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Moderate snow finally changed over paved areas beginning to cave. 33f humidity 99% dew point 33f The very definition of marginal Total snow: 0.02” Total Snow for Year: 25.8”

For those interested in the climate indexes discussion: check out 2026-2027 El Nino thread

Snowing yey

No …zoomed out I saw 946, but that was a jumble of numbers so corrected my post and image below off of ttb actual 989

For at least 2 years now, GFS is unreliable outside of 60 hours.

Exactly-There's nothing else going on-so great time to learn and discuss.

Pretty strong system that has a lot more juice to work with. Might be the best chance since the Jan storm.

946 ?

I decided to look and yeah - thats a world beater. 6.2 days out so not complete lala land. 989 tucked under LI just inside the BM. Got my attention there. Lets do this and then close out Winter.

I find this to be an good coincidence -- I say coincidence because the QBO is a Stratosphere index. But since the QBO 30mb data started in 1979, every single December (6) in QBO >+5 and ENSO +El Nino -- has had the same anomaly temperature pattern. There is a >80% chance this will be this upcoming December (+QBO/+ENSO). Not only is every map the same, but they are strong anomalies in the Northeast and Great Lakes in every example. Will be interesting to see what happens in December 2026: Following January in +QBO/El Nino: The map skews warmer for El Nino because the +QBO state favors a stronger Stratosphere Polar Vortex. This has correlation with +AO in the +0-day.

Dusting on dirt, struggling to stick on sidewalks IMBY

Cmc also crushes SNE

How is this thread not a 5 alarm fire after the 0z GFS!?

If the gfs and cmc are right , Boston will have over 60 inches for the winter.

Yea, def. worth tracking. I hope I'm wrong.

Its easy the old snow is solid vs this fluff

Wish the NAO was slightly more negative . Anyway every model is on board. Fun week ahead.

It actually looks more off board to me. I don't doubt it will form....but it looks like OTS is most likely to me....another near-miss/fringe that will bomb the Maritimes.

Dusting on all surfaces here in Brooklyn

All the models are on board for next weekend. Decaying block and brief spike in pna

Gfs is on its own with that run. Canadian and Icon look like forecasts for different planets. Problem is all 3 of those models stink, so...?

Im sure that won’t change maybe a half inch so far? Coating over everything. Pillow flakes

Ukie is also on board for the 23rd. All the models are on board for a possible coastal storm. We have to watch this closely . Decaying block and brief spike in PNA.

Ukie is also on board for the 23rd. All the models are on board for a possible coastal storm. We have to watch this closely . Decaying block and brief spike in PNA.

Temp began to drop finally about 30 minutes ago...now down to 33.4 degrees. The mixture has now reversed and is wet snowflakes mixed with some rain. Still not enough to show any signs of accumulating. Current radar implies that the end is very near for me, unless it continues without being picked up by radar. Picked up an additional 0.03" of precip bringing my daily total to 0.24" and monthly to 0.26". I still have 100% coverage in my backyard which is a northern exposure. Looks like 2.5" of solid cover remains. In my front yard, which is a southern exposure, there still aren't any bare spots, but I'd say I'm down to around 2".