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The FF risk is wherever the warm front sets up. You aren’t getting 10” of deformation rain on 700 warm front.

Blessed

The full sun is ominous today

Noticeably more comfortable for this morning's bike ride but still pushing 90 at noon..

Eff the SREF . Don't need the rain.

Storms firing up in Garrett County.

Drought??? How much below expected are you for the year?

Very true. Point being this could be anywhere from a boring, mundane 1” or less to as much as a couple inches in CT. Pretty sure there will not be flooding lol

It's making me cough.

last night in Salisbury around 10 pm my house was struck by lightning. i cant find any damage, but it blew a picture off the wall, and there was a very bright flash along the wall about 10 feet where i was sitting. i saw particles burning in the air… true at home fireworks! The thought that immediately spun in my head was a vehicle hit the house, or bomb had exploded. I started to go outside but huge thick bolts were firing down from the sky to the ground around me… felt very dangerous. All seems to be well, the big screen tv i was watching is just fine, i see no damage. This was my first time experience, i am 74, but…i heard my Mother and Grandmother tell such stories.

Well, Greenfield could get shut out entirely, so that’s definitely gonna do nothing for the drought.

Sorry, sounds like you tried that too.

Should be an outside breaker/fuse box near the unit too you can try.

Feels downright pleasant right now compared to yesterday. Turned the AC off at 9 p.m. and the residual cool air means it's still just 80 in the hallway.

idk...I would you would want to see more convective processes involved when talking about potential for these widespread excessive totals some of the short-term models are indicating. I can see 1-3" widespread and then probably a narrow zone where you get maybe 4-5" but that may be more isolated versus widespread.

Has the Jordan Creek ever come close to flooding route 100 by Hoffman's garage or the KOA turnoff?

Just ignore the dry guidance and go with the 2-9” guidance lol. If CT gets an inch or two that does nada for the drought

Yeah this should knock CT down from D2 to D1. D1 usually corresponds to water pouring out of hillsides here. 6” of water in the basement is D0.

Thanks, I tried that and the power disconnect button too near the unit.

No way! Drought all the time... Lol. There will be folks complaining by Thursday!!!

Cycle the circuit breaker.

At least this should put an end to any drought talks in Connecticut lol

Main take away for me is it seems to be more characteristic of warm ENSO than 2023 was....granted it's probably still underestimating the MC competition, but the point is it's less than 2023, which is what I have been figuring. I don't think this winter will be as warm as 2023 in the east and I feel pretty good about saying that.

Last night, the wealthy folks with houses on New Silver Beach had themselves a fire a fireworks competition. The lingering smoke inversion must’ve lasted 30 minutes. I was telling my wife, between the three families setting them off, they must’ve spent a combine $20,000 on fireworks.

Hopefully everyone is surviving all of that Canadian and fireworks smoke.