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It’s a good thing we went there before the prevalence of AI, because nobody would believe the scenery in my photos is real.

Norris can use that water.

Speaking of which, this was at the golf course last night.

82F/Nice DP 53F

Wound up with 3.93" here. North Jonesville officially 4.06" . Pennington gap, 4.57". Radar estimates of 5-7 inches northern Lee into Western Wise County. Powell River flooded Big Stone on down to Jonesville. Creeks and Streams flooded.

Summer to fall to spring down there this year

This was June 15, 2002 3-4 inches of hail and a drift to 8 inches

This is the kind of season where something dumb can happen and they win the series a la last September, lol

Your 6 months of summer is just beginning.

When is the next threat window?

Ive heard that about Banff!

Remnants of Arthur not coming back

Out of the last 3 super El Niños (82-83, 97-98, 15-16), with the exception of the obvious +PDO back then, this current El Niño structure, along with the ++PMM, most closely resembles 1997 at this point in time

The 35-41 orioles, who were just shutout despite a good pitching performance, now get to play the Dodgers lol. Any chance this ends well?

.3 here last night, uggh Thank the Lord for the .8 we got Sunday night.

just had the wettest 2-day stretch on record at the municipal airport here, and those 5.51" came in a ~18 hour span.

81F/DP 55F Good shot we make it through the rest of June w/o a 90F+ day...

Yep. Some pretty strong gusts today

So much is loaded into the net result of everyday winter weather but it’s going to be intriguing to see play out. We’ve had a lot of cold and dry the past few years with a southern jet that just can’t get the job done and watching everything get suppressed. I think we swing the pendulum the other way this year but hopefully not too much. My fear is that it’s indeed BN for much of the season with AN precip but I think it’s driven by a lot of 45° rainstorms - not snow. But we only need to connect on one for it to be a good winter in this forum.

Sorry to hear that a key player is out, though

An actual legit pattern change leading to normal rain chances could be starting on Monday.

I feel like we are going to be playing with fire a lot between periods of Modoki forcing and MC forcing....probably a good deal of variability after a consistently mild early season.

Sunday morning at 424am...Then the sun SLOWLY starts to move back..you'll start to notice the difference by mid August

Models are trending south with the Sunday system. The CAMs are well south of my area with any storms. The Euro had been holding on a bit farther north, but it has caved this morning. I'm no longer expecting anything more than a light shower.

Picked up .35" for the day. Not bad.