All Activity

The stagnation of the MJO on the lefthand side makes sense

It seems to be shaping up to be the roller coaster summer I thought it would be. The severity of the storms I didn't expect, though.

0.56" so far heavier rain just to my south, which has been the theme for the past 18 hours. This batch should reach me though, so expecting about 1"+

There are vines and assorted invasives in my yard that look like they've already started. It's like a green wall across the back which isn't the worst thing, we don't really like the neighbors

Just misted my way to an additional 0.02 this morning. 0.64 overnight now and 1.12" so far. Nice little come back...6z gfs looks pretty wet for awhile.

203 NOUS41 KOKX 070111 PNSOKX CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-071311- Public Information Statement National Weather Service New York NY 911 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026 ...PRECIPITATION REPORTS FROM THE LAST 48 HOURS... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...Connecticut... ...Fairfield County... Danbury 6.40 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP NEWTOWN 5.89 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP Danbury 5.52 in 0817 PM 07/06 CWOP 1 WNW Redding 5.38 in 0820 PM 07/06 AWS Shelton 4.65 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP Ridgefield 4.34 in 0823 PM 07/06 AWS 2 SW Newtown 4.22 in 0515 PM 07/06 Amateur Radio SHELTON 4.20 in 0811 PM 07/06 CWOP Redding Ridge 4.18 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Bridgeport Airport 4.16 in 0822 PM 07/06 ASOS REDDING 4.12 in 0819 PM 07/06 CWOP Weston 3.33 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS Stamford 3.32 in 0820 PM 07/06 AWS Fairfield 3.29 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Westport 3.25 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP STAMFORD 2.26 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Greenwich 2.02 in 0819 PM 07/06 CWOP 3 N New Canaan 1.79 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS ...Middlesex County... Saybrook Manor 4.51 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS Westbrook 4.40 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Clinton 4.01 in 0820 PM 07/06 AWS MOODUS 3.44 in 0816 PM 07/06 CWOP 3.5 NW Durham 2.92 in 0800 PM 07/06 HADS Durham 2.78 in 0817 PM 07/06 CWOP Chester Center 2.7 WNW 2.41 in 0643 PM 07/06 COCORAHS ...New Haven County... Milford 5.36 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Stony Creek 5.23 in 0816 PM 07/06 CWOP ORANGE 4.79 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP HAMDEN 4.67 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP Seymour 4.61 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP New Haven Airport 4.44 in 0827 PM 07/06 ASOS Outer Island, Branford 4.33 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS PROSPECT 4.22 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP New Haven 4.11 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS 4 NW Hamden 4.06 in 0824 PM 07/06 AWS Oxford 3.98 in 0813 PM 07/06 CWOP Waterbury Airport 3.89 in 0756 PM 07/06 AWOS WOODBRIDGE 3.87 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP Bethany 3.51 in 0811 PM 07/06 CWOP Wallingford 3.35 in 0801 PM 07/06 CWOP Meriden Airport 3.33 in 0753 PM 07/06 ASOS NORTH PORT 3.24 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Branford 3.19 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP ...New London County... New London 3.18 in 0816 PM 07/06 CWOP Pawcatuck 2.80 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP GROTON 2.57 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Lyme 2.56 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP SALEM 2.49 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Groton Airport 2.22 in 0756 PM 07/06 ASOS Niantic 2.00 in 0408 PM 07/06 Public Lisbon 1.32 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP ...New Jersey... ...Bergen County... 1 SSE Franklin Lakes 1.94 in 0745 PM 07/06 IFLOWS Fair Lawn 1.66 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP RIVER EDGE 1.63 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Emerson 1.59 in 0808 PM 07/06 CWOP New Milford 1.54 in 0820 PM 07/06 AWS Oakland 1.51 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP Tenafly 1.48 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Bergenfield 1.28 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Lyndhurst 1.23 in 0812 PM 07/06 AWS Bogota 1.21 in 0823 PM 07/06 AWS Lodi 1.20 in 0745 PM 07/06 IFLOWS Hasbrouck Heights 1.16 in 0819 PM 07/06 CWOP Teterboro Airport 1.09 in 0751 PM 07/06 ASOS ...Essex County... 0.6 SW Caldwell 1.88 in 0745 PM 07/06 IFLOWS 1.6 W Millburn 1.55 in 0815 PM 07/06 HADS WEST CALDWELL 1.52 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Montclair 1.37 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS West Caldwell 1.28 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP Caldwell 1.18 in 0816 PM 07/06 ASOS Millburn 1.01 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS ...Hudson County... Secaucus 1.17 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS Harrison 1.16 in 0416 PM 07/06 CO-OP Observer ...Passaic County... WAYNE 1.81 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Ringwood 1.72 in 0810 PM 07/06 RAWS West Milford 1.72 in 0745 PM 07/06 IFLOWS North Haledon 1.62 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP 1.5 SW Ringwood 1.60 in 0745 PM 07/06 IFLOWS 2 ESE Barry Lakes 1.51 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS Oak Ridge Reservoir 1.48 in 0745 PM 07/06 COOP 0.8 E West Paterson 1.48 in 0800 PM 07/06 HADS Hawthorne 1.45 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP 0.8 SE Pompton Lakes 1.45 in 0800 PM 07/06 HADS 2.1 E Ringwood 1.40 in 0745 PM 07/06 IFLOWS CLIFTON 1.32 in 0818 PM 07/06 CWOP Charlottesburg Reservoir 1.32 in 0745 PM 07/06 COOP Clifton 1.10 in 0820 PM 07/06 AWS Wayne 1.08 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP 0.9 S Wayne 1.00 in 0745 PM 07/06 IFLOWS ...Union County... Linden Airport 1.59 in 0815 PM 07/06 AWOS Union 1.54 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Mountainside 1.16 in 0730 PM 07/06 IFLOWS Newark Airport 1.12 in 0751 PM 07/06 ASOS ...New York... ...Bronx County... Fordham 1.46 in 0815 PM 07/06 NYSM 1 NE Harlem 1.30 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS ...Kings County... BROOKLYN 4.45 in 0811 PM 07/06 CWOP Brooklyn College 3.19 in 0815 PM 07/06 NYSM Dyker Heights 2.39 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP Brooklyn 2.16 in 0816 PM 07/06 CWOP ...Nassau County... NORTH MASSAPEQUA 4.62 in 0818 PM 07/06 CWOP North Massapequa 4.28 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Oyster Bay 3.66 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Farmingdale 3.59 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Bethpage 3.49 in 0823 PM 07/06 AWS LONG BEACH 3.46 in 0818 PM 07/06 CWOP Levittown 3.36 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Syosset 3.35 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP Massapequa Park 3.08 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP SYOSSET 2.99 in 0818 PM 07/06 CWOP Wantagh 2.77 in 0815 PM 07/06 NYSM Bellmore 2.75 in 0818 PM 07/06 CWOP MASSAPEQUA 2.72 in 0816 PM 07/06 CWOP East Rockaway 2.64 in 0818 PM 07/06 CWOP MASSAPEQUA 2.64 in 0818 PM 07/06 CWOP Valley Stream 2.49 in 0816 PM 07/06 CWOP Hicksville 2.40 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP 1 ESE Long Beach 2.30 in 0820 PM 07/06 AWS Muttontown 2.23 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Merrick 2.20 in 0735 PM 07/06 CWOP PORT WASHINGTON 2.03 in 0810 PM 07/06 CWOP OLD WESTBURY 1.67 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP North Merrick 1.65 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP ...New York (Manhattan) County... Battery Park 1.52 in 0824 PM 07/06 AWS Central Park 1.29 in 0751 PM 07/06 ASOS ...Orange County... Otisville 8.40 in 0815 PM 07/06 NYSM Montgomery 6.22 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Newburgh 5.40 in 0806 PM 07/06 CWOP Port Jervis 5.40 in 0818 PM 07/06 CWOP 4 SSE Middletown 5.12 in 0550 PM 07/06 AWS US Military Academy 5.05 in 0655 PM 07/06 RAWS CORNWALL ON HUDSON 4.88 in 0816 PM 07/06 CWOP NEW WINDSOR 4.84 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Vails Gate 4.25 in 0816 PM 07/06 CWOP 1 N Chester 4.01 in 0301 PM 07/06 Cocorahs Chester 3.92 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP Warwick 3.92 in 0815 PM 07/06 NYSM 2.6 NW Tuxedo Park 3.68 in 0745 PM 07/06 HADS Harriman 3.03 in 0824 PM 07/06 AWS Port Jervis 3.01 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS Walden 2.84 in 0818 PM 07/06 CWOP Tuxedo Park 1.84 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS Washingtonville 1.37 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP ...Putnam County... Mahopac 4.03 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS Lake Carmel 3.94 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Brewster 3.31 in 0815 PM 07/06 NYSM ...Queens County... OZONE PARK 3.52 in 0816 PM 07/06 CWOP NYC/JFK Airport 2.63 in 0751 PM 07/06 ASOS Kew Garden Hills 2.09 in 0815 PM 07/06 NYSM NYC/La Guardia 1.17 in 0829 PM 07/06 ASOS Beechhurst 1.03 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP ...Richmond County... College of Staten Island 2.38 in 0815 PM 07/06 NYSM Eltingville 2.30 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP ...Rockland County... Stony Point 5.00 in 0824 PM 07/06 AWS 1 SSW Mount Ivy 2.62 in 0824 PM 07/06 AWS New City 2.49 in 0823 PM 07/06 AWS Blauvelt 2.38 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Spring Valley 2.32 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Nanuet 1.83 in 0730 PM 07/06 IFLOWS Bardonia 1.81 in 0823 PM 07/06 AWS Suffern 1.46 in 0815 PM 07/06 NYSM Montebello 1.36 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP ...Suffolk County... 1 WSW West Islip 4.41 in 0815 PM 07/06 Trained Spotter North Babylon 4.33 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP ORIENT 3.83 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP 1 SW Babylon 3.80 in 0758 PM 07/06 Amateur Radio Copiague 3.76 in 0800 PM 07/06 Amateur Radio 1 ESE Copiague 3.70 in 0749 PM 07/06 Public Orient 3.70 in 0846 PM 07/06 CO-OP Observer Melville 3.62 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP 1 NNW Copiague 3.56 in 0646 PM 07/06 Trained Spotter East Hampton 3.53 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP Farmingdale Airport 3.33 in 0753 PM 07/06 ASOS Miller Place 3.32 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP COMMACK 3.25 in 0819 PM 07/06 CWOP Saint James 3.19 in 0814 PM 07/06 CWOP SMITHTOWN 3.11 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP 2 WNW Riverhead 3.10 in 0823 PM 07/06 AWS North Patchogue 2.95 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP Stony Brook 2.94 in 0811 PM 07/06 CWOP Dix Hills 2.92 in 0819 PM 07/06 CWOP East Setauket 2.91 in 0816 PM 07/06 CWOP ISLIP 2.91 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Blue Point 2.84 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP 3.6 NE Calverton 2.84 in 0500 PM 07/06 COOP Islip Airport 2.83 in 0756 PM 07/06 ASOS 1 WNW Oakdale 2.78 in 0636 PM 07/06 Trained Spotter West Gilgo Beach 2.78 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP N. Babylon 2.68 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP 1 ENE Cold Spring Harbor 2.55 in 0530 PM 07/06 Public ISLIP 2.54 in 0817 PM 07/06 CWOP Sayville 2.45 in 0813 PM 07/06 CWOP FAIR HARBOR 2.44 in 0818 PM 07/06 CWOP Ridge 2.43 in 0816 PM 07/06 CWOP Amityville 2.35 in 0304 PM 07/06 Trained Spotter Old Field 2.27 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS Shirley 2.27 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Smithtown 2.22 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Eastport 2.21 in 0745 PM 07/06 RAWS Westhampton Airport 2.18 in 0753 PM 07/06 ASOS 1 NNW East Patchogue 2.00 in 0242 PM 07/06 Public Northport 1.97 in 0820 PM 07/06 CWOP Southold 1.97 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Manorville 2.8 NE 1.95 in 0430 PM 07/06 COCORAHS 1 E East Hampton Airport 1.94 in 0755 PM 07/06 AWOS Montauk Airport 1.83 in 0754 PM 07/06 ASOS Remsenburg 1.71 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP Kings Park 1.59 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP ...Westchester County... 1 S Peach Lake 6.04 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS Somers 5.51 in 0815 PM 07/06 NYSM Mount Kisco 5.07 in 0819 PM 07/06 CWOP 3 ESE Goldens Bridge 3.29 in 0807 PM 07/06 AWS Yorktown Heights 3.11 in 0820 PM 07/06 AWS Ossining 2.14 in 0818 PM 07/06 CWOP Pleasantville 2.06 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS Rye Brook 1.98 in 0824 PM 07/06 AWS PORT CHESTER 1.97 in 0817 PM 07/06 CWOP White Plains Airport 1.83 in 0756 PM 07/06 ASOS Tarrytown 1.81 in 0817 PM 07/06 CWOP Armonk 1.72 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP CHAPPAQUA 1.71 in 0816 PM 07/06 CWOP Rye 1.65 in 0825 PM 07/06 AWS SCARSDALE 1.58 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP New Rochelle 1.55 in 0815 PM 07/06 CWOP &&

Did receive some light rain before midnight. .30 for Tuesday.

Records: Highs: EWR: 103 (1993) NYC: 100 (2010) LGA: 101 (2010) JFK: 100 (2010) Lows: EWR: 57 (1940) NYC: 56 (1914) LGA: 59 (1972) JFK: 56 (1965) Historical: 1892: Record high barometer of 30.52 inches was observed in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1892: Boston, Massachusetts recorded its highest pressure 30.51 inches of mercury for the month of July. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1905: The mercury soared to 127 degrees at Parker, Arizona to tie the state record established at Fort Mohave on the 15th of June in 1896. The current record for Arizona is 128 degrees set in Lake Havasu City on 6-29-1994. 1915 - A severe wind and thunderstorm caused heavy damage and 38 deaths in and near Cincinnati, OH. Many older buildings were demolished. The steamship Dick Fulton was overturned. (The Weather Channel) 1947: The world's most substantial cloudburst delivered 8.10 inches of rain in just 20 min. This event took place in Curtea-de-Arges, Romania.(Extreme Weather p. 121, by Christopher C. Burt) 1974: Shields, ND --a man was struck and killed by lightning while working in a hayfield. (Ref. Lightning-The Underrated Killer.pdf) 1981 - Montana was in the midst of a snowstorm that dumped ten inches at Glacier National Park, and produced winds to 90 mph. Meanwhile, Denver, CO, set a record high with a reading of 101 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1984: A 90 foot excursion boat carrying employees of the SCI Corporation on an outing capsized during a severe thunderstorm on the Tennessee River near Huntsville, AL, killing 11 people. The disaster was caused by a microburst. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - Thunderstorms spawned eight tornadoes in Colorado, and three in West Texas. Thunderstorms also produced softball size hail at Bula, TX. In the midst of a record thirty-nine day string of 100 degree days, the temperature at Tucson, AZ, dipped to 66 degrees, marking their third straight record low for the date. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thirty-eight cities in the north central and northeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Youngstown, OH, hit 100 degrees, and for the second day in a row, Flint, MI, reached 101 degrees, equalling all-time records for those two cities. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather during the day, with more than 100 reports of large hail and damaging winds from Ohio to Massachusetts and New Hampshire. Thunderstorm winds reached 90 mph in Sullivan County, NH, and golf ball size hail was reported in Pennsylvania. Twenty-four cities, mostly in the southwestern U.S., reported record high temperatures for the date. Afternoon highs of 105 degrees at Cedar City, UT, and 114 degrees at Moab, UT, were all-time records for those locations. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1991: During the early daylight hours of Sunday, July 7, 1991, a bow echo developed over southeast South Dakota and began racing east, producing very damaging winds. This bow echo was the start of a long-lived derecho that lasted 17 hours and affected areas from the Great Plains into western New York and Pennsylvania. Wind gusts in some places reached 80 to 100 mph. The strongest gust, 103 mph, was measured at Sioux Center, Iowa around mid-morning, and the roof of a school was blown off in nearby Orange City. 1991: July 7-8, 1991..."The Southern Great Lakes Derecho of 1991" States that were affected --- ....SD, IA, MN, WI, MI, IN, OH, ON, NY, PA Tornadoes struck across southern Lower Michigan. More damage occurred near Okemos in Ingham County and a home and some outbuildings were damaged as a tornado moved northeast of Rockford in Kent County. A tornado also briefly touched down northwest of Plainwell in Allegan County but did no damage. Overall, $30 million dollars in damage resulted with wind gusts over 85 mph. Over 850,000 people were without electricity following the storms; some for up to a week.(Ref. For More Information) 1993: The day after lightning started several fires, strong non-thunderstorm winds blew across much of northern Oklahoma. Winds gusted to 70 mph and lasted for several hours. A 1,200 pound bale of hay was rolled a quarter mile by the winds that also blew down many trees. Highway 51, near Hennessey, was closed until the downed trees could be cleaned up. When clusters of thunderstorms collapse and dissipate rapidly, they sometimes produce a downburst of very warm air, called a "heat burst ". A collapsing thunderstorm in the northeast part of the Texas Panhandle produced a heat burst that reached Arnett and Gage, OK just before midnight. Winds gusted to 67 mph at Arnett, as the temperature rose from 82° to 97° in 30 minutes. At Gage, the wind gusted to 70 mph, while the temperature rose from 85° to 102° in one hour. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2010: BWI recorded record high temperatures on 4 days: 6th (105 °F), 7th (101 °F), 24th (101 °F) and 25th (100 °F). DCA soared to a record 102 °F on the 7th and 101 °F on the 24th. Ref. July PRESTO Page 1

A piece of good news is that the record 600 DM ridge next week is forecast to remain over Minnesota and Iowa. So we probably max out from 95° to perhaps around 100° instead of 104° to 106° like this recent record heatwave. Probably ridge riding convection going over the top. So more opportunities for much needed rainfall. But could also come with more severe potential.

65 / 64 NNE wind. Cloudy , misty , with some spotty showers, 15 more hours of the muck before we clear out Wed. The Wed - Fri period is warmer but still unsettled with storms Thu, Fri afternoon / evenings with another 1 - 2 inches of rain in localized areas where the storms form. Wednesday is the dry day and looking very nice low - mid 80s. Warmer Thu/Fri depending when the clouds and thunderstorms arrive will be mid 80s - low 90s / humid, enough sun may produce a mid 90s. By the weekend the western ridge is rapidly expanding and while we remain in the trough it appears an overall near - slightly below normal but drier period 7/11 - 7/14, warming by the 14th and beyond as the western heat expands east .

Radar Scope, it’s an app. If you don’t have it, get it, it’s the best radar app out there.

Finally just got my power back on.

Models nailed the south coast 4 to 6 you will get an inch. You in winter meh mode?

...the only thing that is missing in this setup is the follow up storm that drops another 12-18 inches from the pike south while methuen gets a couple of wind blown flurries...

No had .12 on the 2nd too

and it might go from 62 to close to 100 by Friday -BUT great uncertainty in the Upton Key Messages Forecast Discussion - got your tickets for the Temperature Roller Coaster ride ? AFD from KOKX

My local CoCoRAHS report is always hours late, but ballparking 0.15” overnight, so about 1.4” for the last 3 days.

Picked up a few hundreds overnight to push the total to 1.02". Hopefully more to come this week.

2.96" event total.

What site do you use for radar estimates?

Next thing we have to watch is if the death ridge out west will make it to the coast or get thwarted in the flyover states. If it makes it here, we will have another week like we just experienced. Extreme heat and violent storms.

Can we all please get this in our yards ? https://x.com/maxvelocitywx/status/2074336458748416424?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

A 4.35” report from southern Loudon and a 5.57” one near manassas!

Not looking good for rain up here but models have been poor. Hoping for a 0.10” prayer, but the webbed hands are starting to reach in like they did last July.