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Chilly today, low 40s. Where’s my warmth?!

Yes, If you just regressed the past 10 years there would be a problem due to the short time period and natural variability; but, that's not what was done. Here's the underlying journal article and a blog which describes the procedure in layman terms. To summarize they are using: 1) data since 1880, 2) accounting for the predominant sources of natural variation (enso, volcanoes and solar), 3) Applying statistical models that allow the warming rate to change if justified by the data. Note that the acceleration since 2015 is highly significant statistically. https://tamino.wordpress.com/2025/06/08/picking-up-speed/ https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025GL118804

Based on the high helicity environment right on the warm front and the broad rotation I thought it was working up to something 20 minutes ago.

Leaning towards being shut out this month. Was a great season though. 90/100 Close to perfection if we snowed in March and if were able to generate a 20+ event. Came really close.

I’m not convinced this changes the character of this Winter in any respect, but you do you. I’ve noticed some posts suggesting this winter wasn’t actually that cold by some of the Gretanistas, but it falls flat for most (those of us that went outside anyway). Its gets warmer in Spring. We’re all fine here.

I busted out of the clouds here, was as high as 63ºF earlier. Still around 61ºF

There is a cc drop on the cell that is now tor warned after the fact.

CC drop. Tornado warning up finally.

It's police scanner traffic so take it with a grain of salt, but a house may have just been hit with a tornado (or downburst) in Cass Co. MI.

It's 66F and sunny at the cabin and 47F and clouds down in Calvert. March at the Chesapeake Bay is the worst weather month anywhere on the planet.

I'm ready-can't wait to see the rest of this mess disappear

RDU is reporting 83F so the record has been broken.

[emoji91]

I have not seen the sun since a week ago last Friday. I need the sunshine vitamin ( actually a hormone )

Am I reading that correctly? It looks like a relatively warm month with the coldest high temp being 19°

That cluster is starting to rotate. Maybe we need a severe thread for this afternoon? Edit: Surprised this cell isn’t severe warned yet.

Nice storm. 4-5" so far and looks like things are pretty stationary so may get a couple more.

Good deep rumbles from the storm just to my north. Spring is trying its hardest.

Even it its 1 day all we need is a snowstorm to get NYC to 50 and Providence to the all time record. A long window would not even matter that late in the season.

Time it with a big snow storm and Ill take it, otherwise yeah, save it til December. It also looks to be pretty short lived, warmth probably starts rebuilding a few days after. If it falls through I don't think many will be upset.

42.6 here in 21057... and 72 in Richmond... Yuck

Your warmth will finally be here. Congrats.

4th straight day of clouds and to to go, we'll see if we can clear up a bit sunday pm

Looking like that

I think I just found my favorite COOP form ever. ”snow is too deep for me”