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up near Albany close to 5-6 inches of rain-the jackpot ended up being the hudson valley

You and moultonborough standing strong. Looks like we got over an inch here yesterday at the lake

2.4-2.8 around my area. Local mesonets are 3.09 just S and 1.75 a few miles N.

The unstable air advected Eastward and the cap was broken. Don't see that too often around here, much more common in the plains

The fewer 90s in late July allowed the warm spots like Newark to pull back to the 10th highest number of 90s by July 28th following a very fast start by July 15th. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Most 90° days by July 28th Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2010-07-28 36 0 2 1993-07-28 31 0 3 2022-07-28 29 0 - 1987-07-28 29 0 4 1994-07-28 28 0 5 2025-07-28 27 0 - 2021-07-28 27 0 - 1991-07-28 27 0 6 2011-07-28 25 0 7 2024-07-28 24 0 - 2012-07-28 24 0 - 1999-07-28 24 0 - 1952-07-28 24 0 - 1949-07-28 24 0 8 2002-07-28 23 0 - 1988-07-28 23 0 - 1966-07-28 23 0 - 1955-07-28 23 0 9 2016-07-28 22 0 - 1944-07-28 22 0 10 2026-07-28 21 0 - 2013-07-28 21 0 - 2005-07-28 21 0 - 1943-07-28 21 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Most 90° days by July 15th Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2010-07-15 23 0 - 1993-07-15 23 0 2 2021-07-15 22 0 3 2024-07-15 21 0 - 1994-07-15 21 0 - 1987-07-15 21 0 4 2026-07-15 20 0 - 2022-07-15 20 0 - 1991-07-15 20 0 - 1966-07-15 20 0

If the model projections are correct this event will be the strongest in history by a wide margin. In my opinion this could actually make analog forecasting tougher, because even other super Ninos like 2015-2016, 1997-1998, 1982-1983 have a decent chance ending up a full 1C weaker than this event. I’d still use those years because they are the closest matches we have to this one, but this truly is a once in a lifetime Godzilla El Niño. I’m thinking we see almost a more extreme version of those super Nino years (eg even stronger STJ than 97-98), but I’m really not sure what the implications are. What are your thoughts? As a northern skier I’m not too happy about this developing Godzilla nino, but at the same time I’ve always been drawn to extreme weather events, so it will be interesting to keep following this and see how things play out regardless. This one has a good what 5 months left of strengthening and is already above 2C on the dallies for ENSO 3.4, 3C for ENSO 3, and 4C for ENSO 1.2, and the subsurface is much more impressive than even 97-98. So really no ambiguity here, this Nino already is a beast and will continue to break records.

I melted quite a bit yesterday, but we were strategically missed multiple times.

“Typhoon Dolphin is expected to strengthen into a violent storm as it moves towards Japan's remote Minami-Torishima Island, the Japan Meteorological Agency said on Wednesday.” https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minamitorishima

I’ll take this back, I was wrong. That supercell that pushed from VA through here to the coast was legit

… almost 6” on the month with more to come today and trying to sell it as Stein. Even here, it’s rained like twice, but we’re over 5”. The numbers are the numbers

Our weather has trended nicer for much of the rest of the work week with below normal temperatures continuing through the period. OUr next rain chances look to arrive later Sunday and into the start of the new work week.

Our weather has trended nicer for much of the rest of the work week with below normal temperatures continuing through the period. OUr next rain chances look to arrive later Sunday and into the start of the new work week.

Updating for July 2026 with several spots in the northern forecast zones going over 10.00” for the month. https://dex.cocorahs.org/stations/NY-PT-2 Viewing Station: NY-PT-2 : Beacon 4.2 ESE Month-To-Date: 16.30"

Brutal! Hoping we are getting past that here. Last year we never hit 90 in August, would love a repeat

Probably from all the salt they put down.

Was intrigued in potential for a strong or two within CT today should anything pop but I wonder if there is a window early afternoon for a localized damaging wind gust or brief tornado across SE MA.

Just got .20” in about 10 minutes.

The eye is crossing over just east of Madison

HRRR is pretty meh here. Half inch to maybe 3/4

what an evolution!

Theme song for the day: (anyone who gripes today has to restyle their hair to match anyone from the video- unless they are getting flooding)

I think I agree. My backyard gets porked either way.

Yeah, if this band of rains pivots through and then we slot by afternoon the totals will underperform in this area. At least we got the rain yesterday.

Schodack meso site up to 9.19” and still falling rather impressively up there.

An flooding yet outside of some random Bridgeport roads where the drains are clogged from McDonalds wrappers and bullet shell casings?