single digits near Baltimore, I’m hoping to do a nice hike on Saturday to enjoy this frozen landscape. I’d like to go somewhere that has a river running through it and preferably maybe a waterfall. The two parks coming up the most in my searches are Patapsco Park(Cascade Falls) and Susquehanna Park(Kilgore Falls). If anyone has any other recommendations I’m all ears! Just trying to capitalize before our big warmup next week(into the 30s LOL)

22.4/3.6 at 6:15 pm after a 25.1 high.

It’s just plain asinine There was never any cold or wind chill issues growing up. We ignore

I think those of us between Lynchburg and Wytheville are literally in the boom or bust region. We could get .05" or .5" of precipitation. Given our ratios which I believe will be closer to 25-1 based on guidance, we're looking at the difference between 1" or 12". Most areas south of us are as close to a lock for .4-.7 as you can get. With 15-1 ratios you won't see the range of totals we might up here.

The euro will have to come to the rescue again. A 971mb low off hatteras and it still cant snow.

It’s a really good setup, 1/20/2005 was number 1 analog this morning. Makes sense, clipper redeveloper. More confidence for 95 N&W for this type of setup, but we’ll see how the shortwave evolves as we get closer

It took a half a run to get my mind and legs in sync. My son is now hooked so I have a ski buddy. He is picking it up fast.

Wut? Hey quick question. Birds ain't eating much low eggs too? Cold ?

I know i'm all giddy about it.

hopefully they get a great storm. just a different world out there on broken island, aka cape cod

There’s plenty of hyperbole on here about the GFS. And yet, I’ve read similarly hyperbolic and silly comments from you about the Euro. Pretending otherwise or acting as if you’re just some level-headed bastion of objectivity is comically absurd. The fact is that the Euro is consistently the best model - and yet YOU consistently shit on it, often using some oddly sourced IMBY-based critique that isn’t remotely relevant. Regardless, I don’t wanna derail the long term thread, so I’ll let this be my last word on the matter.