All Activity

Updated

Euro looks like it wants to finally override that CAD. Looks like SN/Slop to Slop to Rn.

It would be interesting if DCA outdid PHL, NYC, and BOS in terms of snowfall due to a stronger and longer initial overrunning. I doubt it mostly because of likely better ratios up north and possibly some tack-on snow at the end. But I guess it's possible.

Once again 10-15”

Euro total QPF storm

Yep, and look at the catastrophic ice progs in the South. My goodness.

South Va and probably much of NC. So much damned ICE. South central TX is also going to get some ZR and sleet, along with freezing weather. Sun night we might hit 10 degrees without the wind. This system is going to be one frigid slippery dangerous killer beast. I hope not but there are likely to be pileups all over the ice areas.

25-40% sleet

Very similar to 12z run at H5 and surface Doesn't quite develop and capture coastal like 0z ICON, but still would deliver 10-20" all of SNE assuming better than 10:1

Hopefully no one has to use this chart, but just in case anyone ever needs it. Was designed for risk assessment to power infrastructure

Yeah, the Euro is a nothing burger for the eastern half of the state. If it verified, I don't even think they'd need more than a brief winter weather advisory.

Are the mid levels that cooked to get that much freezing rain rather than sleet? Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

The Euro is also faster to move out than the UK, ICON, and GFS. 12 hours of snow plus or minus and then dryslot/light stuff. Most of the steady precip. is done by 0z Sunday on the Euro.

Last pic before bed. Pummeled!

Euro also 8-12” then ice. Looking good! Time for bed. First call coming in the morning

In the craziest irony, Tennessee and North Carolina are the only two southern states that haven't had a huge anomalous winter storm the past two years. And even crazier, the Florida panhandle has had two. Warm noses kill us, but don't affect Florida. It's insane.

For parts of VA. Hopefully most of that will actually be sleet. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

2” of ZR at RIC. Yikes.

The triple phaser might as be weinies version of the ring with how much it's siren song always leads us to think with the wrong body part. I got the knickerbocker in late January 1922 968mb The Great Appalachian storm late November 1950 970mb Great Midwestern blizzard of January 1978 955mb Superstorm March 1993 960mb Halloween Noreaster 2011 971mb That's all I can think of that was legit triple phasers. Logically we really should banish that word until 2030 if not 2035. Alot of people forget about the Halloween one thinking we are so do Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

The scope is enormous for sure. Wow.

Book it.

This post is factually incorrect.