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There you go antagonizing people again... Just kidding. I chuckled when I read this. And I see Sauss thought it was funny, too.

always got the 12z Euro AI which brings snow in Christmas eve

Wonderful day for a power outage

I’ve been exploring home snow makers so I can never experience a drought again

Bam wx update. I'm in!

That looks like a lock. Unfortunately if the PNA is still -2 to -3 that won't work, even getting it to 0 is ideal

He’s just sitting back…watchin’…waitin’…smilin’…

good thing they probably don't have many large trees in the northern Plains or upper-Midwest (or maybe they do...never been).

Yeah true. Hopefully enough pressure from a favorable MJO and Blocking will get rid of those flies in the Ointment. Once the Nina weakens the STJ should strengthen.

5.1 from the recent storm, 8.2 inches for the season. Highland Mills NY in Orange County. Thanks for doing this. Your stuff is great, we all appreciate all the time you put into this.

I disagree with this. There would be 100 posts just showing snow maps from 50 different models and then comparing changes in the snow maps to justify any trends and then the if game on how if a,b,c,d,e,f do this it has a chance.

This is 100% the problem. These posters look at every op run and get all upset and think it’s the final outcome. Then they make posts like “ the next 10 days look like garbage “ or 3 cutters thru day 10” . They aren’t able to understand that it’s not the final outcome or solution and so it affects their moods, behaviors , and posts.

Exactly. I don’t get it?

But you keep harping on these Op runs at 10 plus days out…and how bad they look. And yes, Brett, if they showed a blizzard, at 8-11 days out we’d take them just as insignificantly. As Steve said…op runs at those lead times are BS for sensible weather. Yet you continue to use them to push your disdain for the weather. It’s frigid. It’s been frigid. Yes, we got boned in the snow department…especially compared to basically everyone around us…but that shit happens bro. Maybe we make up for it going forward at some point. I know you don’t like to hear this, but it’s really not even winter yet. But That’s a fact.

Why are folks dissecting op runs .. especially at long range ?

After today DCA will be -10 for December with 16 consecutive below average days including Nov.

Here's the thing though. May not be true for other parts of the sub, but here in Wisconsin we can be solidly AA in Jan/Feb and it's still cold enough to snow. I'm firmly part of the camp who can do without the extended periods of barely cracking 10°F.

Another rainy New Years Eve!

Glad we were able to cash in before this upcoming boring stretch of weather

Ensembles are showing a negative NAO by Christmas . Have to watch that timeframe especially in the northeast .

4.5 here! Froze the water pipes. Makes the coldest we've been in a couple years. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

I think it’s kind of ridiculous that people can’t discuss what’s on the models to be honest. I don’t think I’m the problem. They show what they show. Somehow, if they showed a mega blizzard, I don’t think those same talking points would apply.

Personally for me…I’d be totally happy if NNE can grab a good snow event around Xmas. Still a ways out…so anything is still on the table.