All Activity

Well, well, well. Merry Christmas. I don't post here much anymore, but to see this drivel as the first post I read today after the year I've went through, Sir, You can unequivocally go fuck yourself.

The 0z HRRR is very dry through 0z Sat. Yes it's the end of its range, but light precipitation is a concern of mine. 18z 3km NAM was too. There are mixed signals on the lift/forcing.

This is all coming well NE. Writing on wall . Don’t rule out sleet into NYC

Reminds me of a dec 2013 storm when it was like 60 and raining in AC and in the teens up in nw nj. We had like 4 to 5" with temps in the low 20s but it still went over to sleet

If they only beat The U, lol.

I wonder if you're going to meltdown and throw IPAs when Stamford and Greenwich pull a 10 burger and you're crawling your way to an inch of pixie dust.

One cool thing about this storm (regardless of the precipitation distribution or how far north the mid level warm tongue gets) is just how cold it is in the source region. Those northerly winds should keep us plenty cold.

guys calm down we're getting a big hit. Merry Christmas

Look at the WB 0Z HRRR radar at hour 48. Not much snow in the northern zone... wondering if the heavy precipitation is trending more toward us, ripping off the northern MA of a snowstorm and bringing an ice storm to us..

Great video from Noyes on this. Says so much warmth and moisture coming north that accumulating snows likely get into a portion of NNE

The wind threat for Monday seems to be a bit weakening. Very strong gusts but maybe not major issues.

WB 0Z HRRR....a lot like the RRFS..

Odd that HRRR RRFS and 3KM are nothing past Philly and shredded

Just turned on the AC .

Go big or go home: I’m wishing for a 1040 high! (Actually, suppression is always a risk…) .

Not 100% sure on that unless all of NYC suffers from the HIE, as everywhere was 35-36F 32F with the outlier being Teterboro at 33F; we were 32F at 7 am 25 miles SW of NYC. Would need to see LI/CT being colder than NYC to be convinced and I don't know the temps to the east. New York City Metropolitan Area Weather Roundup National Weather Service New York NY 700 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2025 CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS Central Park LGT SNOW 36 30 79 SW6 30.33F WCI 31 LaGuardia Arpt LGT SNOW 35 26 69 S10 30.32S WCI 27 Kennedy Intl FLURRIES 36 33 89 SW15 30.34F WCI 27 Newark Liberty FLURRIES 36 30 79 S8 30.31F WCI 30 Teterboro Arpt LGT SNOW 33 29 85 S9 30.31S FOG WCI 25 Bronx Lehman C N/A 37 32 81 SW12 N/A WCI 30 Queens College N/A 34 32 93 S8 N/A WCI 27 Breezy Point N/A 36 N/A N/A SW9G16 N/A WCI 29 Brooklyn Coll N/A 36 32 87 S9 N/A WCI 29 Staten Island N/A 36 32 87 S8 N/A WCI 29

Friday discussion High pressure 1030 moves from currently well nw of North Dakota to along NY State/VT border Friday morning. A low ends up almost stalled along TN/KY/WV/VA intersections throwing precip our way. Don’t think high will be east of Maine at that time . i won’t be changing this idea a half dozen times and let’s see how close it is come 12 noon Friday

Mammoth got over a foot of snow in a couple of hours overnight. Up to 100 inches expected in the area. I like to watch it, but when they're getting buried, we usually are waiting on the pattern to change.

this is true!!

Right up there with Forky taking his shot post and disappearing and not leading the lemmings to the promised land. He's probably all tuckered out now after that post but I know I'm waiting for a some follow up. A Soundings 101 course in 2026 would be appreciated.

7 inches to 5 inches wouldn't bother me at all, but 7" to 2" would suck.

21z SREFS made a big shift

Bridgeport and Brentwood went down a little, while Waterbury and Norwalk went up a little, so eastern sections of the CWA were a wash, IMO, whereas everywhere else throughout the NWS-NYC area, amounts went down 1-2", which is a much bigger drop, plus this decrease extended throughout the NWS-Philly counties.