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  2. June 18 1939: A deadly tornado hits Anoka. 9 fatalities and over 200 injuries are reported. 1850: Territorial Governor Ramsey reports that about halfway between Ft. Ripley and Ft. Snelling on the Mississippi a severe hail storm occurred in the evening. One or two hailstones picked up were as large as hen’s eggs and he thought he saw one about the size of a 'musket ball.' For Thursday, June 18, 2026 1875 - A severe coastal storm or possible hurricane struck the Atlantic coast from Cape Cod to Nova Scotia. Eastport ME reported wind gusts to 57 mph. (David Ludlum) 1958 - Hailstones up to four inches in diameter killed livestock as a storm passed from Joliet to Belfry in Carbon County MT. (The Weather Channel) 1970 - Wind and rain, and hail up to seven inches deep, caused more than five million dollars damage at Oberlin KS. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - It was a hot day in the Upper Great Lakes Region. Nine cities in Michigan and Wisconsin reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 90 degrees at Marquette, MI, marked their third straight day of record heat. Severe thunderstorm in the Northern and Central High Plains Region spawned half a dozen tornadoes in Wyoming and Colorado. Wheatridge, CO, was deluged with 2.5 inches of rain in one hour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms in eastern North Dakota and northern Minnesota produced hail three inches in diameter and spawned four tornadoes in Steele County. Thunderstorms also produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Clearbrook MN. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Unseasonably hot weather prevailed in the southwestern U.S. In Arizona, afternoon highs of 103 degrees at Winslow, 113 degrees at Tucson, and 115 degrees at Phoenix were records for the date. (The National Weather Summary) Observances: 18 Thu International Picnic Day 18 Thu International Panic Day 18 Thu International Sushi Day 18 Thu Clean Your Aquarium Day 18 Thu International Day for Countering Hate Speech 18 Thu Lock Check Day 18 Thu National Cherry Tart Day 18 Thu National Black America’s Day of Repentance 18 Thu National Fishing Day 18 Thu National Splurge Day 18 Thu National Wanna Get Away Day 18 Thu Sustainable Gastronomy Day 18 Thu Wear BLUE Day
  3. I'd be feeling pretty good in the Albany/Glen's Falls zone with the partial clearing and that line to the west already producing severe/tor warnings.
  4. Wonder if we can punch a break in the clouds here before go-time, like E NY, if we can start getting the flow more 180-200 off of the Monads.
  5. Currently in the only sunny spot in the northeast! Windy as hell though.
  6. 0.40" from that steady light rain yesterday. High of 50 here in town was 2nd coldest low max behind 46 in 1944. It was very chilly out. But nice wx today with highs around 70.
  7. Maybe there should be a storm thread for this so we can all watch the storm go poof??
  8. .26” this morning. Had some nice rolling thunder. Nice feature on the new Capital Weather app is the alert for lightning strikes in my area. Had it go off a few times.
  9. I was hoping for a little something today but obviously it doesn't look good. I know SPC still has us in a slight risk most models give us nothing. Monday continues to look like our one big chance to get a soaking, so hopefully it will deliver.
  10. Had lapse rates been better, your area would have likely seen a couple significant long trackers. the helicity was insane.
  11. The valley probably does but that is going to be the product of mid-level air advecting in which is also going to negatively impact potential for thunderstorm development down this way as well. However, its been noteworthy that the CAMs have become more aggressive and have remained consistent with developing convection, even down into CT later this afternoon. We'll see...too much mid-level dry air can really screw things...not too mention its rather warm aloft too
  12. I doubt the valley is going to clear out. The breaks in the clouds in ENY do not really seem to be advancing east.
  13. That line is looking pretty good with some very noteworthy rotation. Erode the MLCIN out ahead of it and boost up those values and this may be an interesting afternoon in NNE. Looks good for some clearing out ahead of the line too
  14. it's easy to distract from the correct predictions by highlighting the incorrect ones
  15. risk definitely verified around here
  16. Ski resort tycoon game based on the NELSAP site https://icecoastrevival.com/
  17. WB 6Z EURO. Hopefully southern and eastern zones will get some much needed rain tomorrow.
  18. That blob over West Virginia looks promising. But there seems to be some forcefield east of the Potomac that destroys precip as it moves across the river.
  19. If someone would’ve told me a few years back that most of the country would be in a drought while California was fully moisturized I wouldn't have believed them.
  20. Considering a North Georgia chase late this afternoon. Target is the LLJ ahead of Aurthur remnants. Chase decision is pending proper destabilization. Satellite and radar trends match CAM forecasts at this point. Scattered t-storms are developing in Geogia in the morning sunshine. LLJ remains way back in southern MS/AL so I ignore morning to midday t-storms. New line of thunderstorms is expected to develop along the AL/GA line toward 22Z. LLJ should be roaring into that line. Current forecast calls for modest instability, more of a LLJ forced line, and I would not chase it. Now, if the North Georgia atmosphere can recharge in the wake of midday t-storms, we're in business! The said line would have greater instability and perhaps break up a bit. Even then, picking a cell is challenging. These tropical cells move quickly, and cycle quickly too. No obvious boundary to target either. Throw in that lovely (sarcastic) Georgia terrain, and ope! Then if the ATL Metro, hell no! Atlanta WFO AFD is similar thinking. They are probably right that the leading storms have the best chance of any severe. My interest is rotation though - and it's very conditional based on late afternoon instability. Probability of chase is only about 1/3 but it's not far (hard stop before ATL). Otherwise, World Cup matches start at Noon! 10:30 am Eastern, followed by Peachtree AFD highlights As the remnant system moves towards the CWA, models seem to finally be converging on a solution for exactly how the system moves across the area, for better or worse. CAMs have keyed in on the remnant circulation continuing to move to the NE across MS and AL, eventually coming into northern GA by the evening hours. During the afternoon, some day time heating even with cloud cover allows for multiple thunderstorms to form over all of north and central Georgia - these will likely contain most of the severe threat. A line of storms is expected to form across portions of Alabama later in the evening that extends into central Georgia during the late evening to early overnight hours. Simultaneously, the core of the remnant low moves into north Georgia, bringing some heavy rainfall and potential for strong winds that are mixed down from a developing 850 mb jet.
  21. Today will be our warmest day for at least the next week. Highs today will be at least 5 degrees above normal in the mid to upper 80's. Some showers are around this morning into early this afternoon. There is a chance of a heavier storm with the cold frontal passage this afternoon, but unfortunately no widespread rain appears likely. We turn back to normal to below temperatures through the middle of next week with highs in the upper 70's to low 80's and lows in the mid to upper 50's. Shower chances increase by Sunday night into Monday morning.
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