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Some assume theres some linear connection with the strength of nino and how warm it will be and simply ignore everything else.

Shocker lol.

*defend the system at all costs* lol I find it's a good topic to discuss here. They are just making people aware of a thunderstorm. It's less about severe intensity these days. We rarely get a severe storm compared to the Midwest though anyway. Not sure why there's near an equal number of warnings issued west to east.

Looks about right

Yes.

Didn't see anything about that in the p and c

We agree. Though anomalous OHC ups the ante if the atmosphere is willing to cooperate. The stability in the tropical Atlantic has been a common feature this decade, and deserves a lot more attention. It was horrendous last season after making real strides in previous years. AI ensembles quickly proving their worth in identifying windows for TC genesis and surpassing the GFS.

Mid 60s and steady stratiform rain all day, with over an inch so far. It had been over 3 weeks since we’ve seen any substantial precipitation here.

I want that much qpf in snow in relatively the same amount of time during the winter just like this was That was wild!! I guess that's what sw CT has had all summer

You objected to my description of "wildfire-swept France" with a map that was largely irrelevant to the issue at hand. The 2026 wildfire season has been very severe in France and also a bad one in the European Union. My providing information about France and the European Union to address the flaws in the chart that was used to object to my point about France does not argue that climate-change effects stop at the EU or that they exclude Russia. The posted chart was not appropriate for judging the severity of the fire season in France. More data are not automatically better if that additional data is irrelevant to the question at hand. Excluding the irrelevant data that had nothing to do with France wasn't "cherry picking." Including irrelevant data to dismiss the narrowly focused point concerning France creates a misleading picture.

Picked up another .25” in Greenfield.

86 / 67 nice day \today

Rich get richer. Poor get poorer.

It was. My daughter was born in August of 91'. My wife remembers it in more detail than me! Lol

We pour. Everything lush and green.

Out of the dozens of (pre) El Niño summers, 1991 was the 2nd hottest at Detroit on record with only the pre late developing weak Nino summer of 2018 hotter! The 3rd hottest Nino summer was 2002, which preceded a very snowy and cold winter that was one of the coldest and snowiest moderate or stronger El Niño winters there as you know.

Moving due south down the valley. What a year for the CTRV. Rare

Not a bad looking core. Surprised at least no SPS on it

Thundering here!!!!

83 at nook. But it feels warmer. Pretty uncomfortable- 65 dew point.

stackin'^

The Cedar Rapids area was the bulls-eye this morning. 2-3" of rain fell across the city. Up to 4" fell just east of the city. It was just pure heavy rain with no thunder. I love mornings like this. A few spots could get another 1-2" later today and tonight. July has been dry, but today's rain doubled my monthly total and we are now above avg.

Partly cloudy, slight breeze and 80 degrees out. Definitely humid feeling when that breeze stops.