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so deflating...especially cause its under 120 hours out. Randy is fired

Same, although we were planning to stay Saturday night. Going to hockey game at stadium.....

This is why I don't like quoting stats i verify them. The 12.4 was daytons CALENDAR day record. They had 1 storm of 18+ (18.3 in 1910)

EURO AI is a swing and a miss. But we've got time. I would rather not be in the bullseye this far out.

Honestly, this is boom or bust. Should be a fun week of tracking. What more can you ask for.

West Babylon special.

It's coming

My Tapatalk acting up but we’re closing in on 1” new. Radar is cool one band coming off the water and one band coming from the west at the same time . Nuking .

ineedtopostinrightthread

That's why I caution this is delicate setup even if we eventually do get the low bombing off the coast at some point. Those smaller differences up top translate into huge surface-level shifts

Euro AI shifted east a bit.

Yea, whatevs...I figured Monday was always mostly rainbows and unicorns, anyway...any additional just a bonus.

Definitely need that PV placement for a good block in place.

Yes, I'm thinking new england would be the place to be for this last second comeback. It does the short term overcorrect, then tends to "re-correct" back the other way. That said, we've seen a lot happen.

ineedensembles

Looks like many in the area are now near their total seasonal average save immediate NYC.

OTS

Wait for the D4 "model reshuffle" before getting worried about OTS

12/5: 1.3" 12/14: 0.7" 1/17: 0.3” 1/25: 8.0" (snow & sleet) Total: 10.3"

12z CMC Ensemble with a big jump west compared to 0z

i could tell it was going to be east just from how it looked up here by North Dakota

This setup screams north trend to me. North and probably east trend unfortunately.

This type of setup is more likely to whiff, IMO. It's funny, the last system we went so far west the phase started in the 4 corners region of the southwest............... This time we need it further west and the likely result will probably be a further east phase than is needed to snow on parts of the mid-south.

It doesn't retrograde the pv in Canada as much this run. You could tell by the 500mb maps at 60hrs it was probably going east.

grazes on the Euro.. gets down to 963mb but meh for SNE