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even without a connection …….. stay safe and relieved …. As always….

That is pretty funny how it is similar to Sandy's track. I suppose we can say it's a good thing that Hurricane (non-Hurricane) Sandy was a 1 in a million shot.

Where that cooling is taking place along the west coast of North America, off Baja and up into the GOA with the warmth under the Aleutians is reminiscent of a -PDO “cold horseshoe” something we haven’t seen in quite awhile

Dongs

ECAI - 12z version continues as previously 10/29-30... almost 2" in NNJ. LOOOOONG ways off and best to play it conservative. 12z once cycle trend on non event GFS/CMC is decidedly north! One cycle D7-8-9. What it does do-lends more truth to the independent CPC perspective yesterday as well as EPS suites... even if those suites are 50% too wet. May? be starting a thread tomorrow afternoon for enough rain to raise Oct amounts to normal or above by 10/31 and a period of gusty e winds 45-55 MPH on the coasts. Some sort of rain-wind event seems to be coming Oct 28-31.

Bowel?

The surface center has once again been spit out toward the west as the convection is unable to hold onto it.

https://thedigestonline.com/news/new-jersey-drone-sightings-private-contractor/

https://phys.org/news/2025-10-overshooting-15c-climate-inevitable-chief.html

12z GEFs continues the trend to increase anomaly settling into the M/A ... Here's the 180 hour regardless of whether there's a fusion of TC or TC guts into this scenario ...that's an important coastal signal on its own.

I’ll never forgive T-Blizz for complaining his way to a jackpot in the 2022 blizzard while I was shoveling pixie dust.

one would think that a Nino developing next year would actually kick things positive for a stretch

What could possibly go wrong, LOL!

Maine sent back to the days of being the Massachusetts Bay Colony.

just 9 short days away on an OP model!

I noticed the same thing when checking my P&C this morning ha. Nice and boring.

Sandy redux on the 12z Canadian late next week. Could be some interesting days of tracking ahead.

Pilgrm monument in PTown toppled over if that verified

PDO dropping makes sense in light of 15 day SSTA change.

Positive movements here.

Something big is coming next weekend. I feel it . Things are moving

The op-ed aims to use selective statistics stripped of context to make the reader question the seriousness of climate change. The author claims that “climate-related deaths from floods, droughts, storms and wildfires... have declined by an astonishing 98%.” This statement is presented as a fact-based contrast to what he calls “alarmist narratives” about the climate. By highlighting this statistic, the author suggests that while the planet might be warming, it hasn’t made life more dangerous. This strategy of "implied argument" is intended to lead the reader to infer that the impacts of climate change are exaggerated. It is a dishonest tactic. That tactic is based on material omission of the very reason climate-related deaths has fallen, which has nothing to do with the author's thesis that the climate change threat is overstated. Finally, I didn't remove those four variables. The author did in order to make his misleading claim through implied argument.

given that it comes in around Halloween, it would seen that the CMC run is trying to look really... scary. Presumably the 0Z run will be like Monty Python says ("And now for something completely different")

Holy shit!! There we go

Lfg!