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I know it's going to snow, that was never in doubt. It's just that if the changeover happens sooner than expected then it'll be way less than most are forecasting.

16 degrees with mixed sleet/ snow. Looks pretty heavy

ICON

Ok? It’s gonna snow. Then there will be sleet. And maybe some freezing rain. And we’ll all be alive. Though that is less than guaranteed when encountering ice these days.

Lemme know when your book is published. I'll buy the first copy! Kocin and Uccellini best be looking over their shoulders.

Once the waa thump beefs up towards sunrise with 1-3” an hour rates it should slow the sleet line a bit. Something farther south doesn’t have right now.

First of all people getting butthurt over ratings is not criticism. Second of all I'm only having this mindset based on how things are playing out in real time. I could've cliff jumped when the NAM did it's thing yesterday but I didn't.

Wow man that's one of the best posts up in here about scifi that I have ever read!

Looks like mixing has gotten further north than anticipated down-state, just south of Carbondale-Harrisburg.

Got the same micro flakes, mixed with sleet and probably freezing drizzle. It's really peppering down whether is shows on radar or not.

Actually PSU I don't mean to be a complete ass but I want to mention the the warm nose is more at 800mb, so that's not going to be snow even if it were 1*C.

I will be working tomorrow. Should be fun.

HRRR

The ledge isn’t as bad as some say. Run, don’t walk. .

I wonder if NAM picked up the dry slot better than HRRR and RGEM. Im in S Charlotte and we've had nothing but brief and light sleet mixed with a touch of frezing rain. Not saying the heavy stuff isnt coming later but so far no glaze.

I mean this is insane. Not sure I have ever seen a national radar look like this. We may not get a historic storm here. But there is no doubting this is a historic storm as far as national coverage goes. Wow.

You’re wasting your time. That dude is immune to criticism.

NWS has been bullish on total, I suspect their right

They've been wrong before. See also February 2024.

Please God let that be right. Just ready for this to get here already. It's getting ugly in the south. RDU at 19 with light ZR. Greensboro 15 with light ZR. That's a disaster waiting to happen.

Thinking this seems like a jeb nightmare. How do you even shovel heavy freezing rain?

Your avatar befits you.

Under banding as well and confirm it’s quite nice. Still feel a little nervous about hitting call of 3.9” but we’ll see how things evolve overnight.

i like 8-10" for Washington DC. DCA, I don't know because of how low they are sometimes. 7.1".