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  2. For us in and near Chattanooga… seems like Atlanta will either do a WWA or WSW .
  3. It would seem like suppression is not the concern if that depiction holds. This week we have a strong PNA ridge. Not the case in that map.
  4. I've never heard it called that but this is probably the event. These are hand transcribed central park observations neatly written by a very young weenie. The plus sign was said weenie's convention for separating sustained winds from gusts. Check out that pressure and the temperature drop! That was a flash freeze for the ages during the morning rush hour.
  5. Its really to bad, This system is just not that far off from being something more substantial.
  6. Jim Duncan is always pessimistic with snowstorms because he likes snow I think. John Bernier I never know when he's going to go aggressive or conservative. DT is very rude at times and loves getting poltical, but he's gotten more conservative woth some of his forecasts. He still gets very hyped on mid range models and people mistake some of his discussion for predictions.
  7. Looks like the SREF .qpf held pretty steady (blue is 15z, red is 9z)
  8. Usually when the north pole falls on top of us, it drives the storm track way down deep in the southeast and suppresses everything. We'd need a Miller A turning a sharp corner right as Tito's spills over the mountains. It's been 10 years since one of those. We're due.
  9. Usually once you reach 60-70% probs that is what helps determine WWA vs WSW. Almost like WPC and MRX are not on the same page (or MRX is going to give the NAM one more chance to catch on)
  10. Well we’re not wasting it. I have a bullet proof snow pack and an igloo in my front yard.
  11. Little bit of a punch to the nuts to hear them express doubt about totals along I40, but we press on. You may be ground zero!!
  12. This will be a very unusual and highly anomalous event in many ways with near record low 500mb heights, very cold temperatures and rare Snow-to-Liquid Ratios (SLRs) of 15:1 - 20:1. The dendritic growth zone will be very deep with plentiful forcing for efficient snow growth. Thus, it won`t take much QPF to reach warning criteria snow across practically the entire forecast area.
  13. Ross Runner, he has been around a while, so hopefully he is correct. Funny how we used to rank the TV mets and their snow weenie levels. Jim Duncan had a snowmobile when he first moved here, loved snow, but always erred on conservative. John Bernier was the most animated and would come up with great euphemisms like "Falling like lard" for snow rates. I think he liked all weather because he was just as animated, if not more so, during severe weather season, when we had one. Mike Goldberg, was doing 6 I think, the same time those guys were on. Much more measured, and a bit conservative also. They all lived by the EURO, and I think most still do.
  14. Fake news from them; that's a shame to see. Someone dropped the ball and now the public is gonna be twice fooled.
  15. Columbia SC here, this is a dark oblivion for snow. It will snow in the mountains and the coast, not here. Flurries would be remarkable, 2 inches would feel a miracle and if we hit on the max levels it would be a joyous disaster! Milk and bread have been cleaned out already and the whole place is tense with anticipation.
  16. Wy does snow hate Morristown and want it to die?
  17. this is pretty striking. retrograding block and a legit 50/50 in place... vort over the Four Corners is making its way under the block
  18. Interesting. One thing to note with social media is Facebook recently ruined their search feature further making it hard to sort your search. Youtube did this too by removing the ability to search by recent upload. X is the only good social media design right now as far as searching for posts about whether. So, wouldn't be surprised if more turn to forums like this. But thing with this forum is complaints of never getting verification email for new accounts. So, might be lots of lurkers from that.
  19. All we need is Shelby Scott on the Cape while we sit under cloudy skies, memories from the 80s.
  20. if I had to guess, I'd say anywhere from like Montauk to Boston is still in the game There may be 2 outs in the the bottom of the 8th and they're down by 5 on the road, but it ain't over til its over
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