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Was able to scrounge up one or two tenths.

I’d say 10-25% chance someone pulls a 6.. most likely right now in central jersey

The mountain folks are going to be insufferable after this.

This one’s not ours. Time to face the music. It’s a Philly-NYC event.

Latest NBM still suggests a general 1-3" across much of the region. Go with it for now. If there is meso banding that produces locally higher amounts, that won't be resolved until closer to game time.

Gleaming what I saw from Eric Webb's latest tweets things get more favorable right after New Years, is there any possibility this is one of those hostile patterns that entrench themselves in a way where it takes ~3 weeks to undo the damage to snow prospects? It just seems that if the metros can score 2-3" of cumulative snowfall in the first half of December then statistically we shouldn't be facing a potential dead ratter rest of the season.

maybe i'm off, but at a shot at warning totals on s coast/cape, somewhere? lol just looking over 12-18z. yeah sst's play a part so the immediate coast is toast

Rgem still good but did shift south a bit

December 11th and we have already measured roughly 33% of the seasonal snowfall at the Mt Mansfield plots. I know I harp on this, but I think the measured part is important when comparing years. If it’s not measured, but eyeballed, guessed, estimated… it’s hard to compare year to year. It becomes more vibe based, than data based. Both methods can tell a story, but this season being at 30+% of annual measured snow (in a controlled manner) is incredible to me… as someone who’s personally been involved in the process for almost 20 years now. This isn’t a marketing ploy. The various data points support it. Last year at this time the FourRunner Quad had been running for exactly one week. This year it’s been 3+ weeks of deep, skier supporting natural snowpack.

Don't be disappointed when this thing fizzles to just about a nothing burger in some spots to a 2" max in the places that get it "good".

Thats quite a snow band, it’s actually reaching the whole way over through Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn in NYC where OKX has a special weather statement out for a dusting to an inch.

Or just one day of 70 before strong fropa, succeeding a week of 50s

Currently in that narrow band.

Got some light flakes here in Knoxville (Inskip neighborhood).

usually my threads bring good juju. of course nne has been crushing it, but that's not surprising. Just hope southern sne sees a 1-2" at least

And from what I've seen on long range this'll be it until probably the first week of January.

You had cold to VA and more snow than Methuen?

I mean. How magical would it be to get a surprise? Radar isn’t supposed to look like this right now. .

0z NAM brings 2 to 3 inches for most of the LSV on Sunday am.

Few takeaways that I've taken from this forum today: 1. There will likely be some banding that will set up somewhere around 30 miles east or west of the I-95 corridor, we probably won't know where exactly until right before the event - Likely will be 1-3" for most areas. Locally 4"+ is possible depending on where banding sets up 2. Guidance seems to generally like Baltimore up to Philly for the highest totals 3. I don't think the south will win again lol

I am incredibly pleased with how the season is progressing relative to my expectation....may end up with less snow than I suspected through December (of course), but pretty damn good overall.

Good ole MRX just tweeted that snow is beginning to fall across the northern plateau. [emoji1787] .

The NAM Nest and HiRes Window FV3 both have a similar idea of initial rain turning to snow, with a nice band moving to the southeast in the late night hours. Surface temperatures are VERY marginal, but most of the column is "cold" other than right near the ground, so it should be mostly snow after initial rain for some. It's a good thing that this will fall at night, or else stickage would be completely dependent on rates.

Yeah, it gives me 2-3" snow depth. I'll take it.