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Just over 0.2” so far
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metagraphica started following Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
metagraphica replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
metagraphica replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
56.6° Gonna need that about 10F higher -
We dodged storms like a ninja yesterday too but picked up .13 for a total of .50 since midnight.
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Here is a graphic I hope illustrates that the goal of homogenization is not to create a new absolute temperature series for a given location, but to extract change over time information. With Coatesville 1 SW, because it moved to progressively cooler locations (break points finds these shifts), it is necessary to correct for those moves. Convention is to apply the corrections from most recent raw data backwards, but it is just as valid to apply them from oldest forward. Convention results in a repaired series that was always in its final location, and applying corrections from oldest forward results in a station that never left its first location.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That was me who was dismissing the MEI awhile ago and you still don’t see me posting about it. Just not a fan of it. It’s equally weighting all variables, only uses one dataset (JRA-55), and like ensonerd mentioned it’s limited to the first EOF. I felt like it made the 2023-24 event weaker than it was even compared to the RONI, thanks to the rare -PMM that went with it. -
Second the pouring ob.
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Not a drop
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That’s interesting as BGE is out every other year to trim trees along York Road in my area.
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Only .08 rain last night. DROUGHT is getting worse. Significant rain ran north, east of BR again. GRAF model says maybe another .10 later today.
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Largely missed this one but that's OK I got plenty from the last one. Here comes hot and humid again! At least we have chances of thunderstorms with it.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
59 degrees this morning. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
so_whats_happening replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Never claimed to be the best met or honestly that good of a forecaster at all. Of course I like snow, not so much cold though hence why I don't live in Canada or Alaska or hell even New England or the upper Midwest. I love that I have been able to experience a near snowless winter and the most snow this area has ever seen in a matter of 12 years, I find it simply fascinating. A +10 December and a -10 February as well. Yep definitely had many reservations about this event. Stay or leave up to you. Make sure to put that little poop emoji to let me know you care! -
Looks like a winter snowstorm map where I am rooting for a 50 mile shift north to get into the good stuff. Here's hoping that at least part of the sub gets to stave off this dryness that is expanding in the region.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
71 when I left the house with a nice little cell starting to move through. Let’s see if we can bag some winners today. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
A-L-E-K replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
the lack of snow already getting to folks - Today
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 324 AM EDT Wed Aug 5 2026 PAZ004>006-010>012-017-018-024-033-060730- Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield- Northern Centre-Cambria-Somerset- 324 AM EDT Wed Aug 5 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Isolated instances of minor flooding are possible today where heavy downpours from thunderstorms occur. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Heavy rain is possible from scattered thunderstorms each day from Wednesday into Saturday which may lead to flooding of small streams. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 324 AM EDT Wed Aug 5 2026 PAZ019-025>028-034>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066- 060730- Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton- Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton- Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Perry- Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 324 AM EDT Wed Aug 5 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Isolated instances of minor flooding are possible today where heavy downpours from thunderstorms occur. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds are possible Thursday and Friday. Heavy rain is possible from scattered thunderstorms each day from Wednesday into Saturday which may lead to flooding of small streams. Heat index values may approach 100 degrees in urban areas Thursday and Friday afternoons. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. -
A refreshing 56F this am, we take. A couple of high humidity days coming, just enough to use the “feels like” term and then back to slightly BN temps by late next week
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Heading up to nyc on a daytrip to see a broadway play for the first time! Boarded the train around 5am and the rains been with me since.
