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.3something and the sun today will quickly get rid of it
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For sure the upcoming weekend will be on the cool side behind the system but the week should be right around average and Thursday quite a bit above. For BDL, I wouldn't be shocked if they hit 80-81 on Wednesday
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Other than Thursday that's on the cool side.
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Got .78 of much needed rain last night at my station.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thank you for sharing that. Kyle Elliott at MU is very unimpressed with this Thursday's setup, he believes that both the timing of the pre-frontal trough as well as westerly downsloping winds will lead to a "very marginal" severe threat. Right now he's leaning for showers with an imbedded rumble of thunder. I'm on his train for now for sure! -
.50" at the lake, everything here is green and lush.
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Another tally mark under the "AWT" category
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Lets get that to the Jersey coast
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And now StormNet went wagons south haha
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Received .44" rainfall overnight. Nothing remotely severe but a much needed rainfall. Received .68" last 3 days. At least I won't have to do any watering today or tomorrow. Stellar morning with low dews, pleasant temperatures, gusty breeze and deep blue skies. Click map to enlarge.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Yeah your area down to here has been brutal . You win the Stein trophy -
was legit chilly in the apartment this am
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Chadzachadam replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Sorry the Lehigh Valley missed out but that was a hell of a storm in NW Philly. 1.9” and 2 full hours of lightning. And now it’s a refreshing 68, dew point down to 52 -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Eskimo Joe replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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June 15 1989: Scattered frost develops across Minnesota, with the coldest reading of 29 at Isabella. For Monday, June 15, 2026 1662 - A fast was held at Salem MA with prayers for rain, and the Lord gave a speedy answer. (David Ludlum) 1879 - McKinney ND received 7.7 inches of rain in 24 hours, a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1896 - The temperature at Fort Mojave, CA, soared to 127 degrees, the hottest reading of record for June for the U.S. The low that day was 97 degrees. Morning lows of 100 degrees were reported on the 12th, 14th and 16th of the month. (The Weather Channel) (Note: BRUTAL!) 1953 - Dust devils are usually rather benign weather phenomena, however, two boys were injured by one near Prescott AZ. One of the boys suffered a black eye, and the other boy had two vertebrae fractured by wind-blown debris. (The Weather Channel) 1957 - East Saint Louis was deluged with 16.54 inches of rain in 24 hours, a record for the state of Illinois. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in the northwestern U.S. A tornado damaged five homes and destroyed a barn near Salmon ID. It lifted a metal shed 100 feet into the air, and deposited it 100 yards away. Hail an inch and a half in diameter caused ten million dollars damage to automobiles at Nampa ID. (The National Weather Channel) (Storm Data) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms in the Central High Plains Region spawned five tornadoes around Denver, CO, in just one hour. A strong (F-3) tornado in southern Denver injured seven persons and caused ten million dollars damage. Twenty-six cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 97 degrees at Portland ME was a record for June. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Southern and Middle Atlantic Coast States. The thunderstorms spawned eight tornadoes, including strong (F-3) tornadoes which injured three persons at Mountville PA and four persons at Columbia, PA. There were 111 reports of large hail and damaging winds, including wind gusts to 80 mph at Norfolk, VA, and Hogback Mountain, SC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) Observances: 15 Mon National Take Your Cat to Work Day 15 Mon World Elder Abuse Awareness Day 15 Mon Nature Photography Day 15 Mon Clean Your Vents Day 15 Mon National Prune Day 15 Mon Sneak A Kiss Day 15 Mon YMA Day 15 Mon Global Wind Day
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Also not that it matters a ton (also it's being sunset soon) - the SREF maps over on the SPC page are already showing a mean Derecho Composite of 3 for part of Thursday afternoon/evening.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
CT Valley Snowman replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
I might be the Stein epicenter here. Local PWS stations are like .10-.15 MTD after last night's screw job. Everything is getting torched. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Digging this windows open weather.
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Upper 30's/40's across the area this morning. Was a nice day yesterday with highs in the 70's, but breezy NW winds. Low dews. 70's today with scattered shwrs/stms, then back to cooler wx with more rain possible Wed.
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I *will* say that the NCAR AI maps are VERY robust for Thursday - but they do tend to look at lot more serious than CSU and CIPS in general. So take with a grain of salt.
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This is what LWX had in their AFD this morning re Thursday Beginning Thursday, a strong surface low will push east past the Great Lakes with a stemming cold front that will push across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. This cold front could result in multiple showers and thunderstorms throughout the region, with some becoming severe. There is already a 30%-45% severe probability noted in NCAR`s AI model, and a 15%-30% severe probability noted in CSU`s ML model. Timing and exact hazards are still the primary uncertainties being 5 days out, but early markers are definitely showing an early widespread severe risk with this system.
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06z RRFS suggests that this may be more of a Thursday event for us, blowing up a cell right over the metro by midday. will be interesting to see what the 12z suite thinks, but I could see the d4 risk being shifted back west some
