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The 12z AIGEFS at 360. It has the EPO ridge in place by 240, and then takes a couple of days to kick everything eastward - common theme for the 12z suite. Honestly, this look might be too cold. But see the NAO isn't really gone?

The 9th is 10 days away, not too late for it to reverse. It’s only 2 bad runs too far enough out to still get reversed.

whats that have to do with the european?

Models struggling due to less data from noaa cuts? [emoji2369] .

seems like whatever webber forecasts...the opposite happens

The Euro AIFS 12z deterministic run. I just go w/ a 5 day window to see the trend...Pretty good signal, right? That is a crazy cold run by the way.

So ... curious, why does his posting content matter you. You're saying on one hand that everyone's entitled to their opinion, then saying he "keeps bashing" - that doesn't sound like we are allowing people their opinion. It should not and in fact, logically does not matter what the opinion content is when it comes to rendering perspectives about the 3rd party subject that is also completely virtual btw.

Even weirder, there’s more optimism in the TN valley forum.

Today is the 25th anniversary of the Dec 30th, 2000 snowstorm that left a foot of snow in NYC and was the biggest storm since the blizzard of '96. I have a full radar animation and surface map loop up here on our site https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/dec-30-31-2000

And the 12z GEFS...did it finally find its way? That looks a lot like the GEPS. And that makes a lot of sense. IF that can verify w/ that little bit of SER, that is an Apps snowstorm map as well as sliders for the rest of the forum.

CAB is very much alive and well despite protests over saying so

not really---the 6th was but the 8th/9th had legs the past few days.

Wasn’t the 6th a long shot anyway?

I swear the models got worse after all these so called upgrades. Can we downgrade again?

I didn't marry her, LOL! I concur, young & dumb back then.

its not normal to have these drastic changes 6-7 days out. This also happened last week when we trended from 70 degrees to 33 and Rain for Dec 26th in just a few days

We can’t even get the good vibes to last more than 24hrs haha.

Be careful dismissing those cutters. Many hobbyists have made the mistake of discounting cutters due to a block...yet we have seen many cutters slice right into those blocks like a warm knife through butter.

This actually wasn't about the CC posts. It was about the Pope's posts on always calling for this pattern to be warming up or garbage for any kind of storms. He basically pushes down any kind of threat no matter what. And he's been wrong so many times. It just baffles me that he still posts this crap. Everyone has the right to their opinion, but when he keeps bashing what's happening, that's what I meant when I said to put it in the banter thread. I really think something in his brain is twisted LOL

If true. Snow, New Year's Eve, drinks? Cops will have with their hands full... should be fun. 31F/Windy

I’m confident in a negative PNA month in the means, any positive PNAs are brief In response to incoming trough

This is where I think we are headed - starts about 300 on most models. Somehow, the Canadian model seems to get this figured out a bit more quickly of late. It overdoes the cold, but generally gets the idea right. BTW, the 12z Euro has a cold front Jan4-5 w/ a low running just out to sea - keep an eye on that. I mean there is always a chance we don't score with this, but I would have a really hard time naming a time when this didn't work. Maybe December 17-18? Lost of great winter analog maps looks like this.

The southeastern states forum has turned into a funeral parlor after 12z.

Yeah, winds still rippin' here. Was just out and saw a huge tree down in my neighbors yard. Damn lucky it missed their house!