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although some can survive anything-the spotted lanternfly egg nests can survive down to -20.

ready 2 glaciate

2" here now. Still coming down. Probably have 2 hrs or so left to go before it winds down

sun breaking out in west AVL.

Hey neighbor, 3.1" on the 'high heights' in Clifton Forge (top of Jefferson) at 1pm.

About 2 inches on deck in Short Pump

Also good to naturally control garden and tree pests, especially sans snow! .

Some flizzard yesterday, but now it's looking like the next discrete event is Saturday into Sunday. Evolution looks pretty similar to the one on the 2nd. Another quick hitting 2-4" event. Initially, it looks a little colder than the last system, so perhaps there's less concern for mixing in the southern areas. Fairly decent agreement amongst the major models for a synoptic event at this range, though. The smaller details will have to get worked out later.

Down to the magic 32 here.

Had rain here all morning. Changed over to a mix around 11. It's changed to all snow and pretty good sized flakes for the past 30 minutes.

There was much more accumulation already in the Bon Air neighborhood south of Richmond. Back in the city proper, it’s still a heavy coating, and the snowflakes are large in quantity, but very, very tiny otherwise. .

Hope that’s coming our way! It’s very, very light here in Carytown. .

Nice

Its lightened up for now. Hope it picks back up

3” in Powhatan and just puking ❄️❄️

I’m not really sure what’s going on over Richmond proper. It is snowing at a decent clip, but the flakes within the city limits are very minuscule in size. Definitely not going to reach the forecasted amount with these, I wouldn’t think. .

Yup. On the king st car vis is below a 1/4 right now. Is this was at night roads would be covered. .

Our best chance for something bigger later this month is hoping for any PV lobes to phase in with the northern stream. Just picking a random time frame just to illustrate but the PV is forecast to become quite large which will benefit us in the since that every now and then we'll get pieces of PV lobes tossed our way. But I feel like overall we need to weaken the PV and that may help relax the flow a bit. But there is also extremely uncertainty with how the AO evolves the second half of this month

The issue is that without an established Arctic airmass it simply got too warm before start time. This wasn’t a situation where it started at 40 degrees and the wet bulb was 30. It was 40 with a wet bulb of 39. Upper and mid levels are fine, hence all the snow mix, but it is taking too much time to cool lower levels. Cold chasing moisture fail mode #1. Accumulation south of border looks minimal at best. Even Richmond struggled just north of main band though they are snowing good now. My cousin there said they have less than 1” even though it’s been snowing since 8 am. Only areas getting heaviest rates are getting big totals and there is a quick drop off on either side. Central and eastern NC could see some accumulation with some coastal development like the HRRR has been throwing out but this main area of precip isn’t going to produce much for anyone not in Virginia

Boone is getting good rates now on the cams

Awesome!! It just started raining a short time ago. Very light. Temperature down to 41. After 3:00 your streets are going to cave. It's going to be a nasty Rush Hour for Hampton roads. Glad I'm home.

but what about the 10 foot wide area of destructive interference over the maritime continent?

Should we try and trade one in for the other? That always works out!

AIFS ens have both threats - not sure right now if any of the members hit both, but late Friday clipper and Sunday more substantial storm.

Euro too. Looks like they both want to really dig the s/w with that clipper. Definitely something to watch.