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Nice sun-drenched, mild day in Concord MA.
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Anyone know if that ‘line’ is modeled to hold together and move east or just fizzle? Thanks!
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Perfect early May day imo. 59 and partly sunny. Getting lots of outside work done. Waaayyy better than 80s and humid, which we can easily get this time of year.
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Relative to date, according to Climate Reanalyzer source the running sea ice is presently at a historic low
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Expected this. This is a stout cold front. 20 degrees below normal is impressive anytime of the year.
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Based on OISST, Monday’s weekly RONI equivalent for this week averaged out should be warmer than the +0.2 of last week. I’m leaning to +0.4 but +0.5 is possible. Today’s RONI equivalent is ~+0.5-+0.6:- 1,217 replies
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Pope's beautiful NNE weekend
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- Today
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Can’t buy them in winter
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2026 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
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All good,i guess work does come before play..lol..Good to see you back tho !! Its always good to read your post and Jeff during severe to read yalls thoughts.Looks like you have a shot middle of next week,lots of uncertainty in our parts. In the long range the MJO seems to be getting stuck into the IO by a Rossby Wave plus also you have a Kelvin in the east so the signal is getting destroyed.But if the -AAM can stayed coupled with the MJO,we could get rather active in the long range
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Farmers have had a double whammy this spring as the drought persisted through the first three weeks of April adversely affecting early spring plantings and high fertilizer cost -
The NAM/GFS have a nor'easter for Nova Scotia- snow in May? I've seen it. At sea level? That's really pretty darn cold for sea level.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
April finished as the 12th warmest (POR 133 years) first month of spring here in Chester County PA below are the Top 20 warm years. Our average of 55.0 was +2.8 degrees above our 1991-2020 climate normal of 52.2 degrees. January thru April 2026 is the 57th warmest first 4 months of a yea -
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
April finished as the 12th warmest (POR 133 years) first month of spring here in Chester County PA below are the Top 20 warm years. Our average of 55.0 was +2.8 degrees above our 1991-2020 climate normal of 52.2 degrees. January thru April 2026 is the 57th warmest first 4 months of a yea -
Clouds splitting the area in half angled
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Wow….- 1,217 replies
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
The big warm spikes raised the average for March and April above normal but strangely the northeast trough still persisted. If you know anything about growing late April through May is the key growth period for crops everything is being stunted by this cold. -
Stein holding here. Not sure it will last though. Wish we had yesterday’s weather today.
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We could debate the GW component of OHC when comparing to past Nino events. But regardless, the current 5 month rate of warming of 180-100W OHC is the fastest on record (2.69) back to ‘79: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ocean/index/heat_content_index.txt So, the avg. steepness of the rise in this graph since Nov is a record for a 5 mo. period:- 1,217 replies
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very chilly today..
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GFS keeps pumping out hefty totals in true GFS form.
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This latest MJO forecast propagation we just saw was actually stellar weeks in advance. Spot on actually- 1,217 replies
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Mid 20's last night should rebound into the upper 40's today. I'll take it. Snowpack becoming patchy with the swamps and north facing areas still holding deeper snow. Will probably have areas of snow for another week, ending 6 months of snow cover.
