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It’s going to move southward

We’ve got to scrounge up 6 inches to hit our average for winter snowfall. Not sure 1.1 inches per month will cut it. On the bright side our drought may finally have a dent in it. .

sorry your snow is melting quickly in the late winter sun

I guess it depends on the AI training. In your case the AI models would need to ingest ground truth, which they may or may not. In PSU's example the AI model should certainly know how the atmospheric features were modeled versus how they evolved in real time. I don't really know, though.

Vermont DOT is sending equipment to help clean up:

What’s crazy is they had a bomb threat at HMS yesterday around noon. Apparently a student told a teacher that another female student had a gun and bomb in her backpack. Obviously, they didn’t find anything. .

HREF is solid 2-4 across CT maybe a bit higher in spots.

Euro has us in 20s monday and tuesday but we need to beef us this POS

On the southeast corner of that red light where 33 and Emory cross there’s a CVS across the street from HMS. I live right behind the CVS. .

-EPO (+TNH) was a byproduct of high solar and exceptionally strong easterly QBO....like this year. The fact that it was a modoki El Niño helps, yes.

How did it look for the SWFE?

I'm actually really glad there was really no way for me to measure so while I'm disappointed because I don't know what I got, I am sheltered because I don't know how much less than expected. Although it really sucks because I probably won't be able to get to 100" now.

I am In to the End! Keeping hope alive!!!

I had this conversation with myself this morning. B- A+ on snow pack retention A- on cold (though becoming less of a fan as I age) C for snow Weight it 60/30/10 (snow, pack, cold) and it’s a B-.

Take a look at weak El Niños versus stronger back throughout history.......2014, 2004, 1977, 1976, 1968...all weak and NE winters. 2015, 2009, 2002, 1986, 1982, 1957...those stronger ones get the mid Atlantic.

above average snowfall each month dec-Jan-Feb has only happened in like one or two other winters other than this one, we were just talking about that last week.

Time to shovel out my car

You are 100% WRONG....weak El Niño is best in SNE because the STJ is less pronounced....that is the reason I nailed that winter in my first outlook. I looked at ENSO as said with would be a SNE winter.

Hillary Andrews just deleted her account

I am at 11 inches. Not great, but way better than it's been. Plus, I made it to zero. Still time for one more hurrah.

I had a similar thought about cold chasing moisture, especially east of the Apps and double especially east of the taller Apps down in my neck of the woods. Every model run in history overestimates how fast the cold gets over the mountains and frequently hallucinates phantom snow as a result. Since the AIs are trained on historical data one would think that this bias should go poof on an AI model.

Finally made it to the bottom of the thread. First, I want to reiterate that people clear the vents on the sides of their houses!!!! Our daughter goes to URI and lives in Matunuck. This is a photo of her car at 2:30 on Monday. She is guessing 30ish inches. We tried to convince her to 'evacuate' to Stowe on Sunday morning but she was worried about missing classes. Some random other thoughts: We are so lucky this storm was snow and not rain. Regarding the plows getting pulled off the streets: I saw a video of a stuck municipal plow spinning their tires and thought "They must be waiting for Amazon to deliver their tire chains." For the people who are annoyed about being 'missed' by the huge snowfall amounts: We are 6 miles from Stowe Mountain. I love when the mountain gets 10 inches overnight and we have maybe an inch in the driveway. Go help the people who are buried dig out. For the record, Stowe Vermont also received 0.0 inches from the storm "Snow without skiing is dumb."

14-15 was hardly a nino and didn’t really fit the traditional standards of one (if it did then DCA would have had a far better season than BOS). the reason it was less of an analog IMO was because it had a warm pool spanning into Nino 4 and Nino 3.4 which really helps with late winter -epo development. just how i look at it, people can disagree here.

Are you in a sheltered area by any chance? You said 22-28 inches depending on drifting and accounting for compaction and being in a sheltered area could also affect this. I'm not sure how big N Prov is....maybe it was a very sharp cutoff? Even downtown PVD had some 36" readings which is even more than what I got.

Its a long shot and models still meh for the most part.. but Saturday has some potential I think. Euro also bumped north but has the storm forming off the Carolinas and heading out