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A noisy thunderstorm woke me up around 2am. Ofc it passed just to the south. Picked up .08" in a very brief downpour.
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2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
July has been a big trend month around the 91-20 average. The West coast has been extreme. Here is July 81-90 vs 91-20, on the front half of the trend Now here's 2021-on vs the 91-20 average That's a +5-6F difference in the West coast ridge in July, the most unanomalous month of the year. 0z EPS through the first half of July has the same pattern occurring. Following Winters around the same base period (91-20) [minus 81-90, plus 21-25] look like this, which is relevant because the same global trend in the July pattern is likely to occur this year - Today
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Highs: ACY: 91 EWR: 89 PHL: 88 New Brnswck: 87 TTN: 86 YEB: 86 BLM: 85 LGA: 85 NYC: 83 JFK: 82 ISP: 82
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Bonus coverage, here's a list of benchmark record high minimum values (for NYC) ... I reverse them at the point where the trend line reverses in early February ... (going up) 51F __ Feb 5, 1991 (mildest in period Jan 28 to Feb 15) 56F __ Feb 16, 2023 58F __ Feb 24, 2018 63F __ Mar 10, 2016 66F __ Mar 31, 1998 68F __ Apr 9, 1991 70F __ Apr 14, 2023 74F __ Apr 17, 2002 76F __ Apr 18, 2002 77F __ June 1, 1895 78F __ June 4, 1943 79F __ June 10, 1984 80F __ June 23, 2025 81F __ June 24, 2025 82F __ July 2, 1901 83F __ July 6, 1999 84F __ July 7, 1908 (84F also July 15, 1995 and July 22, 2001) 84F __ Aug 14, 1908 (heading down now) 81F __ Aug 29, 2018 79F __ Sep 7, 1881 78F __ Sep 11, 1983 77F __ Sep 23, 1970 75F __ Oct 5, 1898 72F __ Oct 8, 2017 71F __ Oct 10, 2018 69F __ Oct 25, 1908 67F __ Nov 2, 1971 66F __ Nov 6, 2015, 2022 64F __ Nov 11, 2002, 2020 63F __ Dec 24, 2015 59F __ Jan 4, 1950 56F __ Jan 14, 1932 54F __ Jan 15, 1995 53F __ Jan 27, 1916 (and back to 51F Feb 5, 1991). ... very few of these are concurrent with high max benchmarks (Mar 2016, Apr 2002, Sep 1881). ... the midsummer situation is different, a plateau of four equal values, not one peak as in July 1936.
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Picked up 0.51” of rain after several hours of thunder from numerous storms nearby. Martinsburg scored with 1.41”
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After 7 straight days of 90s, the heat wave is over
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
LVLion77 replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
That’s so funny. I am actually 4.37”. Berks and Lancaster counties have been the winners over the last few days. . -
bust lol
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My wife decided to ignore my meteorological advice and put our Clydesdale horse out for the night at the barn in Finksburg. We spent close to 2 hours cleaning him up for a competition tomorrow. I hope it doesn't rain. I don't want to rush a wash tomorrow.
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I also compiled the benchmark record high minimum temperatures since 2025 set one, as well during the recent heatwave.
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Looks like rain chances very minimal now until next weekend around these parts.
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Thanks for keeping the humid humpers in check. Nothing to discuss in the summeh unless a tropical churns in the gulf of Mexico.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
I got 10 or 12 raindrops the streak continues -
I'm not sure how much coverage there will be on Monday, but shear will be slightly improved (relative to today and tomorrow), and CAPE should be plentiful. It's probably a MRGL day with some potential for a late upgrade to a SLGT. A bigger threat might be localized flash flooding, with huge PW values and still relatively slow storm motion.
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My NYC list has a different structure through winter, Don has used the calendar year to generate his list, and if I did that it would add a few, making Dec 24, 2015 (72F) a legitimate entry, then 70F Dec 29, 1984, 65F Dec 30 1984, 63F Dec 31, 1965, 62F Jan 1, 1966, 68F Jan 2, 1876 and 72F Jan 6, 2007. (next as per my list, 73F in Feb 1949 etc). The equivalent to my mid-winter reversal method for JFK, I think, would be to skip all the entries of 70F or lower in Dec, then 71F Jan 6, 2007, followed by February's highest value, and on to the listed values from March onwards. Or reverse in late January if there is a higher value than February there.
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If that 9pm cell missed you, it couldn't have been by much. Storms just blew up a bit east of me - getting occasional thunder here.
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Getting occasional flashes of lightning to my East. Not really seeing much on radar.
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Thanks Don, I was going to say that I didn't have a list but you probably would be able to generate one.
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wild, 98 on September 10, 1983 and then 96 on September 11, 1983 after two 100 degree readings in July and August, 1983 and 2010 were our only truly great summers (great from beginning to end.)
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Currrently 62 off a high of 63. wow what a torch