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  2. Typhoon Tip
    I'm actually surprised there's that much water in the air this early in the year. huh
  3. dendrite
    +1
  4. dendrite
    72.0/43
  5. michsnowfreak
    Those were the nyc totals i posted btw, bc newark didnt start til the 1930s. I figured nyc was very close.
  6. jbenedet
    That will bust with the MJO to phase 8 to 1, with 1 being the warmest for this time of year in New England. You’ll probably see the cold anoms in the mid Atlantic, Long Island to del Marva.
  7. Typhoon Tip
    Yeah... it really just looks like those long lead products are assuming the winter pattern never stops. I'm not necessarily offended by persistence - it is what it is. The onus is on Earth to change it. LOL Fwiw ... not that our druthers have any say in matter, but having neggie anoms in the 3rd and 4th week getting toward the arrival of he solar max isn't a terrible reality, necessarily, either.
  8. mitchnick
    Mid Atlantic (DCA up to PHL at least) had a decent 6"+ storm in December, 1982 that was supposed to stay south in VA. Great Sunday night surprise as I remember it well. When I asked JB about it when he was still at Accuwx, he said he was jumping up and down saying it would come north but other forecasters overruled him.
  9. Brian5671
    Caribou or International Falls
  10. GaWx
    UKMET has been one of the better models in recent years. It’s going ~+2.05 for Sep ONI and would likely rise a few more tenths from there. Then take off ~0.5 to convert to RONI. So, ~+1.5-1.6 C RONI in Sept and rising per UKMET. Euro ONI is just over +2.2 in Sept and rising, but it has tended to verify too warm although not as much warm bias verified on average in actual El Niños. This all suggests to me a mid to high grade strong RONI peak as of now. I’ll continue to update.
  11. Ginx snewx
    Weeklies have 4 weeks in a row BN starting the 20th following the Neg Nao theme with well below normal heights for New England
  12. Typhoon Tip
    Wonder if we're getting some d-slope compression off the ORH hills
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah I have lots of memories of this time of year in Lb. At least it’s sunny. The worst days are zero vis fog and raw wind. Those days feel especially cold, meanwhile it’s 80 and sunny in NJ. .
  14. Typhoon Tip
    75 ...73 at KFIT about a 7 to 10F MET bust. Brian can you confirm that?
  15. Mount Joy Snowman
    They don't make 'em much better than today. Glorious conditions.
  16. jm1220
    Upper 40s in Long Beach. Water temp still around 43. Ouch.
  17. JTA66
    Maybe it will come down to the last game of the season. The Flyers will win in a shoot out and go all the way to the... Ah, never mind.
  18. snowman19
    If (IF) this is correct, that is insane for a 13 models/637 member ensemble mean for September, at +2.2C, since the El Niño will still be strengthening at that point. They normally peak in November or December….
  19. jm1220
    He needs to move to Alaska or something.
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Onshore wind limiting temps on the south shore. JFK 51 and 62 CPK. Strong onshore winds next week with multiple Ambrose jet days possible. South facing coast will be significantly cooler .
  21. KeenerWx
    Wonder what the pacing is compared to 2023-2025. This multi-year run has been exceptionally wild…
  22. the_other_guy
    Im hoping for a bone dry spring and summer to keep all that in check
  23. CT Valley Snowman
    DDH 75
  24. uofmiami
    Enjoy before the mosquitoes are out in droves.
  25. GaWx
    That’s the coldest March for Canada, overall, since 2002, which is below:
  26. CAPE
    If they have have the Triple Decadence WWS on draft I would recommend that. Incredible. Try the new 120 too.. curious what you think. I wouldn't do both in one sitting though lol. Nap time!
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