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With the incoming stm, the forecast for stiff E/ENE winds is going to blow a large mass of ice right into the W shore of the Lake. By Thurs into Friday, that will probably open up the waters where the ice currently sits. If that happens, with a ENE/NE wind, a long fetch of marine air over the ice, with lower pressures, could produce some good LES. Models are all over the place for that scenario, tho. Will be interesting to watch.

Currently 32 F (above zero) at the measuring station way up above Berthoud Pass at 12493 ft. Dewpoint 0. Sublimation city! I was up on the ridge at Loveland Ski Area yesterday at roughly the same elevation, with roughly the same temp.

Bozeman today. looks and feels like summer here. sunny and 60. not a flake of snow. Jives with my last few SLC trips. Under an inch for season. Devastating winter out west and a summer water crisis coming

Winds DC 15-20 gusting to 35

There will be some really nice days between now and then.. hang on. I feel your pain.

This guy was under the feeder a couple hours ago

Anything is possible. . South or rain or snow or ice

Yup! I can buy a 3 bedroom house on 100 acres of land for 200k lol

What if the snow was south of you? Models overdoing the confluence?

The Euro was close. GFS kind of led the way for the last storm from a storm signal standpoint (about 6-8 days out).

I got the maps from a met in SouthernWX, but since nothing winter related is going on in the south, he's out of comission for now!

Just get me to May. Get me out of the next 10 weeks of misery.

It’s 34F and feels like t-shirt weather. -7.5 on the month for departure during climo minimum… above freezing now feels like a torch.

Well that storm was way wide right if I recall. Was good for the outerbanks, NC

Dusting

Maybe it was the SE forum. I think @bncho knew a guy who knew a guy who called for it giving us epic snows.

Just took a walk around the yard to throw some raw peanuts at the squirrels. Its been a rough year for them. I had no acorns in my yard this year and I have 50 year old monster oak in my front yard. Feed them at work as well. Below is fat Eddie just after our mini melt in January. He bangs on my glass now and then. It was actually pretty nice out. 12 to 14 inches of snow pack still and we topped out at 39.

Without the euro on board, probably not happening. Still hopeful we have one last chance in March.

Well at least it has the Ukie backing it.. better then no model support at all

Musta been that storm that stayed way south east.

Analog time frame day a Go and notice how the cold air is coming down from NY State and PA and not rolling off Maine nor plunging down thru ND/SD and rolling eastward where timing of cold air can be a problem

Oh ok thanks bro.. . so ud think the more members in the ensemble, the more accurate it would be.. IMO

Lots of confluence up there with that maritime low