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Solar uptake continued to accelerate in Africa in the last month before the energy crisis.

Impressive back door gradient between the CT Shoreline and NJ as my average high has been 47.2° vs 55.3° at Newark. Climatological Data for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT - March 2026 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Sum 1226 808 - - 668 0 4.79 Average 47.2 31.1 39.1 1.3 - - - Normal 46.2 29.4 37.8 - 707 0 2026-03-01 41 26 33.5 -1.2 31 0 T 2026-03-02 27 15 21.0 -13.9 44 0 0.00 2026-03-03 34 15 24.5 -10.6 40 0 0.41 2026-03-04 48 28 38.0 2.6 27 0 0.10 2026-03-05 40 28 34.0 -1.6 31 0 0.75 2026-03-06 39 35 37.0 1.2 28 0 0.31 2026-03-07 41 34 37.5 1.4 27 0 0.09 2026-03-08 55 35 45.0 8.7 20 0 T 2026-03-09 64 30 47.0 10.4 18 0 0.00 2026-03-10 63 31 47.0 10.2 18 0 0.00 2026-03-11 60 41 50.5 13.4 14 0 0.30 2026-03-12 53 32 42.5 5.2 22 0 0.22 2026-03-13 39 31 35.0 -2.6 30 0 0.00 2026-03-14 47 30 38.5 0.7 26 0 0.00 2026-03-15 42 29 35.5 -2.6 29 0 0.00 2026-03-16 55 40 47.5 9.1 17 0 1.68 2026-03-17 53 31 42.0 3.3 23 0 0.01 2026-03-18 35 26 30.5 -8.4 34 0 0.00 2026-03-19 38 28 33.0 -6.2 32 0 0.00 2026-03-20 49 27 38.0 -1.5 27 0 0.08 2026-03-21 53 41 47.0 7.2 18 0 0.00 2026-03-22 48 40 44.0 3.9 21 0 0.17 2026-03-23 49 35 42.0 1.6 23 0 0.67 2026-03-24 46 31 38.5 -2.2 26 0 0.00 2026-03-25 48 28 38.0 -3.0 27 0 0.00 2026-03-26 59 41 50.0 8.6 15 0 0.00 2026-03-27 M M M M M M M 2026-03-28 M M M M M M M 2026-03-29 M M M M M M M 2026-03-30 M M M M M M M 2026-03-31 M M M M M M M Climatological Data for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - March 2026 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Sum 1437 963 - - 486 3 3.71 T - Average 55.3 37.0 46.2 4.4 - - - - 0.1 Normal 50.0 33.5 41.8 - 605 0 3.48 5.1 2026-03-01 44 29 36.5 -1.8 28 0 T T 1 2026-03-02 34 21 27.5 -11.0 37 0 0.00 0.0 1 2026-03-03 38 30 34.0 -4.8 31 0 0.42 T T 2026-03-04 47 37 42.0 2.9 23 0 T 0.0 0 2026-03-05 44 39 41.5 2.2 23 0 1.62 0.0 0 2026-03-06 43 37 40.0 0.4 25 0 0.16 0.0 0 2026-03-07 50 37 43.5 3.7 21 0 T 0.0 0 2026-03-08 73 48 60.5 20.4 4 0 T 0.0 0 2026-03-09 73 44 58.5 18.1 6 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-10 82 46 64.0 23.3 1 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-11 82 53 67.5 26.6 0 3 0.35 0.0 0 2026-03-12 64 35 49.5 8.3 15 0 0.07 T 0 2026-03-13 45 30 37.5 -4.0 27 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-14 53 34 43.5 1.7 21 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-15 46 36 41.0 -1.1 24 0 T 0.0 0 2026-03-16 67 45 56.0 13.6 9 0 0.60 0.0 0 2026-03-17 47 31 39.0 -3.7 26 0 T 0.0 0 2026-03-18 37 25 31.0 -12.0 34 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-19 44 32 38.0 -5.3 27 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-20 66 35 50.5 6.9 14 0 0.07 0.0 0 2026-03-21 60 48 54.0 10.1 11 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-22 64 44 54.0 9.7 11 0 0.08 0.0 0 2026-03-23 52 35 43.5 -1.1 21 0 0.33 0.0 0 2026-03-24 50 32 41.0 -3.9 24 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-25 55 34 44.5 -0.8 20 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-26 77 46 61.5 15.9 3 0 0.01 0.0 0 2026-03-27 M M M M M M M M M 2026-03-28 M M M M M M M M M 2026-03-29 M M M M M M M M M 2026-03-30 M M M M M M M M M 2026-03-31 M M M M M M M M M

This wasn't a sudden end though. This winter was basically from early Decemver to end of February. Non stop cold and storms to track.

This is an interesting take.

This basin-wide warming across the North Pacific overwhelming the PDO is something new. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02482-z Pan-basin warming now overshadows robust Pacific Decadal Oscillation The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) has served as a key index linking basin-scale climate variability to marine ecosystem changes in the North Pacific. However, recent apparent breakdowns of PDO–ecosystem correlations have raised concerns about the stability of the mode and its continued relevance in a warming climate. Here we show that basin-wide warming now overwhelms PDO-related sea surface temperature (SST) variability, although neither the PDO’s spatial pattern nor its strength have changed. We introduce the pan-basin pattern as a complementary index to describe the non-stationary SST baseline of the North Pacific. Regional SSTs increasingly reflect the superposition of these two signals, providing an explanation for weakened or inverted PDO–ecosystem correlations. Future use of the PDO index in management will require discerning the effects of internal dynamics from those of absolute changes in SST as extreme and no-analogue ocean conditions driven by interacting natural variability and anthropogenic warming become more common.

I can't say I'm surprised. I predicted warm March and April at the beginning of February. I just knew that the cold was going to end at some point. We had 3 solid BN temperature months. The last time it happened was January-March 2015. April 2015 turned warmer, and May 2015 was near record warm. Also, sometimes the cold and snowy winters just come to a sudden end. Just look at 2009-10. After February, things just got warmer in March and temps reached 90 in the first week of April.

Andrea Michaels FOX43 PA’s latest Drought Monitor Update was released earlier this morning, with some notable improvements for portions of the Commonwealth! Northeast PA saw the most improvement—going from D0 (Abnormally Dry) conditions to nothing! This includes much of the Endless Mountains, the northern Poconos, and part of the Wyoming Valley. Some of the Middle Susquehanna River area saw improvements from D1 (Moderate Drought) to D0. This includes portions of Centre, Clinton, Snyder, Northumberland, and Union counties. Not much change unfortunately for South Central PA, but we’ve got some decent rain coming tonight! And there will be more opportunities next week too for needed rain. As long as this keeps up, we’ll get there. Patience is key. Climate conditions like this take time to fix if you’re not getting a single, big rain event.

60 here

Saw this post the other day: "Numerical weather models are projecting huge westerly wind burst signal over the west Central Pacific over the next few weeks, some AI models are projecting signals that would achieve near record intensity. The westerly wind burst projected is as zonally and meridionally broad as any historical event I recall, and becomes better centered on the equator than the comparable event of March 1997. Oh boy, March 1997 comparable? 1997-98 was a super El Nino! And 2015-16 was a super one as well. So was 1982-83. So for next winter here? Right away, CoastalWx will go, "IT WILL BLOW b/c it is too warm! Any snow that falls will not stick around!" LOL. Well, it is not all lost, all three of those super El Nino years, we go something good in SNE. Feb 1983 and 2016 E Coast biggies and the "surprise" event 12/23/97 (SNOINCR 8 at Ayer MA). Also, the nasty ZR event NNE and sern Quebec Jan 1998. And the only decent cold shots in such winters are in the NEUS, while the rest of the country is a furnace!

Social media we all know can be a wicked minefield. It's the nature of the beast. As long as you understand that, it is much easier to handle it all. Still, it is so easy for things to be taken out of context or one's tone misinterpreted. The pitfalls of social media. You lose a lot in translation not being face-to-face talking or the like! Etiquette is important, and also not to knee-jerk react to anything you may not like or offends you, but that is NOT easy! We all fall into that trap for just about anything one time or another. And I dislike it b/c it distracts me from enjoying the topic at hand. I say to myself often, "I liked it so much better when we could all enjoy and weenie out about the wx w/o fostering blame, pushing messaging, or seeing non-wx ppl/the public freak out/worried sick about the world ending! Can't we just enjoy wx for what it is? It is amazing and fascinating in its own right. That is more than enough to keep us busy and engaged!" It not always about being self-righteous or correct on social media, just, and we know this well being wx weenies, is that so often we see stuff posted all over the place, and we *know* it is factually wrong. Such as wx history and the media buzzword 'unprecedented" said far too often b/c it sounds dramatic and sells. And lame derivatives like "almost unprecedented" - yes, I have actually seen that. Stupid, either it has happened before or not. How about say, "rare" instead! LOL. This is what gets me more and more, how things are worded and communicated. It's not about being pedantic, despite being precise and accurate is important in many sciences, just I feel for those (the public) who don't know any better, and get duped easily. And a lot of up and coming mets/wx enthusiasts get the wrong idea about things. So I don't mind heated discussion or debate, as long as it is kept civil. I am known for sometimes getting on a high-horse, and then I have to scale it back. I can't tell you how many times I have written something up quickly on social media n response to something that got under my skin, finish it, then re-read, and then I go "nah, not worth it!" and delete, or edit it down to make it less verbose and pedantic.

Now the GFS has mix here next Friday

The snowcrete lasting 3 weeks 3.5 days at my house, the bitter low 20’s highs 5-10F windy lows, all three months below average temps, and 3/4 minor events . The only thing absent was a 10”+ biggie or 3/4 minors/moderate that gave us 4-6 instead of 1-4 An A- for me

Coldest ever recorded in March anywhere on the globe occurred yesterday in Vostok, Antarctica with -76.4C or -105.5F! https://www.facebook.com/MikeCollierWx/photos/big-time-coldearlier-today-vostok-station-in-antarctica-recorded-a-temperature-o/1462495788561020/?

Just as I hit enter on my last post,several rembles of thunder before I could even get this one off.

Nice, steady rain here, of varying intensities for the nearly an hour. No thunder so far or strokes being detected anywhere close to my home .

Very true. The forecast from LOT and SPC was hitting the large to very large hail wording pretty hard. Plus the tornado threat. Knowing what I know, knew that was a long shot. The lake breeze moved through here earlier than expected, and kept going chugging south, unlike 3/10. But the mailman isn't the weatherman. It was interesting to me how that message was a definitely out there, loud and clear. Normally, I believe people kinda shrug off severe potential days, but with what that this city went through two weeks ago, the forecast was certainly well received. But, two to three months from now, same messaging threat, people probably go back to being "meh" about it. Which I get it really...

Heavy rain in Marysville as I try to get to sleep.

A couple solid boomers but nothing noteworthy. Pretty satisfied that we continue to get an at-bat shot for interesting weather!

That's like the panic of El Reno 2013 and Hurricane Rita - recent disaster spooks many.

Chuck, thanks so much. Two questions....I have to assume it's tougher to get the -WPO loading SST pattern ("C") during an El Niño? Secondly, do you have a similar schematic for an EPO correlation? TIA.

B+. A blockbuster winter storm followed by about as cold of a streak as we can muster. Just a shame it didn’t snow more.

I've never seen anything like what I did today. Absolute genuine fear from people here of forecasted 2"+ hail. People wrapping their cars in anything and everything they could find. Blankets, cardboard, mattresses, etc. People scrambling to park their cars in hospital parking garages. Mind you we're 16 days from an insane amount of cars getting damaged from the hail storm of a lifetime, but the PTSD was very real. Thankfully, this was a non-event here today.

Phillies 1-0 ! Current temp is 70 at 10:30 pm