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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
It got up to 71 just before 11 am before the front came through and knocked the reps down about 15 degrees. Ended up with 0.38" in the bucket, but that was over a 5 hour period, so no gully washers. It did get pretty humid around the frontal passage though. Currently 52 with dp 44. -
2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
@Stormchaserchuck1, I agree that the correlation tools have some utility, but I do think that @bluewave is onto something with the lower RONI being reflective of a negative impact for eastern winter enthusiasts....ie cool ENSO residue. Consider several moderate to strong El Nino events that were "good".....ie 1957, 1965, 1986, 2002, and 2009...EVERY ONE OF THEM had a RONI was at least equal to, or GREATER than the ONI. - Yesterday
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After a break in action, we now have Easter snow at WXW2. Can we snow Memorial Day too?
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maybe snow covered Tuesday
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Loves chilly at night this week, gonna be dormant for quite awhile longer now
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I'll have to check my bleeding hearts. I didn't know they started this early. Magnolia tree next door is ready to pop.
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It’s a gamble. If this el nino turns out as strong as current forecasta (I think not), then we probably torch. Snowfall? Either a ratter or a one-and-done that drops 20” or more.
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Awesome!
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With no rain. Fun times
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Yeah im not sure but we've seen a lot of local mets go from here to Atlanta. I'm sure the money is great.
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0.26” but the yard is soggy
- 179 replies
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- april showers bring may..
- rain
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I became aware of coral reef bleaching with the terrible event that affected the reef near the FL Keys in the summer of 2023, when there was a marine heatwave. I clearly remember that the heating of the waters there was made worse by a lack of rainfall/clouds. I think winds were mainly pretty light. Even not so shallow waters near the coral warmed into the low to mid 90s! This was like the SW US heatwave. There were these unique conditions that when superimposed on overall already warmer than avg waters due to GW favored heating the waters to record high levels. I posted about this many times in the warming oceans thread of this CC section. This extreme warmth lasted for many weeks, which was much too long for the coral to avoid bleaching, when the stressed coral expels the beneficial algae that it feeds on. The good news is that scientists supposedly moved portions of most, if not just about every, species to safety into much better conditions allowing them to thrive and prevent extinction. https://science.nasa.gov/earth/earth-observatory/confronting-floridas-coral-collapse-153304/ Good news was that 2024 and 2025 FL Keys waters weren’t nearly as warm since the conditions favoring the marine heatwave weren’t present. I also read that there are some coral species in other parts of the world where normal SSTs are warmer that tolerate much warmer temperatures, which will help as the oceans continue to warm since some of these species could be placed elsewhere to help combat the bleaching problem. Ultimately though, the hope of course is for oceans to stop warming. https://eos.org/articles/some-corals-are-more-heat-resistant-than-thought
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He did! There was another recent guy who is on Weather Nation. His name escapes me.
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2026-2027 El Nino
George001 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yep. A super Nino is possible but we don’t know what is going to happen. A moderate or strong event is possible as well. -
I remember Gary. He was a great meteorologist. A lot of people forget that Mike Bettes came from WLOS also.
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I definitely remember it. One of my favorite snowstorms ever!
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I was living in Boone at the time. It was epic. It didn't matter that it was April. Here is write up from Gary Stepenson, who worked at WLOS. https://spectrumlocalnews.com/nc/charlotte/weather/2022/03/17/the-surprise-snow-storm-of-april-1987
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Last two years were -1.1 and -1.0 RONI, so average of last 3 years is -0.2c/yr. I've found that 4/6+ same ENSO state shows strong tendency to reverse in the following +1-3 years. Likewise, +3-5 years after a Strong Nino (23-24) has El Nino tendency, so we are kind of hitting this from both angles. -
Lots of tulips/daffodils coming up in our flower beds. Even some of the other perenials like our giant bleeding heart is waking up. Grass has some green, but a way to go still.
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Someone who feels lucky should go ahead and open and pin a 2026-2027 winter prognostication thread to separate these posts from the medium range...makes it easier to find the winter stuff if that is all you care about.
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Got in what was probably my last session of the season at Wachusett yesterday, April 4. Conditions were really really rough. Some stuff was barely passable. Some decent snow in others. Left by 10AM after doing 9 runs. They claim they want to open next weekend for their pond skim etc. But not sure how they can pull that off. Not much snow to push around, more melting ahead. It was a great season overall. March really sucked for snow.
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0.40" Looks quite dry next 7 days.
- 179 replies
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- april showers bring may..
- rain
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(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
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Not here. Just 0.01” from first line. Maybe we get a few hundredths of an inch with the last line. Bad miss
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Golf weather is coming, I predict that your patience for yardwork is lower than you think right now.
