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I mean yeah…it’s going to clear west to east. Seems to being working out as progged. There’s still low level crud CRV-east that needs to be eroded below the mid level clearing.
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A few rumbles and some lighting here earlier this morning with a couple passing showers around 6am.
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Little patches of blue sky finally, in Fairfax City.
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Not to be difficult but on April 3 ... high-ish late summer sun equivalency, should it break through ( and it looks on vis loop like it's peeling off like Pope was suggesting ) is going to save the day in my mind. 50 with hot sun... fine. Wind should remain light. Very napey
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2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If these projections for the next few weeks are correct, we are going to see westerlies in the ENSO regions take over and “couple” (ocean-atmosphere) with Bjerknes feedback getting established -
So much for reaching 70 today :/.
- 117 replies
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That's what I'm thinking, too... Mixing is needed and some backside dvm from elevated cv in that band might do it
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Send it this way! 47 isn't horrible but the clouds and 46 dew point means it's uncomfortable. Bring on the sun!
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Much brighter now, sun is about to break through, temp up to 48. I prefer it cool when doing the spring cleanup anyway so no complaints from me.
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I'm guessing I'm about an hour or two more away from it lifting up here then
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
For sure. If not this weekend, then probably late next week a lot of folks are going to be doing their first mowing of the season. -
Even if we get some breaks of sun I don't think we are going to see any sufficient mixing. Forecast soundings (both NAM/GFS) are overly enthused with mixing potential. Obviously if we are able to break and mix (maybe happens locally) temperatures will jump quickly.
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Precisely, there is a delicate balance and that needs to be understood.
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Sun coming out here
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
At precisely 5:05pm yesterday, the temperature in Fairbanks, Alaska reached 33 degrees. This marked the first time the temp climbed above freezing since October 31st, 2025. 153 consecutive days below freezing. You needed to know this. -
I'm out from under it and can say it gets nice fast! Mostly sunny with a light breeze and 67
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2.33" yesterday, and some nice elevated boomers. not bad
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
I will go with a B. 11 inches of snow. Reached 0 degrees, which that had been a while. A nice snow in the teens. Pretty good winter. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It’s wild how tall gras. A very warm, wet March makes everything explode. -
It’s still low 40s in CT
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That's what I have always maintained...if we hit like 2035 and are still in that pattern, then I'll capitulate....but the tide already seems to be turning. Obviously the word is warming....I'm not disputing that, but I'm just referring to the ability to discern the degree to which these patterns/phenomena are a byproduct of CC versus how much they are attributable to natural variation. The atmosphere is still cyclical...it's just warmer, and some of said cycles are becoming augmented and somewhat increasingly stagnated.
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I’m basically filtered sun now. The low level fog is gone. Just need these t-showers to kick through and we’re good.
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36.4° +SHRA (RW+ for vortex)
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Imagine that 152 days below 32
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- april showers bring may..
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