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Second half of January into February was always go-time for me this season.

when the models shift to each other as part of the "compromise" it never works well for us lol

Much improved in all areas of interest at H5. Better separation from the wave behind plus better ridges in front and behind. Get the entire long wave trough axis to go a bit more neutral/negative and it’ll go boom. Still wouldn’t be shocked to see a bit more precip response to the NW even with that look.

not bad

Looks like a general C - 2 inch on the Euro Saturday into Sunday but temps are a bit warm at the start.

Anybody got the H5 euro maps? Curious to see what trended in our favor and what to look for. Pivotal is down for me.

I don’t think anyone thought that’s clever… it’s the dynamic of those two that gets me laughing every time. Then mixed in with them you’ve got DIT and Scooter arguing about 46F vs 52F… just random tangents add spice. But spicy isn’t for everyone.

18z Euro trended more towards GFS and the biggest difference over 12z, it goes neutral faster, placement is about the same. Another tick or two like that, I believe we will see significant increase in precip on the surface maps to come.

I have a feeling that while the NW trend is our friend for now, it will become the villain before it is all said and done, at least for those East of 85

How’s Euro look for the next 72 hours?

High of 53F here.

Because from the start, no one has actually given an actual reason why the models suck so badly. They give excuses.They say it's not as bad as you think.It is, or they just don't respond to the question.That's why I complain.We're in twenty twenty six.We think a model or a forecast should be accurate at least 223 days out but it isn't

Lookin real good for Presidents’ Day weekend UP trip

Always knew making this thread would pay off for Charlottesville. Part of the master plan.

How did the overall evolution look in your professional opinion? Did it trend towards a similar evolution of the guidance that gives a hit(and not talking the fantasy blizzard from 12z GFS).

Good breakdown...

18z vs 12z

Still has a ways to go

Euro is a shift towards the GFS

Yep. Nice step.