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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
SnowGoose69 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Next year the RRFS is supposed to replace it -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
986mb over the outer cape. -
I think you're good for an inch+
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
HoarfrostHubb replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Someday the NAM will be put out to pasture. I’m sure someone will chime in saying it is useful for something or other. As Jeff mentioned, it is decent at finding those pesky warm tongues. But oof. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I feel you! -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
WolfStock1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Sorry but that's laughable. They throw throw the whole kitchen sink in and call it "implicit subsidies". Traffic congestion is a fossil fuel subsidy? Why would traffic congestion from an ICE vehicle be any more a subsidy than than for an EV? Can you somehow magically fit EV's into a smaller space or something? I just bought some groceries at the local supermarket. I'm guessing that somehow fits into their "implied subsidies" bucket. No - renewable energy is far more subsidized than fossil, by about 30x as much. Lots of data here: https://www.cato.org/blog/fossil-fuel-subsidies-are-mostly-fiction-real-energy-subsidies-should-go https://www.eia.gov/analysis/requests/subsidy/pdf/subsidy.pdf https://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/fossil-fuels/renewable-energy-still-dominates-energy-subsidies-in-fy-2022/ -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Nam is a furnace in a good chunk of SNE. -
I think you have been fine. You have as much right to your opinion as anybody else.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
NAM back to a no show for SNE -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
FXWX replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Don't dismiss the possibility that interior districts cancel? This day and age many Supts hate dismissing during an ongoing snowfall? If it's going to start snowing during or shortly after the commuting period, and it's going to continue through the afternoon, many will bail. -
That’s not that early, especially for the n/w burbs. In 3 months it’ll be March lol.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
kdxken replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
It's a great place. Used to spend my summers down there. Worked at the boat yard unofficially as a kid for tips. -
2-4” dc metro (mean)
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Well it does say experimental. It’s a forecast based on probability and confidence and the confidence just isn’t there right now. But yeah, I’m not sure how helpful 1-12” is. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
WolfStock1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Yes and why have their costs been going up? Because of increasingly-onerous environmental regulations, including for CO2 emissions. It is not due to organic costs. E.g. the EPA in April 2024 implemented new regs requiring coal plants to cut C02 emissions by 90% by 2039 or be shut down. The cost to try to reduce emissions by this much is extremely high, and they know this. They are being forced closed, with "cost" as an excuse to hide the real reason. It's not naturally due to cost. -
I missed it. Woke up around 8am, but did see the lightest of cartoppers…and mostly on the roof of cars lol.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Regardless of their methodology, I think they would serve themselves (and their crediblity) well by not naming it "Official NWS Forecast". It reminds me of one of my old work friends who would weight all his sales opportunities as 50% saying "either they will or they won't". -
How does regular EPS look for the 5-6th?
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Why? This is Dec 2nd...that's really early in the season where even 20 years ago it took more to snow in this part of the calendar than later--that part isn't new.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Frozen precip seems to stick to grill covers first. And with the black background is easy to see. May want to add this to the weenie handbook at a later date... Cloudy/39F -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
mahk_webstah replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Well now that we’ve figured that out…let’s see the Nam push the upper range highrr -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
OK I think the range may be taking the 25th and 75th percentile on amounts. You can eyeball what that would be in the percentile columns.
