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Pretty wild the differences that evolve between the GFS/Euro moving past like D4-5...first with strength/orientation of several features and then flat out how the pattern evolves. Here is to another winter of this crap I guess

Already another 4” today at the upper mountain spot. Hammering around 1”/hr.

Yeah, right when I say the GFS has no company, the EURO pretty much spits out the same outcome. Temps are still bad... wouldn't exactly expect any of this to stick, but it's interesting. If the moisture didn't get totally shredded from 126 - > 132 it might've had more blues.

Looks like a nice time up at the cog...

Steady RAIN even at 9630 feet. Summit is 11,000 feet with snow, but everything below it looks so much like DCA In January.

My inner city coastal plain location hasn’t seen that in several winters. I enjoyed the photos, thank you. As always ….

Euro tries as well but it's too north for most people

By the time we were in Rockville Centre it had stopped and it’s not sunny but blue sky and puffy clouds. It had been drizzling/lightly raining in Lindenhurst about noon, but not like it was coming down in Freeport.

we have a chance...

Lots of instability showers around today-still quite cold aloft. Look at the upstate NY radar-lots of snow showers.

Fair

sun breaking out here now

Canadian and Icon both have the system but it scoots south of us. As depicted the northern tier could get on the board with the GFS scenario. Below freezing along the M/D line overnight and only mid 30s by Tuesday afternoon.

Pouring and gusty in Freeport right now. lol, wtf?

That's January weather down this way! Heading back up to the hotel again this weekend as we do some more house hunting in the area. We'll be sure to pack boots!

I've noted that trend too. Especially with the euro.

Really can’t complain about this in November. Stake up to just over 6”.

It is starting to finally pop out here, so hopefully in an hour you get it. Of course the wind is whipping again though.

Longer range teleconnectors like Dec 1-5th for winter implications

Nasty day. Waiting for that sunny forecast to verify…

That’s like 7/8 of winter Paul lol..not a half .

I used to collect the OFA every year back to the early 90s…no idea where they all are now. They were always a good read even if the forecasts were just entertainment.

Looked like heavy snow for a brief period, 35 stories up in Lower Manhattan. Now its flurries/drizzle. Rain closer to ground level.

Graupel, you should reply back and correct them

No worries, Don! Very easy to do. I sometimes get them mixed up. Actually, at first, I didn’t see what I noticed with a second look.