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I took down the funnel cloud picture because a lot of people are saying it AI so we will see.

Beat me by 0.12" Not even a trace here... again...

Radar estimates have hit 6-7" in extreme north Bucks and Lower Lehigh Training for hours there most of that missed me

Broken & Loco gonna be my go to replies from now on. Posters beware! LMFAO!!! Crank the shit out of them on Fridays @ work!! Please feel free to add to my Friday afternoon playlist!!!!

Very brief rain in queens, not much at all. We keep dodging these storms.

for tonight - tomorrow severe threat returns especially if the sun comes out and increases instability in the atmosphere once again - some folks east of the Hudson think they are out of the woods regarding heavy rain and storms - well they are not IMO

The hook shape near Burlington plus the difference in velocities by Burlington. The velocities are inbound/outbound from the radar. (It can't see cross-wise wind). In this case, a somewhat small difference of like 30mph may be an indicator of a tornado, which of course has much stronger winds.

Check out meterologist Jared sellers post has a photo of a possible tornado in madison county .

If I remember correctly, this month was supposed to be record heat. Record rain fall is something no one that grows any kind of garden hopes for! Much easier to pump water on crops than try to dry them out! Much less diseases and fungus too deal with too.

new tornado warning by Surry, Virginia (AKQ)

1.70", 10.69" for the month

Apparently Saturday is looking interesting decent .

Sigh one of these days we’ll have an event that isn’t a complete snoozer. Not gonna be today though

Tornado warned cell near Robbinsville currently.

Registered 0.11" through 1950 for this event. Just a few brief rounds of light to moderate rain over the last 2 hours.

big 0.07 inches of rain today. Not helpful!

0.12" total. Unbelievable.

Light to moderate rain in CLT. Temp of 83. Storms fell completely apart approaching the city

Past her now, if there was anything

I made that post earlier from the 2nd batch of rain this afternoon that went around us. There was a 3rd batch a while ago that dropped .5" finally. Better than nothing.

Pretty impressive trough for late July...perhaps a harbinger of things to come... WB 18Z EURO.

i ended up with 1.78 inches of rain and temp is now at a cool after the storm

Where in these images would the tornado be? Severe wx noob, I got my gf in wesrern Mebane rn

I think we'll see a pretty darn robust STJ, eventually. Remember there's some resistance in the pacific with the -PDO too. That's a battle royale there IMO but I think the sheer magnitude of this el nino overwhelms it. But it's going to take some time to do that. Aifs-ens would suggest we see it start to fire up a little bit towards mid Aug. Will be interesting to see if that's accurate and if it starts to ramp up more as we move towards autumn. If we see that, I'd feel more confident. As far as the QBO is concerned. That's an area of ongoing research. Which has been noticed more and more as an important factor in various areas. So it has been gaining more and more interest. Here's some newer work that also included the Pacific jet. The image below is actually a cross section of the jet in late winter. Same conclusion. El nino + WQBO is the combo for the strongest jet. ERA5 data in top row model runs in the rows underneath. QBOi El Niño–Southern Oscillation experiments: teleconnections of the QBO https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/6/1419/2025/

Early season snows in this type of Nino are not very common. I'd anticipate a low chance of anything appreciable until January-March. Just a matter of if we can score anything small prior to that.