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Never never had a chance here. Always looked like mostly a mixed mess nop with a couple/few well north

0.65” of rain here yesterday. Eastern PA definitely looks to be denied a full torch this weekend as cool air damming, cloud cover and maritime flow off the Atlantic have a firm hold east of the mountains. Meanwhile from the Laurels westward, increasing breezy southwest flow is going to make for much warmer temps, likely making a run at 65-70 or so on Saturday. Sus Valley may eventually mix down 50s to near 60 later Saturday/Sat night as a weak frontal passage approaches. Mon-Wed is the real time frame where it looks quite warm, as it has looked consistently on models for like the last week. Tuesday is the best chance for at least the southern half of PA to make a run at 70ºF ahead of the next system. Some difference between Euro and GFS with the Euro being much more expansive in PA with the very warm temps and GFS more confined to southern PA. Much more uncertainty abound beyond that, big differences between the Euro and GFS. Euro has been way colder around the St Patty’s day timeframe and also has a storm on tonight’s 0z run. GFS bottles up cold air more in Canada and runs a further north storm track. Both models and ensembles develop the really negative WPO, which should put a lot more cold back in Canada. They’re also pretty firm on a pretty positive AO and NAO though, which would suggest cold intrusions into the US are limited and brief. Difference area is the PNA, where the Euro/ensembles (and Canadian) reverses a pretty negative PNA to positive to set up western ridging and a chance at the kind of storm it puts out at 0z tonight and holding a cold pattern more. The GFS op just keeps the PNA solidly negative and its ensembles do reflect the other models more with the reversal but is more neutral. I’m fairly pessimistic overall on any decent snow chances in that timeframe mainly due to the +NAO/AO, but building a western ridge even briefly would at least allow for a window to try to line something up.

Congrats!

24.2° -SN 2.1”/0.28” Looks like sleet mostly won out south of here

Snowpack is officially gone. There’s a shady spot in my yard that still had some remnants left. Today’s rain washed that away. All that’s left now is the pile at the end of my driveway. Overall a very impressive duration, I had snow on the ground there for a month and a half straight.

Agree Time is ticking

about 1.50 inches of rain for nyc.

That's our chance, mid month time period. After that it starts getting really dicey climo wise around our area

Significant cross polar flow pv attack mid month and snowstorm chance on 0z ECM

Tell me about it

@Damage In TollandI see what Gibbs meant now with the EURO ENSO guidance that came out today...easy winter outlook if that's right. Could still get a biggie in latter January or February, though.

Let's go !

Since I checked, flipped to sleet/zr in the last 10 min pouring

There has been only one March in which GSO didn’t get down to 32 the entire month: 1945. But their coldest in April of 1946 was a much colder 25! RDU’s warmest coldest in Mar was above 32 three times: 1919, 1945, and 2024. Of those Aprils of 1919 and 1945 had a coldest of 32 or lower. But April of 2024 didn’t get down to 32. That means that the earliest last freeze was in 2024, which was Feb 21st! Can you believe it?!? That record is safe this time.

Looks like Scooter was right....probably be 2-3" tops....still grainy crap. Oh well...off to bed.

Never had a chance here. Plain plain rain.

One of my colleagues arrived in town this afternoon for a skiing/work visit and wanted to get in a quick tour up at Bolton Valley to start off his trip, so I joined him for the outing. With the late afternoon/evening timing, I suggested that a tour via the Wilderness Uphill Route would be the easiest option; we were unsure of how things would play out with respect to the availability of daylight. I also wasn’t sure about what to expect in terms of the quality of the off piste skiing based on recent spring temperature cycling. It looks like temperatures stayed relatively cool on the mountain today, since they had certainly stayed cool in the valley relative to yesterday, but I suspect it was yesterday’s temperatures that cycled the snow surfaces. On our ascent, we could feel that the on piste snow had seen at least a mild refreeze – it was crunchy and all the contours were locked in place. My colleague had his headlamp, but we weren’t really prepared for a full descent in the dark, so we decided to design our tour to head toward the Vista terrain for a descent under the night skiing lights. We did start the initial part of the descent on the unlit Wilderness terrain, and it skied much like the ascent suggested it would – the groomed snow was OK, but it was still crunchy and existing contours were locked in place. What we quickly discovered though was that snow areas that were protected from southerly exposure were far better – the snow there had not seen much temperature cycling at all, so the skiing surface was typically soft and quite pleasant. Once we joined onto the groomed night skiing terrain we got into areas where skier traffic and grooming had done a lot to push around the snow and soften it up. With the temperatures well below freezing, that snow had a good winter consistency and skied well, but it was still variable from spot to spot depending on sun exposure and levels of skier traffic, so you had to make sure you skied in the right spots for the best snow quality.

And so it begins... RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 0835 PM EST THU MAR 05 2026 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT ATLANTA... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 81 DEGREES WAS SET AT ATLANTA TODAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 81 DEGREES SET IN 1955.

1.40” so far.

That's a pretty beefy band of precip just north of the pike west or Worcester. Could have some moderate icing if that all falls in as freezing rain when it gets here.

0.25" here. 31.6 IP and grains

Predominantly sleet up until this point, but now appears to be transitioning over to snow. 0.6" sleet accumulation so far.

Euro seasonal going crazy for Strong El Nino later this year

Still grainy crap....oh well, at least I'll sleep safely.