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EPS essentially identical to 6z, if anything came a hair south. Obviously this close in ensembles aren’t gonna jump around but nice to see.

This

The local snow gradient is quite noticeable over short distances. The corridor from Rt.87 south to 422 seems to have the most amount of snow on the ground. Thankfully I'm sandwiched right between that area

Think it’s 15 for wxmodels

Speaking of things you may not need to pay for… DESI is cool and has the national blend of models. The drawback is it is a demanding web page.

Yeah, COD heading toward six looks like on the Chart and that was the 8th so, extrapolating that course would be coming into six now. Sat Imagery as Carvers alluded looks rather undeterministic irt where really.

Someone is going to get the goods this weekend, but with such a narrow stripe, there’s no consolation prize.

Ensembles too

I pay $30 a month for WeatherBELL for it not to load.

The main thing we can hope for is the shake-up isn't 6+ weeks, and that whatever happens after that, the Pacific is more favorable going forward. The current pattern is the Ohio Valley dream, and the Central Virginia snow globe, while we get stray flakes and glancing dustings. If Pacific had been a little more cooperative we'd have been clippered to 10+ inches by now.

Looking like Sunday may not be a weather fun day for us.

Totally wrong

Funny how it's literally an I-95 special on the models. Gonna be not so funny when it rug pulls like 6 hours before go time.

I'm pretty loyal to WxBell's UI - especially on mobile - but it does tempt me. Tomer Berg also at this point has almost everything for free so if I was smarter I'd just switch to that.

Forget north/south, it is 95 vs everyone else

Gotta keep an eye on the exact location and timing of phasing that occurs with the energy associated with the vorticity lobe. 12z CMC has it further west/interacts sooner than the 0z run. Pretty big change there, thus more amped/ warmer/norther.

That matches up very well with the report I got from my friend here at work - he is just north of Rt. 6 and I want to say about 8 miles south of Coudersport? Edit: I see that Rt. 6 sort of runs through Coudersport...well, he said he's just north of Rt. 6 but he also said he's in the middle of nowhere...so maybe 8 miles east or west.

True dat

Well he knows better than you!! Lol

The MJO is basically a spread out cluster or clusters if you will. It not being very defined in a single area is making it's effects on the Pattern harder to pinpoint. Forcing is at a wider Area so to speak. If that consolidates into 8 later in the Month , or whatever phase, that typical Phase outcome should become most evident providing Other Driver's don't overpower it, imo.

Switch to wxmodels haha

I’ll take the euro. Will be checking the 500mb vort maps on each model to compare and see what we need to happen upstairs.

Definitely debating an angry email with a threaten to cancel. WxBell is already a premium product with what you can get for free out there. EURO can't keep getting stuck

It's just barely into 6, hopefully it's looping back towards 7,8. The beautiful pass through 8-1 the models had could have been great. It made it there (to 6) a few days ago and models started blowtorching the lower 48 around that time. Which is basically phase 6 in a nutshell in winter. Hopefully Canada doesn't get scoured of cold. The snowpack north of us will likely be gone by Christmas if modeling is correct. I'm ready for a reset anyway, I think winter will make a comeback some time in January, unless we go full 1989-90.

Need to secure the tripod to some heavy stone blocks, that's how my Muttontown station is secured by pool patio.