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Finally snow falling in Pittsboro, NC

Crazy rates in Winston!

Any roads that get cleared today and tonight are going to get covered again with the wind through tomorrow.

If you live in Durham, your number has been called. Please exit to the obs forum and begin posting. You're about to join the fun!

Yes

yeah, two panels of .010 lol

Finally snow falling in Pittsboro, NC

At 12:45 PM EST, Huntersville [Mecklenburg Co, NC] Public reports Snow of 4.50 Inch. Updates previous snow report from Huntersville.

This band has been absolutely hammering MBY the past 1 hr and half. Not really moving but definitely, 1"+ hr rates.

AI had it but literally a dusting really… T-.5”. AI liked the Friday clipper better as well

I can certainly see a path to 9-10" here in the triad given whats on the ground and the upstream returns. We have HOURS of this left.

20F / 6DP. Still dry. Maybe 10 flakes on an earlier walk.

Alan Huffman. Hickorywx was his brother or cousin?

Euro has it, looks light tho

Light snow in sw Durham

At 11:45 AM EST, 2 WNW High Point [Guilford Co, NC] Public reports Snow of 5.00 Inches

Small flakes beginning to fall in Holly Springs! I think the dry slot is eroding yall!

Practically every single one of our snow events has fine details that no hemispheric index can account for. Basically chaos, luck, and timing factors. Those same factors can produce a snow event when basically all indicies are working against us. That said, odds favor higher probabilities of winter weather vs rain when the indicies are in total sync. I personally don't like amplified +pna/-nao periods as much as others here. It's a good combo for a noreaster but it's also a good combo for non-stop cold/dry frontal passages. I personally prefer a more neutral or slightly negative PNA with blocking help because it opens the door for more widespread precipitation across the eastern half of the conus. You've probably heard me talk about the "big bowl" pattern. That's my favorite for tracking because there are multiple ways to score even if the risk is higher for mixed events or cutters. I like action more than big dog chasing and that's why 2013-14 is one of my favorite winters of all time. I have a bias so keep that in mind when I like what I see. A slightly negative pna with a neg ao/nao combo is a big bowl pattern. We might be heading for one and I personally like that even though it opens the door for bad tracks and rain even with blocking. CPC d8-14 analogs are pretty loaded with winter wx chances Late jan/early feb 2021 has a big noreaster but MD didn't do well. Analogs shouldn't be used to predict that level of detail. The fact that a noreaster existed during the analog period is a big plus. We often say "I'd take my chances with a repeat of a storm like that" which is a good way of looking at it. No 2 storms are alike and even though Boxing Day 2010 was a gut punch, I'd take my chances with another shot at a similar but not identical setup. The list above also includes late Jan 04, mid Feb 2007, early Feb 95, and late Jan 2009. All of those periods produced winter wx in the DMV. IIRC, mid Feb 2010 also had a big coastal that impacted areas to our NE. The above list is yelling that a potential east coast storm is on the horizon

Just rubbing salt in Raleigh’s wound.

To those posting pictures, what is the best easiest way to resize them. Thanks.

Pretty sure that’s Allan Huffman. .

Several inches IMBY. 19F I was nervous for Raleigh area a couple days ago with what the short range was showing

Damn that is definitely brutal. 3” here in Winder with another 1-2” likely by evening .

If that comes together that will be fine. It won't be too hard to clear. We'll see. Snow growth is terrible right now. Flurries have stopped!

After that last band it’s just under 5.5”