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I really do think it does a good job finding a warm nose , but on snow totals yeah been there done that and lost many times lol .

These were more or less normal winter temperatures 40 or 50 years ago. Most winters had sub zero temps at some point (not NYC). That probably controlled pests better.

Pretty sizable change at 500 at 12 hours.

Huh?

So I guess he cares a little …Ya…he’s gotta work on that.

simplest answer..Classic definition of being "in the middle" Not quite west or north enough enough to benefit from cooler temps, not quite east or south enough to be too warm for most winter storms. so we get everything possible that falls between these two extremes..which tends to be just meh. average. most times

Yep.

That might be a fair price, depending on size. Someone in my neighborhood with a medium size driveway had a crew come in to clear it after everything had frozen into concrete. Took 5 guys with landscape shovels over 45mins. No clue how much she paid but assuming at least $30/hr per person. Landscape companies are raking it in. Saw a convoy of trucks loaded with snow, with a bobcat on a trailer. Some of these townhouse communities have no where to put it all.

This caught my eye... Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

I have CarPlay Weather Radar which is pretty good

https://youtu.be/yj0nqFxF7H8

The surgery provided a convenient excuse

HRRR

OMG. I forgot about the Disconnector. that could never be published/printed today.

HRRR looks good coastal winding up at the end of the run.

This is certainly right up there with some of the most stupid things I’ve ever heard. Better Put your SPF 50 sunscreen on then.

He's hugging the nbm now

But it will still do so any way, especially if we're in transition to an El Nino...

Ok. But be careful. Don't make me bump again. We're watching...always watching.

Yeah I think its all perspective. Generally I only look at the NAM 3K for p types and to get a general idea where heaviest precip will be. HRRR looks ok. Nothing special and not like the Euro though.

That’s got snow to sleet ending as a bit of freezing drizzle written all over it fun!

the NBM is unfortunately broken. its ratios are wildly overstated - I know there have been discussions of 15-20:1 ratios, but the ratios the NBM uses at least on the weatherbell maps are like 40:1, 50:1, or even more in some situations

They will see snow within that circle. I guaranty it. They just have to look down at the ground.

Another really cold day, high was only 10.2. Received another 1.2" from light snow that fell most of the day. Currently 6 outside with fairly light winds. If we decouple, temps will tank - been waiting for that to happen to record a double digit below zero night. See if that happens anytime soon.