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  2. tamarack
    Absolutely. My serious climbing days (Katahdin, Little Bigelow, Goose-eye) are done, and my most recent significant adventure was Oquossuc Bald, between Rangeley and Mooselook Lakes in 2020 with SIL and grandkids ages 5 to 14, left the 2-y.o home. Unfortunately, that November Saturday was spitting snow with lousy visibility. Only 1.3 miles and 900+ elev gain but most comes in the rocks of the final 0.3 miles. Cloudy 50s with some drops, good day to help replace the ramp at our church.
  3. Damage In Tolland
    https://x.com/jmelmed23/status/2052816907913331086?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  4. Albedoman
    thanks
  5. John1122
    36 on a 41 forecast this morning.
  6. michsnowfreak
    Agree. The physics of meteorology are fascinating and often completely lost in these threads by some.
  7. michsnowfreak
    It's no more pathetic than having a constant warm bias. Anthonys response originated from bluewave literally saying the reason all time historic winters havent been broken the past decade is a warming globe. Thats an insane position. So we're supposed to get the most severe winter on record every decade then topple it the next decade? Some of the things that were said in these enso threads the past few years were absolutely ridiculous and proven immediately untrue the following winters, whether you want to call it a forecast or not. The bias in general is why SO many people dont post here anymore.
  8. frontranger8
    Been nice to get a pretty cool stretch the past couple weeks.
  9. Cobalt
    This is simply not true. ChatGPT is a far worse science communicator than many out there. Its writing habits are also quite predictable, to a point where a still substantial portion of the general public can sense that the vibes are “off” and stop interfacing with the posts entirely. My suggestion would be to narrow the scope of your content and try writing headlines more gripping and information-rich than what ChatGPT can do. It is very much possible, and the reward is that, with enough effort, your unique posts have potential to reach further than 4x the amount of derivative AI posts would be capable of. I guarantee it.
  10. frontranger8
    The snowstorm this week officially delivered 5.8" to the airport, making it the biggest May snowfall for Denver since 2003. It also pushed 2025-26 down to 6th least snowy winter on record, with 33.1" for the season.
  11. Today
  12. WolfStock1
    Wait - so we're basically having discussion with AI, with TCC as a proxy? No thanks. Can we perhaps start a separate "No AI" thread?
  13. LVblizzard
    Maybe it’s just me but my allergies were not bad at all this spring. I only had maybe 3 or 4 days where I had to take my allergy meds. Now that the trees have all bloomed the window for pollen allergies seems to have closed and I’m very happy about that.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    This plus a climo decrease in tropical chances due to El Nino really are a wet blanket for this summer. Do we just go hot and dry all season?
  15. Chinook
    possible 2.3" hail to 30000 ft
  16. snowman19
    Not one person made a winter forecast on here not a single one. How dare we discuss a potential historic El Niño event in a dedicated ENSO thread. This shit is the reason why people like Isotherm, HM and a few others don’t post on here anymore. The weenies crying that someone is trying to take their cold and snow away. It’s fucking pathetic. Grow the fuck up
  17. NEG NAO
  18. Stormchaserchuck1
    Can't we just accept it's warming ~0.1F a year and move on? The physics of meteorology is far more interesting. I responded to bluewave because it sounded like he was thinking the general warming would be a dominant-pattern causing thing. There is more high pressure with global warming, but there is still a lot of year to year variance. In 2025 we had more low pressure centers. In late August 2025, we actually set the record for lowest 500mb on record for the month for the Northern Hemisphere, and there were these cold 500mb anomalies setting up May-Sept 2024 too. I'm curious to see if this warm season has a relative spike of cold H5 like the last 2 years, or if that doesn't occur this year.
  19. Torch Tiger
    Deep Summer is consistent higjs 80's and 90's thrown in
  20. Torch Tiger
    Yeah no doubt we will see some AN days but average highs are cracking 70's by then
  21. NorthWestNJ
    Wasn't 2002-03 not nearly as strong a Nino as those others though?
  22. Damage In Tolland
    Looks like a lot of 75-85 type days after about the 16th . Warm and AN
  23. NEG NAO
  24. SouthCoastMA
    12z GFS/GEFS are on the cold end of the guidance. I think it will end up trending warmer in the D9+ range towards the other models.
  25. vortex95
    "It stinks and it sucks!" or "when you stink, you stink!" -- BOS sports quote from the late 80s!
  26. Torch Tiger
    Sure I undeerstand. Haven't seen the 12z op but the 0z Euro op didn't look summery -and 12z gfs does not either. Of course I want early summer but I personally don't see any extravagant LR signals yet
  27. Typhoon Tip
    Not sure what your after here? but ensemble means will invariably look blase'. They're comprised of some 50 members, the vaster majority of which will not only be wrong, but are likely to bring a solution that is outside a small tolerance window - averaging those wrong solutions in with 2 or 3 good ones leaves you with something other than a narrow tolerance that fits whatever you're looking for. That's why if ensemble members look good at an extended lead that's more ominous, because it means the physical signals are loud enough to be picked up by more and more members. It kind of goes both ways, too. If the ensemble means are shitty, but the operational run is good ...particularly at longer leads, you have to take the operational run with a grain of salt that it may be too amplified.
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