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Going to be close.

My mom back home texted me “where’s all this heavy rain we were supposed to get all day” I said y’all got duped. it’s over in eastern CT and NY state. Enjoy the dry day

Event total here: 1.99". Enough but not excessive. While some slight long term dryness is still going on the drought up in my area is essentially over. July will end up being a very wet month up this way and for the sub forum with maybe a few exceptions. Just need to keep up at least normal rainfall next several months to keep from slipping back into dryness. Gotta love the negative tilt trof exiting off the Mid-Atlantic and SNE coast this morning. High anomalous for July. Not sure my grass has ever been greener heading into August.

Low of 66 with .3” of rain. A few beautiful days ahead.

Sam areas all summer.

OXK radar is right, there has been no torrential rain with this, just good ole heavy rain.

Total rainfall from yesterday’s event-2.12”.

Will it rain on the chickens?!?

No it's not its just heavy, nothing we can't handle 2-3" totals so far will probably max out at 3-4 iso 5" over a 4-6 hour window which isn't devastating, just some minor issues I'd imagine. Also looks like steady rain is done in SWCT within the hour.

Upslope not nearly as big factor this time of year, simply b/c low-level winds from the SE, E, or NE are not as strong, and fetch is much less. Ever notice summer low pressure areas are smaller than the cool season counterparts? Well, there is reason for that and thus you can't treat things synoptically all the same in the summer. Convection plays a much larger role in the summer, so that messed w/ things are well. Swaths from training regardless of topography.

A few days ago Somewhere someone said congrats NW and NY state

.01!

'Only' 1.57" here, 11.41" for the month.

I finished up with 0.39" yesterday after a couple rounds (2-day total 1.29"). Currently a misty 68 with dp 68.

Which one is right?

I will say the rain over Southwest CT is not Uber heavy at least.

Look at the rain returns from BOX versus OKX. It’s quite the difference there.

2.1

As expected:

What do you mean..?

Man why is BOX running so much “hotter” than OKX or any other radar.

How is Central MA looking between now and noon for rain and severe potential? Need to bring my kiddo in to get his wisdom teeth out this morning and wondering we'll be lucky enough to get back home before the worst of the weather gets here.

Picked up 1.8" here from the overnight rains, july monthly total at 7.25" now

Extended the stat analysis to the 1970s to include the West Chester move. Two comparisons were made: individual years using 1972 minus 1945 as a metric, and a 5-year average using 1971-75 minus 1941-45 as a metric. The results are the same for both metrics: the Chester County COOPs are significantly different statistically from the non-Chesco stations. As was the case for the 1950s there is no overlap between the move and non-move stations. The Chester County COOPs have spurious cooling of over 2F. This analysis and the one above provide strong evidence that the larger NCEI bias adjustments are very robust statistically. This analysis also shows the problems with AI. As Don stated above AI is handy for an initial screening; but, AI is unlikely to give a complete and accurate answer to a complex problem.