Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. high of 81 after a low of 58. Dew points hoovered in the upper 50's all day.
  3. 75 analogs weighted, +2.0 next year El Nino is 2.0x, -0.5 next year ENSO is -0.5x, etc. 01-02 is probably about 2% of the composite. 96-97 is about 3% of the composite
  4. June is pretty neutral just Nino 3.4 ENSO events that peak more later in the year have more of a pattern -NPH
  5. Elias is officially in over his skis. His system has now failed, and he simply doesn't have the instincts to turn young talent into a contender. Good eye for said young talent (our farm system remains Top 10), but no clue about major league talent or hitting & pitching philosophies. It's like he relied completely on the computers to do those things instead. He's gotta go!
  6. Are you talking about just strong Nino? 01-02 winter was pre Nino that wasn’t anything like this past winter. Neither was 96-97 and that obviously preceded a super Nino.
  7. Somewhere Brandon Hyde is laughing his mother fucking ass off.
  8. The winds on LI(Melville)are awful. Persistent and gusty, even when not in the forecast. Every day the winds pick up like we live at the beach
  9. What does the month of June look like in those years?
  10. Yesterday
  11. Fire Elias and I might have a little interest in this team. Looking like a nearly complete rebuild is needed as many of the 'prized prospects' that were so coveted and hands off for trades(see Coby Mayo) are mediocre and cant hit major league pitching. Looking forward to Ravens OTAs and training camp.
  12. The US pattern "pre-El Nino" has hit every single month since November. CPC 3-4 week forecasts are showing that hitting again. It doesn't mean there has been a N. pacific low though, which is usually the main staple mark of el nino.
  13. That post deals the end of this month into June not this coming week’s heat. The models are projecting a classic El Niño pattern going into June
  14. WB 12Z EPS 4 day precipitation mean thru Memorial Day.
  15. Like Bluewave was saying, some aspects of the coming pattern are Nino like but not all. The SE ridge and coming heat over the eastern US is not. The warmth in Nino 4 is a problem and I’m guessing will cause non Nino forcing at times and MJO rotations at times in Non Nino phases. I said a couple of months ago that if we see a cool and wet summer and fall in the Great Lakes and eastern US then I’ll feel more confident of a typical strong/super Nino response come winter. Otherwise I’d be concerned about another “La Nino” which is probably actually worse for eastern winter lovers.
  16. Hey, my alma mater! "In a 2023 paper, Robert Leamon of NASA and the University of Maryland (Baltimore County) made a striking prediction: The next El Niño would arrive in 2026." I was a Political Science major. They didn't have a met department, but I took every weather related Geography course they offered.
  17. 75° for the high. Grass and leaves just exploding. Looks like above 2000’-2500’ it’s still stick season.
  18. Textbook El Niño “Gill response” pattern with the STJ showing up on the models come the end of this month going into June….
  19. 4 days of extreme heat and then we go back to low 60s with rain and clouds for 4 days straight lol at least it'll feel nice after the heat
  20. Despite what the record says, the Orioles are actually worse than they were last year at this time. This is actually very sad baseball. On the flip side, the Nats got some great young talent that actually know how to play baseball and are having fun. I'd be excited to watch these young hitters this season.
  21. Managed 77F here. A little bit of an over performer
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...