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looks like some more rain/storm chances this afternoon before we dry out for a bit again

0.22” here from last evening

0.09" from the Sunday evening T-storm. Looked stronger on radar.

41.3° for the low here.

Wow congrats guys!

Hold up...do I spy another ERC?

Those findings aren't too surprising. The UHI Effect grows most rapidly when an area first begins to urbanize. From 1950-1980, Phoenix's population grew 6.9% per year (Phoenix metro area: 6.4% per year). Since 1980, Phoenix's population has been growing 1.7% per year (Phoenix metro area: 2.7% per year). Since 2000, those rates have slowed further to 1.0% per year and 2.0% per year respectively. Phoenix's suburbs are currently growing faster than the City.

Sitting at 0.83 for the month here, but 0.65 of that fell in first 5 days. Things are finally getting dry/crunchy around here.

Out early this morning. One word, GLORIOUS!

Effin Covid.

We take. We enjoy.

A couple things have my attention this morning: there's a big blob of convection at 7N which is significantly further south than where the NHC marked the wave. I wonder if this will help tug it south or maybe it will just go poof. Second, this morning's 06z GEFS shows a much stronger signal with many of the ensembles staying south hitting Florida.

59 here with NE winds

What a gorgeous morning. Feels like fall.

There will be WAR pumping by the developing TC behind Erin. That influence may be another pc that was not resolved at all until today’s model runs. It’s a negligible affect if Erin makes a hard right, but an important influence if that does not occur. Just another thing to monitor out of interest until Erin makes that hard right that’s being shown on the vast majority of guidance/ensemble members. If nothing else, we may see larger spread to the east/west wrt latitude in the western/slower vs eastern/faster tracks.

40F overnight. Even seeing some 39s locally.

I’ve been keeping an eye on the 75W line, and don’t think the cone has crossed it until now, even if just by a pixel. 8am advisory right around the corner.

Left the window fans on and the living room was down to 65°.

0.59” from yesterdays storms .

Very impressive satellite shots this morning! Lots of room for additional intensification next 12-24 hours before shear kicks in. We'll see how strong it can get but that is one impressive satellite presentation going on both in intensity and size.

Skunked on the rainfall again IMBY. On a brighter note it is really pleasant out there this morning. Temperature of 59, low humidity and a nice breeze. Very refreshing for a change!

Recon flying circles in the eye, pressure in the mid to upper 930s. Back up to around 120 kts

This could have some of the most substantial indirect impacts we've seen. It's already very large and could double by the time it nears Hatteras. Substantial coastal erosion, flooding, even TS impacts along the coast.

An update from yesterday's run for week of 8/25 fwiw.