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Told my friend group 6-10". Thought about going the CWG route and adding some boom/bust percentages...

We tend to get a lot of our snow in epic runs that happen sporadically once in a blue moon. This pattern has that kind of upside potential. I wouldn't put any qualifiers on it. Sure we need to get some luck, it could go sideways if things don't fall our way...(but by sideways I mean we just get some snow not epic totals) but this is the type of pattern we could score multiple big hits.

To buckeyes point

really excited about the block breakdown storm

It’s a religious experience.

Perhaps a squeeze box can be adapted for the delicate clearing your parents' driveway requires?

The UKIE has rain all the way to the southwest corner of Pennsylvania Sunday night.

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Not much change

would a primary going west of us like that give us the risk of the dreaded dry slot?

It's funny watching the language morph over the last few days from suppressed to overrunning with potential redevelopment to over amped to the introduction of the word dry slot which wasn't being said previously. What's the next new word or phrase on this thing going to be?

I've never seen a snowstorm that buried Chicago-Detroit-DC. If Chicago picks up 9" from this, DC would probably be slop to rain

Franky telling it like it is https://www.facebook.com/share/v/185m5bdygT/?mibextid=wwXIfr

8-14” is exactly what I’ve been thinking this morning

Always remember midrange...

Gfs likes the 31st thru the 2nd

Oh...so you just look at the pictures instead of reading.

Did GEFS get posted? Still in a range where it has utility.

That’s fine with me I do not enjoy Ice at all. It either needs to be all Snow or cold rain if it’s down to preference. After all last Sunday caused me no issues.

Gun to head, if I had to make a public forecast....I'd do 8-14 ending as sleet. Actually I'd be too scared and wimp out to 8 to 12, but part of me would want to go 10-15 so bad

my bad, were going in here now.

Not to derail the thread but anyone see the long term GFS? Holy shit!

The flow that drives the surface low up to our west is happening at the mid levels in response to what is happening to our west, the surface and the strength of the MSLP isn't really the issue. Take a look at the mid level wind flow as the trough is phasing to our west...that is the issue on the runs that drive the primary further north.

Just like Feb 2010. Cool, noted thanks.

Question though, why is it the way it is? I thought the high pressure was too strong and too cold, and now it’s just like, “whoopsies, my bad, let me skidattle for you.” .