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just wild that IU's coach was at JMU just two seasons ago lol.
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For anyone wondering why each models output is so different - here it is AI Overview No, different weather models don't get the exact same data, and even with similar data, they interpret it differently due to unique physics equations, algorithms, resolution, and data assimilation methods, leading to varied forecasts, which is why meteorologists use multiple models for confidence. While core data (satellites, balloons) is shared, how each model processes it (initialization, grid size, physics) creates distinct outputs.
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Where the hell is JI?! The man lives for getting digitally snow pummeled, and not even a peep? Epic fail. He probably doesn’t even like snow.
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Seen some 588 dm in Oregon on the UK,nuts that's like having a death ridge in the Pac NW. Very high potential here,if the shortwaves can dig further southwest in my opinion.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Lol…ok. But Did we ever think there’d be blizzard conditions on the beaches of Alabama, Florida, and Louisiana? With 12” of wind driven snow. And snow 40 miles out into the gulf of America last January?? But it happened. Never say never bro. -
That’s it!!
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I don’t think this is our storm. Too early for us.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Not happening. -
It's going to be a northern storm.
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2016?
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He loves weenies and is a limited poster.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Might want to Put your dentures in then…last year there was a blizzard on the gulf coast…while I was in N. Aroostook. Obviously, that doesn’t show the same thing, but don’t be so sure. Lol. I don’t discount anything at a week out. No matter how outlandish. -
Yesterday I’d hoped to get up to Bolton for some afternoon turns and take advantage of some of the warmer temperatures, but I couldn’t get up to the mountain until after dark. That did allow me to get my first lift-served ski session of the season under the lights. It turns out that while temperatures crept above freezing in the valleys, the mountains stayed below freezing, so the snow never really had a chance to soften up. I was only able to sample terrain with manmade snow, since that’s most of what’s available under the lights, and it was about what one would expect on busy terrain. I’d say it was fairly middling in terms of typical manmade conditions that had seen plenty of skier traffic – not horribly icy, but certainly not universally soft by any means. It was decent snow for carving turns, and temperatures in the upper 20s F made it comfortable to be out. All the main Village parking lots were rather full when I arrived, and when I was leaving the mountain around 6 PM or so, cars were just streaming up the access road. I wouldn’t be surprised if Thursdays are one of their busier nights, but I’d definitely say that the night skiing scene at Bolton is alive and well. The fact that midweek night skiing tickets are only $29 is probably a factor in getting folks up to the mountain for turns as well – that’s just a fraction of the price for a typical daytime lift ticket.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I'd eat my laptop if that evolution happened verbatim. -
Ukie is different than both the GFS and Canadian - would like to be under "hood" of these models and see what info - collected data- is being fed into them and how they are programmed to handle it
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Gem a complete bust. But Ukie might be loading up at the end of its 168hrs run. Idk how it would end.
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Rooting for IU over Miami. Way better story and I like Mendoza.
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I don't like the northern stream trending dominant
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Go Kart Mozart replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
This is an academic exercise of course, but relating to my last post showing intense snow over me, take a look at this sounding, and note the incredibly skinny DGZ. -
Ukie is rain
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
SnoSki14 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Agreed. It's too soon for us to benefit. I'd be shocked to see much snow prior to late Jan. If anything does come before then consider it a huge bonus. Maybe the only consideration I'd give is a storm could occur during the +PNA spike aka pattern transition zone. -
Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Torch Tiger replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
aigfs much more reasonable looking -
You can teleconnect with what the GEFS shows into East Asia,while you have some possible winter in the long range,this should just be transient cold and a warm up afterwards.But this is also with the MJO related sorta speaking So this is gonna crash the good PNA as heights lower into Russia/Mongolia
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
F^ck that. Next-
