Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. ChescoWx
    Happy 4th of July to all of you! Below is the history of July 4th weather since 1893 here in Chester County PA. Overall we have seen a flat trend in average temperature / a slight cooling trend for high temperatures and a slight warming trend for overnight low temperatures for the holiday. The hottest July 4th was back in 1966 the chilliest was in 1978.
  3. yoda
    Updated 1730z SPC OTLK for Day 2 (tomorrow, Sunday) has added 5 hail and 30 wind Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1203 PM CDT Sat Jul 04 2026 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING... ...SUMMARY... Scattered wind damage is possible with thunderstorms across the Mid-Atlantic Sunday afternoon and evening. Isolated strong storms also are possible across Montana and western North Dakota, and portions of the southern Plains to the Tennessee Valley. ...Mid-Atlantic... A weak surface low is forecast to move west to east along a sagging cold front/baroclinic zone draped across PA into northern NJ/southeast NY on Sunday/Sunday evening. Meanwhile, lee troughing will develop across VA. A hot and very moist airmass will reside near and south of these boundaries, which will serve as a focus for severe storm development during the afternoon and into evening. Southwesterly flow aloft will weaken through the day as an upper shortwave impulse lifts northeast of the region, but around 20-30 kt mid/upper-level flow will persist. Moderate to strong destabilization is expected and thunderstorm clusters are expected by early to mid-afternoon. Sufficient clustering could occur along the southward-sagging cold front and one or more forward propagating clusters will be possible from northern VA into southeast PA until storms move offshore the Mid-Atlantic coast during the evening. Sufficient consistency among deterministic/CAMs and AI/ML guidance exists regarding storm coverage to warrant an upgrade to 30 percent wind probabilities for portions of the region.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Agreed. I was very skeptical of the Euro and GFS going for three days in the 100s. We've seen that fantasy mid range heat vanish before. Not this time!
  5. Damage In Tolland
    Man you are balls deep and all in. The lines are drawn!
  6. Jrlg1181
    Definitely has been a quick development of cumulus clouds along the mts down here in the past 30 mins..
  7. yoda
    ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX... LAT...LON 37548059 38018032 39057934 39427883 39597832 39647744 39547686 39357649 38907637 38057671 37237763 36667909 36688013 37028055 37548059 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1491.html
  8. Birds~69
    DPs have been lower each day since the beginning of our 100+ days. Today in the 60s...
  9. Cyclone-68
    Since when has the NYC area become the Disneyland for exciting weather lately?
  10. yoda
    I would assume we would
  11. dendrite
    Can’t wait for you to get 4” and then post because it didn’t soak in well
  12. yoda
    3 days in a row... impressive
  13. dendrite
    Luck ran out. 7-10’d. A few sprinkles.
  14. Damage In Tolland
    It seems like a lot of folks are thinking 2-3 and higher amounts will be common. Would be great if correct. I won’t buy it until we see how things look early morning Monday
  15. EarlGrey
    Hit 100 finally but it’s an hour behind yesterday.
  16. George BM
    Wonder if we get an 18z sounding from LWX today.
  17. Itstrainingtime
    96 at 1pm.
  18. eco94
    I'm going to be honest the ecosystem is more important than anyone's fourth of july plans lol
  19. OceanStWx
    Face down in Center Harbor.
  20. OceanStWx
    His Davis mysteriously going offline this week.
  21. eco94
    good god that's beautiful to see
  22. AnEndlessMaze
    No it’s still out and Potomac Edison’s automated line says it will be out until 3:30.
  23. powderfreak
    ICON has like a foot for NYC, ha.
  24. Damage In Tolland
    Scooter is really good at sniffing these out and which ones are legit vs BS, which narrow zones might be favored etc. Dude has close to a million posts and the day we need him he’s laying at the bottom of Winni
  25. powderfreak
    I’d feel fairly confident in 1”+ for your location… but yeah, I guess like winter if folks are looking for jackpots those will be narrow. Someone gets 1.5”, they’ll say they were Steined because somewhere else saw 4.5” and flash flooding.
  26. SolidIcewx
    Mesoscale Discussion 1491 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1149 AM CDT Sat Jul 04 2026 Areas affected...Much of Virginia...Maryland...and eastern West Virginia, Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 041649Z - 041915Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity while developing eastward through the afternoon. The primary concern will be scattered to numerous damaging wind gusts. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is likely. DISCUSSION...Widely scattered thunderstorms are evolving along the high terrain in WV and southwestern VA this afternoon. Continued diurnal heating and orographic lift will favor increasing thunderstorm development over the next few hours. Downstream, strong diurnal heating/destabilization of a moist air mass (upper 60s to lower 70s dewpoints) beneath steep midlevel lapse rates (sampled by 12Z soundings) will support thunderstorm intensification through the afternoon. While fairly weak deep-layer shear may limit overall thunderstorm organization, the aforementioned environment will favor a mix of cells and loosely organized clusters capable of producing scattered to numerous damaging wind gusts across much of VA and eventually into MD. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is likely for this activity.
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...