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Kind of reminds me of 12/19/09 in terms of the cold powder / no mixing concerns east of the fall line.

90% of the time, there will be a central NC cutoff... Most of the time that is snow/rain. This time it may be snow/ice. But the cutoff is always there. Look at that EURO run. Over 50-75 miles you go from 17" to no snow.

Not good for SC but a lot of that would likely be sleet.

From Twister, love it! Could be. Anyway I gotta sign off and wrap up a couple things. Cross our fingers for mostly snow.

Lol -you skip RVA on purpose???

Given our predicament to date, this is a most welcome development.

Just went up

Godspeed to anyone in the freezing rain sector of this storm

Not snow fall, but snow depth is 8-12 almost forum wide, with a few 12+ dollops, and some areas "only" in 6-8 depth.

Euro:

Big one coming in with the Euro. Showing an epic omega block.

All but a sliver of VA in double digits is wild. The footprint of this thing is nuts. Very 2010

January 23rd to the 26th, 2026 winter storm thread.

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I think suppression is least likely. CMC showed how just a little more amped storm will slam those mids over top and there is more mix. It's like roles reversed when back in the day the euro would hold things back and GFS went ham. Now the gfs is laggy with pieces. Topsy turvy world. But there is a storm. Next 5 days will be hell as everyone loses their shit run to run when jack zones shift. I'll just aim for 4" and be happy with whatever.

Ok, I'm sold. Heading to Kalshi now to place some bets

Wow!!! And how did they do again with this past storm over the weekend? I feel like they did fairly well. No. Of course, I'm not saying that all three of these are I come to fruition, but I think the chances are pretty high. That one out of the three will come through

The regular EC is still running but below is the EC AI -

Hoth on the Empire Strikes Back.

Ha, we can make ends meet without it. All joking aside, fairly normal progression as the jet lowers in latitude this time of year. We get in the sweet spot like Nov/Dec and then again March/April. Jan and Feb should be south of this latitude.

euro says powerball better have a generator

Tick tick tick on the OP Euro.

Great trends on the Euro. Baja low trended west. Cold HP trended stronger.