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  2. Yeah and it looks like several chances of local drenchers coming up this week with CNJ/NNJ favored. What else is new?
  3. 12z Euro: looks like a TD that comes ashore near LA/TX border midday Tue.
  4. I drank two the other night. I turned the air down to 66 and closed the blinds. Worked like charm.
  5. 8 years old vacation in NH Maine went up the COG 70 degrees by the time we got up it was 32 snowing. They turned us us around and closed top. We were camping in a remote cabin and absolutely froze our balls off.
  6. Everyone knows how unpopular the coast of Maine is with tourists...
  7. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  8. Its still a unique NINO and will probably carry its own anologs into winter.The DMI or Indian ocean diphole if you wanna call it doesnt even rank this around a top ten event per JMA Mean while a couple its ensemble members seems to join camp show now this might be the strongest ever,duuno This seemingly shows no break down into the Walker Circulation with the trades coming off Africa and not South America,in which the few few days should probably kick off the Sahara dust. Gernerally the IOD falls into fall just as well does the PDO but the PDO can fluctuate into winter
  9. Hottest days of the year potentially as a heat dome moves north, first month of met fall and a raging record breaking El Niño. Discuss.
  10. I’m talking about models that had avg for Aug minus avg for July ~1C. It’s looking more like just 0.5C.
  11. That's a problem for this area. Barns Corner is in the heart of the snowbelt. Legend has it there's been 500+ inch winters.
  12. the highest august value minus the lowest july value is over 1c
  13. Cant get more than one sunny day around here anymore
  14. 12Z UKMET for 2nd full run in a row has a TC originating in the W MDR well out in the run. 0Z had a TD but 12Z has a strengthening mid-grade TS as it recurves well away from any landmass due to a notable upper trough per H5 maps: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 15.8N 52.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 04.09.2026 120 15.8N 52.0W 1011 25 0000UTC 05.09.2026 132 16.9N 55.0W 1010 30 1200UTC 05.09.2026 144 17.8N 57.6W 1008 35 0000UTC 06.09.2026 156 19.3N 59.2W 1006 41 1200UTC 06.09.2026 168 20.8N 59.6W 1002 48
  15. Heavy rain shower IMBY, wasn’t expecting this today…
  16. 12Z UKMET doesn’t quite designate this as a TD but it does have 25 knot winds just offshore LA Mon night and landfall Tue AM near TX/LA border. Lowest SLP only gets down to 1011 mb fwiw.
  17. Tiny downpour dropped 0.07" here.
  18. Today
  19. 12 UKMET: ex-Dolly becomes a TD right before it moves NW into FL NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 26.5N 78.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 04.09.2026 108 27.5N 79.5W 1008 29 1200UTC 04.09.2026 120 29.2N 81.3W 1008 31 0000UTC 05.09.2026 132 30.8N 83.2W 1008 24 1200UTC 05.09.2026 144 32.0N 85.4W 1009 19 0000UTC 06.09.2026 156 32.8N 87.3W 1008 18 1200UTC 06.09.2026 168 33.1N 87.9W 1008 20
  20. Ineedsnow asleep at the wheel. Disappointing.
  21. But lake effect snow never makes it over the Alleghenies.
  22. Yes, I understand. But I found it interesting because Enso 4 anomalies and SST are both cooling, Enso 3 and 3.4 anomalies and SST are both warming, while 4 temps are cooling while anomalies are warming.
  23. That month was really sunny as we'll I think. Here is a chart of my solar powering my heat pumps and entire house and sending power out to the grid. I think it was on the same day as the other picture I just posted. My solar inverter is rated for 5kw and was actually clipping/reducing power to the 5kw limit.
  24. I expected that and explicitly predicted that your index would neutralize when I did my polar post in latter July.
  25. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  26. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  27. I think the last legit subzero cold shot here was back in Feb 23. I think it dropped to -5 here. I have been using heat pumps since 2016 and went out and took this infrared picture of my heat pump still pulling heat out of the air at -5 with a -20.5 discharge temperature. All the red on my foundation and ground is heat leaking out of my house.
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