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A mini jackpot for cyclone. Hopefully it works out for there, after a shockingly snow-free period since 12/8 (and after last season’s record low snowfall for MLI).

Feel like we get an annual 8-10” where some place in the area goes over a foot (just not MSP airport proper) but I also think it’s hard to actually get enough moisture this far up north to go over a foot area-wide without a lake nearby. Instead we get a decent amount of the prairie/plains climate getting a few inches here or there and holding onto them while it’s below zero every night for 2 weeks.

Possibly…but I guess my point is that it hasn’t really ever been consistently good, other than the glory days in the late 1970s and 1980s. Of course 2013-14 was good, but that’s only one season.

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0Z GFS has another SE shift with the track of the surface low through N IL

It's only going to get worse.

Of course you’re just the messenger, but there are so many ways to respond to this pathetic reality. I guess I’ll go with the simplest stat - total 2025-26 SDDs for ORD during DJF was 107 (60 of which were from the first 10 days of December), which means a mean daily snow depth of only 1.2”…and only a 0.6” mean depth for the last 80 days of met winter. And that’s supposedly our best winter season in several years. On top of that, ORD actually had one of the better snow totals in N IL, as areas N and W had materially lower snowfall. Plus, no white Christmas for anyone. And I didn’t shovel once after the early December storm. How does that happen? Are we supposed to be grateful for this? No - all it represents is an abominable commentary on our climo.

Back many years ago I was cat fishing the Marietta bend below chickies rock when a suspected meteoriite made impact somewhere in lancaster. Whatever tonight was was also many magnitudes, brighter and louder then that.

I don’t have the data to support but I’m pretty sure our upper echelon storms start to cluster around 12-13”. Anything over that is pretty good for us. .

Some pretty jaw dropping wording from the headlines of the latest AFD from NWS Marquette. This thing is going to be a truly remarkable (and dangerous) storm for even the winter-hardened folks of the UP.

Well last night the 0z Hi Res group had us under sleet / dry slot and the death band in Hinckley at this hour so we might get better predictability just dusting off the old Microsoft Paint. Anyways bird in the hand is worth two in the bush; I measured 2” as of 10 pm under this initial band, comes out to ~0.75” per hour or so. .

Apparently, they can set off ordinance after sunset, but i've certainly never seen the flash from explosions that far away this lit everything up like it was daytime and seemed to come from the sky. It was also many times louder than any ordinance.I've ever heard from indian town gap.

Looks like it could be a top 10 event for MSP. Just needs to exceed 16.0”. I’m surprised that MSP (POR 140 years) only has 3 storms of 18”+, and only 22 storms between 13-17”. That’s disappointing. On the latter, I would have expected at least twice as many, and probably even 3x as many (which would imply one such storm every other year). A 13” storm isn’t supposed to be a big deal for MSP, but apparently it is.

In my book, that’s a solid B…and it would be a B+ if the snow cover was 3”+ on a majority of those 99 days.

After 80s on Tues and storm chasing I'm good. Lol. Im so over cold. But would of been cool to get a historical blizzard like this.

Did you hear it too?

I don't think they can set off ordinance after the sunsets.

I’m wondering if we get a different type of crazy cold front this time. Not 50 degrees over 24 hours but 20-25+ in one hour

I’m not sure what the NAM is on but…….

Yesterday it topped at 50mph before the power clipped out and the feed dropped. May have been a higher gust. It’s in a relatively good spot but still can be blocked from NW gusts.

I'll gladly take 2-4" - I want to see how cold it can get Tuesday morning.

Very cool! What did it pick up as far as max winds?

Yep. The poor radar coverage a few years ago caused a tornado to go unwarned in Catawba County and multiple people died.

Is the Gap doing training drills this weekend?

I would be careful writing those off as mini-supes. With such pristine wind profiles, only about 1k cape can get it done.