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Heat Island effect - most areas away from the city will experience < 32 well before NYC

Stop trolling Its annoying

Torch !

The latest first freeze for LGA which is the UHI capital was 1-4-16. NYC snuck one in on 11-24-15. The trees to close to the sensor gave them a cooling assist in addition to also being much further away from the water than the LGA ASOS. Frost/Freeze Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date. Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2015 03-29 (2015) 27 01-04 (2016) 15 280 2001 03-28 (2001) 31 12-23 (2001) 32 269 1998 03-22 (1998) 31 12-22 (1998) 24 274 2021 04-02 (2021) 29 12-19 (2021) 31 260 Data for November 24, 2015 through November 24, 2015 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NY MONTAUK AIRPORT WBAN 37 NY SETAUKET STRONG COOP 35 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 33 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 32 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 31

If I’m remembering correctly, we had a super El Niño during the winter of 2015–2016. That November brought an unusually cold outbreak, with highs in the teens around midmonth, before a more typical El Niño pattern took hold for the rest of winter. With a recurving typhoon, Ural blocking, a weakening polar vortex, and other factors potentially lining up, I’m wondering whether we could see a similar November this year. Thoughts or rebuttals?

Max 64.1° What a beaut. Hopefully a few days like this every month until spring.

12z Euro looks great through early Novie

google it - its not made up AI Overview A polar vortex stretching event occurs when the large, circular ring of freezing stratospheric air above the North Pole loses its tight shape, elongating or warping into an oval or multi-lobed form. [1, 2]

Hopefully we get a nice late Fall threat, otherwise May isn't too terribly far off

Not to be weird but I wish you could enjoy it too!

I think it’s Indirectly a fallout from all the tropical systems off the Mexico coast this year. All that moisture swarming north. But I’ll take it!

Enhanced risk added with the D2 this afternoon for hail

I've never heard of Polar Vortex stretching before. This is a made up term!

Same up here and most of Maine where I've been this past week.

I think it’s a rare severe threat out there too.

Yeah the water restrictions will likely come back.

Beauty of a day here. Wife and I got almost the whole woodpile stacked but it got warm out there. No complaints!

Based on old recon finding lots of sub 900 storms in that basin and this having that very high end look it likely was below 890. .

Pressure data from a buoy on the edge of the eye sugguests sub-900mb pressure

The red oak sapling outside the window has a nice but not vibrant burgundy color but the 24"/90ft red oak 50 yards away is going toward brown. The only bright red oaks I see in this area are the pin oak street trees in Farmington - moderately common in the mid-Atlantic but not native to Maine. Jeff has a couple of them in his yard; haven't heard how they've colored this fall. Other than the oaks and some dark yellow understory beech, we're in stick season. Many of those beech leaves will turn tan and hang on until bud break in May. 22/25/27 lows the most recent 3 mornings.

JTWC had this at 155kt this morning, and so that's an incredible situtation, it's much above the 137kt cutoff for Category 5.

the center of the pac warm pool is east of the dateline!!! you would need this event to collapse to have any chance

Yellow Medicine County is currently having its 7th warmest start to the year on record (1895-2026).

I have added some additionals stations within 3 miles of the Chester County border to enhance our climate data. The support and rationale is included in our latest study on the website. Thanks! https://chescowx.com/chester-county-area-3-mile-rule/