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I "should?" I don't work for the NWS. I'm just someone who has obsessively watched every model run for the past few days. Trying to distract myself from work.

BAM Wx winter forecast. Mainly average snowfall to slightly below in northern areas and slightly above in southern areas. But they put all of the forum in the highest chance to bust high for snowfall due to risk of a big 1 or 2 storms. (See starting 17:35 on video.) A little AN on temps.

Parents try to sue the school? Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

I’d appreciate, rather my peak season forecast would appreciate, another run at hurricane status

While the HRRR is notoriously too amped and NW at this range, it's too far off of what the 0Z Euro had (though it's far tamer in its latest run) and if other models come in that tucked to the coast I could see this being a more significant wind event than what's currently expected.

Should know more after the 12z suite.

6z euro AI has the 0.5” rain contour back to Baltimore and MBY this weekend from the nor’easter.

Noticed a pretty significant increase in tree color with the tree out front and neighbors yard from a few days ago.

I think the impacts at some of the beaches will be pretty bad-days of onshore flow pushing water in before the main event and full moon Saturday to boot.

Decidedly October feel out there this morning. Overnight low of 44 with a gusty NE wind. Seems Summer has fallen off the cliff.

That poor kid last year that had the tree kill him while on the physical playground at school outside Boston during a windy day… that stuff is why.

So surprised this is not even getting mentioned in the TWO. Wonder what the internal reasoning is?

You should break down the areas that will get a few inches - the areas that will get a few showers only and the areas that will get more than a few inches Some areas to the east will have trees falling with significant flooding this is not a uniform event there will be a wide range of outcomes.

Yeah, I've been thinking all week how much "fun" this would be to track if it were winter. Buckle up! 54F/DP 46F

Lawsuits…that’s why. God forbid if a bus load of kids has a tree branch fall on the bus. So that’s why. Whatever. Back to the potential storm.

I'm sure if it were a weekday-we'd have school closures for wind and rain. in NEW ENGLAND nonetheless

It's going to be a Nor'Easter. We'll get a few inches of rain we don't need right now. Trees will fall. Roads will flood. We'll live! Then, next week, we'll be in the 70s. I'm semi-looking forward to that before it starts getting to sweater weather.

torch ! 54/47 with an unusually stiff breeze from the northeast

Not meaning to digress the thread but all of humanity appears to be swooning over and guided by the 'grand presentation' these days. It's like we're all participating unwittingly in a dystopian cinema - if not delusion. It's a movie about the evolutionary scaled, socio-technological experiment we're sending our own species through.

IMO, the probability of a more significant impact in the NYC area has increased overnight. The uncertainty is lessening.

If they name it the next name is Gonzalo

It is actually insane the amount of model spread we have 48 hours out. Euro/euro AI continues to give most of the area a legit northeaster, GFS/CMC continue to be a glancing blow. ICON/`NAM have moved in the EURO camp. The RGEM is in the GFS/CMC camp. If this was snow, people would be losing their minds lol

How soft has society become you ask???...so soft that some girls volleyball matches scheduled for Saturday have been postponed. .last time I checked volleyball is played INDOORS..

Down to 46 for a low. Great way to start autumn.