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Yeah, this works for now.

I NEED it to be right or even just half lol. Last time I saw this much snow was Feb 2010 when I lived in Philly - 28" IMBY. Amazing sight

Gefs more NW

Several inches for us

Quote from user FXWX on the New England sub... "Growing up during the age of Miller A's, I will say this... Some of the biggest busts I've witnessed and studied were intense Miller A storms. Error / bust potential is often much less when dealing with Miller B events. Given the historic look of the absurdly digging 500 mb trough, I would be very wary of this escaping too far east? While history making events are always possible, that 500 mb evolution is beyond extreme! If it develops as modeled, then it's one for the record books. I think it would be wise to assume its (500 mb) intensity is not going to be as intense as modeled. Lots to consider; where will the primary form, does it jump / reform well to the east, or does it get tugged westward, stall, loop, ??? Thumb through the Kocin book(s) and you will find examples of Miller A's that were expected to graze southeastern SNE, and to everyone's surprise, ended up throwing heavy snow back into eastern NY? Not saying this one will, but the evolution of the 500 mb level tells me this is not a simple escape east situation. I think a more western track evolves on modeling tomorrow."

WB 18Z GFS at Sunday 1am; seems like the GFS is still trying to figure out exactly where the low will be. IF, a Big IF, the 983 MB low position is close to the final solution, and it consolidates there, would expect more snow inland.

That’s pretty sweet actually. Way beater than I thought

He's the only smart one in the class from last week. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

If the GFS is even half right Raleigh has over a foot of snow that’s hilarious

That mean snowfall is noticeably HIGHER than the deterministic amount from the GFS!

If the GFS/GEFS are this wrong - which, they probably are, sadly - the FV3 core should be dismantled and thrown into a volcano somewhere.

kicker

It’s had several runs moving further north west now. Complete opposite of the EPS.

We don't want a perfect hit at this point, its downhill from there.

Spread tightened up quite a bit... in a really good way too....

18z GEFS

Terms are accepted

Reminds me of 18Z Sunday run of the Euro AFRAID to post it because people may thing it is now! THIS WAS SUNDAY 18Z

surprised its only 991 was stronger earlier ?? or was that other models ?

On the GFS for the weekend, what is preventing that thing from coming farther north? .

Also we are not in the business as usual realm now and an exploding low very close by looks not usual and expect that to continue

Nahh…for up here you want it rolling right along the NC/VA border. Look up 2016 at h5. That’s where it went.

Hmm, OK...must be some weird discrepancy between the display providers. It's like half that on TT. But either way, at least a decent minor event and possibly more hopefully.

GFSE looks good to me.