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Its official, flakes are falling in Jamison Pa

That's great, grab a bottle of bourbon and watch the snow in the dark.

Starting to snow here. Still have a good 3-6 on the ground still from January. This is getting exciting!

All rain where I am but the rain itself is probably an 80% liquid and 20% solid type concoction.

Go look again…

There could be and probably are many reasons but occlusion too quickly would support shutting off the influx of moisture into the storm but that doesn't really look to be the case. Another possibility is with how quickly the storm is strengthening, the best fronto is collapsing south and east closer to the low but that doesn't seem to be the case either because the front just simply dies over us and we seem to be sort of smoking subsidence. I am still leaning towards this being completely overstated but if this happens we can't say we're surprised by it lol

HRRR is insane for coastal areas. This is tomorrow morning with hours to go. Look at the eye off the coast.

Let the chips fall where they may… My trusty handbook says it’s now casting time!

I don't think that's correct. See below.

Hoping HRRR and RAP are right but even there high ends seem to be lower than NWS forecasts. moderate snow - 31 - starting to stick on all surfaces

ya was further east but heading north now

Unofficially, about 1 inch at Central Park Feb 22, 12:51 pm 32 30 92 22 ENE 15G24 0.75 Lt snow, Mist OVC007 1016.20 29.86 30.03 0.02 0.10 34 32

I'm hoping.

22,236 miles. Bitch to service.

It's where I grew up so I'm kind of rooting for them lol right near the beaches sometimes it's hard to get snow also-all right no more South Jersey reports lol does sound like the low pressure is getting wound up pretty fast and closer to the coast I'm reading on the other thread so that'could bear well for us with the pinwheel effect later on tonight

Mood right now, haha

From our artificial summary with inputs: HRRR — primary mesoscale driver Best for: Snow band location Snowfall rates (1–3"/hr) Band evolution / pivoting Useful range: 0–12 h (up to ~18 h trend) How to use: latest 1–3 runs only ⚠️ Do not trust storm-total maps HREF — confidence & persistence Best for: Probability a band persists ≥1"/hr rate probabilities Confidence in HRRR signal Useful range: 0–36 h How to use: confirms whether HRRR is real or noisy RAP — temperatures & p-type Best for: Surface temps Rain/snow/sleet/ZR line CAD holding vs breaking Useful range: 0–12 h How to use: hourly temp & wet-bulb trends ❌ Not for QPF or totals NAM 3 km — vertical structure Best for: Warm nose depth Sleet vs freezing rain Soundings & cross-sections Useful range: 6–36 h How to use: diagnose why p-type is changing ⚠️ QPF often too wet

Made the decision to send my wife and kids to mother in laws with a full house generator. Not feeling great about holding on to power here tomorrow with some aged trees on our street.

That's where I am!

HRRR crusher at 18z. And still going strong at this hour.

6z euro and rgem do it too. 3k keeps it going longer. Seems the strong WAA/fronto quickly shifts ENE along the H7 triple point on the gfs/rgem/ec

See that 5 in beautiful Bedford Co? It better get really busy to verify that....Its melting as fast and the flurries hit the ground so maybe we already got 4 lmao.

Snowing lightly now in Port Jeff Station after a little burst earlier. My few exposed grassy areas and shrubs now re-covered. 33.

It'll be like watching the snow blowing off one of the Swiss Alps