All Activity
- Past hour
-
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Two, back-2-back cold fronts appear possible between Dec 28 and Jan4. If recent model history trends hold...that second front might be colder than what is modeled(well, except for the GDPS which brought it). The Canadian is likely too cold, but it looks like it might be about to score the coup for the Dec 28th run - most models have trended colder and if memory serves me correctly...it caught that first cold front before any other model(maybe the Euro Weeklies as well). Will models back off the intensity of the cold like they did in early December? I keep asking myself that, and then I remember this is a late December and early January air mass which is BN over western Canada. It is possible that the fronts are under modeled outside of seven days. The Music City Bowl is trending colder....oof. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
EastonSN+ replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Decent snow now temps dropped to 34.3 in Easton. -
31.1 with light/moderate snow. Eyeballing 1.5-2 inches. Will measure at 9
-
The old days have been back since 2018. 2019 till now is a reflection of 1970 through 1999. Although 25 of the 30 winters had below average snowfall we did get great snowstorms in 1978, 1983, 1993, 1994 and 1996.
-
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
weatherwiz replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Very light snow falling, ground coated! -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
tunafish replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Bullseye of > 1.50" right over me is hilarious. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
heavy heavy coating. Actually picked up quite a bit in the past 10-15 minutes, solid snow growth too -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Some bitterly cold runs overnight for the end of the year and beginning of the New Year. We are gonna get June and January within about 48 hours of each other. LR ext (weeklies) modeling has started to pick up on an EPO ridge towards the end of January. The CFSv2, Euro Weeklies, and CFSv2 seasonals have it. My guess could be sometime around the last week of January. The current pattern appears to be classic "C-FYAO" pattern, otherwise knows as a chinook - then freeze your tail off. -
Stores up here are going to be a disaster today, Double whammy with the holiday and storm.
-
I don't wanna get carried away. But radar looks like it could be 4-6" for you. Mesos have been hinting at narrow heavy bands for days. Has been very consistent. Maybe it breaks up... we'll see. But IMO, poor job by NWS recognizing this. 24 hours ago the forecast was for <1" of snow. WPC odds of 2" were <10%. That is simply unacceptable considering the very consistent model guidance. Not enough warning for very bad morning commute driving conditions.
-
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
canderson replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yea some glaze of ice around - just a touch too warm for me (which I’m thankful for - screw ice!) -
Webber nailed it….. Back in November
-
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
-
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Everything covered here, temp 32 -
Yeah the NW to SE track we are seeing modeled is very rare. I’m skeptical that’s right
-
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Cary67 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Probably copy and paste for St.Patricks Day also -
Today's euro weeklies now popping a +PNA with colder trends for the east for the entire forecast period. We'll see if this holds...
-
Today's euro weeklies now popping a +PNA with colder trends for the east for the entire forecast period.
-
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Bare ground in Marysville. If there were any flakes, I missed them.
