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24 hours makes a big difference!

I’ll sign up for the 3k right now

Poor COC was all confused .

00z NAM would imply the biggest December in DC this decade?

If you went to Danville I think you would have been disappointed. I lived there for 4 years and they tend to bust low with these type of storms. I think they get an inch maybe 2 max and end up mixing or turning over.

relative to the expected storm totals is probably what i should've prefaced

Let's not get too carried away here

Yep 3 of our 6 biggest December snows the past century have been in the past 16 years

NAM ain't too bad

NAM 3km is genuinely looking like a NAM'ing

All real bro…take it all in.

Finally another MD county delay. PG County 2 hr delay.

Oh?

Nam 3k looks great for moco and southern frederick .

Is Matt still helping with the forecasts there?.

Logan was 47kts earlier. It’s freaking ripping.

Hope the NAM is right

Happy Christmas 1994 everyone. Let's reel this in.

It's interesting because I was thinking about the winters of the late 70's and 80's, and one of the things I recalled was a lot more small events. Also ice storms or icing events were common. I remember as a kid; older folks complaining that we never got good snows anymore; we just always got ice or a mix. But for sure we had some really good winters. Another thing I recall is being told not to look much for snow before Christmas and looking back we didn't have much snow prior to January. That's anecdotal but I think I saw a post yesterday that showed that. It's odd because even though the last 25 years have overall not been good, we have had some nice December snows. Anyway, I don't know what any of it means, but I do think we go through cycles and longer patterns. Anyway, I'd like to order another 86-87 winter but would also take a 2009-10.

CWG upped forecast to 1-2” for I66/Rt50 corridor and DC

When I had a rooster, I had a few overnights like this with fresh pack where he would start crowing after midnight because it was so bright.

the moon is ready for snow.

Yeah if it was a higher end event I would consider something like that. I figure if it pans out I can get some good shots of the High Bridge Trail.

FWIW the 0z HRRR looked like the GFS at the end of the run

All of the above, some weighing on winter more than others at various points. Hot tub temps in the Gulf have certainly made things a challenge, evident in the shift of tornado frequency from the plains to the Deep South. Im on the fence for arctic sea ice/high latitude snow cover. It helps but we’ve had some seriously strong cold outbreaks through the 2000s and they rarely mean anything other than nose bleeds and pipes bursting. This is why I’m not the least bit bullish with the Barney cold showing up on some of the ensembles. It’s useless. Great to have cold on your side of the hemisphere, sure, but if we’re talking about an air mass that would produce temps in the low 30s with full sunlight, those storms will be raining on Cuba.