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Ya we take! GFS kind of looks like a paste job here

RGEM/GEM remain the warmest but are slowly caving colder a bit.

Really hoping the heaviest precip trends north a bit

Obviously won't get this but even half would be wild for some

Can you post it? BOX doesn’t seem too enthusiastic in a serious icing.

well yeah, it's a hot commodity. the only want is others want, so it's more of interest. you know how it is, when the snow is exclusive and it just hits diff

Foggy in south Arlington this morning. Can barely see some lights at 1/4 mile, none at 1/2 mile. Channel 5 in DC warned those about to drive to NOT put on their high-beams.

The big bust PHL-BOS storm! One of the first big mega hype media storm starting 5+ days out I think. I had 22" of wet snow in N Woburn MA w/ crazy vertical accumulations on power lines. Also, first time I noticed when you dig into wet snow that deep, esp. when cloudy, you see a blue tinge from the high moisture content.

@Damage In Tolland is going to like the NAM and RAP.. Hopefully we can get the 6z NAM to bump north with that qpf.. major event incoming for someone

Snowfall Totals for this kitchen sink event

Tomorrow’s NWS forecast….i guess I missed the heavy drizzle watch? Maybe we just go to a straight warning, maybe the criteria for a warning is greater than 20% chance of precipitation. Whatever I can’t wait to measure my heavy drizzle in millimeters! Be careful out there everyone! Areas of drizzle before noon, then isolated showers after 4pm. The drizzle could be heavy at times. Areas of dense fog before noon. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

^For the last 3 years (23-25), RONI has been -0.533c the value of ONI month-by-month (0.0 ONI is -0.53 RONI). Staying the same.

It was great here but disappointing at the same time seeing areas in every direction get crushed with 20-30". But i can't be mad at a 17" snowstorm...that's still major in my book and probably on par with biggest ive seen. One day ill get to see what a 20+ or two foot storm looks like... Definitely the worst blizzard conditions ive ever seen by far. Still catching up on past maps from Feb 20, Feb 25, Mar 1, Mar 3-4 which will be done shortly.

DJF: ONI -0.39 RONI -0.90 So, RONI minus ONI has dropped back down to -0.51. Most non-BoM model projections are ONI rather than RONI. Thus, in order to estimate RONI, one obviously needs to subtract ~0.5 from the model progs.

0z GEFS look much stronger with -WPO in the medium range. I'm going to have to learn that the EPS has much better accuracy than GEFS.

Absolutely incredible work, thank you for your efforts! I still can’t believe this storm happened, it’s almost surreal. The uncertainty, the Euro pivoting towards the GFS, then knowing it’s coming and the buildup to it, ugh such a dopamine kick. The storm itself was incredible, marred only slightly for me by familial duty (had to take my elderly parents in, couldn’t fully enjoy the storm while it was occurring). This was 1/29/22 better maximized and more NW. I do see similarities looking at this map, but this was the better storm for more of us. Definitely a very memorable event, to say the least. I’m very happy SNE got crushed, the areas that really maximized were more than due, and that’s a hell of a debt repayment. Spent a decent part of the last week in a dopamine crash since it ended.

Sorry to dwell on the Winter West Coast ridge again, but this really stands out to me as an extreme anomaly Most extreme West Coast DJF ridge analogs The news is, the ridge really sticks around +time in analog cases.. this is the following year: March (not included in my visual analog picks.. yet almost as strong of an anomaly!) April (+60dm over the SW, US is extreme!) May Summer (June-August) Following Winter (26-27 analog) ^75% of the N. Hemisphere is +H5 in the following Winter, which fits a warming sequence possibly associated with El Nino. The main point is just the skew warm-general +time. This is the mid-latitudes the following Winter (26-27 analog) Winter PNA DJF 25-26 was negative, so interesting that they got a #1 record warm Winter on the West coast. Monthly PNA: -1.41 2026 0.79 -0.56

I always think of 2018 March storm. Second half of the month and we still managed 10.5" despite it all. One of my favorite storms. March 2011 was another but that was extremely heavy. Believe we got 8" or so in about 4 or 5 hours.

Winters for me is around the days before Thanksgiving to well int March/early April. March April storms usually suck though... It was a B+ Winter at best so far. A+ it is not...., not even close to tell you the truth.

Guess it’s the same down in SNE between ORH and everyone else around there. Dripping off rooftops at ORH but locked up tight elsewhere.

Talk about an inversion and fake cold preserving snowpack down low… 3,600ft… 29F 2,600ft… 36F 1,550ft… 39F (Ops building) 750ft… 21F (MVL and local PWS)

DFW radar storm totals up near 8" just southeast of the metro. Just in the past couple hours. Still looks very convectively interesting heading into the weekend and early next week with a meandering front and cutoff Low setting up out west over Baja region. Ensembles starting to trend on a faster, but stronger/deeper track into the state.

Snowfall totals from this light snow event. Went C-2 statewide, probably could have easily done C-1 and it would have been better with just a couple reports around Killingly area over 1".

Looks like the dry pattern is actually dying with the Niña this time.

Ice ice baby. Maybe a morning surprise for some people?