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Hopefully some big time storms tomorrow. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
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Yeah last Winter we had something like the 4th longest streak since the 1800s where Baltimore had >6" on the ground (22 days or something). I love that - 8" of snow and 3" of ice on top there for almost a whole month of the Winter! That storm was really anomalous to the overall pattern last Winter. I'm glad it was timed at the beginning of the pattern.
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Meanwhile Nam will stein western CT. I’ll toss that. -
Another convective round to go in eastern areas. Healthy run.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
IMO we ain’t seen nothing yet. Once this massive WWB and DWKW do their dirty work over the next month or so, I think we pop +12C subsurface anomalies in the EPAC -
Gonna setup a gravy train further east at the end of jts run. That depiction makes sense overall on HRRR.
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Yeah it was fairly localized
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes we can; it's gong to be positive. I'll bet you $500 right now- There is absolutely zero doubt in my mind. The PDO is another story, as that is much more nebulous. -
Had some incredible flooding from the rains in Bergen County near where my son lives. Trees down too.
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I hope so too for a good light show .
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I'm in north Edison, we got some heavy rain but no microburst. This might have been south Edison fwiw. Actually never mind that's north Edison, near the taco bell on Inman. I'm shocked i live maybe 1.5 miles from there and the wind wasn't that bad. Must have been very localized lol
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Another MCS is rolling this way. MRX isn't sure if it will make it but it looks way healthier than hi res models keep showing it after a few hours. I suspect it's going to make it.
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I only follow a few rather grounded mets on social media. But that's just it, the pattern has it and the mountains are doing well, just not much getting over the hills.
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00z hrrr shows you how to flood western CT
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He was pretty accurate when he did his forecast for last year…
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Marginal risk issued for TN just for 5% wind slight risk is there for border of TN area .
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Rock Maze is weird. You start on this nothing trail through the woods and out of nowhere is this random area with massive rock formations. Fun spot.
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Mowed most of the backyard today. 3rd time of the season. Was putting it off because of the lack of rain…so it better pour midweek now.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Love the rainbow at the end of the video! -
Trying out BLUE RESILIENCE from Twin City Seed Company later this summer. Supposedly has greater stein resistance
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I recently lamented to my wife how thunderstorms at least in our area were becoming a rare animal. But like you said, this summer they seem to be making up for "their" recent absence. But maybe not for all.
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Dews here have jumped back into the 80s as the dormant boundary approaches. Feeble cumulus flailing in failure along the boundary as it approaches the QCA.
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Usually the peak is late July thru most of August. There are also a lot of misconceptions about the monsoon. It typically affects the high country and occasionally storms push down into the plains.
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